Potential bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8976
1st Support: 0.8940
1st Resistance: 0.9049
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity
The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold.
2. Support & Resistance Strength
The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong.
The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there?
3. Alternative Scenarios
What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation.
Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below.
4. Fundamental Factors
Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6324
1st Support: 0.6259
1st Resistance: 0.6367
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Correcting – Another Fall Ahead?Today I want to analyze EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) for a 15-minute time frame and whether EURUSD is ready to fall or not.
EURUSD is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) . It also moves in the descending channel in the 15-minute time frame.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed its 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect corrective waves to end either in a descending channel or eventually at a Resistance zone($1.0493-$1.0480) .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Support lines in the coming hours, and if the Support lines break , we should expect a decline to at least 100_SMA(4-hour) .
Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance line, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Analysis H2 TimeframeXAUUSD Analysis – Bearish Breakout & Potential Downside Move
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out of its rising channel, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
After a Break of Structure (BOS), price retested the previous support line, now acting as resistance.
The rejection from this zone confirms bearish momentum, aligning with the breakout retest strategy.
If price fails to reclaim the broken support, we may see further downside towards the highlighted demand zones around $2,870 - $2,850. Traders should watch for rejection or continuation signals before entering new positions.
Bias: Bearish
Key Levels:
📉 Resistance : $2,940 (Breakout Retest Zone)
📉 Targets : $2,870 - $2,850 (Demand Areas)
What’s your take on this setup?
Let me know in the comments!
ETHUSD surely analysis 1. Support and Resistance Reliability
The analysis assumes a strong support zone at the lower level and a firm resistance at the top.
However, support and resistance levels are not static—they can be invalidated if momentum is strong
If the price revisits support too many times, it could break down instead of bouncing.
2. Repetitive Range-Bound Expectation
The chart predicts multiple rejections at the middle resistance before a breakout.
Markets don’t always behave in such a predictable pattern—sideways action could lead to a sudden breakdown instead of a breakout.
3. Lack of Volume & Trend Confirmation
There's no volume analysis to confirm if support and resistance levels are strong.
A higher time frame (1H or 4H) analysis would help validate if this is just consolidation or a genuine trend reversal.
4. Breakout vs. Fakeout Possibility
The projection assumes a clean breakout above resistance.
However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, where price moves above resistance, traps buyers, and then reverses sharply.
A liquidity grab above resistance could lead to a drop instead of a rally.
Alternative Perspective
Instead of assuming a clear upward movement, consider two scenarios:
1. Bullish Case: If volume supports the breakout, enter after a successful retest of resistance as support.
2. Bearish Case: If the breakout fails (fakeout), expect a retest and breakdown, leading to a lower support level
GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption
The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance).
However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable.
Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur.
2. Support Zone Over-Reliance
The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because:
The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes.
A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing.
If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move.
3. Resistance Breakout Bias
The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation.
However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning:
A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally.
4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation
No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation.
No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging.
Alternative View
Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider:
Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal.
Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal.
Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Key Resistance & Fibonacci Target ZonesOverview:
This USD/JPY daily chart shows a potential bearish reversal setup after a break below key support and trendline structure. The pair has recently dropped below a critical demand zone (highlighted in green), which has now turned into resistance. The price is currently attempting a pullback, and a potential rejection from the resistance zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a continuation of the downtrend.
Key Levels & Technical Analysis:
Previous Support Turned Resistance: The green zone represents a significant past support area that has now become resistance after a breakdown.
Trendline Break: The upward trendline that supported price action for several months has been broken, confirming bearish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 (151.265): A minor resistance level for a possible short-term rejection.
0.5 (148.979): A stronger resistance, aligning with structure.
0.618 - 0.786 (145.053 - 143.582): The ultimate bearish targets, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement extensions.
Bearish Projection:
The expected scenario suggests a short-term retracement towards the 151.265-148.979 resistance zone.
If the price faces rejection, a strong bearish continuation could target 145.053 and ultimately 143.582.
Trade Plan:
📌 Short Entry: Around 151.265 - 148.979 if price rejects resistance.
🎯 Target 1: 145.053 (0.70 Fibonacci)
🎯 Target 2: 143.582 (0.786 Fibonacci)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 152.000 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment for USD/JPY is bearish after breaking a key trendline and support level. Traders should watch for a pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a bearish rejection for a potential short trade. However, a break above 152.000 could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
📉 Bearish Bias Until Key Resistance Holds! 📉
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone:
The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop.
The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum.
2. Bearish Projection Bias:
The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly.
The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames.
3. Support Level Stability:
While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down.
It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance.
4. Short Time Frame Limitations:
The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise.
A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends.
5. Missing Confirmation Factors:
No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis.
Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal.
Alternative View:
Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered.
A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend.
The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position.
Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications.
What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth?
🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box).
🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box).
📈 Two Potential Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀.
📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline)
✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone)
💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Gold buy target This chart represents a trade setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe using technical analysis. The analysis includes key trading levels:
Entry Point (Yellow - 2,938.690): The planned entry price for a buy (long) position.
Stop Loss (Red - 2,927.485): The price level to limit losses if the trade goes against the trader’s expectation. If the price drops to this level, the position will be automatically closed to prevent further losses.
Target (Blue - 2,962.046): The price level where the trader aims to take profit. If the price reaches this level, the position will be closed to secure gains.
Analysis & Strategy:
The setup anticipates a bullish move, expecting the price to rise from the entry level to the target.
The stop loss is placed below a support zone to minimize downside risk.
If the price respects support and bounces, the trade aims to capture a significant upward move toward the target price.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, meaning potential profits outweigh the risk taken.
This setup follows a technical breakout or reversal strategy, aiming to capitalize on a potential price increase in gold.
USDCAD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCAD has broken below a major support level, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 1.42600, which previously served as support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.41130 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Oil Trend soon Big downOil* trading in an upward channel with recent price action moving down towards the buy zone around 70.00. There are resistance levels near 71.80 and 71.00, where price had previously faced rejection. The target for this setup is around 69.89, expecting a potential drop from the current price. Watch for a bounce from the buy zone and a possible move toward the target.
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider:
1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through.
2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside.
3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider:
A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally.
A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction.
A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply.
4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices.
5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility
The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally.
Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction.
2. Support Area Failure Risk
The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades.
3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility
Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal.
The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness
The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal.
Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high.
2. Support Area Strength Overestimation
The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop
3. Market Structure Bias
The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong.
A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout.
Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is moving within an ascending channel and is currently testing the bottom of the channel. After some consolidation in this support zone, the price is expected to move toward the top of the channel.
What’s your outlook? Will EUR/USD move toward the channel’s top?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include:
Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge.
Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase.
Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area.
Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives:
1. False Breakout Possibility:
Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario.
Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias.
2. Resistance Strength:
The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate.
A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside.
3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case:
If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside.
Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume.
4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors:
Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events.
A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold
The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong?
Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
2. False Support Bounce Possible
The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers.
3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario
The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher.
A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up.
4. Resistance May Strengthen
Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout.
Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward.
Alternative Outlook
If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further.
A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold
The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook.
2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable
While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply.
3. Liquidity Grab Possibility
The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout.
4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction
News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move.
Alternative Outlook
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping.
Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon)
1. Resistance Area May Not Hold
The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs.
If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal
2. Support Areas Could Fail
The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment.
A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback.
3. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction.
A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move.
4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed
The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected:
The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal.
2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout:
Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward.
3. Support Might Not Hold:
The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower.
4. Trendline Trap:
The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation