GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Trap?🌟 Hey! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Calling all Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!💸💰
🔥 Thief Trading Intel: Our crew’s latest heist targets GBP/USD "The Cable"—bullish breakout incoming! Long entry only. High-risk Red Zone ahead: overbought, consolidating, and ripe for a reversal. Don’t get caught in the bear trap! 🏴☠️
"Take your loot and run, trader—you’ve earned this steal!" 💪🎯
🚪 ENTRY: The Heist Begins!
📈 "Wait for MA breakout (1.36000) then STRIKE—bullish profits await!"
Option 1: Buy Stop above Pink Resistance (breakout confirmation).
Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low/high (15-30 min TF).
📌 Pro Tip: SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route
🔊 "Yo, listen up! 🗣️
Buy Stop orders? NO SL until after breakout! 🚀
Rebels: Place SL wherever—but you’ve been warned! ⚠️🔥
📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent/swing low (1.35000, 4H TF).
📍 Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and orders.
🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit!
🎯 1.37500 (or escape early if the market turns!)
⚡ SCALPERS’ QUICK GRAB
👀 Long scalps ONLY!
Big wallets? Raid now.
Small stacks? Join swing traders.
Trailing SL = Your Money Shield! 🛡️💰
📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (GBP/USD Bullish Momentum)
"The Cable" is heating up! Key drivers:
Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Future Targets & Score Outlook
🔗 Full intel? Bio links below! 👉👉
⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨
News = Volatility Spikes! Protect your loot:
❌ Avoid new trades during news.
🔒 Trailing SL = Profit Lock.
💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW!
💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥
More boosts = easier money grabs!
Stronger crew = bigger heists!
Profit daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀
Next heist coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑🐱👤🤩
Forexmarket
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3690
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3797
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3555
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD h4 down mode GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis – Bearish Retest & Drop Setup
Price rejected from key resistance zone near 3285–3300, showing clear bearish pressure.
Two major resistance zones:
• Zone 1: 3285–3300 – Recently tested and rejected
• Zone 2: 3340–3360 – Strong resistance if price spikes higher
Price expected to:
Retest the 3285–3300 resistance
Fail to break above
Continue its bearish move toward target levels below
Targets:
• First Target: 3240
• Final Target Point: 3215–3220
This setup is based on price action, multiple rejections, and resistance zone behavior. Clean bearish confirmation expected on H4.
Watch price closely at resistance zones for rejection candles or wicks before entry.
Trade with proper risk management and confirmations
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #BearishSetup #PriceAction #TradingView #RSI_Technical_Trading #ForexSignals
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸
"Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉
🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!)
📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!"
Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST!
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!)
🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!)
⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab
👀 Only scalp LONG!
Big wallets? Raid straight in.
Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery.
Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰
📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum)
"The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers:
Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Future Targets & Score Outlook
🔗 Want the full intel? Check our bio0 for linkks! 👉👉
⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨
News releases = volatility spikes! Protect your loot:
❌ Avoid new trades during news.
🔒 Use Trailing SL to lock profits.
💖 Support the Heist Crew!
💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥
More boosts = easier money steals!
Strengthen our robbery squad!
Every day is a heist—profit with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀
Stay tuned for the next robbery plan! 🤑🐱👤🤩
Is This the Next Big Heist? Thief Trader Eyes NZD/USD Long SetupThief Trader’s NZD/USD Heist Plan – Long Setup in Play!
🌍 **Hello Global Wealth Warriors!**
Hello, Bonjour, Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola!
📢 **Fellow Profit Pirates & Market Mavericks**, it’s time to set sail again! Get ready to loot the forex seas with our latest **Thief Trader Strategy** targeting the **NZD/USD (The Kiwi)** pair.
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🔎 **Trade Overview**
💥 Setup: Long Entry Plan – Executing our cunning blueprint with Thief Trading's sharp technical & fundamental intel**.
🎯 Target: 0.62300 (or exit just before for safety).
⚠️ Danger Zone: Watch for traps at the RED Zone Level – signs of overbought conditions, consolidation, trend flips & bearish setups.
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🟢 **Entry Signal** – *The Heist Begins!*
📈 **Primary Entry**:
> Breakout above **MA Line (0.60300)** = Bullish move → *Place a Buy Stop above ATR Line*
📉 **Pullback Option**:
> *Buy Limit* at recent swing low/high on **15 or 30-min TF**.
📌 **Pro Tip**:
Set an **Alert** on your chart to catch the breakout live. Timing is everything!
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🛑 **Stop Loss – The Getaway Plan**
📍 **SL Recommendation**:
> Recent swing low on the **4H chart (0.59400)** for day/swing trades.
> 🎯 Customize your SL based on risk, lot size, and total orders.
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🔐 **Scalpers vs. Swingers**
👀 **Scalpers**: Focus ONLY on long-side plays.
💰 Got deep pockets? Dive in.
😎 Otherwise, swing traders – this is your golden moment. Trail your SL to protect profits.
🌐 **Market Pulse** – Momentum Watch
📊 Kiwi is navigating a **MA Resistance Zone**, but bullish bias remains due to:
* **Fundamentals**
* **Macro Insights**
* **COT Reports**
* **Sentiment & Intermarket Trends**
* **Quant Analysis + Overall Score**
📎 Check the linkks for detailed breakdown.
📰 **News Warning!**
⚠️ Major releases ahead?
* Pause entries.
* Protect trades with **trailing SLs**.
---
🚨 **Join the Next Heist with Thief Trading!**
💥 Smash that **Boost** or **Like** to join our profit squad.
With **Thief Trader Style**, we dominate the markets DAILY.
Your support fuels our mission. ❤️💼
---
💸 Stay ready for the next move, money-makers.
🎯 Eyes on the chart – timing is profit.
CAD/JPY Bank Heist: Bullish Breakout (or) Bearish Trap?🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the CAD/JPY "Loonie-Yen" Forex Bank Heist! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is the play. Our escape? Near the high-risk Danger Resistance Zone. It’s a risky level—overbought, consolidating, potential reversal—where bearish robbers lurk. 🏆💸 Take profits fast, traders! You earned it! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: The Heist Begins!
Wait for the breakout above 105.700—then strike! Bullish profits await.
Buy Stop Orders above Moving Average OR
Buy Limit Orders (15-30min timeframe) near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
📌 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot!
🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️
Buy Stop Orders? Don’t set SL until after breakout.
Place SL at nearest/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Rebels, set SL wherever… but don’t cry later! 🔥⚡
🎯 Target: 107.300
Scalpers: Only go LONG. Use trailing SL to lock in gains.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave or join late—robbery is teamwork! 🤝
💥 Why CAD/JPY? Bullish Momentum!
Fundamentals, COT Reports, Sentiment, Intermarket Trends—checkk our bio for full analysis. 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger!
Avoid new trades during news.
Use trailing stops to protect profits.
💖 Support the Heist! Hit the BOOST Button!
More boosts = More robberies = More profits! 💰🚀
Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! �🤗🎉
The Aussie Dollar Heist Blueprint: "AUD/USD" Long Setup!?🌍 Hello, Global Wealth Warriors! Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola! 🌟
Fellow Profit Pirates & Market Mavericks, 💸⚡
Unveiling our cunning blueprint to plunder the AUD/USD (The Aussie) forex market, crafted with 🔥Thief Trading’s razor-sharp technical and fundamental insights🔥. Stick to the chart’s game plan, zoned in on a long entry. Our mission? Slip out near the high-stakes RED Zone Level—a perilous spot with overbought vibes, consolidation, trend flips, and traps where bearish bandits lurk. 🏴☠️💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA line breakout (0.65200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the ATR line (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
🛑 **Stop Loss**:
📍 Thief SL parked at the recent/swing low on the 4H timeframe (0.64600) for day/swing trades.
📍 Tailor your SL to your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp!
🎯 **Target**: Aim for 0.66300 or make a swift exit just before.
👀 **Scalpers, Listen Up**: Stick to long-side scalping. Got deep pockets? Dive in now! Otherwise, join swing traders for the grand heist. Use trailing SL to shield your loot. 💰
💹 **Market Pulse**: The AUD/USD (The Aussie) forex market is in a ATR Dynamic Resistance zone but leaning bullish, fueled by key drivers. ☝
🌐 Dive into Fundamentals, Macro Insights, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Trends, Future Targets & Overall score.. Check the linkss for the full scoop! 🔗🌍
⚠️ **Trading Alert**: News can shake the market! 📰
🔐 Protect your positions:
- Pause new trades during news releases.
- Use trailing stop-loss to lock in gains.
💪 **Join the Heist**: Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our robbery squad! 💥 With Thief Trading Style, we rake in profits daily with ease. 🚀 Your support fuels our market conquests. 🤝❤️
Stay tuned for the next daring heist, money makers! 🤑🐱👤🎯
NZDUSD Hits Channel Top Bearish Momentum BuildingNZDUSD pair has touched a key resistance zone near the top of its rising channel and is showing early signs of rejection. This technical inflection point aligns with weakening New Zealand economic sentiment and renewed strength in the US dollar. The stage is set for a bearish rotation, with several support targets now in focus if momentum continues to build to the downside.
📉 Current Bias: Bearish
NZDUSD has failed to break above the 0.6085–0.6090 resistance area, marking repeated rejections at the channel’s upper boundary. Price action and structure suggest a potential move back toward 0.6000 and deeper levels such as 0.5960 and 0.5910 if support fails.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
RBNZ on Hold and Dovish Leaning: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has paused its tightening cycle, with Governor Orr signaling no urgency to hike further amid weakening domestic demand and subdued inflation momentum.
US Dollar Support: The USD is gaining traction amid Fed officials maintaining a hawkish hold tone, and with markets paring back bets on near-term rate cuts due to sticky inflation and resilient labor data.
NZ Economic Weakness: New Zealand’s growth has stagnated, with recent trade and retail data underwhelming. Business sentiment remains subdued, adding to downside Kiwi pressure.
⚠️ Risks to the Trend:
Soft US Data: Any major downside surprise in upcoming US labor market or inflation figures could reignite Fed rate cut bets and weigh on the dollar, lifting NZDUSD.
China Rebound: As China is a major trading partner for New Zealand, any strong recovery signs or stimulus headlines out of Beijing could buoy NZD on improved trade expectations.
Unexpected RBNZ Hawkishness: If the RBNZ pivots back to a more aggressive tone due to inflation persistence, NZD could find renewed strength.
📅 Key News/Events Ahead:
US PCE Inflation (June 28): Core metric closely watched by the Fed; any surprise will directly impact USD flows.
NZIER QSBO Survey (July 2): Offers insight into New Zealand business confidence.
US ISM Manufacturing & NFP (July 1–5): Major USD drivers with implications for broader market sentiment.
⚖️ Leader or Lagger?
NZDUSD is currently a lagger, often following directional shifts in USD majors like EURUSD and AUDUSD. However, due to its sensitivity to Chinese data and Fed rate expectations, it may accelerate moves once broader USD sentiment is established.
🎯 Conclusion:
NZDUSD looks poised for a bearish pullback from the channel top, with a confluence of macro and technical factors suggesting pressure toward 0.6000, 0.5960, and potentially 0.5910. While downside momentum builds, attention must remain on US data, China headlines, and RBNZ commentary for any sentiment shift. Bears hold the upper hand for now, but risk events ahead could challenge the momentum.
#AUDUSD 4H 📉#AUDUSD 4H Sell Setup – Bearish Shift in Play
AUDUSD has tapped into buy-side liquidity at 0.65713, triggering a sharp rejection and signaling a potential Market Structure Reversal (MSR). Price is now approaching a key Order Block (OB) zone, aligning with prevailing bearish order flow.
🔻 Sell Zone: 0.65400 – 0.65000
❌ Stop Loss: Above 0.65713 (Liquidity Level)
🎯 Target: 0.6432
This setup reflects strong rejection from premium pricing and confirmation of bearish momentum. Smart money dynamics suggest a continuation to the downside as price respects resistance and structure.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 30Min 📉📈 #XAUUSD 30m Analysis – Dual Setup Scenario
We’re monitoring two potential trade setups depending on how price reacts at key levels:
🔴 Sell Setup:
Price is entering a Sell-Side Order Block Zone between 3350–3360, aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This premium zone is likely to act as strong resistance, with potential rejection targeting downside liquidity near 3310 — an ideal area for short positions.
🟢 Buy Setup:
If price sweeps below and taps into the Liquidity Zone / Demand Area around 3305–3311, we’ll watch for a bullish reversal from this discount zone. This area offers a favorable setup for long entries, aligning with institutional buying levels.
📌 Be sure to mark these key zones on your chart for enhanced clarity and execution.
💬 What’s your outlook on Gold? Share your thoughts below 👇
EURJPY LONG IDEAI have been waiting for this EURJPY long setup to form for the past 2 trading sessions.
This morning I saw this beautiful bullish swing low formed and that is my entry signal for to take a long trade on EURJPY.
REASONS:
EURJPY is super bullish right now.
The Daily and 4Hour time frame trend is extremely bullish. So, am only looking to take a long buy to follow the trend direction.
Canadian Dollar vs. US Dollar. The Spring Is Compressing.In previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key drivers of the US outperformance over the past decade.
The US market dominance has been largely driven by the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach and significant investor inflows.
Unsatisfactory International Performance
Markets outside the US have faced headwinds including multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger US dollar and the declining influence of high-growth tech sectors.
The Valuation Gap
By 2025, US equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future.
Recent Shifts (2025 Trend)
Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also widely dominated by the US dollar.
Factors include optimism around the following three big themes.
DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION.
De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the world's dominant reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend implies a shift away from the central role of the US dollar in global economic transactions to alternative currencies, assets, or financial systems.
Historical context and significance of the US dollar
The US dollar became the world's primary reserve currency after World War II, as enshrined in the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944. This system pegged other currencies to the dollar, which was convertible into gold, making the dollar the backbone of international finance. The United States became the world's leading economic power, and the dollar replaced the British pound sterling as the dominant currency for global trade and reserves.
The dollar has been the most widely held reserve currency for decades. As of the end of 2024, it still accounts for about 57% of global foreign exchange reserves, far more than the euro (20%) and the Japanese yen (6%). However, this share has fallen from over 70% in 2001, signaling a gradual shift and prompting discussions about de-dollarization.
How De-Dollarization Works
Countries looking to reduce their reliance on the dollar are pursuing several strategies:
Diversifying reserves: Central banks are holding fewer U.S. dollars and increasing their holdings of other currencies, such as the euro, yen, British pound, or new alternatives such as the Chinese yuan. While the yuan's share remains small (about 2.2%), it has grown, especially among countries like Russia.
Using alternative currencies in trade: Countries are entering into bilateral or regional agreements to conduct trade in their own currencies rather than using the dollar as an intermediary. For example, China has introduced yuan-denominated oil futures (the "petroyuan") to challenge the petrodollar system. Increasing gold reserves: Many countries, including China, Russia and India, have significantly increased their purchases of gold as a safer reserve asset, reducing their dollar holdings.
Developing alternative financial systems: Some countries and blocs, such as BRICS, are working to develop alternatives to the US-dominated SWIFT payment system to avoid the risk of sanctions and gain true economic and political independence.
Reasons for de-dollarization
The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors:
Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses dollar dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty.
Rise of new economic powers: Emerging economies like China and groups like the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to U.S. influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures.
Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts like the war in Ukraine have intensified efforts by countries like Russia to remove the dollar from their reserves to avoid sanctions.
Implications and outlook
While the dollar remains dominant, a more de-dollarized world is already changing global economic power. The U.S. may lose some advantages, such as lower borrowing costs and geopolitical influence. For the U.S. economy, de-dollarization could lead to a weaker currency, higher interest rates, and reduced foreign investment, although some effects, such as inflation from a weaker dollar, could belimited .
For other countries, de-dollarization could mean greater economic independence and less exposure to U.S. policy risks. However, no currency currently matches the dollar’s liquidity, stability, and global recognition, so a full transition is unlikely in the near future .
Summary
De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce dependence on the dollar.
Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization challenges the entrenched role of the dollar but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon.
Instead, it is leading to a more multipolar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments to the U.S.
Technical task
The main technical chart is presented in a quarterly breakdown, reflecting the dynamics of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD in the long term.
With the continued positive momentum of the relative strength indicator RSI(14), flat support near the level of 0.70 and a decreasing resistance level (descending top/ flat bottom) in case of a breakout represent the possibility of price growth to 0.80, with the prospect of parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to all-time highs, in the horizon of the next five years.
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Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
XAUUSD h4 down Bearish Continuation Assumption? Maybe Not So Fast…
The chart assumes a clean, step-by-step drop to the “Support Area,” but:
There’s a liquidity gap just above current price (~3340–3360) where stop hunts could occur.
Smart money might push price higher briefly to fill orders before any major selloff.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 4H#XAUUSD 4H Trade Update
Gold continues to respect its bullish market structure, with clear Breaks of Structure (BOS) and formation of higher lows. Currently, price is consolidating around a key ascending trendline and demand zone.
📍 Entry Zone: 3,340 – 3,345
🎯 Targets: 3,370 / 3,390 / 3,400
❌ Stop-Loss: Below 3,315
This setup was shared yesterday and has since been perfectly activated as price tapped into our marked demand zone.
#Gold #Silver #ForexTrading #XAUUSD #PriceAction
DE40 H4 Analysis 23 Jul to 27 Jul - Bullish FlagDE40 Showing a bullish Flag 23,735 - 23,800. If it breaks this zone, Most probably can fly upto 24,466 and higher. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
NZDJPY “Kiwi Poised to Fly as Japan Muddles ThroughNZDJPY shows a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, with bullish structure holding near 87.20–87.25.
Key resistance targets:
87.97 (Previous high)
88.64 (Next resistance / projected fib target)
Two upside scenarios are shown:
Conservative target: ~87.97
Aggressive swing: ~88.64
If 87.00–87.20 zone holds as support, expect bullish continuation.
🧩 Current Bias: Bullish
📌 Key Fundamentals Driving NZDJPY
NZD Side (Strengthening):
RBNZ hawkish hold: RBNZ recently kept rates at 5.50% and warned that inflation remains persistent, requiring prolonged tight policy.
Resilient NZ GDP: Stronger-than-expected GDP print signals economic resilience.
Terms of trade improvement: Commodity exports holding firm, China consumption rebound showing hints of demand recovery (see recent 618 festival sales data).
AUD correlation: AUD and NZD are moving together; if AUD strengthens, NZD often follows.
JPY Side (Weakening):
BoJ remains ultra-dovish: Despite inflation trends, BoJ is hesitant to tighten further, preferring gradual tapering.
Yen under pressure from yield differentials: Global central banks (like RBNZ, Fed) remain hawkish while BoJ is not.
Geopolitical funding flows: JPY used as a funding currency amid global volatility (carry trade boost for NZDJPY).
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse the Trend
BoJ surprise tightening rhetoric (e.g. bond purchase taper announcement).
China data deterioration, hurting Kiwi sentiment.
Sharp equity sell-off and geopolitical escalation (Yen safe-haven reversal).
📅 Important News to Watch
🇳🇿 NZ Trade Balance (upcoming)
🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI (Jun 28) – Critical for BoJ policy speculation.
RBNZ or BoJ member speeches (hawkish or dovish shifts)
Fed tone shift or US dollar strength spillover
🏁 Who Leads the Move?
NZDJPY could lead among yen crosses due to the RBNZ’s clear inflation fight versus BoJ’s passive stance. NZDJPY is also more responsive to commodity and global risk-on flows than EURJPY or USDJPY.
Trading at the Market OpenTrading at the Market Open
The market open marks a critical juncture in the financial world, presenting a unique blend of opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores the essence of trading at the open across stocks, forex, and commodities. It delves into the heightened volatility and liquidity characteristic of this period, offering insights and strategies to navigate these early market hours effectively, setting the stage for trading opportunities.
What Does the Open Mean in Stocks, Forex, and Commodities?
The open signifies the start of the trading day for various financial markets. It's a time when trading activity surges, marked by a rush of orders that have accumulated since the previous close. In stock markets, this includes shares, indices, and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The influx of orders often leads to significant price movements as the market absorbs overnight news and global economic developments.
For forex and commodity markets, the open can vary by region, reflecting their 24-hour nature. This period is crucial for setting the tone of the trading day, offering insights into sentiment and potential trends. Traders closely watch the market open to gauge the strength of these movements, which can indicate broader market trends or sector-specific shifts.
Volatility and Liquidity at Market Open
Trading at the open is often marked by enhanced volatility and liquidity. Heightened volatility is primarily due to the influx of orders accumulated overnight, reacting to various global events and news. As traders and investors assimilate this information, rapid price movements are common, especially in the first few minutes of the session. These price fluctuations can present both opportunities and risks for traders.
Increased liquidity, which refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without causing significant price movements, is also a characteristic of the open. A higher number of market participants during this period may result in better order execution and tighter bid-ask spreads, particularly in highly liquid markets like forex and major stock indices.
What to Know Before the Market Opens
In terms of things to know before the stock market opens, it's essential to review the overnight and early morning news that can affect stocks. This includes company earnings reports, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. Traders also check pre-market trading activity to gauge sentiment and potential opening price movements.
For forex and commodities, understanding global events is crucial. Developments in different time zones, like policy changes by central banks or shifts in political scenarios, can significantly impact these markets. Additionally, reviewing the performance of international markets can provide insights, as they often influence the US open.
It's also vital to analyse futures markets, as they can indicate how stock indices might open. Lastly, around the forex, commodity, and stock market openings, indicators and other technical analysis tools applied to the previous day can also offer valuable context for the day ahead.
Market Open in Different Time Zones
Market open times vary globally due to different time zones, significantly impacting trading strategies. For instance, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) opens at 9:30 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to different times in other parts of the world. For traders in London, this translates to an afternoon session, while for those in Asian markets like Tokyo, it's late evening.
Forex, operating 24 hours a day during weekdays, see overlapping sessions across different regions. For example, when the Asian trading session is concluding, the European session begins and later overlaps with the North American session. Such global interconnectivity ensures that forex markets are active round the clock, offering continuous trading opportunities but also requiring traders to be mindful of time zone differences and their impact on liquidity and volatility.
Strategies for Trading at Market Open
Trading at market open requires strategies that can handle rapid price movements across all markets. Here are some effective approaches:
- Pay Attention to Pre-Market Trends: This helps traders assess how a stock might behave at the market open. If a stock is fading from post-market highs, it might be wise to wait for a trend change before entering.
- Gap and Go Strategy: This involves focusing on stocks that gap up on positive news at market open, an indicator of potential further bullishness. Traders look for high relative volume in pre-market and enter trades on a break of pre-market highs. This strategy is fast-paced and requires quick decision-making.
- Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The ORB strategy uses the early trading range (high and low) to set entry points for breakout trades across all types of assets. The breakout from this range, typically the first 30 to 60 minutes of the session, often indicates the price direction for the rest of the session. Time frames like 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute are commonly used for ORB.
- Gap Reversal: The gap reversal method is used when the price creates a gap, but then the range breaks in the opposite direction. If the gap is bullish and the price breaks the lower level of the opening range, it signals a gap reversal. The same concept applies to bearish gaps but in reverse.
The Bottom Line
In essence, understanding unique features of market open trading is vital for those participating in stock, forex, and commodity markets. The opening moments are characterised by heightened volatility and liquidity, driven by global events and sentiment. However, savvy traders may capitalise on these early market dynamics with effective strategies.
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XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations:
Support Zone:
Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move.
Targets:
Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669.
If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351.
Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone.
Indicators:
The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact