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EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
46
USDCAD – Reversal Setup Ahead of FOMC DecisionUSD/CAD has bounced off strong support near 1.3770, forming a clean bullish structure into a pivotal week dominated by the FOMC meeting. Price action shows higher lows and a tightening range, signaling a potential breakout. With the Fed expected to hold rates but maintain a hawkish tone, the USD may regain strength — especially against the CAD, which remains under pressure from trade risks and weak oil prices. 🔹 Technical Setup: Structure: Rejection at 1.3770 support with ascending trendline developing. Pattern: Bullish flag breakout (visible on 2H chart). Momentum: Recovery candles suggest buyers regaining control ahead of resistance. Key Levels: Support: 1.3770 – 1.3780 Resistance: TP1: 1.3852 (Fib 61.8%) TP2: 1.3891 (swing high zone) TP3: 1.3950 (major breakout target) Invalidation: Below 1.3760 🧠 Fundamental View: USD Outlook: The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady on May 7, but officials are pushing back against early rate-cut expectations. Chair Powell is likely to emphasize inflation risks and signal no imminent easing. This stance supports USD resilience, especially if the Fed reiterates “higher for longer” messaging. CAD Outlook: The Canadian economy continues to face export challenges from U.S. tariffs, weakening business sentiment. Meanwhile, softening oil prices reduce support for the CAD. With the Bank of Canada having already delivered several rate cuts, it remains more dovish than the Fed — creating a widening policy divergence. 💡 Trade Idea: Bias: Bullish above 1.3780 Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3820 Target 1: 1.3852 Target 2: 1.3891 Target 3: 1.3950 Stop Loss: Below 1.3760 📌 Watch for volatility during and after the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference. A hawkish surprise could fuel a sharp move toward 1.39+.
Long
by ultreosforex
4
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range. Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection. 2. Support Zones Too Close Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias 4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections 5. Lack of Fundamental Context • Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
Long
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias 1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram. This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation. 2. Oversold Market Conditions Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion. A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187. 3. Failed Breakdown Possibility Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap. If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap. 4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading. If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement. 5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles. Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown. Alternative Bullish Scenario If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be: 3,293 (Resistance) Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD). Key Technical Highlights: - Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection. - Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity. - Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal. Projected Move: The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance. If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone. Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
TARGET SUCCESSFUL This chart displays a successful bullish breakout on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the previous consolidation range. Key Levels & Zones: -Resistance Zone: Around 95,576, which was clearly broken with strong bullish momentum. Support Level: Maintained around 93,592, where price previously bounced from. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Efficiently filled, providing the base for the bullish rally. Target Achieved: The price decisively hit and exceeded the projected target of 95.576, confirming the bullish setup. Market Sentiment: Strong bullish bias with volume surge, indicating continued interest above resistance. Conclusion: The breakout and target completion validate the strength of the structure and buyer control in this range. Further bullish continuation could be expected if momentum sustains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward. Key Technical Zones: - Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply. - Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up. Current Outlook: - Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound. - If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576. Next Target: 95,576 Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD UPWARD COMING SOON Gold (XAU/USD) shows the price currently trading within a defined range between the support level at 3272.581 and the resistance zone around 3367.926. Technical Highlights: - Support Level: Strong demand seen around 3272.581 where price has previously rebounded. - Resistance Zone: 3367.926 marks a key supply area that has held several past tests. - Current Structure: A bullish corrective move appears underway with the potential to test the target area at 3338.838, aligning with a minor resistance zone. - Price Behavior: Recent rejection from the support zone indicates bullish pressure; if momentum holds, price is likely to challenge the next resistance. Next Target: 3338.838 Outlook: If gold sustains above the mid-range support, bullish continuation toward 3338.838 is favored. However, price must break minor resistance cleanly for further upside confirmation. Would you like a social media caption or short signal text for this as well?
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
USOILOil shows price moving between a clear support level and a strong order block resistance above. Currently, price is trading inside a resistance zone around 63.25. The chart indicates a potential bullish move, targeting the 64.22 level, where the order block resides. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Strong demand area near 62.00. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gap filled below current price. - Resistance Zone: Price facing resistance around 63.00-63.50. - Order Block: Major target area near 64.22. Target Projection: $64.22 Outlook: If buyers sustain momentum above the resistance zone, we could see a rally toward the 64.22 target at the order block. Confirmation of a breakout and retest would strengthen the bullish bias. Would you like me to also create a quick short caption for social media posting?
TVC:USOILLong
by EXPERT117Ai
BTCUSD Bitcoin (BTC/USD) highlights price movement between a key resistance zone and a strong support level. Price has currently pushed back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 94,600, setting up a potential short-term reversal. The expectation shown on the chart is for price to react from the FVG/resistance area and move lower toward the support level, targeting around 92,947. Key Technical Points: - Resistance Zone: 95,500 -95,750 - FVG Area: Current price is testing imbalance at 94,600. - Support Level: Strong demand zone near92,750. - Target Projection: $92,947 Outlook: Price is likely to face selling pressure around the FVG and resistance zone, leading to a possible drop towards the support zone. Traders should monitor bearish confirmations for potential short opportunities. Would you also like me to create a short caption for posting this chart on social media?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) shows price action ranging between a strong support level and a visible order block above. Price recently tested the support zone near 3,260.000, showing potential signs of a bullish reaction. The chart highlights a possible upward move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, targeting around 3325.626. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Price bounced from the 3,260.000 zone. - FVG Area: Gap available for price to fill up toward 3325.626. - Order Block: Major resistance near the 3,440.000 region. - Structure: A potential bullish short-term recovery setup. Target Projection: $3325.626 If buyers maintain control around the current support, we could see a move into the FVG before facing major resistance at the order block above. Watch closely for bullish confirmations or possible rejections around the FVG area.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai