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EURUSD Analysis==>>Short term==>>(Fundamental + Technical)Today's Fundamental analysis of the FX:EURUSD highlights several key factors: 1-Expected ECB Rate Cuts : With Eurozone inflation dropping below 2% in September, there is growing speculation about further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in both October and December. These rate cuts would likely weaken the euro, as lower borrowing costs reduce demand for the currency​. 2-US Economic Performance : The recent U.S. labor market report exceeded expectations, showing solid job growth and a lower unemployment rate. This has strengthened the dollar, with investors now awaiting the upcoming U.S. CPI report(10 October), which may offer insights into future Fed policy -------------------------------------------------- Now, let's go to the technical analysis of EURUSD . EURUSD is moving in the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , near the Support lines and 100_SMA(Daily) . Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect EURUSD to rise at least to near the Resistance zone($1.005-$1.0995) after breaking the Downtrend line . Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and support lines, we can expect EURUSD to touch at least $1.0878. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EURUSD Analysis==>>AB=CD Pattern!!!==>>Short termEURUSD is moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.130-$1.118) and Resistance lines . There is a possibility of Bearish AB=CD Harmonic Pattern formation near Resistance lines and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . I expect EURUSD to decline to the Support zone($1.082-$1.066) after breaking the Support line . Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Resistance lines, we can expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.130-$1.118) and increase. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
EURUSD / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price is currently trading above a demand zone (an area where buying interest is expected to increase) between 1.102 and 1.100. It suggests that as long as the price remains above this zone, there may be a retest (a drop to the 1.100 level) before the price starts to rise again. The next likely target is an FVG (Fair Value Gap, which refers to a price inefficiency) between 1.108 and 1.109. Beyond that, there’s another FVG around 1.111 and 1.113. On the other hand, if the price breaks below the demand zone (1.100) and closes a 4-hour candle beneath it, this indicates further downside movement. The next downside target would be the FVG between 1.097 and 1.094. Supply Zone : 1.120 and 1.121. Demand Zone : 1.102 and 1.100. FVG : 1.108 and 1.109 , 1.111 and 1.113.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY still has more downside on daily & weekly tfStructurally I'm looking for rejection at 147-149.8 range. Look for renewed selling action below 144 to confirm. Still seeing additional unwinding of the yen carry trade as highly likely over subsequent days & weeks. Targeting 136, 131, and 126 handles on weekly structure as we approach Q1 of 2025. Particularly as the US Federal Reserve is pressured to cut rates further with recent data. Entering short positions gradually but the majority is already in place.
by DaveTradesLive
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a rise in gold prices by 1.80%. Gold, often seen as a safe haven asset, tends to rise in response to global instability. Prices are currently attempting to reach $2,637 and $2,614. The all-time high (ATH) price is mentioned as $2,686, with a supply zone extending to $2,720. The text suggests that if prices break above this ATH, they might enter a new supply zone between $2,700 and $2,720. If gold fails to stay above the supply zone between $2,686 and $2,675 , a decline is expected, possibly reaching the demand zone of $2,637 and $2,614. If prices stabilize below these levels, further declines are predicted. Despite short-term fluctuations and potential declines the overall sentiment is bullish, indicating that gold prices are under upward pressure in the long term. Supply Zone : 2,675$ and 2,686$. Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,624$. Accumulation Zone : 2,527$ and 2,474$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / SENSETIVE AREA TRADING - 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Yesterday: Gold prices declined by 1.70%. Today: Prices began to recover, rising by 0.95%.Analysts expect a further increase in prices, potentially reaching gains of 1.50% Gold is currently trading below a supply zone between $2,655 and $2,665. This zone represents a key resistance level, where sellers may dominate and prevent further price If gold continues to trade below the $2,655–$2,665 supply zone, it could decline further, with support levels at $2,637 and $2,614. If the price breaks above the supply zone, it may rise towards $2,686, a potential resistance level. Despite the recent dip, the market is under bullish pressure, indicating that buyers are still in control and could push prices higher in the near future. Supply Zone : 2,655 and 2,665$. Demand Zone : 2,637$ and 2,614$.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArinaKarayi
1
EURUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bearish Bias Expected on 30/09/2024EURUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bearish Bias Expected on 30/09/2024 As of today, 30/09/2024, the EURUSD pair appears to be trending towards a slightly bearish bias, driven by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Traders should be aware of the potential downside risks, particularly given the current market environment. Let’s dive into the key drivers behind this forecast. 1. Eurozone Economic Weakness One of the primary reasons for the expected bearish bias on EURUSD is the ongoing economic challenges within the Eurozone. Recent economic data, including declining manufacturing output and weaker-than-expected consumer confidence figures, has contributed to a gloomy outlook for the Euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) has remained cautious, avoiding any strong hawkish stance, which continues to weigh on the Euro's performance. The lack of aggressive monetary tightening by the ECB, compared to the Federal Reserve, places further pressure on the currency. 2. Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance On the other side of the equation, the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy. Jerome Powell’s recent statements highlight the possibility of further interest rate hikes in the near term to combat inflation. This is a strong bullish factor for the USD, making the EURUSD pair more vulnerable to downward pressure. The market anticipates that the Fed will continue to outpace the ECB in terms of tightening monetary conditions, widening the interest rate differential. 3. US Economic Strength Recent US economic data has reinforced the Dollar’s strength. Strong retail sales, robust employment figures, and better-than-expected GDP growth have all contributed to a more resilient USD. In contrast, the Eurozone struggles with stagnation, providing further evidence that the EURUSD pair is likely to face headwinds today. The divergent economic outlooks between the US and the Eurozone will likely push EURUSD lower. 4. Technicals Support Bearish Sentiment From a technical perspective, EURUSD is currently testing support levels around 1.0850. A break below this could signal further downside movement. The 50-day moving average has also started to slope downward, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook. Momentum indicators such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) are approaching oversold levels, but there’s still room for further declines before a potential rebound. 5. Geopolitical Uncertainty Geopolitical uncertainty in Europe, particularly around energy security and trade tensions, adds to the Euro’s vulnerability. Investors are seeking safe-haven assets, including the USD, amid these risks, which is another reason for the slight bearish bias on EURUSD today. Conclusion Based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions, EURUSD is expected to experience a slight bearish bias on 30/09/2024. The combination of Eurozone economic weakness, the Fed's hawkish stance, strong US economic data, technical indicators, and geopolitical risks all contribute to this outlook. Traders should watch key support levels and any developments in economic data to confirm or adjust their positions. Keywords for SEO Optimization: EURUSD analysis, EURUSD forecast, EURUSD bearish bias, Euro to USD forecast, Forex analysis, EURUSD technical analysis, 30/09/2024 EURUSD, Eurozone economy, Federal Reserve policy, USD strength, Forex trading, EURUSD support levels, Forex technical indicators, Euro dollar analysis September 2024, Forex trading signals, EURUSD market outlook.
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
EURUSD Forecast 26/09/2024: Bearish Bias as Dollar Strengthens.EURUSD Daily Forecast for 26/09/2024: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Key Fundamental Drivers Today, 26/09/2024, the EURUSD currency pair presents a slight bearish bias, driven by a combination of fundamental factors that are shaping the market sentiment. In this article, we will delve into the key drivers influencing EURUSD, while optimizing this content for SEO purposes to help traders stay updated on the latest analysis. Current Market Conditions Overview EURUSD has been navigating a range-bound market lately, hovering around critical technical levels. The market has been largely shaped by ongoing developments in both the U.S. and Eurozone economies, with traders carefully eyeing macroeconomic indicators and central bank actions. Key Drivers for EURUSD Today (26/09/2024) 1. U.S. Dollar Strength The U.S. dollar continues to dominate across global markets, with the recent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve providing upward momentum for the USD. Chair Jerome Powell's comments about potential future rate hikes to combat inflation have strengthened the dollar, putting downward pressure on the EURUSD pair. The anticipation of higher yields in the U.S. is a key driver of this bearish bias in EURUSD. 2. Eurozone Economic Weakness The Eurozone is grappling with sluggish economic performance, particularly with recent PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data falling below expectations. The manufacturing sector is showing signs of contraction, further weakening the euro. Additionally, inflationary concerns in the Eurozone remain elevated, with ECB officials hesitant to introduce additional rate hikes. This economic stagnation adds weight to the bearish EURUSD outlook. 3. Divergence in Central Bank Policies The divergence between the Federal Reserve’s aggressive stance and the European Central Bank's (ECB) more cautious approach is widening, which continues to support the U.S. dollar over the euro. As traders expect the Fed to maintain its higher-for-longer interest rate policy, while the ECB adopts a wait-and-see approach, this policy imbalance favors a bearish EURUSD sentiment. 4. Geopolitical Risks Geopolitical uncertainty, particularly related to ongoing conflicts and energy security concerns in Europe, is adding further downside risk to the euro. Any escalation in these risks may heighten risk aversion, driving investors toward the safety of the U.S. dollar. 5. Technical Levels to Watch From a technical perspective, EURUSD is approaching key support levels around 1.0600. If this level is breached, it could accelerate the bearish momentum. Traders should also monitor resistance around 1.0800, as any break above this could signal a short-term bullish reversal. Conclusion In conclusion, EURUSD is facing a slight bearish bias today, 26/09/2024, driven by U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic weakness, central bank policy divergence, and lingering geopolitical risks. While EURUSD remains in a consolidative phase, the fundamental landscape favors further downside potential. Traders should keep an eye on key technical levels and be prepared for potential volatility. For traders looking to capitalize on this setup, maintaining a cautious outlook while factoring in these fundamental drivers is essential for informed decision-making. This analysis offers a detailed outlook on EURUSD for 26/09/2024, providing the latest insights into what could shape the market and how traders can prepare for possible market movements. Keywords for SEO Optimization: EURUSD analysis, EURUSD forecast, EURUSD bearish bias, EURUSD today 26/09/2024, fundamental factors EURUSD, technical levels EURUSD, EURUSD forex trading, Euro to USD, Forex analysis, EURUSD daily outlook, EURUSD price action, trading EURUSD 26 September 2024.
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
When is The Right Time to Enter | Technical AnalysisAs we can know, gold is currently on the rise, and if we look at the chart, it has penetrated the previous resistance very strongly and this indicates that there is still a chance for gold to rise again Then what should we do next? we just need to wait for him to return to the resistance area or buy area For daily traders , you may be able to place orders directly there For scalper traders , you can wait for confirmation in that area by looking at a smaller time frame but we also need to see how the price will return, there are things that need to be paid attention to again thats all from me, stay tune for the next update!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ivannn7
GOLD H1 Analysis | ShortHello, everyone! I’m excited to share my analysis for today on XAU/USD. As we dive into the market, I see a potential opportunity to go short, and I want to walk you through my thought process. It’s crucial to approach trading with a clear strategy, so let’s break this down together! Market Overview Gold has always been a safe haven asset, and its movements can be influenced by various factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in interest rates. As we analyze the current market conditions, I believe that there’s a compelling case for a short position. Technical Analysis Upon reviewing the latest charts, we’ve identified several key resistance levels that indicate a strong potential for downward movement. Look at the price action over the last few days—there’s been a noticeable rejection at the higher levels, suggesting that sellers are stepping in. Resistance Level: We've observed a solid resistance at , which has held firm against bullish attempts. Support Levels: Watch for potential support around . This can help us manage our risk effectively. Risk Management As we consider entering a short position, risk management is paramount. Remember, no trade is worth compromising your account. Here are some guidelines: Position Sizing: Determine your risk per trade based on your total account balance. A common approach is to risk no more than 1-2% on any single trade. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just above the resistance level to limit potential losses. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Aim for a minimum RRR of 1:2 or 1:3. This means for every dollar you risk, you should target at least two or three dollars in profit. Conclusion In conclusion, while the technical indicators suggest a good opportunity to short XAU/USD, it’s essential to proceed with caution. Always adhere to your trading plan, utilize proper risk management techniques, and maintain discipline. Let’s work together, share insights, and keep each other accountable as we navigate this market. If you have any questions or additional thoughts on this analysis, feel free to share! Happy trading, everyone! 💰📉
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HouseofProfit
OfficialKieranTrewick | XAUUSD 2HR Analysis | 3000? All time high crazy! Charting new territory the precious metal is at it again, starting the week with a suitable correction down to the previous 25% quarter level and dynamic support whilst creating a fresh higher low before the latter week ascent that broke through the 3 day resistance pivot level and into the 2600s where it just continued pushing until market close on friday evening. Whilst it just undercut the new 75% quarter level because of the close I can see that price slowed down upon reaching the dynamic resistance level and quarter level of 2525 indicating that we could see another correction down to 25% and the key pivot zone identified which aligns with both dynamic support lines before continuing its ascent into the upper 2600s. Due to the recent bullish momentum it is important that we follow price and trade with the confirmations that are created not chase what we want to happen, basically meaning price can still go up before any correction happens and analysis is a footprint to possibility not something to be traded based on but something to be used as a toolbelt essentially giving us a list of confirmations that can increase the probability of a trade that of which can always change. If you like this idea please drop a like and share it with your friends so they too can be in the loop with golds potential movements in the coming week. Analysis Conducted by OfficialKieranTrewick
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick
XAUUSD | Short from Resistance or NEW All Time High ? Everyone's favourite precious metal has been in a near month long range zone for the last few weeks following a surge to the all time high level of $2,532 and a range low of $2,471 in where gold has been stuck in consolidation even with Non Farm Payroll which failed to break this strong range zone. Most recently we have seen a large bullish surge in momentum that has driven gold from $2,484 to the now resistance topside of the range at $2,536 where it is likely to see another fractal pivot bring price back into the range however that being said with todays upcoming USD releases for the CPI + Inflation Rate traders are anticipating if this could be the day we break the topside and push for another all time high which could be likely but as always is a 50/50 gamble on such red flag events. Price action wise I will be aiming for the short range from $2,515 - $2,502 with a continuation of the range likely for the next 2 weeks, but as per any high impact news day I will be looking closely at the market structure and volume during these events whilst utilising correct risk management and preferable being out of my trades before and seeing where suitable entries lie following such events. What are your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments below :)
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
EURUSD Analysis==>Cup and Handle Pattern==>>Pennant PatternEURUSD is moving near the Support zone($1.105-$1.103) and managed to break the Downtrend line . If we look at the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , we will notice two Cup and Handle Pattern and a Bullish Pennant Pattern . After breaking the neckline, I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.111-$1.109) . Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 15-minute Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
XAUUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS in the last chart reached full target . Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 2,509$ Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 2,509$ , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 2,491$. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 2,474$ . Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 2,509$ , leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 2,519$ . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 2,526$ . XAUUSD / buy above 2.509$ SL: 2,503$ TP: 2,516$ TP: 2,519$ TP:2,526$ XAUUSD / sell below 2,509$ SL : 2,512$ TP : 2,500$ TP : 2,491$ TP : 2,474$
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
XAGUSD / TRADING BELOW FVG - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME The market trend is largely bearish, with the price staying below the turning level of 29.98, indicating a potential drop to the support level (1) at 28.11, and possibly further to the next target at 27.18. However, if the price breaks through the bounce level, it may shift upward toward the resistance level (1) at 29.51. To confirm a bullish trend, the price must break through this resistance and stabilize above it, aiming for 30.48 . KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 29.98 RESISTANCE LEVELS : 29.51 , 30.48 SUPPORT LEVELS : 28.11 , 27.18
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | XAUUSD 4HR Analysis | The Bulls Are Taking a Breather | Gold has recently hit an all time high of 2530 and since has tested the breakage of this level a few times, in my last analysis I provided a detailed explanation of the current mining production status globally and JPY/USD economic data that could impact the price movements in the bulls favour however it seems that short term we may see a correction into the upper 2400's before any renewed price surges, with the bullish momentum volume slowing down and various bearish confirmations coming into play. Over the last few days Gold has broke below the dynamic support + resistance level whilst also dipping below the 200 EMA on smaller timeframes and the 50 on larger such as 4HR, with the recent completion of 25% to 75% quarters and a pivot off the upper bollinger band its likely that the precious metal could take a breather down to 2,460-70 where the 200 ema lies along with a key support and resistance level and the lower bollinger band matching 25% quarter level. With the US holidays in action today the start of the week has been sluggish with little to no volatility and price sticking in its range alongside not being able to break back above the 50 ema and dynamic s+r, the bears remain in favour until price can break this structure level back into the 2520's and thus i would not consider any long term buys with so many key psych resistance levels in between us and the ATH pivot level. I will be keeping close eye on the key support zone of 2460-70 for suitable long term buy entries and in the meantime trade intra on price structure and short term confirmations with my group.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
GBPJPY bullish continuation expected GBPJPY we are have strong bearish push, which is be based on BoJ rate cut which we are have before 2 weeks, when they are raise rates. On D TF on 21.8 price is make bounce on strong zone, on lower TF 4h we can see SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE pattern created, its also breaked, for me 191.00 is be strong zone which can be used for confirmation of break of SYMMENTRICAL TRIANGL (next zone which can be used dor confirmation is 192.00). Currently price looks like its make break, JPY is make strong bearish push in last periods with many majors now expecting to see some rebounces, technically with many looks bearish. TP1: 194.600 (300) TP2: 196.600 (500)
Long
by DepaTrading
US30 ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4H US30 / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS in the last analyses reached our target + 450 pip profit . Tendency , prices is under upward pressure , until trading above turning level at 2,507$ Upward Condition: With the price holding steady at the current turning level (1) at 41,040 and retest with stabilizing above turning level (2) at 40,680 , it is likely to rise towards the resistance level (1) of 41,401. If it stabilizes above this level, it could then reach the next target level of 41,864. Downward Condition : To reach the 40,239 support level (1) , the price needs to first break the turning level (2) by closing a 4-hour candle below 40,680 . If it stabilizes below support level (1) , a further decline toward the support level (2) at 39,812 can be anticipated . TARGET UPWARD ZONE : RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 41,401 . RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 41,864 . TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE : SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 40,239 . SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 39,812 . TURNING LEVEL : 41,040 , 40,680 .
