EURCAD Short 4//17/2025EUR/CAD Short (Re-entry After Rate Cut Reversal)
Got stopped out on the previous attempt — but this re-entry offered a stronger, higher-timeframe confirmation.
Daily Chart: We printed a long-tailed hammer rejecting hard off a key weekly zone. That wick tested liquidity and snapped back, giving early signs of euro exhaustion. Today, price is flipping into what looks like a bearish engulfing candle — pending the close — suggesting trend reversal pressure is real.
Catalyst: The ECB dropped a 25bps rate cut, a shift from my earlier post when no EU news was expected. This move added strong bearish sentiment, especially paired with continued U.S. trade pressure under Trump’s new tariffs. Macro + technicals aligned = clean setup.
4H Chart: Multiple rejections off the weekly zone after that liquidity sweep, followed by an inside bar setup — that was my re-entry trigger. I’ve been holding since yesterday and we’re now running a 1:6.27 R:R play toward a key downside target.
1H Chart: During and after the ECB announcement, price action got messy — hammers, dojis, and fake bullish pushes all turned into supply-heavy rejections. That’s typical “fade the news” behavior when the big players already had their direction.
Key Zone: 1.56800 is the final liquidity shelf before price enters clean air. Once we get a solid 4H close below that zone, I expect price to accelerate toward my target at 1.55727.
This one’s got weight behind it — technical structure, macro catalysts, and institutional pressure all aligned.
