Forex
Euro Stablecoin BOOMS: Bye, USD?The Euro Stablecoin Ascends: EURC Hits Record High as Traders Eye Dollar Alternatives Amid Global Uncertainty
For years, the digital asset landscape has been dominated by the US dollar, not just in trading volume but fundamentally through the ubiquity of USD-pegged stablecoins. Tokens like Tether (USDT) and Circle's own USD Coin (USDC) have become the bedrock of the crypto economy, acting as crucial bridges between volatile cryptocurrencies and traditional fiat, facilitating trading, lending, and yield generation within decentralized finance (DeFi). However, the winds of change may be subtly shifting. Amidst a backdrop of persistent global trade tensions, geopolitical maneuvering, and questions surrounding the long-term trajectory of the US dollar, alternative fiat-backed stablecoins are gaining traction. Leading this nascent charge is the Euro Coin (EURC), Circle's Euro-backed offering, which recently surged to a record market capitalization exceeding $246 million.
This milestone, while still dwarfed by its multi-billion dollar USD counterparts, is significant. It signals a growing appetite among traders, investors, and institutions for stable digital assets pegged to currencies other than the greenback. The rise of EURC isn't happening in a vacuum; it reflects a confluence of factors challenging the dollar's undisputed reign in the digital sphere and highlighting the strategic appeal of diversification.
Understanding the Stablecoin Status Quo and the Dollar's Dominance
Stablecoins are indispensable cogs in the crypto machine. They offer price stability relative to a specific asset (usually a major fiat currency), allowing market participants to park funds, calculate profits, pay for services, and interact with DeFi protocols without the wild price swings characteristic of Bitcoin or Ethereum. USDT and USDC have achieved massive network effects, integrated across countless exchanges, wallets, and DeFi applications, making them the default choice for liquidity and settlement.
Their success, however, inherently ties a vast swathe of the digital economy to the US dollar's fate and US monetary policy. For international users, particularly those operating primarily within the Eurozone or holding significant Euro-denominated assets or liabilities, relying solely on USD stablecoins introduces foreign exchange (FX) risk and potential conversion inefficiencies.
Enter EURC: A Regulated Euro On-Chain
Launched by Circle, the same regulated fintech firm behind the highly successful USDC, Euro Coin (EURC) aims to replicate the trust and utility of its dollar sibling, but pegged 1:1 to the Euro. Each EURC token is intended to be fully backed by Euros held in dedicated, segregated bank accounts under Circle's custody. This emphasis on transparency and regulatory compliance, mirroring the approach taken with USDC, is crucial for building trust, especially among institutional players wary of less transparent stablecoin issuers.
The recent surge in EURC's supply to over €246 million (equivalent to ~$246 million at the time of the record, assuming near parity for simplicity, though the exact USD value fluctuates) indicates accelerating adoption. This growth isn't just passive accumulation; it suggests active minting driven by real demand.
Why the Shift? Trade Uncertainty and the Allure of Diversification
The primary catalyst cited for this growing interest in non-USD stablecoins is the pervasive sense of uncertainty clouding the global trade environment and the US dollar's outlook. Several factors contribute to this:
1. Geopolitical Tensions & Deglobalization Trends: Ongoing conflicts, shifting alliances, and a move towards regional trading blocs can create volatility and potentially weaken dominant currencies like the dollar as nations explore alternative payment and reserve systems.
2. US Economic Concerns: Debates around US national debt levels, inflation trajectory, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions can lead some international investors and traders to hedge against potential dollar depreciation.
3. Desire for FX Hedging: Businesses and traders operating significantly within the Eurozone may prefer a Euro-native stablecoin to minimize the costs and risks associated with constantly converting between EUR and USD stablecoins. Holding EURC directly aligns their digital cash position with their operational currency.
4. European Regulatory Clarity (MiCA): The implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in the European Union provides a clearer framework for stablecoin issuers and users within the bloc, potentially boosting confidence in well-regulated Euro stablecoins like EURC.
5. DeFi Diversification: As the DeFi ecosystem matures, users are seeking more diverse collateral types and trading pairs. EURC allows for the creation of Euro-based liquidity pools and lending markets, catering to a specific user base and reducing systemic reliance on USD assets.
Traders aren't necessarily predicting an imminent dollar collapse, but rather strategically positioning themselves to mitigate risk. Holding a portion of their stable digital assets in EURC provides a hedge – if the dollar weakens against the Euro, the value of their EURC holdings, when measured in dollars, would increase, offsetting potential losses on USD-denominated assets.
Use Cases and Potential Beyond Hedging
While hedging FX risk is a significant driver, the utility of EURC extends further:
• Seamless Euro Transactions: Facilitates frictionless payments and settlements within the Eurozone using blockchain technology.
• European DeFi Growth: Enables the development of DeFi applications tailored to the European market, offering Euro-based borrowing, lending, and yield opportunities.
• Remittances: Potentially offers a more efficient channel for cross-border Euro transfers compared to traditional banking rails.
• Trading Pairs: Allows exchanges to offer direct EURC trading pairs against various cryptocurrencies, simplifying the process for Euro-based traders.
Challenges and the Road Ahead
Despite its record supply, EURC faces hurdles. Its market capitalization and liquidity remain a fraction of USDT's and USDC's. This lower liquidity can mean higher slippage on large trades and limits its immediate utility as deep collateral in major DeFi protocols, which thrive on multi-billion dollar liquidity pools. Building the network effect – getting listed on more exchanges, integrated into more wallets, and accepted by more DeFi platforms – takes time and concerted effort.
Furthermore, EURC's success is intrinsically linked to the stability and economic health of the Eurozone itself. It diversifies away from the dollar, but not away from fiat risk entirely. The regulatory landscape, while clarifying under MiCA, will continue to evolve and shape the operational environment.
Conclusion: A Sign of a Maturing Market
The surge in Circle's EURC supply to over $246 million is more than just a numerical milestone; it's a tangible indicator of a maturing stablecoin market seeking diversification beyond the US dollar. Driven by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical shifts, and a desire among European users and savvy traders to hedge FX risk, Euro-based stablecoins are carving out a growing niche. While the dollar-pegged giants still dominate, the ascent of well-regulated alternatives like EURC signifies a crucial step towards a potentially multi-polar stablecoin future. It underscores the demand for trusted, compliant digital representations of major world currencies, offering users greater choice and resilience in an increasingly complex global financial landscape. The journey for EURC and its Euro counterparts is still in its early stages, but the trend towards diversification is clear, promising a more varied and potentially more stable digital asset ecosystem ahead.
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
GOLDMASTER1| GOLD 15MIN---
XAUUSD 15M Analysis — Smart Money Concept in Action!
Price is climbing towards the Buyside Liquidity at 3,226.275 after filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once liquidity is tapped, expecting a bearish reaction targeting the Bullish Order Block zone around 3,207.771.
Patience and precision — let the setup come to you!
Trust the process, follow the liquidity.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #FVG #LiquidityHunt #OrderBlock #ForexTrader #TradingSetup #MarketStructure
GOLDMASTER1---
ETHUSD Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1,640.45.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,004.78 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.130.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.114 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.593.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.578 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURGBP Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.854.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.874 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURO - Price can rise a little more and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price moved inside a falling channel, slowly declining and bouncing from support to resistance.
Then EUR made a breakout, exited the channel, and started forming a rising wedge with clear bullish acceleration.
After a breakout, the price continued to grow and reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern on the chart.
Recently Euro touched the resistance zone and showed a bounce from the local top near the wedge's upper edge.
Now it trades inside wedge formation and stays above support area near $1.1145 without strong momentum.
In my opinion, Euro can drop from current levels and reach $1.1150 zone as next support target soon.
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GOLD - Price can rise a little and then correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded inside a rising channel, showing steady growth and holding above support levels.
Later, Gold made several breakouts from local resistances and continued to rise within the channel borders.
Eventually price reached the upper edge of the channel and formed a local top around the $3238 level.
Recently, it made a short-term pullback and now trades just above $3165 support zone without momentum.
Currently, Gold stays in the upper part of the range but shows early weakness after a strong bullish rally.
In my opinion, Gold can decline and reach the $3140 support level during the next corrective wave down.
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HelenP. I Gold may make correction and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Following a deep correction that pushed the price down to the support zone between 2975 and 2950 points, Gold made a strong bullish reversal. This zone had already acted as a key accumulation area in the past, and once again, buyers stepped in aggressively. The reaction from support 2 at 2975 points was sharp, with the price bouncing and forming a clear impulse move. As XAU continued to rise, it broke back above the trend line and retested it, turning former resistance into support. Shortly after, the price pushed above the local support zone between 3165 and 3185 points, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. This zone is now acting as a base for further growth. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and support zone, holding near the 3230 area. The recent bullish momentum, strong impulse structure, and consistent reaction to technical levels indicate that buyers remain in control. Given the breakout, successful retest, and strength from key support zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward my goal at 3300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USD/CHF?
On the weekly timeframe, USD/CHF has broken below a major support zone that has acted as a key reversal area multiple times over the past two years. This support zone, has now been clearly breached. Additionally, price has also fallen below the long-term ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
A corrective move (pullback) back toward the broken support zone is expected, after which the pair is likely to resume its downtrend.
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GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.308.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.320 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,225.6
Target Level: 3,081.7
Stop Loss: 3,321.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
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EUR/GBP BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
EUR/GBP SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.856
Target Level: 0.869
Stop Loss: 0.847
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.418 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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USD/CHF LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.862 area.
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AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.622 area.
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GBPUSD: Strong Bullish Market 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD set a new daily high today.
The pair remains in a strong bullish momentum since 8th of April.
With the complete absence of high impact fundamentals today, buying pressure
may persist.
I believe that it may continue rising at least to 1.33 - the closest historic resistance.
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NZDUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5918
Stop Loss - 0.5991
Take Profit - 0.5782
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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