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Trading strategy for todayThe Fed is likely to signal plans to cut rates in September when it concludes its meeting on Wednesday, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, a move they see as leading to quarterly rate cuts through 2025. Rate markets are pricing in a 100% September move, with the possibility of two more cuts by year-end, according to swaps data compiled by Bloomberg. “While the July FOMC meeting may be too early to start cutting rates, it is not too early to start preparing for a September cut,” Stephen Gallagher, an economist at Societe Generale, wrote in a note to clients. Hours before the Fed’s decision, the BoJ is expected to detail its plans to reduce bond purchases this month at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, while most economists also see a chance of a rate hike. USDJPY fell 2.4% last week as traders priced in more than a two-thirds chance of a 10-bps rate hike, triggering a selloff in risk-sensitive developed and emerging market currencies and sending the Nikkei 225 into a technical correction.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU Recovers After 2 Weeks as USD WeakensXAU prices saw a sharp sell-off following the release of positive US macroeconomic data, plunging to a more than two-week low on Thursday. The preliminary estimate of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) showed the US economy growing at a faster-than-expected pace and inflation falling in the second quarter of 2024. This suggests that the US economy is still holding up well and has created some stability in financial markets, thereby putting pressure on the precious metal - a traditional safe-haven asset. The bullish sentiment continued to keep gold prices on the defensive in the Asian session on Friday, although expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is about to start its rate-cutting cycle helped limit losses. Traders also turned cautious and awaited the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index later Friday. This key inflation data will play a key role in determining the Fed's policy path.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU waits for news from the US Federal Reserve (Fed)Previously, gold had a strong sell-off after current US President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the race for the White House. The pressure to sell gold increased after this commodity increased previously and investors took advantage of taking profits in the context that they wanted to listen to more impact assessments of the rapid changes in world politics. The decline of many stock markets also caused gold to be sold to compensate for stock purchase contracts. However, bottom-fishing demand quickly increased again for gold. Demand increases quite strongly every time gold reaches the psychological support level of 2,400 USD or 2,395 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold prices decreased rapidly due to the impact of many newsThe fluctuations after the discharge of the initial PMI document had been now no longer too significant. Besides, earlier than the outlet of the 5-yr US authorities bond auction, gold expenses accelerated barely as yields decreased. But quickly after, the 10-yr authorities bond yield accelerated 2 bps to 4,274%, placing strain on gold expenses. Although the USD weakened barely, the effect become insignificant. CME`s FedWatch device suggests a 100% chance of a 25 bps price reduce in September; even as marketplace forecasts display that the Fed may also reduce hobby quotes via way of means of a complete of fifty three bps in 2024. Not to mention, India's reduce in import taxes on valuable metals additionally boosts gold call for. However, those high quality elements are nevertheless now no longer sufficient to face up to promoting strain. US Q2 GDP and center PCE facts could be launched these days and tomorrow, it's miles anticipated that the gold marketplace will stay volatile. Looking longer term, BMO Global Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Sadiq Adatia stated that elements consist of continual issues approximately the threat of recession, call for from significant banks and developing hobby from National funding budget can push gold expenses to new document levels.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
XAU the world plummeted without stoppingXAU the world plummeted without stopping Gold prices continued to fall without stopping, reaching a low of 2,370 USD/ounce at the beginning of the Asian session on Thursday morning. Thereby, world gold recorded a decrease of nearly 5% from the peak of 2,483 USD, or about 113 USD/ounce in just 7 trading sessions. Last night, the fluctuations after the release of the preliminary PMI report were not too significant. Besides, before the opening of the 5-year US government bond auction, gold prices increased slightly as yields decreased. But soon after, the 10-year government bond yield increased 2 bps to 4,274%, putting pressure on gold prices. Although the USD weakened slightly, the impact was insignificant. CME's FedWatch tool shows a 100% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in September; while market forecasts suggest the Fed could cut interest rates by a total of 53 bps in 2024
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU rebounded after the FED pivoted its policyGold had a strong sell-off after current US President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the race for the White House. The pressure to sell gold increased after this commodity increased previously and investors took advantage of taking profits in the context that they wanted to listen to more impact assessments of the rapid changes in world politics. The decline of many stock markets also caused gold to be sold to compensate for stock purchase contracts. However, bottom-fishing demand quickly increased again for gold. Mr. Biden's abandonment of his bid to run for re-election as US President has paved the way for another Democrat, most likely Ms. Kamala Harris.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU is at a low price compared to last weekThe XAU price fell to its lowest in more than a week today as traders await more US economic data and comments from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials this week for further action. more clarity on the timeline for interest rate cuts. Markets see a more than 90% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September, down from a previous forecast of 98%. Senior market analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich said that the simultaneous decline in the gold and US stock markets recently is not a good omen for this precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
The gold market increased slightly compared to the first day of While the current rally became pushed with the aid of using bodily factors, strategists say cash flows will gas the following rally. They notice that this modification is beginning to appear, predicting that gold fees may want to attain 2,650 USD/ounce with the aid of using the fourth region of 2024. | The XAU fee fell to its lowest in extra than every week nowadays as investors watch for extra US financial records and feedback from US Federal Reserve (FED) officers this week for similarly action. extra readability at the timeline for hobby fee cuts. Markets see a extra than 90% danger the Fed will reduce hobby fees in September, down from a preceding forecast of 98%. Senior marketplace analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich stated that the simultaneous decline withinside the gold and US inventory markets lately isn't always a very good omen for this valuable metal.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
Gold prices went upstream, surpassing the 2,400 markGold prices (XAU/USD) continued their recent correction from record highs hit last week and fell to their lowest in more than a week on Monday. US President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 Presidential election has increased the likelihood of Donald Trump becoming the next US President, increasing expectations of a looser regulatory environment. This, coupled with the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) surprise interest rate cut on Monday, has fueled investor appetite for riskier assets and put heavy pressure on gold - safe haven assets. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's second presidential term is expected to push long-term inflation expectations higher, leading to an increase in US government bond yields. This has had a positive impact on the USD and contributed to promoting money flow away from gold - a non-yielding asset. However, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September limited USD gains and supported XAU/USD in climbing back above the $2,400 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
Pay attention to the core personal consumption expenditure indexThe latest Kitco News survey shows that Wall Street analysts expressed cautious views on gold prices this week. Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, believes that gold prices will move sideways in the short term. However, information related to the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starting a cycle of interest rate cuts can cause gold to increase. Currently, investors are paying attention to the upcoming core personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). This is the index used as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. According to CME's FedWatch tool, more than 90% of the market thinks the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to happen later this summer. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said that gold prices will continue to decline. According to this expert, through the weekly price chart, gold is still in a downtrend in the medium term. Last week, gold prices fell, ending a streak of 3 consecutive weeks of increases, which is completely consistent with the usual technical pattern.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
World gold recovered slightly and is fluctuating around 2406World gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week. While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations. Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold buying opportunity#XAUUSD Update..! Gold price sharply goes down to retest the support zone. Before checking the 2310 - 2312 support zone I expect the price will reach the upper Fvg zone. This time I'm looking for a sell opportunity. Buy opportunity I expect from 2310 - 2396 - 2389 zone. Because there is also a reasonable Fvg waiting for the price. Let's see guys. The lower time frame has many imbalances in the whole price action. So be aware trading with a lower time frame.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by chamitha45
The world XAU market turned around after rising higherAs mentioned to readers in yesterday`s edition, gold has suffered a downward correction after the Relative Strength Index operated withinside the overbought area, indicating that the room for rate will increase is now no longer too great. big and require modifications after a protracted length of rate will increase. Currently, gold is likewise working pretty low however does now no longer have an effect on the primary fashion of rate growth with the rate channel as the quick-time period fashion and long-time period fashion. In the quick time period, the truth that gold can get better to keep above the technical stage of 2,430 USD might be an excellent signal for it. On the alternative hand, if gold recovers lower back above $2,449, it's going to mark the stop of the downward adjustment cycle. During the day, gold may want to preserve to accurate similarly as soon as it's miles bought below $2,420 with a next drawback goal of around $2,400. The downward correction cycle from the uptrend of gold expenses might be observed once more via way of means of the subsequent technical levels. Support: 2,420 - 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 - 2,449USD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold prices decreased for two consecutive sessionsGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields. Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers. The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly. Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
Gold increased sharply after US economic data weakenedXAU stays near historic peak, domestic gold skyrockets after more than 2 months of "immobility" World gold prices continue to climb and are at a historic peak due to the further weakening of the USD. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is betting on a 100% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 18. Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that recently released data "increases confidence" that inflation is falling sustainably toward the Fed's target level. Many Fed policymakers also said they are increasingly optimistic that inflation is on track and falling toward the 2% target mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU increased to a record high everXAU price increased quite strongly to near historical peak after the instability taking place in the world World gold continues to increase and moves towards the historic peak of 2,450 USD/ounce recorded on May 20 after the US announced that total retail sales remained unchanged in June. In May, revised figures showed total retail sales increased 0.3%. In fact, economists forecast that total retail sales decreased by 0.3% in June. Thus, the number announced last month exceeded expectations. However, this is not positive information. The US economy tends to send signals that are no longer as strong as in the first few months of the year. Previously, the US announced that inflation continued to cool down and the labor market tended to deteriorate with the unemployment rate increasing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Cash flow will pour into gold and gold prices will reach recor hGold is assessed to benefit in the context of increased risks after the incident of former US President Donald Trump being suspected of shooting during an election campaign in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13. If Mr. Trump wins the election next November, the USD may weaken, thereby also pushing up gold prices. Macroeconomic data that is no longer bright is the basis for US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to recently signal a reversal in monetary policy. Mr. Powell expressed concern about the weakening of the economy and the risk of recession. In a testimony before the US Congress last week, the most powerful man in the world's financial industry said that the US will cut interest rates and not wait until inflation is clearly heading towards the 2% target. The USD has recently declined following signals from the Fed, thereby putting pressure on gold. Gold also increased in price thanks to positive signals from technical analysis. The upward price momentum has been established after precious metals rose quite firmly above the threshold of 2,400 USD/ounce over the past several days. Upward momentum is being confirmed and gold is forecast to set a new all-time high, possibly as soon as this week.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster