Forexmarket
USDJPYUSDJPY analysis
Daily and weekly time frame
The trend of this currency is still upward in the weekly time frame, but it has decreased in the daily time frame. If the ceiling of the daily supply area is touched, the daily trend of this currency will be upward and we can still have higher goals for this currency pair. Support and resistance areas are marked on the chart.
JPY Index next week outlookThe Japanese currency continuesly doping down From march of 2020. Now in 4H timeframe already Rebound from 704.1 level. But still not tread breakout confirmation.
Within next week I expect all JPY pairs will fall down to retest the above support area. However still have FVG Between 718 - 120 levels.
NASDAQ Next week expectation #NAS100 Next week..!
The price reaches the highest level. And this should be retested. Because 13th of June reaches this price and falls down to 19,479 level.
But in a low time frame still running between the Accending channels. But the movement is bearish Because 2 times it is tested with treeline.
However once the market opens if the current 4H candle end below 19670 can go for sell to 19352 level. And the buy area located at 18753 - 18933 according to 4H timeframe
*My trading plan. Trade at your own risk good luck
GBPUSD Next week expectation #GBPUSD Next week..!
After ending Friday the pair broke the 4H support level 1.2712 - 1.2703 area. Currently running between the Decending Channel.
Next week the price will retest the above resistance area. Once the bear market is retested. Wait for selling the gbpusd as a swim trader. Scalpers can get selling in 1.27014 to 1.2657 level.
*My expectation not suggested.
AUDJPYHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in AUDJPY CHART for intraday trade entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
Just a quick note on the outlook for Chinese yuan futures...Exploring the "Condor" : A Look at the Chinese Yuan Futures
In the realm of option trading, the term "Condor" refers not to a bird of prey, but to an intricate options strategy known for its non-directional nature. This strategy, aptly named after the wide-winged condor, involves positioning four options at once, aiming to profit from low volatility in the underlying asset. The essence of the Condor strategy lies in its ability to limit both gains and losses, creating a balanced risk-reward scenario for traders who anticipate movement and price consolidation before expiration date in certain market range.
Recently, a significant portfolio was recorded on the CME exchange, with an expiration date set for October 4, 2024. This portfolio is noteworthy not only for its size but also for the expectations of its owner. The belief is that the price of the Chinese yuan futures will hover between 7.25 and 7.45, a range.
The implications of this portfolio are manifold. For one, it reflects a sentiment that could influence other traders' strategies and market expectations. Additionally, it highlights the importance of understanding options strategies like the Condor, which can be pivotal in navigating the Forex market, especially when dealing with currencies like the Chinese yuan.
As we look ahead, we will undoubtedly keep a close eye on this portfolio, analyzing its performance from the yuan's impact. Forex Traders might (better say "should") consider this a bellwether for future movements, making it a focal point for those looking to gauge market sentiment.
BTC will soon reach 73,000
From the daily level, Bitcoin has completed the support-pressure conversion. The support below is the previous small high point, so the overall trend is upward.
The trading strategy can go long at the support level of 67500-68000, and the target level is 72000-73000.
If you agree with my point of view, remember to pay attention, and leave a message if you have any questions
Foreign exchange trading skills worth collecting (Part 2)
Continuing from the previous article;
25. Observe the magnitude of market changes: When the market falls (rises) with the same small amount every day, it may be a signal of a rebound (fall).
26. The dense area is likely to form a support belt or pressure belt: The dense area can be regarded as an obstacle to slow down the market price fluctuations. Once the trading range is broken, the price will make progress. Generally speaking, the longer the trading range lasts, the greater the price movement after the breakout.
27. Significant price rises and falls are often accompanied by key reversals: When the price hits a new high on high trading volume, then falls and closes lower than the previous day, it is usually a reversal phenomenon in the uptrend. The reversal in the downtrend is that the price first goes down, then rebounds strongly on the same day, and finally closes at a higher closing price than the previous day.
28. Pay attention to the head and shoulders pattern: When a head and shoulders pattern is formed on the price chart, it is usually a signal of a big rise. The appearance of the head and shoulders will not be clear until the second shoulder rebounds or pulls back to the level.
