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NZDJPY Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:NZDJPY is approaching a key resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control. The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 86.100, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
30
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh SurgeMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Surge USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 151.00 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 149.55 and 150.00 levels. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 150.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 148.20 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 148.80 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 149.55. The pair climbed above 150.00 and traded as high as 150.94. It is now consolidating gains and there was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 148.18 swing low to the 150.94 high. The current price action above the 150.00 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 150.95. The first major resistance is near 151.20. If there is a close above the 151.20 level and the RSI moves above 70, the pair could rise toward 152.50. The next major resistance is near 153.20, above which the pair could test 155.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 150.30 and a bullish trend line, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 149.55 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 148.18 swing low to the 150.94 high. If there is a close below 149.55, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 148.40 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 147.50 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Market Analysis: EUR/USD RetreatsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Retreats EUR/USD declined from the 1.0950 resistance and traded below 1.0850. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0950 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0775 zone. A low was formed near 1.0776 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. The pair is now trading below 1.0820 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0820 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820. The next key resistance is at 1.0850. The main resistance is near the 1.0865 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. A clear move above the 1.0865 level could send the pair toward the 1.0910 resistance. An upside break above 1.0910 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0950. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0775. The next key support is at 1.0750. If there is a downside break below 1.0725, the pair could drop toward 1.0700. The next support is near 1.0650, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
AUDCAD Approaching Key Support - Rebound Towards 0.90150?OANDA:AUDCAD is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.90150 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure. However, if the price fails to hold this support and breaks below the zone with momentum, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further downside continuation. Monitoring price action and volume in this area will be crucial to confirm a valid setup. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
24
Forex Traders Focus on Trump’s Tariff NewsForex Traders Focus on Trump’s Tariff News As April 2 approaches—the date when Trump's international trade tariffs are set to take effect—traders are increasingly concentrating on this highly uncertain issue. Yesterday, the U.S. president stated that: → Tariffs on cars would be introduced "soon" (but not all possible tariffs would be imposed); → Some countries might receive exemptions; → Nations purchasing oil from Venezuela could face 25% tariffs. Following these remarks: → Oil prices rose; → U.S. stocks gained as Wall Street (according to Reuters) interpreted the comments as a sign of flexibility in trade negotiations. Given this backdrop, the EUR/CAD chart is particularly interesting, as both Europe and Canada frequently feature in news related to the White House's trade policies. EUR/CAD Exchange Rate Today As seen on the EUR/CAD chart, the pair has slightly declined at the start of the week, dipping towards 1.54450. However, market volatility remains high: → The pair has gained approximately 2.85% since early March; → The decline from March’s peak is around 2.6%. Technical Analysis of EUR/CAD The pair’s volatile price swings have formed a trend channel (marked in blue). Notably, the 1.57750 level has shifted from support to resistance, signalling bearish dominance. This is further reflected in the price movement within the red channel. If bears maintain control, EUR/CAD may drop towards a support zone, which includes: → The median of the blue channel; → The 1.54000 support level, drawn from early March’s local low. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURCAD Trending Lower - Will It Drop To 1.54670?OANDA:EURCAD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone, which has now flipped to resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong seller interest and reinforcing the bearish outlook. With momentum favoring the downside, the next logical target is 1.54670, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
17
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.82350?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, there is a high likelihood of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 0.82350 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance level would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
Short
by DanieIM
31
GBPJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 192.000?OANDA:GBPJPY is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. This level has been a strong area of interest in the past, suggesting the potential for another bearish reaction if sellers step in. If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 192.000 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the resistance, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
12
Machine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market AnalysisMachine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market Analysis Machine learning is transforming the currency trading landscape, offering innovative ways to analyse market trends. This article delves into how machine learning algorithms are reshaping forex trading. Understanding these technologies' benefits and challenges provides traders with insights to navigate the currency markets potentially more effectively, harnessing the power of data-driven decision-making. The Basics of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning for forex trading marks a significant shift from traditional analysis methods. At its core, machine learning involves algorithms that learn from and provide signals based on data. Unlike standard trading algorithms, which operate on predefined rules, these algorithms adapt and improve over time with exposure to more data. Machine learning forex prediction algorithms analyse historical and real-time market data, identifying patterns that are often imperceptible to the human eye. They can process a multitude of technical and fundamental factors simultaneously, offering a more dynamic approach to analysing market trends. This capability can allow traders to make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell currency pairs. The increasing availability of market data and advanced computing power has made machine learning an