Get started

Forexpower

Market next moveBearish Disruption Scenario: 1. False Breakout Trap: If the price breaks above the rectangle but lacks strong volume or fails to sustain above resistance, it may turn into a bull trap. This could lead to a sharp reversal and shake out long positions. 2. Volume Divergence: Notice that volume is decreasing during the consolidation. Without a spike in volume on breakout, the move could lack conviction. This weakens the bullish case. 3. Resistance Zone Overhead: There's likely a resistance zone just above the rectangle (around 3,240–3,260), where selling pressure could resume. Price may test the zone, reject it, and fall back inside or below the range. 4. Double Top Risk: The price action on the 18th and current range-top could form a double-top pattern if rejected. A drop below the lower bound of the rectangle (~3,210) would confirm the pattern, suggesting bearish continuation. 5. Macro or Fundamental Risks: Any unexpected strong U.S. dollar movement or interest rate expectations could push gold lower, invalidating bullish technical setups.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance Disruption: The price has struggled to break above the 3,240–3,250 area multiple times. This could indicate strong resistance. Implication: If the price fails again, we may see a rejection and a move down towards the 3,180–3,160 support range instead of a bullish breakout. --- 2. Volume Analysis Caution Disruption: The volume during recent upward moves is not significantly higher than the downswings. Implication: Weak buying volume might not support a strong breakout, suggesting a fakeout could occur. --- 3. False Breakout Possibility Disruption: A possible fake breakout above the red box might lure in buyers before a reversal. Implication: Watch for a "bull trap" where the price briefly breaks up and then reverses sharply downward. --- 4. Macro Events Ahead Disruption: The timing (around May 20) could align with macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed minutes, CPI, etc.). Implication: News can trigger volatility and negate technical expectations. --- 5. RSI or Momentum Indicators? Disruption: Without checking RSI or other momentum indicators, the analysis might lack confirmation. Implication: Overbought/oversold conditions could shift the bias unexpectedly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next move Disruption Analysis: Bearish Risk Perspective 1. Sideways Consolidation (Red Box Zone): The price is consolidating in a tight range between roughly 32.20 and 32.40, showing indecision and potential for either a breakout or breakdown. Repeated rejections near the top of this box can signal exhaustion of buying pressure. 2. Volume Observation: There’s no strong volume surge indicating accumulation; volume appears mixed and doesn't strongly support a bullish breakout. A potential fakeout risk exists if the price spikes above the consolidation range only to fall back in (bull trap). 3. Potential Bearish Breakdown: If the price breaks below the red box, especially under 32.20, it could trigger stop-losses and initiate a short-term bearish trend. First downside target: 32.00 psychological level, followed by 31.80 support from previous lows. 4. Wick Rejection on Top: The recent candles inside the box show long upper wicks — signs of selling pressure at higher levels.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next move Bearish Disruption Perspective: 1. Failure to Break Above Supply Price is struggling near 32.40–32.50, a visible resistance area from prior swing highs. Repeated rejections here can signal seller strength or profit-taking. 2. Exhaustion Patterns The price is forming sideways consolidation (highlighted in red). A failure to break upward from this box and a false breakout wick would suggest buyer exhaustion. 3. Bearish Breakdown Scenario If price breaks below the red box support (~32.30), this range could flip into resistance. A clean drop below 32.30 would likely open the path toward 32.00 and potentially 31.80. 4. Volume Spike on Red Candle Volume on red bars (10.64K) suggests aggressive selling pressure creeping in. Watch for confirmation if next candles close red with high volume.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next target Bearish Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk Price is hovering near the recent highs but hasn’t made a convincing higher high. A fakeout above 32.42 followed by a sharp rejection could trap buyers and trigger a sell-off. 2. Exhaustion at Resistance The current level (~32.33–32.42) was a previous distribution zone on May 13–14. Low volume follow-through may indicate weak buying interest, increasing the odds of a reversal. 3. Bearish Divergence (Potential) If RSI or MACD shows lower highs while price pushes up, that’s a bearish divergence—a common reversal signal. (You’d need to check indicators for confirmation.) 4. Support Flip to Resistance If the price breaks back below the red box (~32.25), the same zone could act as resistance, turning into a supply zone. 5. Volume Clue Volume appears lower during the recent bullish attempts, hinting at buyer fatigue. Higher volume on red candles would validate a bearish shift.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Silver next move Weak Demand Zone Bounce The current price action shows only a minor bounce from the demand zone. A lack of strong bullish candles or volume confirmation may indicate weak buying interest. 2. Lower High Structure The chart appears to be forming lower highs, suggesting a possible downtrend continuation. If price fails to break the recent swing high near 32.70, bears might gain control. 3. Volume Concern Recent bullish candles have decreasing volume, while the latest red candle has higher volume—this could signal a bearish divergence. 4. Bearish Trap Possibility The current consolidation above support might turn into a distribution zone, leading to a fake breakout downward.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold next move The price is currently at a prior resistance level (~3,229) which may act as a supply zone. The market has already failed to break above this level multiple times in the past, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Volume Divergence If we analyze the volume at the most recent peaks, there's a possibility of lower buying volume despite higher prices—this could signal weakening bullish momentum. 3. False Breakout Risk The chart suggests a possible pullback to the red demand zone before continuation. However, if the price fakes out into the zone and fails to hold above ~3,210, this could trigger a deeper selloff. 4. Double Top Formation Risk There appears to be a potential double top pattern around 3,250–3,260, which may signal a bearish reversal if neckline support (~3,210) is broken. 5. Macroeconomic Influence Unless supported by strong fundamentals (e.g., dovish Fed signals, rising inflation), any bullish breakout might lack fuel to sustain a rally beyond resistance. Disruptive Bearish Scenario: Price breaks below the red demand zone (~3,210). Retests it as resistance. Targets the next major support zone near 3,175–3,180.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
50
USDCAD – Reversal Setup Ahead of FOMC DecisionUSD/CAD has bounced off strong support near 1.3770, forming a clean bullish structure into a pivotal week dominated by the FOMC meeting. Price action shows higher lows and a tightening range, signaling a potential breakout. With the Fed expected to hold rates but maintain a hawkish tone, the USD may regain strength — especially against the CAD, which remains under pressure from trade risks and weak oil prices. 🔹 Technical Setup: Structure: Rejection at 1.3770 support with ascending trendline developing. Pattern: Bullish flag breakout (visible on 2H chart). Momentum: Recovery candles suggest buyers regaining control ahead of resistance. Key Levels: Support: 1.3770 – 1.3780 Resistance: TP1: 1.3852 (Fib 61.8%) TP2: 1.3891 (swing high zone) TP3: 1.3950 (major breakout target) Invalidation: Below 1.3760 🧠 Fundamental View: USD Outlook: The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady on May 7, but officials are pushing back against early rate-cut expectations. Chair Powell is likely to emphasize inflation risks and signal no imminent easing. This stance supports USD resilience, especially if the Fed reiterates “higher for longer” messaging. CAD Outlook: The Canadian economy continues to face export challenges from U.S. tariffs, weakening business sentiment. Meanwhile, softening oil prices reduce support for the CAD. With the Bank of Canada having already delivered several rate cuts, it remains more dovish than the Fed — creating a widening policy divergence. 💡 Trade Idea: Bias: Bullish above 1.3780 Entry Zone: 1.3800–1.3820 Target 1: 1.3852 Target 2: 1.3891 Target 3: 1.3950 Stop Loss: Below 1.3760 📌 Watch for volatility during and after the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference. A hawkish surprise could fuel a sharp move toward 1.39+.
Long
by ultreosforex
4
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Vip_Signal
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range. Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection. 2. Support Zones Too Close Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias 4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections 5. Lack of Fundamental Context • Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
Long
by Vip_Signal