USOIL Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 71.720.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 73.515.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Forex
NZDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.571.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.566 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPAUD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.983.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.964 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD analysis February 18Your trading strategy is based on a combination of strong support at 1.044 and signals from the EMA 34. This is a reasonable approach if the correction weakens and buying pressure increases.
Some notes:
Confirmation from price action: If the price reacts strongly to the 1.044 area (such as forming a reversal candlestick pattern or RSI divergence sign), the possibility of a bounce will be higher.
Risk management: Stoploss 1.03900 is quite tight, ensuring low risk. However, if the sellers are strong and break through 1.044, you need to be ready to cut losses to avoid being caught in the downtrend.
Flexible profit taking: TP1 (1.05100) is the nearest resistance zone, you can take partial profits here and move SL to breakeven to optimize profits if the price continues to 1.05700.
You can also keep an eye on momentum indicators or economic news that may affect EUR/USD to make appropriate decisions. 🚀
SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.934.
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USD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 0.912.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.625 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.563 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns.
On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity.
Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Yen Dips After Strong Japan GDP DataThe Japanese yen slipped to around 151.8 per dollar, reversing a three-day rally as the dollar gained strength after Fed officials signaled reluctance to cut rates due to inflation concerns.
Japan’s Q4 GDP grew 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, up from 0.4% and beating the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, GDP rose 2.8%, aligning with expectations and improving from 1.7% in Q3. These figures support a more hawkish outlook for the Bank of Japan, though uncertainty remains over a potential rate hike in March, with further increases expected later this year.
Technically, resistance is at 154.90, with further levels at 156.00 and 157.00. Support stands at 151.25, followed by 149.20 and 147.10.
CADJPY LongOn the Hourly TF the price has just broken through the previous Lower High, marking a new Higher High.
Expecting the price to retrace filling in all inefficiencies down to around $106.9 before reversing from an Order Block (OB) and rally to the next OB at $107.4.
If the price can break through $107.4, it is highly probable that the uptrend will continue.
UCAD Bears Turn Liquid After 4% Decline From Feb. HighOANDA:USDCAD has been trading in a Sideways Consolidation for 2 months now and last week finally delivered a Breakout!
After the massive rally to 1.47926, price immediately plummeted down to not only fall back into the Consolidation Range but to then Breakout of the Support of that Consolidation.
This Breakout is followed by massive Bearish Volume on top of RSI breaking down below 50!
Price has satisfied all the Breakout Rules determining its validity, now to wait for a Retest of the broken support around the 23.6% Fibonacci Level or approx. 1.43 area for potential Short Opportunities to take down to the 1.41 area!
Fundamentally,
USD:
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index/ President Trump Speaks
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
CAD:
Tuesday - CPI
Friday - Retail Sales/ BOC Gov Macklem Speaks
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6301
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6376
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5691
1st Support: 0.5667
1st Resistance: 0.5736
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CAD finds support (but 1.40 still beckons)USD/CAD has spent most of the past two weeks stuck on sell mode, after its short-lived rise to the 22-year high of 1.48 came crashing down thanks to tariffs being delayed.
Due to bears closing shorts on CAD futures and bulls shying away from long USD bets, my core view is for USD/CAD down to 1.40, just above the 2022 high. But over the near term it shows the potential for a bounce towards 1.43.
Last week's low stalled around a weekly VPOC and November high. A small bullish hammer and inside-day doji also formed around the 100-day EMA, while a bullish divergence also formed on the daily RSI (2) in the oversold zone.
Bulls could seek dips towards the weekly VPOC in anticipation of a bounce to 1.4250, while prices hold above last week's low. At which point we can revisit its potential to roll over once more, in line with the core bias outlined above.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and forex.com
Potential bullish rise?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.7869
1st Support: 1.7786
1st Resistance: 1.7980
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 157.97
1st Support: 156.57
1st Resistance: 159.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.6772
1st Support: 11.5994
1st Resistance: 11.7090
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.