Market Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
AUD/USD declined below the 0.6500 and 0.6460 support levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6500 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6460 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6520 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6500 support against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below 0.6460 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6450. A low was formed at 0.6435 and the pair is now consolidating.
On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6460 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6485 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6537 swing high to the 0.6435 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6515.
Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6535 resistance. A close above the 0.6535 level could trigger another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6600.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6435 zone. The next support sits at 0.6410. If there is a downside break below 0.6410, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6350. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6320 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Forex
Could the Swissie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8334
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8420
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8202
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3894
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3985
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish continuation?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3395
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3304
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3581
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1273
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1164
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1415
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Market next target
⚠️ Disruption Points:
1. Dubious Support Zone
The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing).
This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern
The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence.
A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop.
3. Weak Buyer Commitment
Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out.
If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity.
4. Downtrend Still Dominant
The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows.
Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature.
5. Risk-Reward Imbalance
The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance.
If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Potential bullish rise?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3792
1st Support: 1.3688
1st Resistance: 1.3905
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market next move 🚨 Disruptive Take on the Current Silver-CFD Setup (1 h)
⚠️ Key Issue Why It Undermines the Long-Target Thesis
1. Target looks “wishful” The arrow projects a move into the 33.55–33.60 zone without price ever clearing the nearest resistance band around 33.30–33.35. A premature target can bait traders into chasing the tail end of a relief rally.
2. Volume doesn’t back the bounce Notice how the big green climb out of the pit on the 27 th started on strong volume, but the last 10–12 candles show shrinking green bars. Demand is decaying as price inches higher—a classic recipe for a bull trap.
3. Momentum is stalling The most recent candle printed red right at the dotted mid-line, hinting at exhaustion. Without a fresh momentum kick (e.g., higher high ➜ bullish engulfing), upside continuation is statistically fragile.
4. Structure still favors lower highs The broader pattern since the 25–26 th is a series of lower swing-highs. Until that diagonal is broken decisively, every uptick remains a counter-trend bounce, not a new up-trend.
5. Macro landmine ahead The U.S. flag icon marks an impending data release. Silver’s intraday volatility tends to spike on USD events; any dollar strength could instantly unwind the thin-volume rise. Trading into news with no contingency ≠ smart risk.
6. Stop-loss placement is unclear Without a clearly defined invalidation level (e.g., below 33.00 or under the 27 th swing-low), the R-R profile is lopsided: limited upside room vs. plenty of air underneath.
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 144.85
1st Support: 142.56
1st Resistance: 145.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market next move 🚨 Disruption Analysis of the Gold CFD Chart
1. Over-Optimistic Target Placement
The target is placed significantly above the current market trend without substantial confirmation of a reversal.
The recent bullish candles are weak and not supported by volume spikes.
There's a bearish engulfing pattern forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.
2. Weak Volume Confirmation
The rise in price does not coincide with a strong increase in buying volume.
Volume bars are mixed and not clearly favoring buyers, indicating market indecision rather than strength.
3. False Bottom Assumption
The assumption that the market has bottomed on the 27th is speculative.
Without a double-bottom pattern or significant bullish divergence on an RSI/MACD (not shown here), the upward bias is unjustified.
4. Price Action Breakdown
Lower highs and lower lows are still visible.
The short bounce could be a retracement rather than a trend reversal.
5. Macro or Fundamental Events Ignored
Given the presence of the US flag icon (economic event), any upcoming data release (like GDP, interest rates, etc.) could drastically alter market direction.
Trading before news without adjusting targets and stops is risky.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8317
1st Support: 0.8198
1st Resistance: 0.8391
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6451
1st Support: 0.6392
1st Resistance: 0.6481
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3395
1st Support: 1.3317
1st Resistance: 1.3583
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD – Holding the uptrend, eyes on support reactionEURUSD continues to move steadily within a clearly defined rising channel. After touching the channel bottom around 1.1305 (which aligns with the 89 EMA), price is showing a slight rebound and has a chance to form the next upward leg.
Technical view: The bullish structure remains intact. As long as price holds this bottom area, there's a high probability of another push toward the resistance zone around 1.1428 – a level that was previously rejected.
News factor: Market sentiment is now focused on upcoming U.S. Core PCE inflation data, which could influence expectations of a Fed rate cut and, in turn, impact the strength of the USD.
Suggested strategy: Favor buying if price holds above 1.1305 – targeting 1.1428. If this level fails, the short-term uptrend may be challenged.
XAUUSD – Holding the channel, eyeing a bounceGold is still trading within a rising channel, recently touching the confluence support zone of the trendline, the 89 EMA, and the demand area around 3,287. This level has seen strong reactions in the past – and if price holds here again, a bounce toward the 3,382 zone is highly likely.
Supporting factor: Market sentiment remains cautious after Moody’s emphasized the risks surrounding U.S. public debt, putting pressure on the USD and boosting gold’s appeal. In addition, investors are closely watching the upcoming U.S. Core PCE data later this week – a key factor that could influence Fed rate cut expectations.
Suggested scenario: Favor buying if the price holds above 3,287, targeting 3,382 – the upper boundary of the channel. If this fails, selling pressure may return.
EUR_AUD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_AUD price grew again
To retest the resistance of 1.7640
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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GBP_AUD PULLBACK AHEAD|SHORT|
b]✅GBP_AUD has retested
A resistance level of 2.1036
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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EUR-AUD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Resistance level of 1.7640
From where we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback so
As we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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AUD_USD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅AUD_USD is trading along
The rising support line
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above 0.6460
LONG🚀
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.21
1st Support: 99.08
1st Resistance: 101.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation.
As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern.
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