29. Pay attention to the highest point of "M" and the lowest point of "W": When the market trend forms a large M on the price chart, it suggests that you can sell. When it forms a W, it suggests that the price will rise.
30. Buy and sell at three highs and three lows: When the market climbs to a peak for the second or third time, it is a bearish signal; otherwise, it is a bullish signal.
31. Observe changes in trading volume: When trading volume rises with price, it is a buy signal. When trading volume increases and prices fall, it is a sell signal, but when trading volume decreases, no matter how the price moves, it is a wait-and-see or expecting a reversal signal.
32. The amount of open contracts can also provide intelligence: If open contracts increase when prices rise, it is a buy signal, especially when trading volume increases at the same time. Conversely, if open contracts increase when prices fall and trading volume is large, it provides sell information.
33. Pay attention to the fact that things will turn around when they reach their extremes, and good times will come after bad times: when a rising trend is very strong, pay attention to the implicit downward trend and pay attention to negative factors at any time; when a falling trend is very weak, pay attention to the implicit recovery information, pay more attention to positive news, and beware of market reversals.
34. Carefully judge the news effect: first, judge the authenticity of the news; second, understand the timeliness of the news; third, analyze the importance of the news; and finally, study the indicative nature of the news.
35. Retire before the delivery period: Commodity prices will have relatively large fluctuations in the delivery month. Commodity trading novices should move to other commodities before this to avoid this additional risk. The potential profits during the delivery period should be sought by experienced spot market traders.
36. Buy and sell when the market breaks through the opening price: This is a good hint of price trends, especially after a major news report. A breakthrough in the opening price may indicate the trend of trading that day or in the next few days. If the market breaks through the upper limit of the opening price, buy; if the breakthrough point is at the lower limit of the opening price, sell.
37. Buy and sell at the previous day's closing price breakthrough point: Many successful traders use this rule to decide when to establish new contracts or increase contracts. It means buying only when the transaction price is higher than the previous day's closing price; or selling when the transaction price is lower than the previous day's closing price.
38. Buy and sell at the previous week's high and low price breakthrough points: This rule is similar to the daily rule mentioned above, but his high and low prices are predicted based on the high point of the week. When the market breaks through the highest point of the week, it is a buy signal; when the market breaks through the lowest point of the week, it is a sell signal.
39. Buy and sell at the previous month's high and low price breakthrough points: The longer you observe, the more market momentum your decision will be based on. Therefore, the price breakthrough point of each month is a stronger hint of price trend, which is more important for futures commodity traders or hedge traders to make or break.
40. Establish pyramid trading: When you add contracts, do not add more contracts than the first one. This is a dangerous trading technique because as long as the market reverses slightly, all your profits will be wiped out. In the inverted pyramid trading, the average cost is close to the market price, which will hurt you.
41. Be careful with stop loss orders: The use of stop loss orders is a simple self-discipline; it can help you stop losses automatically. An important factor is: when you place an order, you must also set a stop loss point at the same time. If you don’t do this, you will lose more money and increase your losses in vain.
42. The retracement in a bull market is not the same as the bear market: conversely, the rebound in the bear market is not a bull market. Most investors like to short in a bull market and believe that it will definitely retrace, and vice versa. Change the rhythm and learn to buy in the retracement in the bull market and short in the rebound of the bear market. You will get more profits.
43. Buy and sell when the price is out of the track: Some successful traders use this rule most often. They buy and sell when prices are out of the norm or beyond general expectations. If ordinary buyers and sellers believe that market prices are rising, but in fact they are not, it is usually a good sell signal, especially after important information is released. Successful traders will wait for the general public to lean to one side, and then choose the time to buy and sell in the opposite direction.
44. The market will always fluctuate in a narrow range after violent fluctuations: when the market stabilizes after a sharp rise or a heavy fall, you must observe when the actual buying or selling begins to increase steadily, so that you can understand whether the market is ready to start, and take the opportunity to get on the train and wait to earn a wave of market.
45. When the bulls are rampant, the rise will slow down: if the market is filled with strong bullish arrogance, the price will not rise easily. Why is this so? When everyone is bullish and enters the market to do more, who can buy again and push the market up? Therefore, the price can only continue to rise after the people who originally did more can't stand the price softening and exit the market.
46. Buy and sell at the breakout points of rising and falling wedges: Any trend has its own process of brewing, generation, and development. When recorded on a chart, it will take on a certain shape. Once a certain pattern is formed, it usually has a considerable enlightenment effect on the future market development. Although it is not absolute, it has a high probability and has its reference value.
47. Don't buy and sell multiple commodities at the same time: If you try to pay attention to the pulse of many markets, that is, if you want to grasp the news of several markets at the same time, you will hurt yourself. Few people can succeed in both the stock index and the grain market at the same time because they are affected by irrelevant factors.
48. Don't add to the losing commodities: No matter how confident you are, don't add contracts to the commodities that have already lost money. If you do that, it shows that you can no longer keep up with the market, but some traders disagree with this rule and prefer to believe in a price averaging technology.
49. In a bear market, put aside the statistical reports: In a bear market, you must be able to ignore all the statistical figures and focus on the market trend. You must understand that the figures to be published reflect the past, not the future. The figures to be published in the future are the results of the present and the near future.
50. The market can only give you so much, so don't hold unrealistic expectations: Some operators always hope to make every penny in the market; trying to squeeze the last drop of profit in the market, the time and energy spent are not worth it; a fish is divided into three parts: the head, the body, and the tail, and the largest part is the body; the operator only needs to find a way to eat the fish meat, and leave the head and tail for others to eat.
I hope it helps you. The rest will be updated in new articles. If you need it, you can check it on the homepage after following it.
USDCAD tm:1hHello traders.
I hope you doing well.
These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you.
Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area.
Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account.
But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading.
I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas.
Good luck traders.
Mohammad Goodarzi
USD/JPY: Ride this Third wave Decline.The decline from 160.24 high subdivides into five waves. This move is significant as it identifies the dominant trend as down. The technical name for this pattern is a leading diagonal.
The subsequent three-wave price action unfolding in USD/JPY supports this bearish conviction. Countertrend price action commonly subdivides into a three. It is often slow, choppy and typically contained within a parallel channel. The technical name for this rally is a Zigzag pullback.
As illustrated earlier in my education ideas, in zigzag formations, the upper boundary of a parallel channel often projects the end of wave C with dramatic precision.
Moreover at 158.52, wave C would equal the length of wave A which is a common Fibonacci relationship in zigzag formations.
It is also the case that when a leading diagonal occurs in wave (1) position of an impulse, it is sharply retraced by a zigzag correction with 61.8% and 78.6% levels common targets. Although not shown,the 78.6% retracement level corresponds to the upper boundary of the trend channel and wave C equality target.
So in anticipation of wave (3) decline; a trader's bread and butter, the recommendation is to short at or near the 61.8% retracement level. The Protective Stop will be placed at 160.24; the origin of this decline. Why? Wave (2) of an impulse can NOT retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
The target for this trade is a drop of at least 13.58 as in (160.24 - 151.83) X 1.618. Why? As a guideline, wave (3) of an impulse often extends and commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the (1). A Risk: Reward of 1:3
Working with 153.60 as our key level. A break below this level would hint that wave (2) is over and wave (3) to the downside is underway.
Have a profitable trading week!
IDEA FOR XAUUSD / GOLD www.tradingview.com
On the 1-hour chart (H1), XAUUSD is moving within a bullish falling wedge pattern that is set against the backdrop of an ascending channel. The price is currently challenging the upper boundary of the wedge and the resistance level at 2420.
- On the upside: Should the price break above the 2422 resistance, the subsequent target is anticipated to be at 2450;
- On the downside: Conversely, if a downward correction takes place, the price might break through the 2408 support, potentially aiming for the 2397 and 2378 levels.
How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence.
1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification
When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable.
2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification.
Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding.
3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification
Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel.
That's all for today. Trade wisely!