EURUSD Analysis==>>Signs of a FallEURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0955-$1.0933) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern can be a sign of EURUSD reversal.
I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0884-$1.0864) .
This week, the US economic calendar will be very busy releasing inflation Indices that will likely influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy . We must wait for the prices to react when the indices are published.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Gold Prices Likly To Drop TodayOur technical analysis and market indicators suggest that gold is likely to experience a sell-off tomorrow, reversing the gains made in recent trading sessions. the expected sell entry would be 67 and 63. This pessimistic forecast is supported by concerning fundamental factors, including:
- Weakening investor demand for safe-haven assets
- Central banks' potential reduction in gold reserves accumulation
- Unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, such as rising interest rates and a strengthening US dollar
USD/CHF: Liquidity Grab at 0.84323 Signals Long SetupThe USD/CHF pair recently grabbed liquidity at the 0.84323 level, aligning with a significant demand area, which has sparked a potential reversal. Following this initial reversal impulse, we are closely monitoring this zone for a long entry.
The liquidity grab at 0.84323 is noteworthy, as it indicates a possible shift in market dynamics, with a strong buying interest emerging at this critical level. This demand area has historically provided robust support, making it a key level to watch for a sustained upward move.
Our analysis of the supply and demand dynamics supports the case for a long position. The current market structure suggests that the demand zone at 0.84323 is poised to hold, providing the foundation for a bullish continuation. Additionally, the seasonal trends for USD/CHF historically favor upward movements during specific periods, further reinforcing the potential for a price surge.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds another layer of confirmation to this setup. The data indicates that large traders and institutions have begun accumulating long positions in USD/CHF, signaling growing confidence in a potential upward trend.
Given the confluence of the liquidity grab at 0.84323, the strong demand area, supportive seasonal trends, and bullish signals from the COT report, we are looking to go long on USD/CHF. The technical and sentiment indicators suggest a favorable environment for a price surge, making this a promising opportunity for traders.
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USD/JPY:Liquidity Grab at 142.000 Signals Long Setup OpportunityThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a liquidity grab around the 142.000 area, which coincides with a key demand zone. This convergence of factors presents a compelling opportunity for a long setup, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, seasonality trends, and our supply and demand analysis.
The liquidity grab at 142.000 is a critical event, as it often indicates a shift in market sentiment. In this case, the price dipped into a demand area where buying pressure is expected to intensify. This zone has historically acted as a strong support level, making it a prime candidate for a reversal and an upward move.
Our analysis of the COT report further strengthens the case for a long position. The data suggests that large traders and institutional investors are increasingly positioning themselves on the bullish side of USD/JPY, indicating confidence in a potential upward trajectory. This shift in market sentiment aligns with the technical indicators we've identified in the 142.000 demand area.
Seasonality trends also play a supportive role in this setup. Historically, certain periods have favored the US dollar against the Japanese yen, leading to upward movements in the pair. This seasonal pattern, combined with the current technical and sentiment-based factors, creates a favorable environment for a long position.
Given the liquidity grab at 142.000, the confluence with a demand zone, and the positive signals from the COT report and seasonality analysis, we are looking to enter a long setup in USD/JPY. Traders should consider this opportunity, as the potential for a significant upward move appears strong.
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XAU Rising Strongly After Deep FallGold (XAU/USD) rose on Thursday, snapping a four-day losing streak, although it lacked momentum and remained below $2,400 heading into the European session. Investors remain concerned about the economic slowdown in China and the possibility of a US recession. This, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should act as a supportive factor for gold. Moreover, expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept the US dollar on the defensive, confirming the positive outlook for the non-yielding precious metal.
EURUSD Analysis==> H&S patternEURUSD reacted well to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Heavy Resistance zone($1.1185-$1.098) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing five impulsive waves , and we should wait for EURUSD to decline .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Head and Shoulders Pattern is likely to form.
I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0885-$1.0860) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAU is sideways todayForecasting the gold price trend, although gold has had two consecutive sessions of price decline, experts said that the decline of gold has been significantly limited thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September and concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
XAU/USD : Awaiting Key Levels Amid Middle East Tensions (READ)By examining the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is currently trading around $2398. We are still waiting for the price to reach the range of $2403 to $2410, after which we can prepare for a sell position with an appropriate trigger. Note that the risk of war due to high tensions in the Middle East remains high, which could cause a boost in the gold price, potentially pushing it above $2500. At the moment, we are following the price with our analysis and are trying not to prejudge it too much. We will wait for the price to reach the desired and attractive levels for trading. This analysis will be updated.
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XAU/USD : Get Ready for another Bullish Move !(READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour time frame, we observe that on Friday, the price managed to surge to $2478, hitting our target levels, and then entered the marked supply zone (Bearish Rejection Block). This was followed by a heavy correction from $2478 to $2410, a drop of more than 680 pips in 4 hours! With this decline, a new Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which is likely to be filled soon. The potential targets for this are $2450 and $2456. Currently, the price of gold is at $2442.495. After the FVG is filled, we need to watch the price reaction to this level. Considering the ongoing high risk of war, gold might ignore other economic data and, in the event of war, could potentially rise to $2500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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EUR/USD Trade Setup on the Daily TimeframeEUR/USD pair is currently moving sideways on the daily timeframe, forming an ascending channel characterized by higher highs and higher lows. It recently broke out and found support at the 1.08000 level.
We are now looking for buy entries at this support level. Let's scale down to the lower timeframes to identify potential buy patterns and entry confirmations.
USDJPY Analysis==>>Falling Wedge PatternUSDJPY is moving in an Ascending Channel and Falling Wedge Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , USDJPY seems to have succeeded in completing corrective waves in the Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect USDJPY to rise to at least the first target after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EURUSD Analysis==>>Reversal PatternsEURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.0920-$1.0870) and near the Resistance lines .
If we want to analyze the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , two Reversal Patterns are clearly visible: Head and Shoulders Pattern & Bump-and-Run Top Pattern .
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Educational tip :👇
The Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern forms when, after a gentle upward trend, a more aggressive one appears on the chart. The price pivots at the peak and then falls like an avalanche.
In this scenario, only professional traders survive and thrive with considerable portfolio gains. In the following section, I will teach you how to make money when there’s blood in the snow!
This pattern forms when the price rallies too far up. People second-guess themselves buying at such high prices while sellers sell confidently, causing a downward trend. This means you can see a clear reversal in the Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern. Although this pattern is considered a single entity, it consists of three separate parts or phases:
1) Normal and steady trend, called the “Lead-in Phase.” Imagine it as walking up a mountain.
2) Market participants going crazy with greed, called the “Bump Phase.” You can imagine this one as an ascent to the mountain’s peak.
3) The price falling and causing bloodshed of candles, called the “Run Phase.” At last, you ski down the snow, collecting profits on your way.
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According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to have successfully completed five impulse waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
After breaking the support trend line and Neckline , I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Support zone($1.0820-$1.0776) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDCAD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupUSDCAD forms a false breakdown of resistance, reached the resistance zone, but was subsequently pushed back down.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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XAU is at a low price compared to last weekThe XAU price fell to its lowest in more than a week today as traders await more US economic data and comments from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials this week for further action. more clarity on the timeline for interest rate cuts.
Markets see a more than 90% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September, down from a previous forecast of 98%.
Senior market analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich said that the simultaneous decline in the gold and US stock markets recently is not a good omen for this precious metal.
The gold market increased slightly compared to the first day of While the current rally became pushed with the aid of using bodily factors, strategists say cash flows will gas the following rally. They notice that this modification is beginning to appear, predicting that gold fees may want to attain 2,650 USD/ounce with the aid of using the fourth region of 2024.
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The XAU fee fell to its lowest in extra than every week nowadays as investors watch for extra US financial records and feedback from US Federal Reserve (FED) officers this week for similarly action. extra readability at the timeline for hobby fee cuts.
Markets see a extra than 90% danger the Fed will reduce hobby fees in September, down from a preceding forecast of 98%.
Senior marketplace analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich stated that the simultaneous decline withinside the gold and US inventory markets lately isn't always a very good omen for this valuable metal.
Yen Bulls Hedge Funds Reduce Short Bets with BOJ Intervention The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been a story of woe in 2024, weakening considerably against the US Dollar (USD) due to a widening interest rate gap between the two countries. However, a recent shift in sentiment is brewing, with hedge funds reducing their bearish bets on the Yen in a significant move.
Hedge Funds Cut Short Bets on Yen in Historic Move
According to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), leveraged funds reduced their net short positions on the Yen by a staggering 38,025 contracts during the week ending July 16th. This marks the largest single-week reduction in short positions since March 2011, highlighting a potential turning point in the Yen's fortunes.
Despite this significant cutback, it's important to note that hedge funds remain net short on the Yen, holding a total of 76,588 short contracts. This indicates a cautious optimism, with some investors still hesitant to fully embrace a Yen rebound.
Intervention and Policy Shifts Fuel Yen's Rise
The retreat from short positions by hedge funds coincides with several developments that have bolstered the Yen. Most notably, the Japanese government is suspected of intervening in the currency market to support the Yen. Reports suggest that Japanese authorities spent a substantial JPY 5.64 trillion (approximately USD 35.8 billion) over two trading sessions to prop up the currency from near its weakest levels since the 1980s. This intervention likely played a significant role in halting the Yen's decline and triggering a rebound against the USD.
Beyond intervention, the Yen has also benefited from shifting expectations regarding US monetary policy. The Federal Reserve, which has been raising interest rates aggressively to combat inflation, may be nearing the peak of its tightening cycle. Increased expectations of a potential Fed rate cut in September have narrowed the interest rate gap between the US and Japan, making the Yen a more attractive proposition for some investors.
Trump's Comments Add Fuel to the Fire
Adding another layer of intrigue to the Yen's recent strengthening are comments from former US President Donald Trump. Trump, known for his unorthodox views on currency valuations, has reportedly criticized the weakness of the Yen. While his influence on markets is less pronounced than when he held office, his comments may have added a touch of uncertainty for USD bulls, potentially encouraging some to reduce their long positions.
A Tentative Rebound or a Long-Term Shift?
The recent developments surrounding the Yen paint a complex picture. While the reduction in short positions and the Yen's rebound are positive signs, it's too early to declare a definitive reversal. The overall direction of the Yen will likely hinge on several factors, including:
• Future Actions by the Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ, unlike many central banks, has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. Any indication of a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy could further bolster the Yen.
• The Trajectory of US Interest Rates: If the Fed continues with its aggressive rate hikes, the interest rate gap between the US and Japan will widen, putting downward pressure on the Yen.
• Global Risk Sentiment: The Yen is often seen as a safe-haven currency. If global economic uncertainty increases, investors may flock to the Yen, driving its value up.
Conclusion: A Yen in Flux
The Yen's recent strengthening and the reduction in short positions by hedge funds represent a potential turning point. However, the future trajectory of the Yen remains uncertain, dependent on a confluence of factors. Investors should closely monitor developments in both the Japanese and US economies, as well as broader market sentiment, to gauge the Yen's long-term prospects.
The world XAU market turned around after rising higherAs mentioned to readers in yesterday`s edition, gold has suffered a downward correction after the Relative Strength Index operated withinside the overbought area, indicating that the room for rate will increase is now no longer too great. big and require modifications after a protracted length of rate will increase.
Currently, gold is likewise working pretty low however does now no longer have an effect on the primary fashion of rate growth with the rate channel as the quick-time period fashion and long-time period fashion. In the quick time period, the truth that gold can get better to keep above the technical stage of 2,430 USD might be an excellent signal for it. On the alternative hand, if gold recovers lower back above $2,449, it's going to mark the stop of the downward adjustment cycle.
During the day, gold may want to preserve to accurate similarly as soon as it's miles bought below $2,420 with a next drawback goal of around $2,400.
The downward correction cycle from the uptrend of gold expenses might be observed once more via way of means of the subsequent technical levels. Support: 2,420 - 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 - 2,449USD