US Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs UnconstitutionalUS Federal Court Rules Trump Tariffs Unconstitutional
According to media reports, the US Court of International Trade has:
- declared the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump illegal;
- ruled that the President exceeded his authority;
- blocked the tariffs, emphasising that under the US Constitution, only Congress has the power to impose tariffs.
The decision was made unanimously by a panel of three judges. Financial markets reacted with:
- a rise in US stock indices;
- strengthening of the US dollar — most notably seen today on the USD/CHF chart, as demand for so-called safe-haven assets declined in light of the tariff reversal.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The bullish momentum has broken upward through:
- a local downward trendline (shown in red);
- resistance at the 0.8300 level, near the May 22 high.
Additionally:
- the RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has moved upwards to the overbought territory;
- the area highlighted with a purple rectangle resembles a bullish Fair Value Gap.
Could this upward momentum lead to a sustained uptrend? There is reason for doubt.
Consider the steep decline in USD/CHF in early April (driven mainly by the introduction of Trump's tariffs) and the relatively small size of today's bullish candle compared to that prior drop.
Price action seems to suggest that market participants are skeptical about any lasting change in the situation. The Trump administration has already filed an appeal, and it’s possible the White House could succeed in defending its position.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Forex
GOLD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,301.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,325.39 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDJPY – Rejected at 146.00, downside risk growsUSDJPY reacted strongly at the 146.00 resistance area – a level where price was previously rejected. After a sharp rally, the pair has turned lower and is now heading toward the 144.00 support zone, which aligns with the EMA 34–89 on the H3 chart.
The chart shows a small double top pattern forming around the recent highs. If USDJPY continues to struggle below 146.00 and breaks through the 144.00 support, a short-term downtrend may be confirmed, with the next target around 142.50.
On the news side: The Japanese Yen is gaining some ground again after the BOJ signaled readiness to adjust its easing policy if inflation consistently exceeds its target. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as expectations grow that the Fed may keep interest rates steady in the upcoming meeting, due to cooler consumer data.
Suggested strategy: Consider selling if bearish signals appear around the 145.80–146.00 area, with a short-term target at 144.00.
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
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USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the USD/CAD with the target of 1.375 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.817 level.
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US court blocks Trump tax plan, GOLD falls sharplyOANDA:XAUUSD was sold off heavily in early morning trading on Thursday (May 29), with the price of gold falling to around $3,246/ounce, down more than $40 on the day.
Bloomberg reported that gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day as the market digested news that a US trade court had blocked Trump's global tariff program. Gold prices fell 2% in the previous three trading days.
On Wednesday local time, a US federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by US President Trump on April 2, "Liberation Day", and ruled that Trump exceeded his authority and imposed comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import.
The Court of International Trade in Manhattan said the US Constitution gives Congress the exclusive power to regulate trade with other countries, and the emergency powers the president declared to protect the US economy do not override those powers.
The lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Center for Justice, a non-profit, nonpartisan litigation organization in the United States, on behalf of small American businesses affected by the tariffs. It is the first major legal challenge to Trump’s tariff policies.
The U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that most of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, sending the dollar even higher. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to buyers of safe-haven assets.
The Trump administration has filed a notice to appeal the ruling. The US Supreme Court is likely to have the final say in the landmark case, which could affect trillions of dollars in global trade.
The court's ruling dealt a blow to a pillar of the Republican Party's economic agenda and could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold will recover soon after falling to the important support level of 3,250 USD, note that you have read in the previous issues. However, falling below the Fibonacci 0.382% level with EMA21 is a negative signal for bullish expectations as this area becomes the nearest resistance.
But overall, gold is still in an uptrend with the channel as the main trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the nearest support at 50, an upward bend from this level would be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum.
As long as gold remains in/above the channel, I remain bullish and the notable positions are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228 USD
Resistance: 3,392 – 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3292 - 3290⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3296
→Take Profit 1 3284
↨
→Take Profit 2 3278
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
Market next move 🔻 Disruption to Bullish Thesis
1. Resistance Zone Near Target
The "Target" area might align with a previous resistance level (historically where price has reversed or consolidated).
If price hits that zone, it could stall or reject, rather than break through.
2. Bearish Volume Divergence
While the candles are green and pushing upward, volume is not increasing significantly.
Lack of strong buying volume can suggest a weak rally — potentially a bull trap.
3. Trend Context: Larger Downtrend
The chart shows a strong prior downtrend before the recent small upward push.