invaluable tool in a trader's arsenal. Types of Machine Learning Algorithms in Forex Trading In the realm of forex trading, various machine-learning algorithms are utilised to decipher complex market patterns and determine future currency movements. These algorithms leverage forex datasets for machine learning, which encompass historical price data, economic indicators, and global financial news, to train models for accurate analysis. - Support Vector Machines (SVMs): SVMs are particularly adept at classification tasks. In forex, they analyse datasets to categorise market trends as bullish or bearish, helping traders in decision-making. - Neural Networks: These mimic human brain functioning and are powerful in recognising subtle patterns in market datasets. They are often embedded in forex forecasting software to determine future price movements based on historical trends and fundamental data. - Linear Regression: This straightforward approach models the relationship between dependent and independent variables in forex data. It's commonly used for its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying trends. - Random Forest: This ensemble learning method combines multiple decision trees to potentially improve analysis accuracy and reduce overfitting, making it a reliable choice in the forex market analysis. - Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs): Suited for sequential data, RNNs can be effective in analysing time-series market data, capturing dynamic changes over time. - Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks: A specialised form of RNNs, LSTMs are designed to remember long-term dependencies, making them effective tools for analysing extensive historical forex datasets. Benefits of Machine Learning in Forex Trading Machine learning offers significant advantages for forex analysis. Its integration into forex prediction software may enhance trading strategies in several key ways: - Real-Time Data Analysis: Algorithms excel in analysing vast amounts of real-time data, which is crucial for accurate forex daily analysis and prediction. - Automated Trading: These algorithms automate the buying and selling process, which may increase efficiency and reaction speed to market changes. - Enhanced Market Understanding: It helps in dissecting historical market data, providing a deeper understanding for informed decision-making. - Accuracy in Analysis: Software powered by machine learning offers superior analysis abilities, leading to potentially more precise and timely trades. - Risk Reduction: By minimising human error and maintaining consistency, machine learning may reduce trading risks, contributing to a safer trading environment. Challenges and Limitations Machine learning in currency trading, while transformative, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations: - Data Quality and Availability: Accurate machine learning analysis depends on large volumes of high-quality data. Forex markets can produce noisy or incomplete data, which can compromise the reliability of the analysis and signals. - Complexity and Overfitting: Developing effective algorithms for forex trading is complex. There's a risk of overfitting, where models perform well on training data but poorly in real-world scenarios. - Interpretability Issues: Machine learning models, especially deep learning algorithms, can be "black boxes," making it difficult to understand how decisions are made. This lack of transparency can be a hurdle in regulatory compliance and trust-building. - Regulatory Challenges: Currency markets are heavily regulated, and incorporating machine learning must align with these regulatory requirements, which can vary significantly across regions. - Cost and Resource Intensive: Implementing machine learning requires significant computational resources and expertise, which can be costly and resource-intensive, especially for smaller trading firms or individual traders. The Bottom Line Machine learning represents a paradigm shift in forex trading – it may offer enhanced analysis accuracy and decision-making capabilities. While challenges like data quality, complexity, and regulatory compliance persist, the benefits of advanced algorithms in understanding and navigating market dynamics are undeniable. For those looking to trade forex, opening an FXOpen account could be a step towards a wide range of markets, lightning execution and tight spreads. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail. 1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case: The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend. A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle. The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance. Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout. 2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle. This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside. The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity. Why is this important? A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend. 3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum. Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support. After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Technical Insight: Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (Former Support Zone): This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in. Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it. Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions. Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829): The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area. This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders. 5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows: A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance). Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum. Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions. 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management ✅ Bearish Trade Setup Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals). Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts. Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues. ⚠ Risk Considerations If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup. Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance) ✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target) 📉 Bias: Bearish Final Thought This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY Analysis: Dollar Weakens After Fed DecisionUSD/JPY Analysis: Dollar Weakens After Fed Decision Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, which, as expected, remained unchanged. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that there is no rush to cut rates amid uncertainty surrounding US inflation and the tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. This key announcement triggered volatility in financial markets, notably: → US stock indices rose; → the US dollar weakened, which was evident in currency (and cryptocurrency) charts involving USD pairs. The most significant movement occurred in the USD/JPY chart, as the Bank of Japan was also active yesterday. While it also left interest rates unchanged, it acknowledged growing uncertainty around Japan’s economy and added a new reference to the "changing trade environment." Technical Analysis of USD/JPY As we noted on 21 February when analysing the Japanese yen’s exchange rate against the US dollar: → Price fluctuations are forming a downward channel (marked in red). → The former support at the lower boundary of the blue channel may now act as resistance. Since then, the price has: → Tested the breakout level (indicated by an arrow) before continuing to decline within the channel, confirming its relevance. → Reached the lower boundary of the channel and rebounded upwards from the 147 yen per dollar level. Given that the price is closely interacting with the channel lines and is currently around its median, it suggests that supply and demand are relatively balanced under these conditions. This is further supported by the fact that neither the Fed nor the Bank of Japan introduced surprises, leaving interest rates unchanged. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDCAD Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:AUDCAD is approaching a key resistance zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.90700, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure. However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
