BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward.
Key Technical Zones:
- Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply.
- Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact.
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up.
Current Outlook:
- Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound.
- If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576.
Next Target: 95,576
Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
Forexmarket
GOLD UPWARD COMING SOON Gold (XAU/USD) shows the price currently trading within a defined range between the support level at 3272.581 and the resistance zone around 3367.926.
Technical Highlights:
- Support Level: Strong demand seen around 3272.581 where price has previously rebounded.
- Resistance Zone: 3367.926 marks a key supply area that has held several past tests.
- Current Structure: A bullish corrective move appears underway with the potential to test the target area at 3338.838, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
- Price Behavior: Recent rejection from the support zone indicates bullish pressure; if momentum holds, price is likely to challenge the next resistance.
Next Target: 3338.838
Outlook: If gold sustains above the mid-range support, bullish continuation toward 3338.838 is favored. However, price must break minor resistance cleanly for further upside confirmation.
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XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context:
Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe).
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332
Current Price: 3,312.650
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend & Moving Averages:
EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment.
Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term.
2. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370
Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders.
Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305
Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers.
Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275
A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested.
3. Price Action:
Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness.
A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal.
4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection):
Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts).
A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected.
This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management.
📈 Trade Outlook:
🟢 Bullish Bias:
If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly.
Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Bias:
If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower.
Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250.
✅ Conclusion:
Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds.
Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295.
Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
#USDCAD 1HUSDCAD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above a key resistance level and is currently showing signs of a retest. A successful retest of the broken resistance as support indicates that buyers are maintaining control, suggesting potential for further upward movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity can be considered if the price confirms the retest and starts to show bullish momentum, supporting the continuation of the breakout move.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Look for buying signals around the retest area of the previous resistance turned support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest support zone to manage downside risk.
- Take Profit: Aim for higher resistance zones or key Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout followed by a retest suggests a shift toward bullish sentiment. However, proper confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators is advised before entering the trade.
#USOIL 4HUSOIL (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The chart is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is an important support zone to monitor.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may be considered if the price breaks and closes below the neckline with confirmation. This breakdown could indicate the start of a bearish trend continuation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Look for a sell setup once the neckline is broken and retested as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Positioned above the right shoulder to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target nearby support zones or use a measured move technique based on the pattern's height.
Market Sentiment:
As long as the neckline holds and the breakdown is confirmed, bearish momentum is likely. A failure to break below the neckline would delay or invalidate the selling setup.
#XAGUSD 1HXAGUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is approaching a key resistance zone on the 1-hour timeframe. Previous reactions at this level suggest that sellers have been active, making it an important area to monitor for potential price rejection.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may be considered if the price gets rejected from the resistance area with bearish confirmation signals. A failure to break above the resistance could lead to downward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider selling near the resistance zone after clear confirmation of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Positioned above the resistance area to protect against unexpected breakouts.
- Take Profit: Aim for nearby support levels or previous lows.
Market Sentiment:
As long as the price respects the resistance level and bearish confirmations appear, selling pressure could increase. A clear breakout above resistance would invalidate the current bearish setup.
USOILOil shows price moving between a clear support level and a strong order block resistance above. Currently, price is trading inside a resistance zone around 63.25.
The chart indicates a potential bullish move, targeting the 64.22 level, where the order block resides.
Key Technical Points:
- Support Level: Strong demand area near 62.00.
- FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gap filled below current price.
- Resistance Zone: Price facing resistance around 63.00-63.50.
- Order Block: Major target area near 64.22.
Target Projection: $64.22
Outlook:
If buyers sustain momentum above the resistance zone, we could see a rally toward the 64.22 target at the order block. Confirmation of a breakout and retest would strengthen the bullish bias.
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BTCUSD Bitcoin (BTC/USD) highlights price movement between a key resistance zone and a strong support level. Price has currently pushed back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 94,600, setting up a potential short-term reversal.
The expectation shown on the chart is for price to react from the FVG/resistance area and move lower toward the support level, targeting around 92,947.
Key Technical Points:
- Resistance Zone: 95,500 -95,750
- FVG Area: Current price is testing imbalance at 94,600.
- Support Level: Strong demand zone near92,750.
- Target Projection: $92,947
Outlook: Price is likely to face selling pressure around the FVG and resistance zone, leading to a possible drop towards the support zone. Traders should monitor bearish confirmations for potential short opportunities.
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GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) shows price action ranging between a strong support level and a visible order block above. Price recently tested the support zone near 3,260.000, showing potential signs of a bullish reaction.
The chart highlights a possible upward move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, targeting around 3325.626.
Key Technical Points:
- Support Level: Price bounced from the 3,260.000 zone.
- FVG Area: Gap available for price to fill up toward 3325.626.
- Order Block: Major resistance near the 3,440.000 region.
- Structure: A potential bullish short-term recovery setup.
Target Projection: $3325.626
If buyers maintain control around the current support, we could see a move into the FVG before facing major resistance at the order block above. Watch closely for bullish confirmations or possible rejections around the FVG area.
Will the EUR/USD find support and rally or give up it's run?In this video I go over EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, NVDA & SPX.
With an overall bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar, I'm watching for support to hold above 1.1200 on the EUR/USD in order to continue the rally.
Although a pullback was expected after an aggressive up move over the span of 3 weeks, this will be interesting with a good amount of economic data set to release beginning on Tuesday.
We'll see if Bulls hold up or if Bears decide to show some strength.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
SILVER Silver (XAG/USD) shows a potential bearish correction setup forming after rejection from the upper resistance channel. Price is currently consolidating below the resistance zone after testing the upper band and is projected to move downward toward the order block and potentially the support trendline.
The chart suggests a bearish move targeting the next level at 32.8153, which aligns with a confluence of support between the lower trendline and the order block zone.
Key Technical Elements:
- Resistance Zone: Price failed to break above33.70, confirming a strong supply area.
- Bearish Projection: Lower highs and consolidation hint at possible downside movement.
- Next Target: 32.8153
- Order Block Trendline Support: Could serve as a bounce zone or continuation support.
Outlook: If price breaks below the intermediate channel support, it may trigger further downside toward32.81. However, watch for reactions around the order block for potential bullish reversals. This setup is ideal for short-term traders monitoring key levels for entry and risk control.
USOILThis chart for WTI Crude Oil presents a bullish continuation setup following a rebound from the support level around 61.50. After breaking above a minor consolidation range, price is now retracing slightly before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The chart highlights a target at63.95, just below the upper resistance zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area.
Technical Breakdown:
- Support Level: Firm bounce near 61.50, confirming demand.
- Minor Breakout: Price broke above local structure and retesting for continuation.
- Resistance Zone: Located near64.00, target aligns with historical supply.
- Next Target: 63.95
Volume spikes during the bounce suggest strong buyer interest. A clean break and hold above 63.00 could open the path toward the $63.95 target. Traders may look for bullish price action confirmation for entry.
GOLD
This Gold (XAU/USD) outlines a bullish retracement setup, targeting a potential move toward the order block around 3,373.348. After bouncing from the support level near3,280, price is consolidating in a tight range and showing signs of upward momentum.
The move aims to revisit the order block, which previously acted as a breakdown zone. If price successfully reaches and reacts from this level, it may also attempt to fill the nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG) above.
Key Technical Zones:
- Support Level: Around 3,280, where buyers stepped in.
- Order Block: Immediate resistance and primary target at3,373.
- FVG Zone Above: Suggests a potential bullish continuation if broken.
Short-Term Target: 3,373.348
If momentum holds, a breakout above the order block may expose price to further upside toward3,440 and beyond.
Traders can watch for breakout confirmation or signs of rejection at the order block for the next directional cue.
Canadian Dollar vs. US Dollar. The Spring Is Compressing.In previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key drivers of the US outperformance over the past decade.
The US market dominance has been largely driven by the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach and significant investor inflows.
Unsatisfactory International Performance
Markets outside the US have faced headwinds including multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger US dollar and the declining influence of high-growth tech sectors.
The Valuation Gap
By 2025, US equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future.
Recent Shifts (2025 Trend)
Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also widely dominated by the US dollar.
Factors include optimism around the following three big themes.
DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION.
De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the world's dominant reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend implies a shift away from the central role of the US dollar in global economic transactions to alternative currencies, assets, or financial systems.
Historical context and significance of the US dollar
The US dollar became the world's primary reserve currency after World War II, as enshrined in the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944. This system pegged other currencies to the dollar, which was convertible into gold, making the dollar the backbone of international finance. The United States became the world's leading economic power, and the dollar replaced the British pound sterling as the dominant currency for global trade and reserves.
The dollar has been the most widely held reserve currency for decades. As of the end of 2024, it still accounts for about 57% of global foreign exchange reserves, far more than the euro (20%) and the Japanese yen (6%). However, this share has fallen from over 70% in 2001, signaling a gradual shift and prompting discussions about de-dollarization.
How De-Dollarization Works
Countries looking to reduce their reliance on the dollar are pursuing several strategies:
Diversifying reserves: Central banks are holding fewer U.S. dollars and increasing their holdings of other currencies, such as the euro, yen, British pound, or new alternatives such as the Chinese yuan. While the yuan's share remains small (about 2.2%), it has grown, especially among countries like Russia.
Using alternative currencies in trade: Countries are entering into bilateral or regional agreements to conduct trade in their own currencies rather than using the dollar as an intermediary. For example, China has introduced yuan-denominated oil futures (the "petroyuan") to challenge the petrodollar system. Increasing gold reserves: Many countries, including China, Russia and India, have significantly increased their purchases of gold as a safer reserve asset, reducing their dollar holdings.
Developing alternative financial systems: Some countries and blocs, such as BRICS, are working to develop alternatives to the US-dominated SWIFT payment system to avoid the risk of sanctions and gain true economic and political independence.
Reasons for de-dollarization
The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors:
Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses dollar dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty.
Rise of new economic powers: Emerging economies like China and groups like the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to U.S. influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures.
Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts like the war in Ukraine have intensified efforts by countries like Russia to remove the dollar from their reserves to avoid sanctions.
Implications and outlook
While the dollar remains dominant, a more de-dollarized world is already changing global economic power. The U.S. may lose some advantages, such as lower borrowing costs and geopolitical influence. For the U.S. economy, de-dollarization could lead to a weaker currency, higher interest rates, and reduced foreign investment, although some effects, such as inflation from a weaker dollar, could belimited .
For other countries, de-dollarization could mean greater economic independence and less exposure to U.S. policy risks. However, no currency currently matches the dollar’s liquidity, stability, and global recognition, so a full transition is unlikely in the near future .
Summary
De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce dependence on the dollar.
Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization challenges the entrenched role of the dollar but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon.
Instead, it is leading to a more multipolar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments to the U.S.
Technical task
The main technical chart is presented in a quarterly breakdown, reflecting the dynamics of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD in the long term.
With the continued positive momentum of the relative strength indicator RSI(14), flat support near the level of 0.70 and a decreasing resistance level (descending top/ flat bottom) in case of a breakout represent the possibility of price growth to 0.80, with the prospect of parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to all-time highs, in the horizon of the next five years.
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Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold at the $3394-3392 level citing the presence of an engulfingGold Buying Opportunity Analysis
Considering buying gold at the $3394-3392 level, citing the presence of an engulfing buy filter zone that indicates pending buying orders. This technical setup suggests potential support at this level, which could lead to a price bounce.
Potential Upside:
- Conservative estimate: 40-70 pips
- Optimistic scenario: up to 100 pips or more, depending on market conditions and momentum
Key Factors to Consider:
1. Engulfing buy filter zone: This technical indicator suggests buying interest at this level.
2. Pending buying orders: These orders could contribute to a price increase if executed.
3. Market sentiment: Overall market conditions, news, and trends will influence gold's price movement.
Important Reminder:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor if needed. Trading carries risks, and it's crucial to manage your positions responsibly.
Next Steps:
You'll be waiting for the market to reach the specified level. If it does, carefully evaluate the market conditions and make an informed decision based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance.
How do you plan to manage your trade, and what are your risk management strategies?
USOIL Chart Overview:
WTI Crude is trading around 61.44, consolidating inside a key resistance zone near62.00. After a strong bullish impulse, price has stalled under this resistance, forming both bullish and bearish paths, highlighting a conflicting market structure
Key Discrepations Identified:
1. Bullish Momentum vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Continuation to 64+ after breakout.
- Reality: Price is struggling below resistance, rejecting upper boundary multiple times.
- Discrepation: Bullish momentum is slowing, and repeated rejections are exposing potential reversal pressure.
2. Volume Strength vs. Breakout Potential
- Volume d…
- Visually this implies strength, but price is hovering in indecision, neither breaking up nor down convincingly.
- Discrepation: Chart setup shows both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown possibilities, confusing structure
4. Double Scenario Projection
- The projection shows both:
- A bullish breakout to 64.
- A rejection and selloff to 58.
- Discrepation: Market is giving mixed technical signals, suggesting traders should wait for confirmation before committing
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expectation | Observed Reality | Discrepation | Projection Conflict | Clear trend continuation | Dual projection shown | Market indecision + low conviction |
📉 Conclusion:
While WTI remains inside a short-term bullish structure, the presence of conflicting breakout signals, resistance rejections, and declining volume point toward a discrepation. Traders should watch the 62.00 resistance zone closely. A clear rejection or breakout will resolve this divergence, with downside targeting 58.00, and upside toward $64.00.
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BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
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GOLD The chart shows price moving in a tight consolidation zone between the resistance area near 3,245 and support at3,213. While the price has tested the resistance multiple times, it has failed to break out decisively, indicating possible bearish weakness emerging.
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🔍 Discrepation Zones (Key Conflicts):
1. Price vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Breakout continuation above $3,245 due to repeated testing.
- Actual: Price rejected again after touching resistance.
- Discrepation: Buyers are unable to sustain upward momentum, revealing fading bullish strength despite frequent attempts.
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2. Volume Behavior vs. Price Actio…
This hidden bearishness suggests sellers may be stepping in before each breakout attempt completes.
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4. Target Discrepancy at3213.070
- While current price appears stable, the projection clearly anticipates a pullback to 3213.070.
- This level sits just above a major support block, marking a key imbalance between current consolidation and the expected move down.
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🧭 Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expected Behavior | Observed Behavior | Discrepation |
|————————–|——————————-|————————————-|———————————————|
| Resistance Test | Breakout after repeated tests | Another rejection | Buyers failing to gain momentum |
| Volume Analysis | Increased …
: Gold is showing signs of hidden bearish pressure. Although still inside a range, multiple failed breakout attempts, declining volume, and a projected drop to3213.070 point to a clear discrepation between expected bullish continuation and emerging bearish signals.
📌 Watch how price behaves near the $3,230 level. A decisive break could validate the bearish target, especially if volume increases on the move down.
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