Forexsetup
EUR/USD Playbook: Precision Day Trading from Range to BreakoutEUR/USD is in a bullish correction on the daily chart, holding above the 21-EMA with compressed moving averages signaling consolidation. The pair trades in a 1.1170–1.1230 range on the 1-hour chart, presenting ideal day-trading opportunities. Volume spikes at support (1.1170) and weakness near resistance (1.1230) reinforce this range.
Use this structure to your advantage:
Long near 1.1170–1.1185, backed by EMA ribbon support and RSI recovery from oversold levels.
Short near 1.1225–1.1235, where RSI typically overextends and price stalls on weak volume.
Use tight stops (5–10 pips) and take profits near range edges.
If price breaks and holds above 1.1235, target 1.1265–1.1300 on a bullish continuation. Below 1.1170, expect deeper downside toward 1.1120.
Stick with the range until a breakout is confirmed by volume and candle closes.
USDJPY Setup: Weak Highs, Smart Money Buys Liquidity!!📊 USDJPY is showing signs of a Smart Money reversal from the discount zone.
This 30-minute chart reveals institutional intentions hiding in plain sight — with clear signs of engineered liquidity grabs and the potential for a strong bullish continuation.
🧠 What’s Happening on the Chart:
✅ Price has swept sell-side liquidity below the recent lows
✅ Retraced cleanly to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 146.26, a classic Smart Money entry zone
✅ The current price is hovering around the 50% retracement, forming a potential higher low structure
📈 Bullish Confluence:
Price is rebounding from a discount zone (golden ratio: 61.8% Fib)
There’s a clearly defined "weak high" marked around 147.00 — Smart Money typically targets these areas
Above that, there are two stacked buy-side liquidity levels:
147.670
148.282
Final target? The liquidity pool near 148.654 — a clean magnet for price
🎯 Trade Idea:
Long Bias from 146.26–146.43 zone (Smart Money re-entry)
Targets:
TP1: 147.00 (Weak High)
TP2: 147.670 (Buy Side Liquidity)
TP3: 148.282 – 148.654 (Full Liquidity Sweep)
Invalidation: Clean break below 146.20 with strong bearish volume
📌 Why This Setup Works:
This setup uses Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Weak Highs often signal institutional targets
Fair Value Gap (FVG) + Fib confluence adds strong bullish probability
Retail shorts get trapped, thinking the rally was a pullback — while institutions accumulate at discount
🧠 Pro Tip:
Watch for confirmation with a bullish engulfing candle or break of short-term structure before full entry.
Front-running the Smart Money leads to losses. Let them move first.
💬 Comment "USDJPY MOVE" if you're planning to trade this setup
💾 Save this chart for later — this is how the big players trade FX.
"Pound vs Loonie Forex Heist: Snag GBP/CAD Profits with Thief"🌍 Hello, Global Money Heisters! Ciao, Hola, Salaam, Bonjour! 🌟
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GBP/CAD Real-Time Data (May 15, 2025, UTC+1) 📈
- Current Rate: ~1.8540 CAD per GBP, down -0.04% today but holding strong. 📊
- Retail Sentiment: ~65% bullish, eyeing a GBP climb. 😎
- Institutional Sentiment: ~55% bullish, cautiously optimistic. 💼
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Heist Plan Highlights 🏴☠️
- Entry 📌: Wait for GBP/CAD to smash past 1.8650 (previous high) for a bullish breakout. Set Buy Stop above the Moving Average or Buy Limit at recent 15/30-min swing lows for pullbacks. Set an alert to catch the move! 🚨
- Stop Loss 🛑: Place SL at 1.8400 (4H swing low) for day trades. Adjust based on your risk, lot size, or multiple orders. If using Buy Stop, set SL post-breakout to avoid whipsaws. 🔥
- Target 🎯: Aim for 1.8950 or bail early if the RED Zone feels too hot. 🏃♂️
- Scalpers 👀: Stick to long scalps with trailing SL to lock in gains. Swing traders, join the heist with bigger moves! 💸
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Why GBP/CAD is Hot 🔥
- Bullish Momentum: Technicals show GBP strength, backed by retail (65%) and institutional (55%) optimism. 📈
- Fundamentals: Check COT reports, macro news, and intermarket analysis for the full picture. Stay sharp with sentiment and future trends! 📰🌎
- News Alert 🚨: Avoid new trades during big news drops. Use trailing SL to protect running positions. 🛡️
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GBPCHF Breakout Eyes 1.1190–1.1290 as Bullish Momentum BuildsGBP/CHF has broken out of a descending wedge formation on the 4H chart, indicating a bullish shift in momentum. This move is supported by a recovering GBP, driven by better-than-expected UK GDP data and BoE easing expectations already priced in. Meanwhile, CHF is softening on safe-haven unwinding and a less aggressive SNB tone. Technicals point to a clean breakout with immediate upside targets at 1.1116 and 1.1190, with potential extension toward 1.1290.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Pattern: Descending wedge breakout on the 4H chart — a bullish continuation pattern.
Breakout Confirmation: Price is now trading above wedge resistance (~1.1045), showing follow-through buying.
Support zone: 1.1000–1.1040 (retest area if price pulls back)
Fibonacci Levels:
1.1116 → 50% Fib retracement + prior resistance
1.1190 → 61.8% Fib and historical reaction zone
1.1290 → 78.6% retracement and next key resistance
📈 Bullish Signals:
EUR/GBP overlay shows inverse correlation supporting GBP strength
Higher lows forming since April → structure is rising
Clean breakout with space to run before major resistance hits
🌍 Fundamental Context
🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP):
UK Q1 GDP: +0.6% q/q — solid beat vs expectations
BoE Positioning: Rate cut expected in H2 2025, but not imminent; GBP supported in the meantime
Trade Conditions: Signs of recovery, but BoE not overly dovish yet
Market Tone: GBP favored short-term due to economic resilience
🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF):
SNB Stance: Recent tone shift toward caution amid deflation signals
Safe Haven Demand: Easing due to progress in U.S.–China trade talks
Macroeconomic Data: Mixed; CPI soft, and growth modest
CHF Outlook: Mildly bearish unless geopolitical risk reignites
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: Breakout already underway at 1.1050
Upside Targets:
1.1116 (first TP)
1.1190 (major resistance zone)
1.1290 (extension zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1000 (below wedge retest zone)
Strategy: Buy-the-dip on pullback to 1.1040–1.1015, or hold breakout long
🧭 Conclusion
GBP/CHF shows a clean bullish breakout both technically and fundamentally. With the UK economy showing near-term resilience and the SNB expected to remain cautious, GBP strength may persist in the short run. Unless geopolitical risks resurface to revive CHF demand, the pair looks poised for a rally toward 1.1190 and possibly 1.1290 in the coming sessions.
NZD/USD "Kiwi" Forex Vault Heist Plan!🌟 Yo, what's good? Salaam! Ciao! Konnichiwa! 🌟
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- 📈 Entry Point: The heist’s ON! 🕵️♂️ Lay low for the MA pullback at Institutional Buy Zone 1 (0.57700) or Buy Zone 2 (0.56000), then pounce for juicy bullish profits! 🚀
- 🛑 Stop Loss: Yo, ears up! 🗣️ If you’re setting a buy stop order, don’t touch that stop loss ‘til the breakout pops off. 📍 Stash it at the closest swing low on the 4H: Buy Zone 1 SL at 0.56500, Buy Zone 2 SL at 0.54500. Size it to your risk, lot, and multi-order game plan. Mess around, and you’re toast! 🔥
- 🎯 Target: Shoot for 0.62500 or ghost out early with the goods. 💰
- 👀 Scalper Crew: Long-side scalping only! Got deep pockets? Dive in. Tight budget? Roll with swing traders and slap on a trailing SL to shield your stash. 🧲
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NEXT MOVE Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Support Breakdown Risk
The chart highlights the 145.000–145.200 area as a support zone.
If price breaks below this support with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the bullish reversal expectation.
A close below 144.800 would confirm weakness, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment
XAUUSD – 1h Fib Premium Rejection Setup + Liquidity Sweep📉 XAUUSD SHORT SETUP – May 8, 2025 | SMC Confluence Mastery
Gold is showing a high-probability short scenario off a premium Fib retracement zone with rejection from key structure and Smart Money reversal patterns.
Here’s why this 1h setup could be the next sniper entry for Chart Ninjas:
🧠 KEY CONFLUENCES IN THIS TRADE:
🔺 Entry in Premium Zone: Price retraced into 70.5%–100% zone and rejected cleanly
🧊 Liquidity Above: Engineered buy-side liquidity was swept before reversal
📉 Bearish Order Flow: Consecutive lower highs + break of structure (BOS)
🛠️ Entry at 78.6% zone (~$3,416.99), stop above swing high
🕳️ Targeting Deep Discount: TP at ~-62% Fib level, near $3,262.01
🚨 Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:4.5 RR — clean structure with low risk
⚙️ Trade Execution Strategy:
Look for rejection candles / breaker blocks in the 78–100% zone
Set SL just above the swing high (~$3,420)
Target full imbalance fill into deep discount zone
Manage with trailing stop after price hits 0% or -27%
📊 Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Premium Fib Rejection
TP: -62% Fib Extension
SL: Above 100% level
RR: 1:4.5+
Confluences: Fib, Liquidity Sweep, BOS
💬 Chart Ninja Insight:
“Smart money never sells lows or buys highs. They sell where liquidity is hiding—just like this.”
GBPUSD – 30m Buy Setup | FVG Entry + ChoCh + -27% Fib Target💷 GBPUSD Long Setup | May 8, 2025 | 30m Smart Money Model
This 30-minute GBPUSD chart shows a perfect Smart Money shift backed by a clean Change of Character (ChoCh), a deep pullback into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and confirmation via breaker block reentry.
Let’s break it down:
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🟪 FVG between 1.32909 – 1.33112
🔄 ChoCh confirms structural shift from bearish to bullish
📉 Entry inside 50–79% Fib retracement (Discount Zone)
🧱 Breaker Block confluence with internal BOS
🎯 Target: -27% Fib extension = 1.33737
🛡️ Stop below 100% Fib ~1.32400
📈 Setup Specs:
Timeframe: 30min
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: 1.33090 – 1.33110
TP: 1.33737 (Fib -27%)
SL: ~1.32400
RR: Approx. 1:3.5+
💡 Why It Matters:
Smart Money often accumulates positions in hidden imbalances like this FVG zone. Retail traders get shaken out on the pullback — meanwhile institutions reload just below previous liquidity sweeps. The ChoCh confirms the shift, and boom — the liquidity vacuum fuels a launch to premium levels.
🎯 Chart Ninja Tip:
“ChoCh isn’t just a signal… it’s a signature. It tells you Smart Money is changing sides.”
CAD/USD growing more bullishIn this chart we can see the CAD/USD conversion rate has formed a bullish divergence.
This pattern is formed when price action creates lower lows whereas simultaneously the RSI creates higher lows.
This divergence is indicative of a future sharp and sudden rise in price.
Entered (2) 6CM contracts at .72145
Target price of .72645
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection
• The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones.
• A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading.
2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough
• The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis.
• There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal.
3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure
• The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance.
• Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed.
4. Resistance Area Is Vague
• The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes.
• A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies.
5. Economic Events Are Ignored
• There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
GBPJPY – Breakout Buy Setup (Macro Alignment)GBPJPY long setup backed by rising LEI, strong macro trend, JPY weakness, and bullish seasonal window approaching after April 24.
Waiting for breakout confirmation above resistance to validate entry.
🧠 Macro + Model Alignment
LEI score rising → 33 (April), macro outlook improving
Exo+LEI = 1153 → strong bullish signal
JPY COT: Overbought → reversal risk
GBP fundamentals outperform JPY across April
Seasonality: GBP bearish till April 24, then bullish into month-end
📌 Best entry window = April 25+
📊 Technical Setup – 1H Chart
Price testing key resistance zone ~190.00
Watching for breakout & candle close above resistance for confirmation
Clear R:R with defined structure zones
📥 Entry: Break and close above 190.284
⛔ Stop Loss: 187.414
🎯 Take Profit: 192.608
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
Confirmation required before entry ✅
XAUUSD | Bearish Order Block Rejection in Premium | Short Setup🔥 XAUUSD – 5M Timeframe Smart Money Setup | April 30, 2025
Gold just printed the kind of setup Smart Money waits for: liquidity sweep + order block retest + Fibonacci confluence — all in the Premium Zone.
📍 Price Action Breakdown:
We marked a Clear Bearish Order Block after a strong move down.
Price retraced cleanly back into the 61.8%–79% Fibonacci Premium Zone — the exact area where Smart Money sells to retail buyers.
Price wicked into the OB, filled the imbalance, and showed strong bearish rejection.
Entry triggered on confirmation candle after tap.
🎯 Key Setup Elements:
✅ OB in Premium
✅ Bearish BOS before entry
✅ Fibonacci rejection (61.8–79%)
✅ Clean mitigation of the OB
✅ Low time frame confirmation entry
🧠 Smart Money Flow:
Retail: “Gold’s recovering! Time to buy!”
Smart Money: “Thanks for the liquidity. Here’s your SL.” 🫡💸
Every wick into that OB zone is a buy stop getting sniped by institutions.
💥 Trade Setup:
Entry: OB rejection zone at 3,328–3,332
SL: Above 3,332 (wick high / OB invalidation)
TP:
TP1: 3,314
TP2: 3,306
TP3: 3,299 (full RR completion)
Risk:Reward ~ 1:3+
📈 Risk Management Note:
Trailing SL advised once we reach TP1. Let price prove itself. Gold is volatile, but this structure is textbook.
🔮 What to Watch Next:
BOS below 3,320 confirms further bearish momentum.
Any re-entry into OB without momentum = trap.
🎤 Final Thoughts:
This is a play straight out of the institutional handbook — it’s not about chasing, it’s about letting price come to you.
Patience = Profit. 🧠💰
🗣️ Drop “GOLDEN SNIPER” in the comments if you caught this too.
💾 Save this chart — it's a lesson in precision.
👥 Tag your scalping squad — no excuses on this clean setup.
EURNZD strong daily demand level at 1.89. Long biasSupply and demand imbalances are the driving forces behind price movements in the Forex market. By identifying these key zones or imbalances, traders can anticipate high-probability reversal or continuation setups. Today, we’ll analyze the EURNZD cross pair, which has recently formed a strong demand imbalance at $1.89—the most significant impulse in months.
The Power of Supply & Demand Imbalances
Supply and demand trading revolves around identifying areas where price has made a strong, impulsive move (demand or supply zone) and then waiting for a retracement into that zone for a potential reversal or continuation.
Key Characteristics of a Strong Imbalance:
✅ Extended Range Candles (ERC): Strong, wide-bodied candles indicate institutional buying/selling.
✅ Strong Imbalance: A clear shift in market structure after a strong rally or drop.
✅ Fresh Zone: The imbalance has not been tested yet or has only been tested once.
XAU/USD - H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 23-04-2024⚙️ Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Time Frame Trade Plan
🧭 Current Market Bias (H1)
Check if price is above or below 50 EMA and 200 EMA
Above both = bullish bias
Below both = bearish bias
Between = range / indecision
✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Buy the Dip)
Entry Zone: $2,340 – $2,350 (recent demand zone)
Entry Signal: Bullish engulfing / hammer / RSI bounce from 40
Stop Loss: $2,325 (below recent swing low)
Take Profit 1: $2,370
Take Profit 2: $2,390
Risk:Reward: At least 1:2
❌ Bearish Trade Setup (Sell the Rally)
Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,400 (strong resistance)
Entry Signal: Bearish engulfing / shooting star / RSI rejection from 70
Stop Loss: $2,415 (above previous swing high)
Take Profit 1: $2,360
Take Profit 2: $2,340
📌 Extra Tips
Use MACD crossovers or RSI divergence for confirmation.
Avoid entering during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP).
Consider partial closes and trailing stops if price action moves in your favor.
EURNZD - at major Resistance: Will it drop to 1.9000?OANDA:EURNZD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering some strong bearish momentum. This zone can be a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.9000 level . However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and mean further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBPUSD in Correction Phase – Potential for a Short OpportunityGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) , Support lines and Important Support line .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , GBPUSD appears to have completed the microwave 5 of the main wave 3 with the help of the Ending Diagonal Pattern and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 is likely to have a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect GBPUSD to decline at least to the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) and Support lines .
Note: If GBPUSD goes above $1.30 we should expect more pumping. The worst Stop Loss(SL) for a SHORT position could be $1.30.
Note: If GBPUSD falls below $1.2760, we should expect more dumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound/U.S. Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal):
Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward.
Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish.
Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs.
2. Range-Bound Movement:
Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940.
Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum.
3. Bullish Divergence Possibility:
Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows.
Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal.
4. Fundamental Risk:
Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency