short term strategy when XAU is highCentral bank demand for gold is a key factor that has been a catalyst for the gold price rally. She said that gold continues to outperform other commodities as demand for the precious metal increases, especially from central banks in emerging markets.
The precious metal's role as a natural hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. At the same time, in an environment of geopolitical tension, gold remains the top choice.
Forexmarket
#DXY 4H On the 4-hour chart (4H) of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), the price is currently in a downtrend, indicating a strong sell opportunity.
Sell Levels: 101.200 - 101.500
The price has reached a potential selling zone between 101.200 and 101.500, which is acting as a resistance range in the current bearish trend. This is a strategic area to consider short positions as the market may struggle to break above this level.
Target Level: 99.500
The expected downside target for this move is around 99.500, a key support area where the price might find some buying interest or consolidation after the bearish move.
Key Factors:
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the price action.
Resistance: The price faces strong selling pressure near 101.200-101.500.
Momentum: Indicators like RSI and moving averages suggest the trend is firmly bearish, with room to fall toward the 99.500 support.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Look for short entries near the 101.200-101.500 range.
Target: Aim for the 99.500 level as the profit target.
Stop-loss: Consider placing a stop-loss above 101.500 to manage risk effectively.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in line with the ongoing downtrend.
FOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using RisologicalFOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using Risological
Nice forex trade (NZDUSD) on Risological.
All long trade targets done nicely on the 15m time frame.
The Trailing stop is at 0.61645, so, small portion of the trade is still open for further upward profits.
If the price closes (15m candle close) below the Risological trend line - the dotted line acting as trailing stop, that will be the sign of trend reversal and we will look at fresh short position.
Thanks and all the best.
Like and follow if this helped.
XAU spikes after newsPreviously, gold was under pressure from expectations of a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at its policy meeting next week, which is cooling down after the August consumer price index report increased.
According to the latest report, the US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the August CPI report shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Chart Analysis
Trade Recommendation: Sell
Sell Level:1.10800
Target Level : 1.09750
Overview:
The EURUSD currency pair is currently poised for a potential downtrend according to the latest daily chart analysis. We recommend entering a sell position at the level of 1.10800, which aligns with key resistance and shows signs of a potential reversal.
Target Level:
1 Target Level: 1.09750 This level represents the anticipated downside target where the price is expected to find support or experience a rebound. This target reflects a reasonable expectation based on recent price action and technical indicators.
Strategy:
Enter the sell position at 1.10800 with a stop-loss set above the recent resistance to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements.
- Monitor the price action as it approaches the target level of 1.09750. Consider adjusting your stop-loss or taking profits if the price shows signs of reversing near this target.
Outlook:
The bearish outlook is supported by recent trends and technical signals suggesting a potential decline. Stay updated with market news and economic events that could impact the EURUSD pair, and adjust your strategy as necessary.
Feel free to refine this description based on any additional insights or analysis you may have!
Forecasts are reinforcing the view that the Fed is about to cut Despite short-term volatility, the precious metal remains an attractive investment in the long term as global government debt rises and interest rates fall. The direction of gold in the coming period will largely depend on the Fed's interest rate policy. If the next US economic data remains gloomy, the Fed will cut more. This will help gold prices conquer new highs.
XAU continues to increase slightlyExperts predict that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the coming time. The August jobs report is forecast to be insufficient for the Fed to cut by 50 basis points on September 18. This is unlikely to help gold reach new peaks.
XAU price remains stable for many consecutive daysGold traders are calm on the first trading day of the week as there are several important economic events that will impact the price of the precious metal. The USD index has shown strength considering recent data, but gold traders remain optimistic that gold prices will continue to move higher as the precious metal has remained above key levels over the past week.
The price of the precious metal has traded above 2,500, a level that many traders consider to be very important for a number of reasons. First, this is an important level because it shows the strength of the overall price trend. Second, gold traders believe that as long as prices continue to trade above these key levels, there is a good chance that they will continue to move higher for the rest of the year.
Multi-Timeframe Live TradingThis strategy follows a multi-timeframe approach, using the 4-hour (H4), 1-hour (H1), and 15-minute (M15) charts.
We start with the H4 timeframe, which gives us the overall market direction. It’s important to trade in line with this timeframe whenever possible.
If there’s no change in direction on the H4, we move to the H1 to guide our next trade decision. If both the H4 and H1 show no change, we continue to follow the H4 trend.
For the Tokyo session, we're focusing on CAD/JPY, which has shifted into a short-term uptrend, despite the H4 and H1 remaining in a downtrend.
The potential trade for the London session is GBP/USD, aiming to trade the end of a bearish wave on the 15-minute chart.
Happy Trading!
EURUSD BEST ANALYSIS EUR/USD recovered last week but failed retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first Price actions from are still seen as a consolidation pattern In case of deeper retreat downside should be contained by retracement of to bring rebound Break of will resume larger rise towards high However, sustained break will indicate reversal and turn bias to the downside
Bulls are dominating the trading marketA record displaying a weakening U.S. exertions marketplace on Friday may want to assist the Fed decide whether or not to reduce hobby charges through 25 or 50 foundation factors at its subsequent meeting. Lower hobby charges could weaken the greenback however notably growth the enchantment of non-yielding property along with gold.
Gold fees have risen extra than 20% this year, hitting a height of $2,531.seventy five an oz in August. Along with expectancies of a Fed charge reduce, gold has been supported through robust retail call for and safe-haven call for because of conflicts withinside the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU stays green in the trading mapA report showing a weakening U.S. labor market on Friday could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 20% this year, hitting a peak of $2,531.75 an ounce in August. Along with expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold has been supported by strong retail demand and safe-haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU may rise further in the short termGold is under pressure from weakness in global equities. However, the trend in gold prices remains bullish and these losses are only corrective. on the yellow metal’s resistance levels above $2,510/oz and expect gold prices to break $2,543/oz soon. The current environment is risky for most popular commodities and gold offers the best protection against depreciation. Accordingly, gold stands out as the commodity where Goldman Sachs has the highest confidence in the near-term upside. They continue to maintain their upside target of $2,700/oz by early 2025 and have opened a gold trading recommendation for three reasons.
Investors are cautious as summer draws to a close.Gold’s struggles come as the US dollar, which fell to a one-year low last month and entered oversold territory, is seeing a modest shift in momentum.
While September has been a tough month for gold in recent years, analysts do not see the bullion’s bullish trend ending. Looking beyond the near-term weakness, they see central bank buying continuing to provide solid support for gold. At the same time, new investor interest will begin to pick up as the Fed begins its long-awaited monetary easing cycle this month.
XAU surges after US economic dataGold prices rose 0.8% on Thursday after a report showed U.S. payrolls fell to their lowest level since early 2021 last month. The sharp drop in new jobs suggests a weakening U.S. labor market, which could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates soon to stimulate the economy.
Friday's report showing a weakening U.S. labor market could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
short term gold volatility forecastA major US bank, believes that gold is currently a safe investment asset against inflation. They predict that by early 2025, the price of gold could increase to $2,700/ounce, equivalent to VND82 million/tael.
Central banks' gold purchases have tripled since mid-2022 due to concerns about US financial sanctions.
The upcoming interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could bring capital from the West back to the gold market, supporting higher gold prices.
Geopolitical issues and US public debt also contributed to the increase in gold prices.
Short Term XAU Trading StrategyGold stays strong with the principle uptrend withinside the quick, medium and lengthy time period. After receiving help from the principle confluence referred to with the aid of using readers withinside the preceding problem on the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, EMA21 and the decrease fringe of the rate channel, the rate has expanded to attain the restoration goal degree. The preliminary rate factor is $2,500.
Looking ahead, if gold can damage above the bottom rate of $2,500 and surpass the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, the rate will qualify for the weekly upside goal of $2,531 withinside the quick time period and then $2,544.
For the day, the bullish outlook for gold stays unchanged at a wonderful degree and could be indexed for readers as follows. Support: 2,484-2,471 USD Resistance: 2,500 - 2,503 - 2,531 USD
Short Term XAU Trading StrategyEarlier, gold fell sharply to hit a more than one-week low, pressured by a rebound in the dollar, while investors awaited US non-farm payrolls data to determine the size of the cuts at the US Federal Reserve's September policy meeting.
The dollar hovered near a two-week high, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. The market is pricing in a 63% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for September 17-18, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will sharply cut US inflation is on the decline, leading observers to expect the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates sharply for the rest of the year. In fact, US inflation remains at 2.9%, far from the Fed's target of 2%. If interest rates are cut too sharply, the monetary easing policy could cause inflation to return quickly. Therefore, as soon as there is a positive signal for the US economy, investors immediately consider the possibility of the Fed delaying the interest rate cut. The USD has a chance to recover.
Forex: EURCHF Short Trade Target 2 done!Iam not much into forex myself. But, a lot of people are messaging me to upload Forex charts. So, I will try to add some Forex charts moving forward.
Here is the EURCHF 15m short set up chart that hits target 2.
Stoploss, Trailing stoploss and profit targets are marketed for you.
Good luck and do like and share to motivate me.
Oil baby, common you can do it! Do it!FA: Historically, when the Fed rate is lowered in the U.S., there is one very simple pattern - the collapse of commodities!
Of course, there are nuances related to the rate of downgrade....
Prices do not start falling at once... most often there is a time lag from 2-3 months to 8 months.
It is important to understand the following...
The USA controls oil prices (directly or indirectly - but the fact remains). Oil reserves in the states are low but last report showed very nice numbers (actual -0.8M vs forecast -2.7M)
Now catch the train of thought:
US will start a cycle of rate cuts- US has more than enough oil reserves - historically rate cuts are a drop in oil prices
TA: After aggressive movement till 4h gap, price went down as expected with first MS, then price went up to test BTS zone and made second shift (BoS) and came into bullish 4h fvg. Now there are 3 options:
1 - move higher till 4h fvg into premium , rebalance and final move till EQL at 71.4$ area
2 - fail 73.3 area from market opening with potential move downwards till EQL
3 - Breaking above 4h FVG with target at 77.55$, this option can be considered only after closing above 4h fvg on 1h+ time frame with candle's body