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XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation) • Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence). • Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip. ⸻ 2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce • Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down. • Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone. ⸻ 3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure • Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context. • Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly. ⸻ 4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally • Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case. • Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support. ⸻ 5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break • Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move. • Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range. Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection. 2. Support Zones Too Close Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias 4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections 5. Lack of Fundamental Context • Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
Long
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias 1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram. This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation. 2. Oversold Market Conditions Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion. A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187. 3. Failed Breakdown Possibility Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap. If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap. 4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading. If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement. 5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles. Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown. Alternative Bullish Scenario If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be: 3,293 (Resistance) Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD). Key Technical Highlights: - Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection. - Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity. - Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal. Projected Move: The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance. If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone. Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
USOILOil shows price moving between a clear support level and a strong order block resistance above. Currently, price is trading inside a resistance zone around 63.25. The chart indicates a potential bullish move, targeting the 64.22 level, where the order block resides. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Strong demand area near 62.00. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gap filled below current price. - Resistance Zone: Price facing resistance around 63.00-63.50. - Order Block: Major target area near 64.22. Target Projection: $64.22 Outlook: If buyers sustain momentum above the resistance zone, we could see a rally toward the 64.22 target at the order block. Confirmation of a breakout and retest would strengthen the bullish bias. Would you like me to also create a quick short caption for social media posting?
TVC:USOILLong
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) shows price action ranging between a strong support level and a visible order block above. Price recently tested the support zone near 3,260.000, showing potential signs of a bullish reaction. The chart highlights a possible upward move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, targeting around 3325.626. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Price bounced from the 3,260.000 zone. - FVG Area: Gap available for price to fill up toward 3325.626. - Order Block: Major resistance near the 3,440.000 region. - Structure: A potential bullish short-term recovery setup. Target Projection: $3325.626 If buyers maintain control around the current support, we could see a move into the FVG before facing major resistance at the order block above. Watch closely for bullish confirmations or possible rejections around the FVG area.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
SILVER Silver (XAG/USD) shows a potential bearish correction setup forming after rejection from the upper resistance channel. Price is currently consolidating below the resistance zone after testing the upper band and is projected to move downward toward the order block and potentially the support trendline. The chart suggests a bearish move targeting the next level at 32.8153, which aligns with a confluence of support between the lower trendline and the order block zone. Key Technical Elements: - Resistance Zone: Price failed to break above33.70, confirming a strong supply area. - Bearish Projection: Lower highs and consolidation hint at possible downside movement. - Next Target: 32.8153 - Order Block Trendline Support: Could serve as a bounce zone or continuation support. Outlook: If price breaks below the intermediate channel support, it may trigger further downside toward32.81. However, watch for reactions around the order block for potential bullish reversals. This setup is ideal for short-term traders monitoring key levels for entry and risk control.
TVC:SILVERShort
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD This Gold (XAU/USD) outlines a bullish retracement setup, targeting a potential move toward the order block around 3,373.348. After bouncing from the support level near3,280, price is consolidating in a tight range and showing signs of upward momentum. The move aims to revisit the order block, which previously acted as a breakdown zone. If price successfully reaches and reacts from this level, it may also attempt to fill the nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG) above. Key Technical Zones: - Support Level: Around 3,280, where buyers stepped in. - Order Block: Immediate resistance and primary target at3,373. - FVG Zone Above: Suggests a potential bullish continuation if broken. Short-Term Target: 3,373.348 If momentum holds, a breakout above the order block may expose price to further upside toward3,440 and beyond. Traders can watch for breakout confirmation or signs of rejection at the order block for the next directional cue.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move. Discrepation Breakdown: 1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction - Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone. - Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion. - Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen… - Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices. - Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook. 4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap - FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement. - Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible. Discrepation Summary Table: | Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict | Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top … Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline. Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD The chart shows price moving in a tight consolidation zone between the resistance area near 3,245 and support at3,213. While the price has tested the resistance multiple times, it has failed to break out decisively, indicating possible bearish weakness emerging. --- 🔍 Discrepation Zones (Key Conflicts): 1. Price vs. Resistance Reaction - Expected: Breakout continuation above $3,245 due to repeated testing. - Actual: Price rejected again after touching resistance. - Discrepation: Buyers are unable to sustain upward momentum, revealing fading bullish strength despite frequent attempts. --- 2. Volume Behavior vs. Price Actio… This hidden bearishness suggests sellers may be stepping in before each breakout attempt completes. — 4. Target Discrepancy at3213.070 - While current price appears stable, the projection clearly anticipates a pullback to 3213.070. - This level sits just above a major support block, marking a key imbalance between current consolidation and the expected move down. — 🧭 Discrepation Summary Table: | Element | Expected Behavior | Observed Behavior | Discrepation | |————————–|——————————-|————————————-|———————————————| | Resistance Test | Breakout after repeated tests | Another rejection | Buyers failing to gain momentum | | Volume Analysis | Increased … : Gold is showing signs of hidden bearish pressure. Although still inside a range, multiple failed breakout attempts, declining volume, and a projected drop to3213.070 point to a clear discrepation between expected bullish continuation and emerging bearish signals. 📌 Watch how price behaves near the $3,230 level. A decisive break could validate the bearish target, especially if volume increases on the move down. Let me know if you want this turned into a social post or shorter caption!
TVC:GOLDShort
by EXPERT117Ai
1
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown: The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal. 2. False Breakout at Resistance: The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap. 3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation): The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance. 4. Fundamental Factors: Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
GOLD NEXT MOVESpelling Mistakes: "SOPPRT" should be "SUPPORT." Lack of Bearish Scenario: The chart assumes an upward movement, but what happens if price fails to hold the support zones? Volume Analysis Missing: Volume is shown, but its role in confirming trends is unclear. A breakout with high volume would be more reliable. 2. Alternative Perspective Possible Fakeout: The price may not break resistance and could retrace. Stronger Rejection?: The price might struggle at the resistance zone rather than pushing through easily.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAU GOLD TRADE REVIEW AND LIVE BREAK DOWN AND TEACHING LONGGold price rallies over 0.7% and ekes out a fresh all-time high at $3,086. Markets are heading into safe-haven Gold while Equities and Cryptocurrencies drop. Gold traders are now targeting $3,100 in the near term. Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are exiting Equity and Crypto positions. From here, the next big psychological target and level to beat will be $3,100.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THEPROTRADERZA
1
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential: Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area). Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070. 2. Support Holding Strong: Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range. Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection. 3. Sideways Consolidation: Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves). Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move. Support Might Not Hold The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200. Bearish Volume Presence The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside. Resistance Overhead is Strong The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
2