27
NZDJPY at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 87.300?OANDA:NZDJPY has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 87.300 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
20
NZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate at 2025 HighNZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate at 2025 High As shown on the NZD/USD chart today, the exchange rate is around 0.58250—the highest level for the Kiwi against the US dollar since December 2024. NZD strength is supported by optimism about China's economy, a key trading partner for New Zealand. The Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) is near three-year highs, driven by: → Optimism surrounding AI development in China, including models from DeepSeek and Alibaba. → Government stimulus measures boosting the Chinese economy. Meanwhile, traders are assessing the USD's outlook in light of the Trump administration's trade tariff policies. Technical Analysis of NZD/USD The recent rally accelerated after bulls broke through the downward trendline (shown in orange). However, bears may expect a correction due to three key factors: → The price is near the 0.58000 level, which previously acted as support (as indicated by arrows). It may now serve as resistance, limiting further gains. → The RSI indicator is in overbought territory, unsurprising given the rally's pace over the past week. → The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel (in place since early 2025), which could also act as resistance to further upside. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
AUDNZD at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 1.10100?OANDA:AUDNZD has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 1.10100 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
4
NZDUSD at Key Resistance Level - Will It Drop To 0.56990?OANDA:NZDUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction if sellers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, we could see a potential drop toward the 0.56990 level. However, a break and close above this resistance zone would invalidate the bearish bias and could signal further upside continuation. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or increased selling volume before considering short positions. Do you agree with this analysis? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by DanieIM
12
Market Analysis: EUR/GBP Gains StrengthMarket Analysis: EUR/GBP Gains Strength EUR/GBP is gaining pace and might extend its upward move above the 0.8445 zone. Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today - EUR/GBP started a fresh increase above the 0.8360 resistance zone. - There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8402 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.8240 zone. The Euro traded above the 0.8360 level to move into a positive zone against the British Pound. The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8400. Immediate resistance is near 0.8445. The next major resistance for the bulls is near the 0.8460 zone. A close above the 0.8460 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8500. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8550 level in the coming days. Immediate support sits near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8359 swing low to the 0.8447 high. The next major support is near a major bullish trend line at 0.8402. The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8359 swing low to the 0.8447 high is also at 0.8402. A downside break below the 0.8402 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8360 support level. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.8265 level in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Market Analysis: GBP/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Rallies GBP/USD is showing bullish signs above the 1.2870 zone. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound is gaining pace above the 1.2870 zone against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2925 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the remained in a positive zone above the 1.2560 level. The British Pound formed a base and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The pair gained pace for a move above the 1.2715 and 1.2760 resistance levels. The pair even settled above the 1.2900 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2965. The next major resistance is near the 1.2980 level. If the RSI moves above 60 and the pair climbs above 1.2980, there could be another rally. In the stated case, the pair could rise toward the 1.3050 level or even 1.3120. On the downside, there is a major support forming near 1.2925. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2925. If there is a downside break below the 1.2925 support, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is near the 1.2870 zone or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2559 swing low to the 1.2966 high, below which the pair could test 1.2800. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2760 support. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2559 swing low to the 1.2966 high. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming. ✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution. ✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside. 🔹 Target Zones: 📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area). 📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact. Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside. EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness. 📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data: Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance. Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events 📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF: 📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited. 📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment. 📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF. ✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Data: ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings. Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control. DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup ✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning. ✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase. ✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement. 📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750. 📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment. 💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
Short
by LDForex_
USDCHF road map !!!I believe that if we look at the past prices, we will realize that the price may form a head and shoulders pattern and reach the desired supports. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
2