Forexpositive
EURUSD LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWN SHORTEUR/USD bounces off 1.1300, Dollar turns red
After bottoming out near the 1.1300 region, EUR/USD now regains upside traction and advances to the 1.1370 area on the back of the ongoing knee-jerk in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants continue to closely follow news surrounding the US-China trade war.
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
GOLD The chart shows price moving in a tight consolidation zone between the resistance area near 3,245 and support at3,213. While the price has tested the resistance multiple times, it has failed to break out decisively, indicating possible bearish weakness emerging.
---
🔍 Discrepation Zones (Key Conflicts):
1. Price vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Breakout continuation above $3,245 due to repeated testing.
- Actual: Price rejected again after touching resistance.
- Discrepation: Buyers are unable to sustain upward momentum, revealing fading bullish strength despite frequent attempts.
---
2. Volume Behavior vs. Price Actio…
This hidden bearishness suggests sellers may be stepping in before each breakout attempt completes.
—
4. Target Discrepancy at3213.070
- While current price appears stable, the projection clearly anticipates a pullback to 3213.070.
- This level sits just above a major support block, marking a key imbalance between current consolidation and the expected move down.
—
🧭 Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expected Behavior | Observed Behavior | Discrepation |
|————————–|——————————-|————————————-|———————————————|
| Resistance Test | Breakout after repeated tests | Another rejection | Buyers failing to gain momentum |
| Volume Analysis | Increased …
: Gold is showing signs of hidden bearish pressure. Although still inside a range, multiple failed breakout attempts, declining volume, and a projected drop to3213.070 point to a clear discrepation between expected bullish continuation and emerging bearish signals.
📌 Watch how price behaves near the $3,230 level. A decisive break could validate the bearish target, especially if volume increases on the move down.
Let me know if you want this turned into a social post or shorter caption!
euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown:
The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal.
2. False Breakout at Resistance:
The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap.
3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation):
The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
GOLD NEXT MOVESpelling Mistakes: "SOPPRT" should be "SUPPORT."
Lack of Bearish Scenario: The chart assumes an upward movement, but what happens if price fails to hold the support zones?
Volume Analysis Missing: Volume is shown, but its role in confirming trends is unclear. A breakout with high volume would be more reliable.
2. Alternative Perspective
Possible Fakeout: The price may not break resistance and could retrace.
Stronger Rejection?: The price might struggle at the resistance zone rather than pushing through easily.
XAU GOLD TRADE REVIEW AND LIVE BREAK DOWN AND TEACHING LONGGold price rallies over 0.7% and ekes out a fresh all-time high at $3,086.
Markets are heading into safe-haven Gold while Equities and Cryptocurrencies drop.
Gold traders are now targeting $3,100 in the near term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are exiting Equity and Crypto positions. From here, the next big psychological target and level to beat will be $3,100.
eurjpy analysis ellio. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD BUYWe have a specific type of divergence on the 1-hour timeframe ⏳, indicating a potential drop 📉 in the higher timeframe. On the other hand, the lower 15-minute timeframe 🕒 gives us a buying perspective 📈. So, the analysis will be as shown in the image.
#audusd #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TradingAnalysis 💹
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential:
Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area).
Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070.
2. Support Holding Strong:
Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range.
Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection.
3. Sideways Consolidation:
Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves).
Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario.
Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward.
Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated.
Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
XAUUSD BUY AGAIN ALL TIEM HIGHFakeout Possibility:
The price has sharply surged, but it may be a liquidity grab before a reversal.
If buyers fail to hold above the first support zone, a deeper drop could occur.
Resistance Strength:
The resistance zones above are historically strong, making a breakout difficult.
If momentum weakens before reaching the first target, a rejection is likely.
Potential Double Top Formation:
If price retests resistance without breaking, a double top pattern could form.
This could trigger a reversal towards the lower support levels.
Volume Confirmation:
If there is decreasing bullish volume as price climbs, it may indicate a false rally.
Strong bearish volume appearing at resistance would support a reversal
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish)
Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout
The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal.
If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally.
Support Failure Instead of Bounce
The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead.
A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below).
Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend
If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal.
The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop.
Fundamental Risks
Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally.
If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
gbpaud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
"EUR/USD Bearish Breakdown – Targeting 1.0802 Support"This chart is a 30-minute timeframe analysis of EUR/USD, showing a potential bearish move.
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Red Highlighted Area ~1.0856)
Price attempted to break above but got rejected multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
Break & Retest Formation
The price has dropped below 1.0836 and is now testing this level as resistance.
This suggests a classic break-and-retest pattern, which could lead to further downside movement.
Bearish Expectation (Red Arrow & Green Zone)
The chart suggests a short position, with a target around 1.0802 (blue horizontal support).
The stop-loss is placed above 1.0856 (resistance), minimizing risk.
Trade Setup Analysis:
Entry: Below 1.0836, after confirmation of resistance hold.
Stop-Loss: Above 1.0856 (previous resistance).
Take-Profit: Around 1.0802 (support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the target is significantly lower than the stop level.
Conclusion:
This is a bearish setup with expectations of further downside towards 1.0802. However, if price reclaims 1.0856, the setup might become invalid, and bulls could regain control. Let me know if you need further insights! 📉🔥
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel
The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection.
If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce.
2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected
The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic.
Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move.
3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis
There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying.
RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal.
4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup
The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.).
If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones.
Possible Alternative Scenario
A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
XAUUSD buy now 1. Support Adjustment:
The current support area is around 2,900, but if you want more distance, you might consider a lower range, around 2,880–2,895 for a stronger support base.
2. Resistance Adjustment:
The resistance is currently around 2,940. You could extend it further upwards, possibly in the 2,950–2,960 range, to create more distance between support and resistance.
MY analysis on Gold in 1H chart its again downwords gold xauusd is in downword we can take sell positions for some time as it almost touches the EMA200 and again going downwords .
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout:
The price was previously in a descending channel (marked in blue).
A breakout to the upside occurred, signaling a potential reversal or retracement.
200 EMA Resistance (Blue Line at ~2897):
The price approached the 200 EMA, which is a strong dynamic resistance.
The rejection at this level (highlighted by the red arrow) suggests selling pressure.
Bearish Rejection (Yellow Circle & Red Arrow):
A wick at the 200 EMA shows that buyers attempted to push higher but faced resistance.
This could be a sign of a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Potential Downside Target (Blue & Red Zones):
A short-term support zone is marked in blue, where price might retest.
A larger support block (red zone) indicates a deeper pullback if bearish momentum continues.
Volume Increasing:
Volume is rising, which could indicate stronger price action, whether continuation or reversal.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bearish Case (Most Likely):
If price continues to reject the 200 EMA, it could drop toward the red support zone (~2,860-2,870).
A break below this level could lead to further downside.
Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If price reclaims the 200 EMA and holds above it, it could target the next resistance zone (~2,920).
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 200 EMA unless price breaks above.
Potential Trade: Watch for a retest of the blue zone for a possible short entry targeting the red support block.
Would you like an entry/exit plan based on this setup?
Kingprotrader: Gold Spot (USD) 1H: Bearish Momentum
1. **Current Price & Movement:**
- Gold is trading at **2,861.880 USD**, down **0.53%** (-15.290) in the past hour.
- Short-term bearish momentum is evident, but key support/resistance levels should be monitored for trend confirmation.
2. **EMA (200, close) Analysis:**
- The listed EMA values (2,954.172 to 2,861.880) are descending, indicating a **downtrend** over the 200-period horizon.
- The current price aligns with the **200 EMA (2,861.880)**, suggesting this level is acting as **dynamic support/resistance**. A sustained break below could signal further downside, while a rebound might hint at a trend reversal.
3. **Key Levels:**
- **Immediate Support**: **2,825.000** (critical level to watch; a breach could accelerate selling pressure).
- **Upper Resistance Levels**: 2,900.000 and 2,921.335 (potential targets if price reverses upward).
5. **Conclusion:**
- **Bearish bias** dominates due to the descending EMA structure and recent price decline.
- Monitor the **200 EMA (2,861.880)** and Risk management (stop-losses) is critical due to volatility.
XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity
The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold.
2. Support & Resistance Strength
The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong.
The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there?
3. Alternative Scenarios
What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation.
Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below.
4. Fundamental Factors
Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?