This move could be a dead-cat bounce or retracement within a broader bearish move.
4. Fundamental Risk: USD Strength
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens due to macroeconomic data or Fed commentary, gold (USD-denominated) typically drops.
The calendar icons suggest upcoming US economic data, which could disrupt gold’s movement.
5. Candle Structure Shows Exhaustion
The current bullish candles are smaller compared to previous strong red ones.
This may imply momentum exhaustion before reaching the target.
XAUUSD – Sideway breakout loomsOn the daily timeframe (D1), gold is still stuck in a wide sideway range between 3,105 and 3,451, which has persisted since early April. However, recent price action suggests the structure is gradually tilting toward a bearish bias.
The rebounds from the current range bottom are weakening, with each successive peak failing to surpass the previous one. Moreover, the EMA 34 is being tested repeatedly — indicating that buyers are losing momentum.
If the price breaks below the support area around 3,258–3,260 (which aligns with the EMA 34), the next target could be the 3,105 zone. And if this level also fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 2,976 may be triggered.
USDJPY Analysis week 23Fundamental Analysis
Tokyo's core CPI (excluding fresh food) - a key inflation gauge - rose 3.6%, higher than forecast and last month. This increases the possibility that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year, although most experts predict the BoJ will keep rates unchanged until September.
Meanwhile, the USD rose sharply after a US appeals court overturned the decision to remove most of the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump. However, the Yen still appreciated slightly against the USD.
Technical Analysis
After consecutive declines on Friday, the pair is sideways waiting for the next development. 142.900 is the next support zone that the pair faces, this is the breakout zone and also the trendline meeting. Break this price zone must wait 141,200 for weekly support zone
145,900 last week's peak resistance zone acts as resistance for the pair's price reaction towards this week's resistance peak around 148,000
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is approaching a
Key horizontal support area
Around 0.8189 which is a
Strong level so after the retest
A local bullish correction
And a move up are to be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market next move 🚫 Disruption Points
1. No Clear Breakout Confirmation
Issue: The chart does not show a clear breakout of any recent highs or resistance levels.
Disruption: Without a break of a key level (like 1.3480–1.3500), the bullish target is premature.
2. Bearish Price Structure
Observation: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows over the last few candles.
Disruption: This may indicate a downtrend, not a setup for a bullish target.
3. Low Momentum
Issue: Volume appears to be declining, and recent bullish candles are smaller and weaker.
Disruption: The move toward the target may lack strength and could reverse without momentum.
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary
Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360
Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern)
Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout
---
🚫 Disruption Points
1. False Breakout Risk
What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it.
Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone.
Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal.
2. Fundamental Risk
What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly.
Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility.
Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs.
3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable)
What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising.
Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals.
Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption of the Bullish Silver Setup:
---
1. Misleading Support-Resistance Interpretation
The resistance zone highlighted is flat and overlapping with multiple wicks.
The support zone is not well-established; it's only tested once or twice with weak bounce reaction, which is not enough to consider it strong support.
---
2. Lack of Bullish Confirmation
The price is currently hovering around the support with no breakout candle or strong bullish engulfing pattern.
The recent candlesticks near resistance are small-bodied with long wicks, suggesting indecision or weakening buying power, not strength.
---
3. Volume Disagreement
There's no surge in bullish volume that would confirm buyers stepping in.
The large red volume bars toward the right indicate selling pressure dominating, which contradicts the bullish target.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Bullish Setup on GOLD:
1. Range Market Ignored:
The price is moving sideways in a tight consolidation, indicating range-bound behavior rather than a breakout setup.
The chart projects a bullish move, but there's no confirmed breakout of the resistance zone yet.
2. Weak Resistance Zone:
The identified “resistance” zone is very narrow and lacks strong rejection wicks or significant bearish volume.
It's unclear if this is true resistance or just part of the ongoing chop.
3. Lack of Volume Confirmation:
Volume remains moderate and doesn’t show increasing buying pressure, which would be expected if bulls were preparing a breakout.
No signs of volume climax or absorption, which are typical before breakouts.
4. Premature Targeting:
The target area is placed far above the resistance zone without a measured move or pattern basis (e.g., no flag, no cup-and-handle, no inverse head and shoulders).
This could be misleading as it sets unrealistic expectations.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Current Bearish Setup:
1. Mislabeling of Levels:
The chart labels a newly broken support as "Support" still, even though price has clearly broken below that zone.
In proper technical analysis, once support is broken, it often turns into resistance, so the labels should be reversed.
2. Premature Downside Projection:
The bearish arrow assumes continued downside immediately after the breakdown, but there’s no confirmation candle or retest yet.
This could easily be a false breakdown or a liquidity sweep below support before a bounce.
3. No Confirmation from Volume:
Volume spiked on the breakdown, but the follow-up candle doesn’t confirm seller continuation.
Absence of sustained volume makes the move questionable. It could be a trap for breakout traders.
4. Lack of Trend Context:
The chart doesn't consider the broader trend. If BTC was in a strong uptrend before this pullback, this could be a bullish retracement, not a true reversal.
Drawing a trendline or checking a higher timeframe would help validate the direction.
Market next move 🔍 Disruption/Critique of the Current Target Analysis:
1. Lack of Technical Justification:
The chart marks a “Target” level without referencing a clear technical basis (e.g., resistance, Fibonacci level, or moving average).
Without a corresponding pattern or indicator signal (e.g., breakout, double bottom, divergence), the target seems arbitrary.
2. Volume Spike Misinterpretation:
While there’s a volume spike in the last candle, it's accompanied by a bearish candle, suggesting potential selling pressure, not buying strength.
A bullish continuation would ideally require a green candle with increasing volume, which is absent here.
3. Market Context Ignored:
No consideration of broader market context such as macroeconomic news, DXY strength, or interest rate expectations which heavily impact GBP/USD.
The U.S. flag icon indicates upcoming news – trading before such events can be risky and invalidate the technical target.
4. Resistance Zone Overlooked:
The “Target” lies near the 1.3500 psychological level, which often acts as resistance. This isn’t discussed or marked.
Recent price action near that level shows rejection, making it a questionable target without strong buying confirmation
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Entry 📈: The heist begins! Watch for the MA pullback in the market maker’s trap zone (0.52200 OR above) to strike. Bullish riches await! Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe’s recent swing low/high.
Pro tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout entry in action! 🔔
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USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved.
The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda.
The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US.
Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch.
As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday.
The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week.
The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs.
With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBPCHF: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EURUSD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
The analysis of the EURUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Was This Week's Move in USD/JPY Just a Correction?This week’s bounce in USD/JPY may have caught some traders off guard—but when viewed through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle, the price action appears to be corrective rather than impulsive.
🧩 The Evidence: A 3-Wave Move
According to the wave structure:
The recent move up unfolded in 3 waves, labeled as an ABC correction.
Wave C terminated near the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave A (~146.189), which is a classic ZigZag ratio.
Additionally, there was a clear MACD divergence between price and momentum as Wave C completed—a common sign that the move is running out of steam and that the wave is likely terminal.
These clues all point to the idea that the rally was corrective, not the start of a new impulsive trend.
📉 What Comes Next?
If this count is correct:
USD/JPY may have completed Wave (ii) of a new downward impulse.
The next move could be the start of Wave (iii)—typically the most aggressive and directional wave in a 5-wave decline.
✅ Trigger Level: A break below the B wave low would act as a technical confirmation of the downtrend resuming.
This would be a green light to look for short setups, depending on the strategy each trader follows—whether that’s pattern-based, indicator-confirmed, or structure-driven.
🔁 Alternate Scenario:
If this isn't the start of Wave (iii), the alternate count would suggest a more complex corrective combination (such as a double three).
However, even in that scenario, the short-term direction is still likely downward.
🧠 For Beginners:
Elliott Wave theory breaks price into 5-wave trends and 3-wave corrections.
A ZigZag correction (ABC) is made up of a sharp Wave A, a pullback in Wave B, and a final move up in Wave C.
Wave C often shows momentum divergence (MACD diverging from price), signaling that the move may be exhausting.
When C = A, especially with divergence, it’s often a sign the correction is ending.
📌 Summary:
USD/JPY’s rally appears to be a corrective ABC structure.
Wave C rejected at the 100% extension of A, with MACD divergence confirming weakening momentum.
A break of the B wave low could confirm that Wave (iii) down is underway.
Even in the alternate count, near-term downside is still favored.
💬 Got a Favorite Chart You’d Like Analyzed?
If there’s a forex pair, crypto, or stock you’d like me to break down using Elliott Waves,
leave a comment below and I’ll feature it in an upcoming post from Real Wave Trader.