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XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider: 1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through. 2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider: A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally. A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction. A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply. 4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices. 5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally. Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction. 2. Support Area Failure Risk The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades. 3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal. The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include: Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge. Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase. Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area. Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives: 1. False Breakout Possibility: Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario. Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias. 2. Resistance Strength: The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate. A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside. 3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case: If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside. Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume. 4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors: Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply. 3. Liquidity Grab Possibility The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout. 4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move. Alternative Outlook If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping. Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected: The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal. 2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout: Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward. 3. Support Might Not Hold: The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower. 4. Trendline Trap: The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa