XAU price makes history in financial terms of price increaseThe consensus among analysts, economists, and market watchers is that a rate cut is almost certain. According to CME FedWatch, the market is currently pricing in a 73% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 27% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
Forexpositive
XAUUSD BUY market opening analysis As Gold prices continue their support area 2565_2560 target 2600
Gold selling area 2600 it target 2540_2520 unstoppable run higher scaling new all-time record highs for a fourth consecutive quarter in a row conclusive evidence shows that we are just in the early stages of a new historic Supercycle for Gold
XAU sets many new recordsThe world gold price is currently at $2,563/ounce, up $46 compared to early yesterday morning. The main driving force comes from the ECB's monetary policy easing move. Specifically, the ECB has lowered the base interest rate by 25 bps to 3.5%, while reducing the refinancing rate and marginal lending rate to 3.65% and 3.9%, respectively. In addition, the gold price is also driven by expectations that the Fed will aggressively cut interest rates, after US economic indicators showed signs of slowing down.
EUR/USD Trade Setup – 4-Hour TimeframeOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has formed an ascending channel followed by a strong breakout to the downside, creating a supply level around the 1.11300 area, where the price has tapped in and is currently selling off from.
To get a sell entry, we need to wait for a market structure break and retest. Currently, the price is at a minor support level. We need to see a breakout that creates a Lower Low; then, we will be looking to sell from the retest level, forming a Lower High.
DXY has formed a Double Bottom at a daily demand level
Signaling bullish momentum.
Don't Trade all the time
Trade only confirm trade setups.
short term strategy for goldAt the beginning of the trading session in the US market, the world gold price increased, investors increased their gold purchases. The US August employment report was gloomy, pushing up expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to loosen monetary policy. , the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the near future.
EURUSD BEST ANALYSIS EUR/USD recovered last week but failed retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first Price actions from are still seen as a consolidation pattern In case of deeper retreat downside should be contained by retracement of to bring rebound Break of will resume larger rise towards high However, sustained break will indicate reversal and turn bias to the downside
Fed enters interest rate cutting cycleGold is taken into consideration a beneficiary whilst the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) enters a cycle of hobby charge cuts, which might also additionally begin from September 17-18. Lower hobby prices will motive the USD to depreciate in opposition to a basket of different predominant currencies. Gold will then boom in price.
Many forecasts say that gold will reach $2,600/ounce, or even $2,seven hundred with the aid of using the give up of this 12 months or early 2025.
In a latest forecast, Goldman Sachs stated that spot gold fees will reach $2,seven hundred/ounce (VND82.2 million/tael) with the aid of using early 2025. The modern unstable surroundings is stated to be a element to be able to push gold up, despite the fact that this commodity has set new information dozens of instances due to the fact that the start of 2024.
short term gold volatility forecastA major US bank, believes that gold is currently a safe investment asset against inflation. They predict that by early 2025, the price of gold could increase to $2,700/ounce, equivalent to VND82 million/tael.
Central banks' gold purchases have tripled since mid-2022 due to concerns about US financial sanctions.
The upcoming interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could bring capital from the West back to the gold market, supporting higher gold prices.
Geopolitical issues and US public debt also contributed to the increase in gold prices.
Short Term XAU Trading StrategyGold stays strong with the principle uptrend withinside the quick, medium and lengthy time period. After receiving help from the principle confluence referred to with the aid of using readers withinside the preceding problem on the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, EMA21 and the decrease fringe of the rate channel, the rate has expanded to attain the restoration goal degree. The preliminary rate factor is $2,500.
Looking ahead, if gold can damage above the bottom rate of $2,500 and surpass the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, the rate will qualify for the weekly upside goal of $2,531 withinside the quick time period and then $2,544.
For the day, the bullish outlook for gold stays unchanged at a wonderful degree and could be indexed for readers as follows. Support: 2,484-2,471 USD Resistance: 2,500 - 2,503 - 2,531 USD
Short Term XAU Trading StrategyEarlier, gold fell sharply to hit a more than one-week low, pressured by a rebound in the dollar, while investors awaited US non-farm payrolls data to determine the size of the cuts at the US Federal Reserve's September policy meeting.
The dollar hovered near a two-week high, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. The market is pricing in a 63% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for September 17-18, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will sharply cut US inflation is on the decline, leading observers to expect the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates sharply for the rest of the year. In fact, US inflation remains at 2.9%, far from the Fed's target of 2%. If interest rates are cut too sharply, the monetary easing policy could cause inflation to return quickly. Therefore, as soon as there is a positive signal for the US economy, investors immediately consider the possibility of the Fed delaying the interest rate cut. The USD has a chance to recover.
GBP USD Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe.Following the head and shoulder pattern formed on GBP USD last week the price has been pushing down as DXY continues bullish..
As we all know the market dose not move in a straight line up trend makes higher highs and higher lows, down trend makes lower lows and lower highs.
On the 1 hour timeframe GBP USD has broken a structure level to the downside, before we can sell we need to see a pullback of the next candlestick retesting the lower low level. ⏰
EUR/JPY Trade Setup 30 Minute TimeframeOn the 30-minute timeframe, EUR/JPY has formed a demand level around the 161.100 price area, which aligns with the retest level of the descending channel.
Currently, there is no solid candlestick confirmation pattern yet, so we wait for a clearer signal before entering a buy position.
Additional confluence: Resistance Level turn Support. 😍🔥
Don't Trade all the time trade only confirmed trade setup.
EUR/JPY Trade Setup 4 Hour TimeframeEUR/JPY has formed a descending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, followed by a strong breakout and a retest.
The price is currently at the retest level, so we will be looking for buy candlestick signals from this level.
To find a suitable entry, we need to scale down to the lower timeframes to identify chart patterns and candlestick confirmations.
XAUUSD BUY opportunity again all time high big bullish soon Gold support area 2500_2495 next support area 2490_2485
Target 2520_2530 ones more gold strong bullish high
the negative tone in the American session but still trading in the red on a daily basis The US Dollar gained some footing after reaching oversold conditions against most major
XAU market awaits US CPI newsXAU Markets Await US CPI News
The DXY Index rose 0.3%, reducing the appeal of holding the precious metal.
The market is pricing in a 67% chance of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed and a 33% chance of a 50bps rate cut
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell last week backed the start of rate cuts next month, while expressing confidence that inflation could hit its 2% target.
A report on Tuesday showed that while US consumer confidence rose to a six-month high in August, Americans were also growing more concerned about the labor market.
Short term trading strategy when XAU is slightly downXAU/USD remains near record highs as the US dollar weakens, with gold prices set to consolidate further in the coming months, underscoring that the precious metal is unlikely to fall further below $2,400 an ounce.
Gold has hit back-to-back record highs this year, rising around 22%, and peaked at $2,531 an ounce last week on expectations of an upcoming US interest rate cut and concerns over conflict in the Middle East.
Gold faces pressure from investors when in high positionWhile investors are also cautious about how hawkish the Fed will be
Caution and profit-taking pressure may be factors that prevent gold from continuing to rise.
However, many recent forecasts show that the medium and long-term trend of gold is still quite bright. Demand for this commodity is forecast to increase.
Major funds in the world are also increasing their gold reserves
According to technical analysis, gold prices still tend to increase strongly in the short term
GBPUSD first selling target and next all bullish target let's seGBPUSD s rally accelerated higher last week and the break of resistance confirms larger up trend resumption Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 100% projection of On the downside below minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations before staging another really
Weekly analysis btcusd fall soon opportunity to movement sellBtcusd very easy falling
There are other more fundamental similarities Both gold and Bitcoin can be used as a transactional currency as well as a store of value Neither are controlled by governments and central banks This being the case both gold and Bitcoin come with significantly less counterparty risk than many other asset classes Both assets also have a naturally limited supply