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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6024 1st Support: 0.5846 1st Resistance: 0.6131 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Market next target ⚠️ 1. Bearish Momentum Remains Intact The last few candles are strongly bearish, with steep declines and high red candle volume. Attempting to project an upside target amid this current bearish drive lacks alignment with actual market sentiment. --- 📉 2. Lack of Reversal Candlestick Patterns There is no clear bullish reversal pattern visible at the point of target placement: No hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star pattern. The price may just be pausing before continuing its downward trend. --- 🔊 3. Volume Discrepancy The rising volume on red candles vs. low volume on recent green candles shows selling pressure outweighs buying interest. A reliable bullish setup would typically come with higher buying volume after a selloff, which is not yet seen. --- 🧭 4. Misleading “Target” Location The marked target is at a higher high, near 33.75–34.00 area, which: Is not supported by immediate technical breakout Seems to ignore the last failed attempt to break above that level Appears overly optimistic given the current trend direction
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold has recently reclaimed liquidity from its previous two-day!Gold's Recent Market Behavior and Potential Outlook Gold has recently reclaimed liquidity from its previous two-day lows, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics. Currently, the price is approaching a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting a possible upward movement. Additionally, the 4-hour chart reveals that a minor bearish FVG has been broken, further supporting the notion of a bullish reversal. Despite these bullish signals, gold is entering a larger bearish FVG zone. If the market provides confirmation of a sell signal from this level, a downward movement could be anticipated. Conversely, if the price breaks through this bearish FVG, it may continue its upward trajectory. In summary, while short-term indicators favor a bullish outlook, the larger bearish FVG zone presents a critical juncture. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals to determine the next market direction. DYOR! Not Financial Advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Market next move 🔻 Potential Disruptions to the Bullish Scenario: 1. False Breakout Risk at the Resistance Zone The price is hovering near a horizontal resistance zone (red box). Repeated wicks at this level suggest selling pressure. If price breaks above slightly and then pulls back inside the range, it could be a bull trap, triggering a sharp drop (red arrow). 2. Weak Follow-Through on Volume Recent bullish candles show no increase in volume. This hints at lack of conviction among buyers, increasing the chance of a reversal rather than continuation. 3. Bearish Divergence Possibility If we applied RSI or MACD here, there’s a high chance of bearish divergence forming (price making higher highs, while indicators show lower highs), signaling potential reversal pressure. 4. Upcoming U.S. News Events U.S. economic announcements (indicated by icons) could strengthen the USD, causing GBP/USD to drop suddenly despite the bullish technical structure. 5. Bearish Candlestick Pattern Forming If the current or next candle closes as a shooting star, evening star, or bearish engulfing, it would be a classic reversal pattern from resistance. 6. Liquidity Grab Above Highs Market makers may push the price above resistance to trigger stop-losses and induce longs, then reverse—classic liquidity hunt scenario.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔻 Disruption Scenarios: 1. Resistance Zone at Target Level The marked "Target" could coincide with a strong resistance level from a previous high. Price may reject this level again, forming a double top or bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing). 2. Volume Divergence The recent uptrend shows a slight drop in buying volume. If price increases while volume decreases, it signals a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. 3. Upcoming News Events (Fundamentals) The chart shows several upcoming economic events (news icons). Any negative surprise from U.S. data or positive Eurozone data could reverse the trend sharply. For example, better-than-expected U.S. employment data could strengthen the USD, pushing EUR/USD down. 4. Overbought Condition If we add an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Stochastic oscillator, the price might already be in the overbought zone, suggesting a correction is due. 5. Fake Breakout Trap If the price hits the “Target” but then fails to close above it, it could be a bull trap, triggering short positions and leading to a sharp sell-off.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??USDCAD continues to follow the predicted bearish path, currently trading around 1.38300, and still moving gradually toward our target zone of 1.34300. After a strong bearish impulse from the 1.40391 supply zone, price has consistently formed lower highs, confirming selling pressure and market intent. The recent bounce was shallow, and price is respecting previous resistance levels perfectly, validating the bearish continuation setup. Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength off rising oil prices and improving economic data from Canada, while the US dollar remains under pressure as the market begins pricing in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. With softer US economic indicators including lower consumer confidence and slowing GDP growth, the momentum clearly favors CAD in this pair. The divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve adds further downside bias to USDCAD. Technically, the structure remains bearish, with a clean breakdown below the 1.3900 psychological level and clear rejection at the 1.40300 resistance zone. Market liquidity appears to be shifting below the current price, and with the pair printing consistent lower highs and lower lows, there's significant space toward our target zone near 1.34128. A rejection from the minor pullback zone between 1.38800–1.39000 could provide another entry opportunity for trend continuation traders. USDCAD remains a high-probability short setup in line with both technical structure and current fundamentals. As long as price stays below the 1.40300 resistance, I expect the bearish trend to continue with increased momentum as we approach summer liquidity shifts. This trade is already deep in profit and aligns with key institutional selling zones, making 1.34300 a realistic and conservative target in the coming weeks.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday. On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term. Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME) NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance. Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs. EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation. Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance: 0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone 0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week 0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential Support: 0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure 0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout 🎯 TRADE IDEAS SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance: Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990 Stop Loss: 0.6010 Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926 BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support: Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930 Stop Loss: 0.5900 Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976 Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry. ⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend. Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE 📊 MACRO OUTLOOK: Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term. Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness. On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern. Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure. Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish. Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch. 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES: Resistance Zones: • 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5) • 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure • 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top) Support Zones: • 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area • 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone 🧭 TRADE STRATEGY: Scenario A – Sell the Pullback: • Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone • Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms • SL: 1.1376 • TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220 Scenario B – Invalid Breakout: • If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest. Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp: • If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310 • This is high-risk and counter-trend. ⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES: EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD – Technical rebound, but bearish pressure still loomsAfter a sharp drop to the support zone around 1.12255, EURUSD has made a mild recovery and is now retesting the 1.13360 resistance area – which aligns with both the 34 and 89 EMAs. This confluence zone could trigger renewed selling pressure if price fails to break above. The 3-hour chart shows a zigzag-like recovery forming, but each new high is still lower than the previous one – indicating that the downtrend remains intact. If EURUSD continues to struggle at this resistance, it is likely to reverse and retest the 1.11910 support area. On the news front, markets are awaiting CPI data from both the Eurozone and the U.S. this week. If U.S. inflation comes in higher than expected, the dollar may continue to strengthen – increasing short-term downside pressure on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Market next move 🔺 Disruption to Bearish Thesis 1. Strong Bullish Momentum Recently Recent candles show a series of green bullish candles with increasing size. Indicates strong buying interest—not a sign of exhaustion, which would support further downside. 2. Volume Spike on Green Candles Volume surged during the recent bullish candles. This typically signals accumulation, not distribution — contradicting the bearish outlook. 3. Failure to Break Key Support Price previously bounced sharply from below 33.0000, showing buyers defended that zone. This bounce suggests the support is strong, weakening the argument for a move toward the lower target. 4. Reversal Pattern Possible (Double Bottom) The chart may show early signs of a double bottom or higher low, both bullish reversal signals. These patterns would negate the bearish projection if confirmed with a higher high. 5. Divergence from US Dollar Weakness If the US Dollar shows weakness, silver could rally due to its inverse correlation. The marked target may not be achieved if macro forces support precious metals.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
GOLD - SELLING FROM PULLBACKPrice has shown a reaction from the low around 3,245 and is now approaching a strong confluence zone around the DAILY FLIP, which acted as prior support AND now resistance. This zone coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bias: Bearish, unless price breaks above 3,305 with strong momentum and closes outside the descending channel. TRADE IDEA: SELL from 3,295–3,300 (wait for bearish confirmation) once activated, I will update SL and TP Let me know what your opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestScale
Gold ABC Pattern Suggest Powerful BreakoutGOLD ANALYSIS 🟡 | Bullish Setup Building Price is retracing after completing a corrective wave structure (A–B–C) under major descending trendline resistance. We're now sitting just above the 200 EMA and entering key demand zones aligned with ascending trendline support. 🔹 Confluences: Trendline support + demand zone 200 EMA holding as dynamic support Corrective structure complete (Wave C) Higher timeframe bullish structure intact 📌 Buy Zones: $3,220 – $3,180 🎯 Target: Retest of $3,434 🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,160 Price is setting up for a potential bullish continuation — watching for bullish confirmation from these demand zones. Patience is key.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
XAUUSD – Weakening signals, growing risk of breakdownGold is trading around $3,273 after a clear drop from the $3,314 resistance zone. On the H8 chart, price has approached the long-term ascending trendline and is hovering near the EMA 89 – a very critical confluence area. At the moment, price is forming a sideways pattern just above the trendline, but the recovery momentum remains weak. If gold breaks below this zone, the uptrend will officially be invalidated, and the next target could be the $3,135 technical support. On the news front: The market is closely watching the upcoming U.S. Core PCE data this weekend. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, and if the reading comes in stronger than expected, expectations of prolonged high interest rates could return – which would put significant pressure on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation. Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar. DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1) Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation. EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building. A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🟢 BUY SCALP Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets. Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely. ⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves. Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure. Risk management is critical. ✅ SUMMARY: "Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
3
Gold isn't breaking out — it’s breaking down.What we're seeing in gold right now is not a temporary pause — it's a calculated, smart money-driven transition from impulsive expansion into controlled redistribution. The rally from 3120 to 3357 wasn’t organic or trend-based — it was mechanical, steep, and uncorrected. And that’s the first red flag. When price travels that far without building any real base or demand, it’s often not aiming for continuation, but to reach a liquidity target. This was a liquidity run, not a sustainable breakout. Then comes May 24 — a pivotal moment. Price breaks above 3357, spikes volume +19% over average — but delivers a weak candle body. The next bar doesn’t confirm, doesn’t expand, doesn’t even push the high. Instead, we get a failed breakout followed by retreat. That’s textbook deviation — a classic trap where market makers dump inventory while retail rushes to chase the breakout. This happens inside the derivation area — that thin, deceptive range between 3357 and 3370. It’s where distribution is masked as strength. But price behavior reveals the truth: after tapping that zone, it didn’t hold. Price fell back inside the range. No retest. No follow-through. And most importantly — price has now closed beneath the anchored VWAP from May 13, shifting the control of the tape. Anchored VWAP matters — it's the average weighted cost of the dominant positioning from smart money. And once price falls below it and stays there, we know demand has dried up. Add to that: shrinking candle ranges, decreasing volume, soft closes — all signs of exhaustion. RSI has already pulled off from overbought levels, Stochastic is turning down, and ADX shows trend strength fading. But those indicators are just the shadow of what price already told us. We’ve lost structure. A lower high is forming. Price was rejected from the same zone that was previously supposed to be the breakout. It’s not consolidation anymore — it’s redistribution. The path forward is tactical and logical. Price is likely headed first toward 3275 — that’s the shallow liquidity pocket. From there, we might get a pullback to 3305–3315 — not a rally, but a retest of the old sell zone. That’s where another leg of short interest can build. Then comes 3250 — the bottom of the last structural block. If that fails to hold, gold opens the door to 3205–3215 — a historical volume shelf and the next real support. There’s no guessing here. The breakout failed. VWAP is broken. Momentum is gone. This isn’t the start of something higher — this is the start of the unwind. And while retail waits for 3400, smart money is already loading their next leg short.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
2
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market. On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting. At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance. The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy. Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view. There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure. But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500. The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions. Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3369 →Take Profit 1 3357 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3351 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3259 →Take Profit 1 3271 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3277
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EURUSD has pulled back to the broken trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone. As long as the price remains below this resistance, we expect a short-term decline toward the specified support level. The rejection from this zone suggests a possible continuation of the down move. However, if price breaks and holds above the resistance zone, the bearish outlook will be invalidated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
13
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders, Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants. Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move. Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance. However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections. Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand. Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
3