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Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 107.28 1st Support: 106.21 1st Resistance: 108.28 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel. The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel. In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 159.53 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 160.24 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.97 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone. It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point . I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines . The First Target: $1.04651 The Second Target: $1.04981 Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
Gold Price Analysis February 12⭐️Fundamental Analysis Asian and European traders were cautious ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks to Congress. Powell said he was in no rush to adjust monetary policy and wanted to see more progress on inflation, saying the economy was in a "pretty good place." His remarks helped stabilize financial markets, helping Wall Street trim losses and the dollar recover. Powell will continue his testimony on Wednesday, and investors are also awaiting January CPI data, which is forecast to have risen 2.9% year-on-year, with core annual growth of around 3.1%. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold is accepting the 2941 area as a top, and the decline has created quite clear structures. 2873-2871 is an important support zone in pushing gold prices to increase again. If gold prices cannot close the h4 candle above 2890, it will be considered a confirmation of a dow breakout and a downtrend wave that can extend to 2833. In the direction of gold going up again, 2807 and 2827 will be the zones that the SELL side will pay attention to in order to participate in the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Bearish Flag & Quasimodo Patterns—Is EURUSD Set to Drop?First, let's have a Fundamental Analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ). The EURUSD rate is influenced by several key fundamental factors : 1. Divergent Economic Indicators : United States : Recent data indicates a robust labor market, with job growth maintaining momentum. This strength supports the U.S. dollar, as investors anticipate potential monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve to manage inflationary pressures. Eurozone : Conversely, the Eurozone faces economic challenges, including unexpected inflation acceleration and declining industrial production, particularly in Germany. These factors may constrain the European Central Bank's (ECB) ability to adjust interest rates, potentially weakening the euro. 2. Central Bank Policies : Federal Reserve (Fed) : The Fed's recent communications suggest a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments, balancing economic growth with inflation control. The prospect of maintaining or increasing rates could further bolster the U.S. dollar. European Central Bank (ECB) : The ECB is grappling with rising inflation amidst a struggling economy. This scenario complicates policy decisions, as increasing rates to combat inflation might hinder economic recovery, thereby exerting downward pressure on the euro. 3. Geopolitical Developments : The U.S. administration's recent tariff threats have introduced uncertainties in global trade. Such actions typically lead investors to seek safe-haven assets, benefiting the U.S. dollar due to its perceived stability. In summary, the EURUSD is currently experiencing downward pressure , driven by stronger U.S. economic performance, proactive Federal Reserve policies, and geopolitical factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Conversely, the Eurozone's economic difficulties and the ECB's constrained policy options contribute to a weaker euro. These dynamics suggest a potential continuation of the EURUSD's bearish trend in the near term . -------------------------------------- Now, let's analyze the EURUSD chart in terms of Technical Analysis . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , 100_SMA(4-hour) , Monthly Pivot Point , and Resistance lines . Each of these items is considered a good resistance for EURUSD . In terms of Price Action , if we look at the EURUSD chart in the 1-hour time frame , we can see the Bearish Quasimodo Pattern , which is one of the reasons for EURUSD's fall . Educational Note : The Bearish Quasimodo Pattern is a price action reversal pattern that signals a potential downtrend. It forms when the price creates a higher high (HH) followed by a lower low (LL) and a lower high (LH), breaking the market structure. From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that EURUSD has managed to form a Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern . It is a good sign for the continuation of the downward trend of EURUSD . Educational Note : The Bearish Flag Pattern is a continuation pattern that signals the continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp downward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase in a small upward-sloping channel (flag). A breakdown from the flag confirms the pattern, indicating further price decline. According to the theory of Elliott waves , according to the volume of the previous movement, it seems that EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and it is possible that we are still in the main wave 3 even with a further fall. I expect EURUS D to fall to at least the Support zone($1.0285-$1.0255) after entering the PRZ or after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel of the bearish flag pattern, and if this zone is broken , we should expect to fall to the next Support zone($1.0222-$1.0175) and Monthly Support(1) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.03700, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
Downward pressure on XAUUSD concerning geopolitical developmentReports of a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon have emerged. If confirmed, this could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, potentially exerting downward pressure on its price . On February 8, 2025, Lebanon formed a new government led by Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, ending a prolonged political deadlock. The new administration aims to implement reforms to address Lebanon's economic crisis and to ensure the reconstruction of areas damaged during the recent conflict with Israel. The ceasefire agreement with Israel, initially set to expire, has been extended to February 18, 2025. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Shriyans_Singh
Gold going to new all time high read the caption Economists predict that Nonfarm Payrolls will rise by 170,000 jobs in January, following a 256,000-job increase in December. The Unemployment Rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1% during the same period. Average hourly earnings, a key indicator of wage inflation, are expected to show a 3.8% year-over-year growth in January, slightly below the 3.9% increase recorded in December. After the January policy meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the benchmark rate within the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the tone of the
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
XAU/USD: A Possible Correction? (Read the caption.)Analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timescale reveals that, as expected, the price corrected to $2858 following yesterday's study. However, it rapidly recovered, gaining 240 pips to set a new all-time high of $2882. Today, we finally had a pullback from $2882 to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the market manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and is strongly rejected from this level, we may witness a fall down to depths under $2850. With increasing market volatility and important macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should exercise caution. Price activity near these levels will be key in deciding the next move, as gold responds to fundamental variables such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price activity near support and resistance levels will be critical for spotting potential trading opportunities. Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me! By Nexus Trades Zone
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Gold confirm buy we see strong bull candle read the caption Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
EUR/USD : Get Ready for the next Bearish move (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after rising to the upper limit of the supply zone at 1.046 - 1.055, the price has finally corrected and is currently trading around 1.042. If the price stabilizes below this level, we can expect further declines in EURUSD. However, keep in mind that in about 2.5 hours, we have the significant CB Consumer Confidence report, which could strongly impact the market! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
9