Gold after Fed rate cut?Gold could confirm a breakout and unless something major happens in other markets, this would be a bullish sign. So far, nothing has happened in the precious metals sector, while the DXY has fallen. This is a bearish factor, but before we jump to conclusions, let’s dig deeper.
Forexpower
XAU at 2586, very high price at the time of waiting for FEDThe US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period last year, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the CPI report in August shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Gold hits record high as USD/JPY drops nearly 150 pipsGold prices are on track for their biggest weekly gain since mid-August, rising 2.8% to a record $2,570 an ounce. The gains were fueled by a weaker dollar. Gold was last up 0.4% at $2,568 an ounce.
The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index rose 0.53%.
US stock futures rose 0.1%, following gains in currency indexes on Thursday.
XAU hits record high as USD falls"The market is currently pricing in a moderate FOMC rate cut outside of a recession. We, along with the majority of US economists, do not expect the US economy to fall into a recession."
Global stocks rose for a fifth straight day, posting a 0.2% gain. This was helped by gains in European stocks, where the STOXX 600 index rose 0.4%, heading for a 2.6% weekly gain and its biggest one-month gain.
XAU price makes history in financial terms of price increaseThe consensus among analysts, economists, and market watchers is that a rate cut is almost certain. According to CME FedWatch, the market is currently pricing in a 73% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 27% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
XAUUSD BUY market opening analysis As Gold prices continue their support area 2565_2560 target 2600
Gold selling area 2600 it target 2540_2520 unstoppable run higher scaling new all-time record highs for a fourth consecutive quarter in a row conclusive evidence shows that we are just in the early stages of a new historic Supercycle for Gold
Gold price increased sharply to set a recordThe August CPI report showed that core US inflation remains high, which is unlikely to prompt the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Inflation has not fallen as expected, and if the Fed cuts by 50 basis points next week, it will mean that the US Central Bank is surrendering to inflation.
Most economists participating in the survey believe that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Only 9 out of 101 economists predict the Fed will cut by 50 basis points.
short term strategy when XAU is highCentral bank demand for gold is a key factor that has been a catalyst for the gold price rally. She said that gold continues to outperform other commodities as demand for the precious metal increases, especially from central banks in emerging markets.
The precious metal's role as a natural hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. At the same time, in an environment of geopolitical tension, gold remains the top choice.
XAU spikes after newsPreviously, gold was under pressure from expectations of a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at its policy meeting next week, which is cooling down after the August consumer price index report increased.
According to the latest report, the US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the August CPI report shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Forecasts are reinforcing the view that the Fed is about to cut Despite short-term volatility, the precious metal remains an attractive investment in the long term as global government debt rises and interest rates fall. The direction of gold in the coming period will largely depend on the Fed's interest rate policy. If the next US economic data remains gloomy, the Fed will cut more. This will help gold prices conquer new highs.
XAU continues to increase slightlyExperts predict that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the coming time. The August jobs report is forecast to be insufficient for the Fed to cut by 50 basis points on September 18. This is unlikely to help gold reach new peaks.
short term strategy for goldAt the beginning of the trading session in the US market, the world gold price increased, investors increased their gold purchases. The US August employment report was gloomy, pushing up expectations for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to loosen monetary policy. , the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the near future.
XAU price remains stable for many consecutive daysGold traders are calm on the first trading day of the week as there are several important economic events that will impact the price of the precious metal. The USD index has shown strength considering recent data, but gold traders remain optimistic that gold prices will continue to move higher as the precious metal has remained above key levels over the past week.
The price of the precious metal has traded above 2,500, a level that many traders consider to be very important for a number of reasons. First, this is an important level because it shows the strength of the overall price trend. Second, gold traders believe that as long as prices continue to trade above these key levels, there is a good chance that they will continue to move higher for the rest of the year.
EURUSD BEST ANALYSIS EUR/USD recovered last week but failed retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first Price actions from are still seen as a consolidation pattern In case of deeper retreat downside should be contained by retracement of to bring rebound Break of will resume larger rise towards high However, sustained break will indicate reversal and turn bias to the downside
Bulls are dominating the trading marketA record displaying a weakening U.S. exertions marketplace on Friday may want to assist the Fed decide whether or not to reduce hobby charges through 25 or 50 foundation factors at its subsequent meeting. Lower hobby charges could weaken the greenback however notably growth the enchantment of non-yielding property along with gold.
Gold fees have risen extra than 20% this year, hitting a height of $2,531.seventy five an oz in August. Along with expectancies of a Fed charge reduce, gold has been supported through robust retail call for and safe-haven call for because of conflicts withinside the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU stays green in the trading mapA report showing a weakening U.S. labor market on Friday could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 20% this year, hitting a peak of $2,531.75 an ounce in August. Along with expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold has been supported by strong retail demand and safe-haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU may rise further in the short termGold is under pressure from weakness in global equities. However, the trend in gold prices remains bullish and these losses are only corrective. on the yellow metal’s resistance levels above $2,510/oz and expect gold prices to break $2,543/oz soon. The current environment is risky for most popular commodities and gold offers the best protection against depreciation. Accordingly, gold stands out as the commodity where Goldman Sachs has the highest confidence in the near-term upside. They continue to maintain their upside target of $2,700/oz by early 2025 and have opened a gold trading recommendation for three reasons.
Investors are cautious as summer draws to a close.Gold’s struggles come as the US dollar, which fell to a one-year low last month and entered oversold territory, is seeing a modest shift in momentum.
While September has been a tough month for gold in recent years, analysts do not see the bullion’s bullish trend ending. Looking beyond the near-term weakness, they see central bank buying continuing to provide solid support for gold. At the same time, new investor interest will begin to pick up as the Fed begins its long-awaited monetary easing cycle this month.
XAU surges after US economic dataGold prices rose 0.8% on Thursday after a report showed U.S. payrolls fell to their lowest level since early 2021 last month. The sharp drop in new jobs suggests a weakening U.S. labor market, which could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates soon to stimulate the economy.
Friday's report showing a weakening U.S. labor market could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.