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#USDJPY 4HUSDJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently respecting a trendline support, indicating that buyers are maintaining control. Additionally, the presence of a buy engulfing area suggests strong bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price continues to hold above the trendline support, confirming bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the trendline support after confirmation of bullish price action. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline support to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The combination of trendline support and a buy engulfing area indicates strong buying interest. A confirmed bullish move from this level can provide better validation for a buy setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
5
#USDCHF 4HUSDCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently respecting a channel support, indicating that buyers are holding the price within the upward structure. This suggests that the market may continue its upward movement as long as the support remains intact. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling potential bullish continuation. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the channel support after confirmation of bullish price action. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The channel support suggests that buyers are still active in the market. A strong rejection from this level can provide better confirmation for a buy setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
#DXY 4HDXY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a potential upward move could follow if the price breaks above the wedge resistance. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, signaling increased bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The falling wedge suggests potential bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout with strong price action can provide better validation for the buy setup.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
ETHUSD surely analysis 1. Support and Resistance Reliability The analysis assumes a strong support zone at the lower level and a firm resistance at the top. However, support and resistance levels are not static—they can be invalidated if momentum is strong If the price revisits support too many times, it could break down instead of bouncing. 2. Repetitive Range-Bound Expectation The chart predicts multiple rejections at the middle resistance before a breakout. Markets don’t always behave in such a predictable pattern—sideways action could lead to a sudden breakdown instead of a breakout. 3. Lack of Volume & Trend Confirmation There's no volume analysis to confirm if support and resistance levels are strong. A higher time frame (1H or 4H) analysis would help validate if this is just consolidation or a genuine trend reversal. 4. Breakout vs. Fakeout Possibility The projection assumes a clean breakout above resistance. However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, where price moves above resistance, traps buyers, and then reverses sharply. A liquidity grab above resistance could lead to a drop instead of a rally. Alternative Perspective Instead of assuming a clear upward movement, consider two scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: If volume supports the breakout, enter after a successful retest of resistance as support. 2. Bearish Case: If the breakout fails (fakeout), expect a retest and breakdown, leading to a lower support level
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone: The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop. The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum. 2. Bearish Projection Bias: The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly. The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames. 3. Support Level Stability: While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down. It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance. 4. Short Time Frame Limitations: The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise. A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends. 5. Missing Confirmation Factors: No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis. Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal. Alternative View: Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered. A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBP/USD Approaching Key Reversal ZoneThe GBP/USD pair has reached a critical resistance area around 1.2658, aligning with the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level of the harmonic Gartley pattern. The price action suggests potential exhaustion in the bullish trend, with signs of rejection near this level. A confirmed reversal could lead to a corrective move towards key support zones at 1.2456 and 1.2320. However, if the pair sustains above 1.2685, further upside towards 1.2732 and the HOP level at 1.2843 remains possible.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider: 1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through. 2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider: A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally. A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction. A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply. 4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices. 5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include: Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge. Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase. Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area. Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives: 1. False Breakout Possibility: Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario. Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias. 2. Resistance Strength: The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate. A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside. 3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case: If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside. Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume. 4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors: Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply. 3. Liquidity Grab Possibility The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout. 4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move. Alternative Outlook If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping. Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected: The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal. 2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout: Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward. 3. Support Might Not Hold: The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower. 4. Trendline Trap: The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
#GBPCHF 4HGBPCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. This suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, and a potential downside move could follow if the price breaks below the lower trendline. Forecast: A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakdown from the rising wedge pattern, signaling increased selling pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered after a confirmed breakdown below the wedge support. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to minimize risk. - Take Profit: Target key support levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The rising wedge indicates potential bearish momentum. A confirmed breakdown with strong price action can provide better validation for the sell setup.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#EURNZD 4HEURNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation pattern. This indicates that the market is in a temporary consolidation phase before potentially resuming its previous upward trend. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the flag resistance, confirming bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the flag pattern. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to minimize risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance zones based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward movement. Waiting for a breakout confirmation will help validate the trade setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
3
USDJPY - Feb 19 2025 Sell position- CLASSIC!Hey everyone! It's been a while since I last posted—I've been busy refining my prop firm account this 2025. Since January 9, USDJPY has been in a successful distribution phase, so I'm now shifting my HTF bias to a sell position. - Currently riding sell positions targeting 1:2R, 1:3R, and 1:5R (intraday trades). Check the charts for details—just a simple price manipulation setup. This time, though, London got manipulated instead of the Asian session. Classic 1:5RR move! #consistency #tradeforaliving #rightpsychology
Short
by glyrad
#GBPJPY 1DAYGBPJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating consolidation and decreasing volatility. This pattern suggests that the market is in indecision, and a breakout in either direction could lead to a strong move. Forecast: A breakout on either side will determine the next direction. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering a position. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered if the price breaks above the upper trendline, while a sell position can be considered if the price breaks below the lower trendline. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key support or resistance levels based on the breakout direction. Market Sentiment: The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests that momentum is building up, and a strong move is expected after a breakout. Waiting for a clear confirmation will help avoid false signals.
by PIPSFIGHTER