EIGHTCAP:US30Long
by ArinaKarayi
GOLD Analysis | Mines & World Events | OfficialKieranTrewick | Gold In Depth Weekly Analysis Gold Mine Productions : XAUUSD Surged last week reaching 2 new all time highs of $2,500 and $2,530 amidst ongoing tensions in the middle east, BTC reaching over 90% mined whilst Gold mine productions are struggling to reach the last few years production ratio as they declare it is getting harder to find the precious metal, although the first quarter of 2024 we saw production increase by 4% essentially we have not seen any growth since 2016/2018 with the annual production rate staying around 3,000 tons. New deposits are becoming increasingly harder to find although we have seen some over the recent years such as the current most productive mine based in Uzbekistan and China still leading the race with Australia following closely behind but one thing they have in common is reports of increasingly difficult new metal deposits found. Aside from the discovery process, government permits getting harder to secure and requiring more time to come through have made mining more difficult. Securing licenses and permits needed before mining companies can start operations can take several years. USD News Correlations : Moving onto recent USD events where we saw that the asian markets have remained cautious this Friday as investors closely watch for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, seeking new insights into the future direction of interest rates. Traders are anticipating significant rate cuts from the Fed due to indications of a weakening labor market. This risk-averse sentiment has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets like US government bonds, leading to lower Treasury yields and a decline in the US Dollar. The Dollar's weakness is also compounded by a fresh round of selling against the Japanese Yen, following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who spoke to the parliament on Friday. Governor Ueda reiterated his readiness to hike interest rates if inflation appears set to consistently reach the 2.0% target, though he expressed caution about potential instability in financial markets. Gold, despite a recent recovery, seems poised for its second consecutive weekly decline, with a Fed rate cut in September widely expected. However, Powell's upcoming remarks will be key in determining the extent of future easing measures. On Thursday, gold prices fell by about 1% as the US Dollar bounced back strongly from over a one-year low against other major currencies, amid deteriorating risk sentiment spurred by disappointing US S&P Global business PMI and Jobless Claims data. Additionally, traders have been adjusting their positions ahead of Powell's anticipated speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Gold prices rebounded on Friday after two days of losses, rising as the dollar and Treasury yields fell sharply. This came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed expectations for upcoming interest rate cuts. At the Jackson Hole conference, Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates from their current peak as the labor market shows signs of slowing. He emphasized that future rate cuts would depend on economic data and risks. Following Powell's remarks, the dollar index dropped 0.83 points to 100.67, and Treasury yields also declined, with the two-year note at 3.926% and the ten-year note at 3.817%. JPY News Correlation : According to Market Analyst Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets, the relationship between the Japanese Yen and gold prices has strengthened once again, and a stronger Yen could be a positive sign for gold. Oldenburger noted that the Bank of Japan might have stepped in to stabilize the weakened Yen last Thursday. He suggested that such interventions could become more feasible if the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy stance. He further explained that U.S. stocks generally perform well when interest rates are high because liquidity flows back into the USD. However, when rates decrease, this liquidity tends to exit the dollar and seek alternative investments globally. "The Yen could gain from this reallocation," he remarked. After the U.S. released its June CPI data last Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped over 2%, sparking speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance had intervened. It is noted that hedge funds currently have limited long positions in the Yen and mainly hold short positions, which could need to be covered if a short squeeze occurs. If the Yen continues to strengthen, hedge funds may be under more pressure to reduce these short positions. Historically, a stronger Yen has been positively correlated with gold prices, suggesting that gold could also see gains. Gold prices continued to climb on Tuesday due to increased safe-haven demand from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) issued new import quotas for gold to banks, sparking speculation about a surge in demand, according to broker SP Angel. The demand for gold as a safe haven in China rose after Chinese 10-year government bond yields hit record lows last week, leading Chinese investors to look for alternative safe-haven assets, with gold being a prime choice and as we know the chinese yuan is heavily correlated with the japanese yen. Conclusion With gold currently priced at $2,511.36, the outlook remains bullish in the short to medium term, especially if current economic uncertainties persist or worsen. Monitoring central bank policies, inflation data, and geopolitical events will be crucial for assessing how high gold prices could go from here. The potential for reaching $2,600 or even higher is present, particularly if market conditions align favorably for gold. What are your thoughts on Gold and its future outlook, let me know in the comments below!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick