Forex
USD/JPY extends rally on hot CPIThe USD/JPY extended its rally following the release of hotter-than-expected US CPI data, which fuelled a surge in bond yields and strengthened the dollar. Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, while Core CPI climbed 0.4% versus the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI reached 3.0% and Core CPI hit 3.3%, both above expectations. This reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, pushing US 5- to 10-year yields at least 10 basis points higher. As a result, traders increased their bets on further USD/JPY gains. The market will now focus on the second day of Powell’s testimony, with PPI data and retail sales still to come later in the week.
From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has shown resilience, rebounding from support at 151.00 and breaking above the key 200-day moving average near 152.50/60. The pair has cleared resistance at 153.70-154.00, and if it holds above the 200-day average, it could extend its advance toward the significant 155.00 level. However, a failure to maintain this breakout could see support tested back at 153.70, with further downside levels at 152.50/60 and 151.00. With the bullish momentum reinforced by strong CPI data and higher yields, USD/JPY traders will closely watch price action determine if the uptrend can sustain.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
Gold Awaits CPI – Will 2,872 Hold or Break?✅ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus
Gold is currently facing bearish pressure, with expectations of a 3.00% CPI release, which could negatively impact prices. A break below 2,872 is required to confirm further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Scenario (CPI at 3.00% or Higher):
If price breaks below 2,872, it will enter a bearish zone.
A confirmed stabilization below 2,872 will extend the drop toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Further bearish pressure could drive prices to 2,823 if inflation remains high.
📈 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 3.00%):
If price holds above 2,872, a recovery toward 2,896 and 2,918 is possible.
A break above 2,918 could push gold back toward 2,938 in a bullish reversal.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2880
Resistance Levels: 2896, 2918, 2938
Support Levels: 2860, 2840, 2823
Trend Outlook:
Bearish if CPI remains high (≥3.00%) & price breaks 2,872
Bullish if CPI drops below expectations & price holds above 2,872
💬 How will CPI impact Gold? Will it break down or reverse? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0325 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0373
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.9702
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.9827
Safe Stop Loss - 1.9626
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCAD: Great Trading Opportunity
NZDCAD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDCAD
Entry Point - 0.8062
Stop Loss - 0.8020
Take Profit - 0.8142
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURCHF: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
EURCHF
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURCHF
Entry - 0.9455
Stop - 0.9480
Take - 0.9409
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURGBPEURGBP is in a correction phase. If the price can hold above 0.82396, there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? Let's see! (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the daily USD/JPY chart, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price continued its downtrend, correcting down to 151.
Currently, USD/JPY is trading around 153.620, and I expect it to resume its decline soon from the current zone (153.68 - 155.3).
This analysis will be updated as price action develops. The next potential bearish targets are 152.70, 151.70, and 151.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Main Elements of Profitable Trading Strategy (Forex, Gold)
There are hundreds of different trading strategies based on fundamental and technical analysis.
These strategies combine different tools and trading techniques.
And even though, they are so different, they all have a very similar structure.
In this educational article, we will discuss 4 important elements and components every GOLD, Forex trading strategy should have.
What Do You Trade
1️⃣ The first component of a trading strategy is the list of the instruments that you trade.
You should know in advance what assets should be in your watch list.
For example, if you are a forex trader, your strategy should define the currency pairs that you are trading among the dozens that are available.
How Do You Trade
2️⃣ The second element of any trading strategy is the entry reasons.
Entry reasons define the exact set of market conditions that you look for to execute the trade.
For example, trading key levels with confirmation, you should wait for a test of a key level first and then look for some kind of confirmation like a formation of price action pattern before you open a trade.
Above, is the example how the same Gold XAUUSD chart can be perceived differently with different trading strategies.
3️⃣ The third component of a trading strategy is the position size of your trades.
Your trading strategy should define in advance the rules for calculating the lot of size of your trades.
For example, with my trading strategy, I risk 1% of my trading account per trade. When I am planning the trading position, I calculate a lot size accordingly.
Position Management
4️⃣ The fourth element of any trading strategy is trade management rules.
By trade management, I mean the exact conditions for closing the trade in a loss, taking the profit and trailing stop loss.
Trade management defines your actions when the trading position becomes active.
Make sure that your trading strategy includes these 4 elements.
Of course, your strategy might be more sophisticated and involve more components, but these 4 elements are the core, the foundation of any strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2880.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 2895.0
Recommended Stop Loss - 2872.9
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK