2,285-2,448 created firmer support and resistance levels.Gold prices are expected to increase because interest rates will lower and the USD will weaken. Gold prices are testing levels above 2,400 USD/ounce. Indicators show that gold prices have an upward trend.
Gold prices are expected to continue to increase in the near future. Gold price for August delivery is approaching 2,400 USD/ounce.
World gold price opened at the beginning of the week at 2,326.72 USD/ounce, maintaining within the range of 15 USD on Monday and Tuesday sessions. On Wednesday, a series of economic data announced, world gold price increased to 2,363.77
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is still the focus of attention. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified with the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee.
The market will also pay close attention to the US CPI in June, weekly unemployment claims, and the University of Michigan's preliminary survey of consumer sentiment.
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GBP/USD Advances Towards 1.2800 Amid Weak US Economic DataOn Thursday, the GBP/USD pair advanced towards the 1.2800 mark. Renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) propelled GBP/USD higher as markets reacted to disappointing macroeconomic data releases.
The ADP's monthly report indicated that payrolls in the private sector increased by 150,000 in June, falling short of the market expectation of 160,000. Additionally, the Department of Labor reported 238,000 first-time applications for unemployment benefits for the week ending June 29, up from 233,000 in the previous week.
Moreover, the ISM Services PMI fell to 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May, signaling a contraction in the service sector's business activity. The survey details revealed that the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index declined to 46.1 and 56.3, respectively.
From a technical perspective, we anticipate a potential reversal in the supply area where we have set a pending order. Our seasonality analysis also suggests that GBP/USD typically begins a bearish trend during this period of the year, lasting until October. Therefore, we are looking for a bearish setup.
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EUR/USD : Bulls are coming ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after filling its gap, the price is stabilizing above 1.071. Considering the price structure and market conditions, we will likely see an upward move towards higher targets. The next liquidity pool is around the 1.077 range. Keep an eye on the price movement within this demand zone.
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EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Momentum, Surpasses 1.0800As anticipated in our previous forecast, EUR/USD has continued its bullish momentum, climbing above the 1.0800 level.
Analyzing the chart, you can observe the areas where we have marked the closest supply zone, which we expect the price to reach before any potential decline.
Disappointing macroeconomic data releases from the US triggered a selloff of the US Dollar (USD) during American trading hours on Wednesday, aiding the EUR/USD's upward movement.
The ADP reported that private sector payrolls increased by 150,000 in June, missing analysts' estimate of 160,000. Additionally, the Department of Labor's weekly data showed 238,000 first-time applications for unemployment benefits, up from 233,000 the previous week.
Furthermore, the ISM Services PMI fell to 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May, indicating a contraction in the service sector's business activity. The Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index of the PMI survey also dropped to 46.1 and 56.3, respectively.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's release of USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m and Non-Farm Employment Change is expected to introduce further market volatility. Our forecast remains bullish until the price reaches the identified supply area.
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EUR/USD Gains Amid Market Risk Flows: Short-Term Long PositionThe EUR/USD pair is trading in positive territory, slightly above 1.0750, following modest gains on Tuesday. While the technical indicators suggest a buildup of bullish momentum, the pair may face resistance in clearing the 1.0790-1.0800 range unless supported by significant fundamental factors.
As Wednesday's session began, risk appetite dominated the markets, making it challenging for the US Dollar (USD) to attract demand. The upcoming USD Unemployment Claims and ISM Services PMI forecasts suggest a bearish outlook for the USD, prompting traders to favor the EUR.
Our primary strategy is to wait for the price to reach a supply area before considering a potential short position. Given that the price rose from a demand area yesterday, our current focus is on a short-term long position, targeting the 1.0850 level.
Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change and ISM Services PMI data from the US will be closely watched for new market insights.
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EUR/AUD: Preparing for a Bullish Rebound in a Defined RangeThe EUR/AUD currency pair is presently trading within a defined range area. Technical indicators show that the price is in oversold conditions, suggesting that a rebound is likely. Our area of interest is the Demand zone, where we expect to see a significant price increase. This expectation is supported by the fact that institutional traders are holding major long positions, indicating their confidence in an upward movement.
Furthermore, we have conducted a seasonal analysis, which reveals that historically, the price tends to grow over the next two months. This seasonal trend adds another layer of confidence to our bullish outlook. Given these factors—the oversold technical indicators, the concentration of long positions by institutional traders, and the positive seasonal trend—we are now considering entering a long position in the EUR/AUD currency pair.
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GBP/AUD Analysis: Anticipating a Bullish InitiativeFollowing our previous analysis, the GBP/AUD pair continues to reside within our identified area of attention, particularly around a key Demand area. This area has been filled, and the price has reacted with an initial reversal. Currently, the price hovers around 1.9015, a level of significant interest for several reasons.
Firstly, the COT report reveals that a majority of institutional positions are on the long side. This indicates strong interest from major market players in the upside potential of the GBP/AUD pair, adding credibility to our bullish outlook.
Secondly, our seasonality analysis further supports the case for a bullish initiative. Historically, during this part of the year, the GBP/AUD pair tends to experience growth. This seasonal tendency aligns well with our technical and fundamental observations, providing an additional layer of confidence in our analysis.
From a technical perspective, the initial reversal from the Demand area suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, supporting the price and preventing it from falling further. This Demand area, around 1.9015, serves as a crucial support zone where buying interest outweighs selling pressure.
In light of these factors, we are actively looking for a bullish initiative. Our strategy involves monitoring the price action for further confirmation of the bullish trend. Key indicators to watch include higher lows and higher highs on shorter time frames, as well as supportive volume patterns that indicate sustained buying interest.
We are also paying close attention to any news or events that could impact the GBP/AUD pair, including economic data releases and geopolitical developments. These factors could provide additional catalysts for the anticipated upward movement.
In summary, with institutional support, favorable seasonal trends, and technical signals aligning, we are poised to capitalize on the bullish potential of the GBP/AUD pair. We will be looking for optimal entry points to enter long positions, aiming to benefit from the expected price appreciation in the coming weeks.
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EURUSD Analysis===>>RR=2.41EURUSD managed to break the Resistance line and Resistance zone($1.0734_$1.0716) with the help of the Breakaway Gap . ( Of course, now the resistance zone has turned into a support zone ).
According to the Elliott wave theory , EURUSD has successfully completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect the EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.0806_$1.0780) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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XAU rebounded after moving sidewaysMany analysts believe that the gold market is in a calm period and may fluctuate again at least until the end of this week. The increase in buying by investors at the beginning of the session is the expectation that the price will increase after the precious metal is in a low price range.
The current monetary policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could trigger another sell-off in the market.
As long as the Fed loosens monetary policy, it will put pressure on the USD and push up gold prices.
EUR/USD Analysis: ECB Rate Cuts and Fed Policy DivergenceThe EUR/USD pair is facing significant macroeconomic factors, with the European Central Bank (ECB) contemplating additional rate cuts beyond the summer, aligning with market expectations of two more rate cuts later this year.
Conversely, market participants are debating whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement one or two rate cuts this year, despite the Fed's June 12 meeting indicating just one cut, likely in December.
Today's release of the EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y and CPI Flash Estimate y/y shows weaker prospects than forecasted. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, suggests that a weaker result could drive the EUR/USD pair lower.
Additionally, the recent rise in the US Dollar is partly due to hawkish comments from Fed officials and the growing monetary policy gap between the Fed and other major central banks, contributing to the euro's decline.
In the short term, the recent ECB rate cut, compared to the Fed's decision to maintain rates, has further widened the policy gap between the two central banks, potentially leading to more weakness in the EUR/USD pair.
From a technical perspective, on the Daily timeframe, we have identified a Demand Area that has not been fully tested. We anticipate a possible bearish momentum today and will look for a potential long position if the price reaches our Area of interest.
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EURUSD is Ready to Go Up!!!EURUSD is moving in the Support zone($1.070-$1.062) and near the Support line .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its 5 downward waves and we should expect upward corrective waves .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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AUD/USD Surges as US Inflation Cools, Setting for Bullish ContAUD/USD Surges to 0.6670 as US Inflation Cools, Setting the Stage for Bullish Continuation
The AUD/USD pair has jumped higher to 0.6670 following an expected cooling in US inflation. This move aligns with our technical analysis, which anticipated a potential rebound in the Fibonacci retracement area, triggering a new bullish impulse. We also observed a divergence on the RSI within the H4 timeframe, which is situated inside a bullish channel.
The decline in US inflation data is expected to spur expectations for early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), creating an unfavorable scenario for the US Dollar. Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned negative, dropping to 105.80.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the central bank sees the September meeting as the earliest point for pivoting to policy normalization. The tool indicates that the Fed is expected to deliver two rate cuts this year. However, contrary to market expectations, Fed officials have forecasted only one rate cut this year.
Considering all the data and analysis, we are anticipating a possible bullish continuation for the AUD/USD pair.
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EURJPY: To The New Highs 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke and closed above a key daily resistance.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a double bottom
formation on that and violated its neckline then.
That confirms a strong bullish sentiment on the market.
The price will most likely rearch 172.0 level soon.
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CAD CPI forecast#USDCAD CPI Update..!
The pair are currently running with a ranging market and already broke the middle range. With an upcoming fundamental event,
I expected usdcad ready to reach the next 4H support level located at 1.35563 level. However Fvg still didn't fill. Analyze recommends opening selling at 1.3698 level. Good luck guys
use at your own risk
EUR/USD : Big Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that the price has started to rise exactly as we expected. It fully filled the first FVG and even about 50% of the second FVG. The overall return of this analysis has been over 85 pips. Currently, the Euro is trading around 1.072 and might start a further correction from this level. The 1.07380 to 1.07620 range is an important supply zone and should be closely monitored.
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#GBPAUD A long position would be initiated if the price could break the falling wedge pattern to the upside.
A short position would be considered if the price fails to break above the bearish channel's lower boundary and creates a lower low.
The trading scenario with the line arrow has a higher possibility of occurring.
Confirmations for the buying scenario:
Bullish divergence in the 1H time frame. 4H RSX at the oversold (OS) area.
Price testing an important daily support.
This bearish breakout of the channel could be considered an overexertion with respect to the price level.
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Gold sideways waits for important economic dataGold price cannot break the 2325 resistance level to form a short-term uptrend. Gold retreated to levels near 2310 as the US dollar tried to recover even as US Treasury yields eased again.
The release of US retail sales data on Tuesday, weekly jobless claims on Thursday and a flash purchasing managers' index on Friday could provide clarity. in terms of consumption and economic strength.
In the last two weeks, the wide range that gold is trading at is still 2340 and 2300. The lower levels of 2308 and 2325 are still keeping gold prices stable from yesterday's European session to today. In general, gold still moves sideways until the latest data from the US economy is released.
Support: 2308 - 2300 - 2291 - 2286
Resistance: 2330 - 2340 - 2350
SELL zone 2338-2340 stoploss 2343
BUY zone 2308 - 2306 stoploss 2303