AUDNZD in the first half of 2024A glimpse of the AUDNZD in the first half of 2024
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AUDJPY in the first half of 2024A glimpse of the AUDJPY in the first half of 2024
Stay with me to get more analysis after following me by sharing with friends and leaving a comment.
According to my risk and capital management system, the risk of each trade is one percent per position.
What do you think about this analysis and other analyses?
What symbol would you like me to analyze for you?
EURUSD will Attack to Support zone⚔️===>>(➡️RR=2.92)🏃♂️ EURUSD is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($1.0695-$1.0626) 🟢, but I expect it to be broken based on the explanation below 👇.
🌊According to the theory of Elliot waves , EURUSD seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY ) in the 🟢 Support zone($1.0695-$1.0626) 🟢.
📈Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , EURUSD has successfully formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern Reversal Pattern .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks.
🔔I expect EURUSD to go DOWN at least to the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , and EURUSD will probably break the 🟢 Support zone($1.0695-$1.0626) 🟢.
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EURUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.06975 USD (Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.07420 USD
💰Take Profit:
💰Take Profit:
🎯1.06303 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 1.51
🎯1.05674 USD👉Risk-To-Reward: 2.92
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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⭐️ XAU/USD : Gold’s Crucial Levels Navigating the $2352 to $2385By checking the gold chart in the 1-hour time frame, we can see that the price started falling from the range of $2332 last day and corrected to $2312! (+200 Pips) After that, it faced buying pressure again and grew to $2352! There are a series of very important supply levels in front of the price that I want to specify for you!
First of all, the range of $2352 to $2361 and then the levels of $2366, $2375 and $2385! Monitor the price reaction to these very important levels, we can expect a negative reaction from the price almost upon reaching any level!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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AUD/USD Resilient Amid Mixed Economic SignalsThe AUD/USD pair continues its upward trajectory, marking its second consecutive day of gains after finding support at the 0.6400 level on Wednesday. Despite facing a mixed bag of economic data, the Aussie dollar remains steadfast, exhibiting resilience in the face of uncertainty.
On the economic front, the Australian dollar experienced contrasting news. While there was a negative economic release regarding Employment Change, the Unemployment Rate showed positive feedback. Surprisingly, the market response was muted, with no significant movement in either direction. Currently, the price appears to be pausing at the 0.6450 level, reflecting a temporary equilibrium.
From a technical standpoint, the daily timeframe reveals a divergence pattern, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Our forecast indicates a possible uptick in value, with the price expected to gravitate towards the Point of Control (POC) level between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci range. This projection aligns with the presence of the last strong selling order block, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Furthermore, insights from a Westpac report shed light on the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) stance on monetary policy. While the central bank has signaled reluctance to raise interest rates further, it emphasizes the need for greater confidence in the inflation outlook before considering the possibility of rate cuts. This cautious approach underscores the delicate balance policymakers must strike between supporting economic recovery and managing inflationary pressures.
As investors await the release of key data from the United States, including weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales, anticipation mounts regarding their potential impact on the direction of the US Dollar and its correlation with the AUD. These indicators will offer valuable insights into the state of the US economy and could sway market sentiment, influencing currency movements in the near term.
EUR/USD: Potential Reversal Signals Amidst Economic Data In the dynamic world of forex trading, every fluctuation in currency pairs tells a story. The EUR/USD pair, a perennial favorite among traders, often serves as a barometer for global economic sentiment. In recent sessions, its movements have captured attention, offering insights into market expectations and reactions to key events.
Yesterday, during the American session, the EUR/USD pair witnessed an uptick, largely attributed to disappointing housing data from the United States, which exerted downward pressure on the US Dollar. This movement drew attention to specific technical indicators that signal potential shifts in market sentiment.
One notable observation was the formation of a Gartley pattern, a harmonic trading pattern that signifies potential trend reversals. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicated significant support and resistance zones, further corroborating the potential for a reversal. Moreover, divergence on the stochastic indicator on the daily timeframe added another layer of confirmation to this narrative.
However, amidst these technical signals, the market received a dose of hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. His remarks bolstered US Treasury bond yields, thereby providing support to the US Dollar. This development added complexity to the analysis, highlighting the interplay between technical indicators and fundamental factors.
As the London session commenced, all eyes turned to the EUR/USD pair, which appeared poised to continue its potential reversal and gain momentum. The absence of high-tier data releases from the US economic docket on Wednesday provided traders with an opportunity to focus on other catalysts influencing market dynamics.
In particular, scheduled speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, including President Christine Lagarde, and Federal Reserve officials promised to offer insights into monetary policy outlooks and potential market-moving statements. Traders anticipated these remarks with keen interest, recognizing their potential to influence the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.
Against this backdrop, traders were cautiously optimistic, looking for signs of a bullish impulse and a confirmed reversal. The convergence of technical signals and fundamental developments underscored the complexity of navigating the forex market. Successful trading strategies required a nuanced understanding of both technical analysis and macroeconomic factors.
EUR/USD Update: Assessing Bullish Momentum and Risk FactorsAs the new trading week kicks off, the EUR/USD pair finds itself in a sideways movement, hovering around the 1.0660 mark. Last week, market participants witnessed a potential bullish momentum, sparked by several technical signals indicating a shift in sentiment.
One notable signal was the recognition of a bullish impulse originating from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, coupled with oversold conditions observed in stochastic indicators. This convergence of technical indicators often suggests a potential reversal or continuation of a trend. Adding to the bullish case, a Gartley formation and divergence patterns were also identified, further bolstering the optimism among traders.
However, amidst these technical signals, the absence of significant economic data releases leaves the pair vulnerable to fluctuations in risk sentiment. The valuation of the US Dollar (USD) could be influenced by market perception of risk, particularly as traders await key economic indicators scheduled for release later in the week.
Tomorrow's agenda includes crucial economic data from the United States, notably the Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI, New Home Sales, and the Richmond Manufacturing Index. These releases have the potential to sway market sentiment and dictate the direction of the USD.
Furthermore, the performance of US stock index futures provides insights into market sentiment. Futures indicate a positive opening for Wall Street, with gains ranging between 0.3% and 0.5%. A continuation of this positive momentum on Wall Street could exert downward pressure on the USD, consequently supporting further upside potential for the EUR/USD pair.
Beyond economic data releases, market participants will also keep an eye on developments in Europe. The European Commission is set to release preliminary Consumer Confidence data for April, offering insights into the sentiment among European consumers. Additionally, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech during American trading hours, potentially providing clues about the ECB's monetary policy stance and its impact on the Euro.
In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair navigates a consolidation phase near 1.0660, buoyed by technical signals indicating a possible bullish reversal. However, the pair remains sensitive to shifts in risk sentiment and awaits crucial economic data releases to determine its next directional move. With eyes on both sides of the Atlantic, traders brace themselves for a week filled with potential market-moving events.
GBP/USD: Recovery Momentum Amidst Technical and Fund. FactorsThe GBP/USD pair has shown signs of gaining traction during the early European session on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2460 mark after experiencing a rebound around the 50% Fibonacci level. Despite previous forecasts suggesting a potential deeper reversal around the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels, recent price action, in line with EUR/USD movements, indicates a potential bullish impulse. However, it's essential to note that our analysis serves as an idea rather than a call for immediate entry into trades.
Looking at the near-term technical outlook, there's a discernible buildup of recovery momentum. Nonetheless, the pair could encounter significant resistance around the 1.2625 level, where the Local Point of Control (POC) of volume from the previous range consolidation area resides. Our perspective revolves around the possibility of a retracement near the POC line followed by a subsequent push downward.
Turning to economic news, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently released data indicating that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dipped to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, surpassing market expectations of 3.1%. Moreover, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.2% during the same period, slightly above analysts' estimates of 4.1%. These readings prompted a strengthening of the Pound Sterling against its counterparts.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar continues to grapple with tepid demand, contributing to the upward momentum of GBP/USD as market sentiment improves midweek. This dynamic underscores the interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping currency movements.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair exhibits signs of recovery momentum amidst a backdrop of technical indicators and fundamental data. While recent price action suggests a potential bullish impulse, resistance levels loom overhead, warranting caution for traders. The release of economic data, particularly inflation figures, has influenced market sentiment, driving movements in the Pound Sterling. Against the backdrop of a subdued US Dollar, GBP/USD dynamics remain dynamic, requiring traders to remain vigilant and adaptable to evolving market conditions.
World gold prices are high and seem quite stable 2300World gold spot rate is round 2,318.eight USD/ounce, down 1.2 USD/ounce in comparison to overnight. Gold futures rate in June 2024 at the Comex New York ground is at 2,330.2 USD/ounce.
At 8:00 p.m. on April 24 (Vietnam time), today's spot gold price on the world market is at 2,320 USD/ounce. Gold for delivery in June 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,334 USD/ounce.
The world gold price on the night of April 24 is about 12.5% higher (257 USD/ounce) compared to the end of 2023. World gold price converted by USD bank price is at seventy-two million VND/tael, including Taxes and fees are about 12.5 million VND/tael lower than the domestic gold price at the end of the afternoon session on April 24.
The world gold price hangs high and appears to be quite stable above the threshold of 2.3 hundred USD.
World gold prices are kept at a high level because investors are still concerned about the situation in the Middle East as well as in Ukraine.
Previously, pressure from the people to create investment pressure hit the possibility that the Israeli government would have to be careful in deciding how to reduce tensions in the Middle East. Both sides also lowered their voices a bit.
However, on April 24, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi warned that if Israel attacked Iran again, it would wipe out Israel. Specifically, the President of Iran said when "it is unknown whether this country will stay or not".
⭐️ XAU/USD - Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the 1-hour time frame, we can see that yesterday the price corrected to about $2312 and then it came back with the demand and was able to grow up to the next supply range, i.e. $2332 to $2343, and then again It was accompanied by a heavy drop to $2305! As you can see, the price has entered the desired supply range for the fourth time and we have to see if it will be rejected from this level or not! The range of the next supply is $2351 to $2363 respectively! The demand levels are $2320, $2303 and $2284 respectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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EUR/USD: Central Bank Rhetoric Economic UncertaintyIn the intricate dance of global currencies, the EUR/USD pair has recently found itself swaying to the tunes of central bank pronouncements and economic indicators. The past few days have been particularly eventful, as remarks from key figures like European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have reverberated through the forex markets, shaping sentiment and driving price action.
Lagarde's comments, delivered during a speech in Washington, echoed a sentiment of cautious optimism tinged with concerns about the sluggish pace of growth in Europe compared to the United States. Despite acknowledging signs of a tentative recovery, Lagarde emphasized the ongoing battle against inflation, underscoring the ECB's commitment to maintaining stability in the face of economic headwinds.
Meanwhile, Powell's remarks underscored the Federal Reserve's resolve to keep interest rates elevated for the foreseeable future, citing persistent challenges in taming inflation despite moderate improvements in growth and employment. The Fed's Beige Book echoed similar sentiments, noting the lack of substantial progress on inflation while acknowledging modest gains in other economic indicators.
Against this backdrop, the EUR/USD pair embarked on a rebound, finding support at key technical levels and drawing strength from the nuanced shifts in central bank rhetoric. In higher timeframes, the price action hinted at a confluence of factors, with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level coinciding with oversold conditions on the Stochastic indicator, accompanied by divergence and the emergence of a Gartley harmonic pattern.
Looking ahead, market participants are eagerly awaiting crucial economic data releases that could further shape the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair. Of particular interest are the US Unemployment Claims and Existing Home Sales figures, which will provide insights into the health of the world's largest economy and its implications for monetary policy.
As traders navigate the intricacies of the forex market, uncertainty looms large, fueled by a delicate balance of economic indicators, central bank actions, and geopolitical developments. The EUR/USD pair, often considered a barometer of market sentiment and risk appetite, remains poised at a critical juncture, with each piece of incoming data and every central bank statement carrying the potential to sway the balance of power.
Gold rebounded towards $2330 after an unsuccessfulGold rebounded towards $2330 after an unsuccessful attempt to settle below the $2300 level.
From the technical point of view, gold received strong support in the $2295 – $2305 range.
Gold completed a 50% retracement today with a low of 2,291 before buyers took control and ran the precious metal up to a high of 2,334, at the time of this writing. Earlier in Tuesday’s session the sellers were in control and dropped gold down to below its 20-Day MA to test support around the 50% retracement of the internal upswing. The 50% level is at 2,289. That is close enough given the subsequent bullish reaction following that low.
An upside breakout will be triggered on a rally above today’s high of 2,334, while a drop below today’s low of 2,291 signals a continuation of the correction. Also, gold could trade tomorrow inside day, which would provide a setup for Wednesday. A rally will be heading up into a potential resistance zone that arguably starts from around 2,354. Also, keep an eye on potential resistance around the 8-Day MA at 2,362 and this week’s high of 2,389.
⭐️ XAU/USD - More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the 1-hour time frame, we can see that after growing to $2331, the price went down and corrected to $2312! By stabilizing the price below the range of $2316, we can expect more fall from gold! The possible targets of this drop are $2309, $2303 and $2284 respectively! If the price drops to $2303, we will probably see a relative demand in this range!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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⭐️ EUR/USD - Bulls are coming back ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the #euro_dollar chart in the 2-hour time frame, we can see that exactly as we expected, the price entered the desired demand range and started to grow from the same zone, and with more than 70 pips of yield, it was able to grow above 1.069! I still believe that by maintaining the support of the 1.064 range, the price can penetrate to higher levels and we will see the price reaching higher targets!
the main idea :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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XAUUSD SELL NOW OPPORTUNITY big falling again gold fall soon XAUUSD for stocks to come off the boil And now that the fears are abating it is also providing a good reason for gold to also let out some of the steam Gold made some attempts to top earlier this month but failed to see a daily close above the key level And now price is starting to feel exhausted as it falls back to on the day
Hedge Funds Bet on Yen Shorts as BOJ Reiterates InterventionHedge funds are betting big against the Japanese yen, driving short positions to their highest level since April 2022. This aggressive stance comes despite warnings from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) that it will intervene in the currency market again to defend the yen if necessary.
The data, compiled by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), shows a surge in net-short yen positions held by leveraged funds. This indicates a strong belief that the yen will continue to weaken. The yen has been under pressure for months due to a widening gap between Japanese and U.S. interest rates.
Why the Yen Short Bets?
Several factors are contributing to the bearish sentiment on the yen:
• Divergent Monetary Policy: The BOJ is maintaining its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while the U.S. Federal Reserve is aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This interest rate differential makes yen-denominated assets less attractive to investors, weakening the currency.
• Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing war in Ukraine and heightened global uncertainty are driving investors towards safe-haven currencies like the U.S. dollar, further pressuring the yen.
• Intervention Concerns: The BOJ's previous intervention in the currency market in September 2022 to weaken the dollar and strengthen the yen proved to be temporary. The market's perception is that the BOJ may not be able to sustain continued intervention efforts, leading to renewed weakness in the yen.
Bank of Japan's Warning
The BOJ has reiterated its commitment to defending the yen and warned of further intervention if deemed necessary. Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has emphasized the bank's resolve to maintain its current monetary policy stance, even as the yen weakens. However, analysts remain skeptical of the BOJ's ability to influence long-term currency trends, especially given the strong global forces pushing the yen lower.
Potential Impacts
The continued decline of the yen could have several consequences:
• Imported Inflation: A weaker yen makes imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation in Japan.
• Corporate Profits: Export-oriented Japanese companies could benefit from a weaker yen as their products become more competitive globally.
• Investor Confidence: Continued weakness in the yen could erode investor confidence in the Japanese economy.
Looking Ahead
The future path of the yen is uncertain. The BOJ's resolve and ability to defend the currency will be closely watched. The direction of U.S. monetary policy and global economic conditions will also play a key role.
With substantial short bets placed by hedge funds, the yen remains vulnerable to further depreciation. The BOJ's warnings of intervention add another layer of complexity to the situation. The coming months will be crucial in determining the fate of the yen and its impact on the Japanese economy.
USDCAD is Ready to Go Up(➡️RR=2.48)🏃♂️ USDCAD is moving in a Descending Channel and is currently near the Uptrend line and🟢 Support zone(1.3704 CAD_1.3618 CAD) 🟢.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.384 CAD after breaking the upper line of the descending channel.
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USDCAD
🟢Position: Long
✅Entry Point: 1.37163 CAD (Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.36660 CAD
💰Take Profit:
🎯1.38047 CAD👉Risk-To-Reward: 1.76
🎯1.38411 CAD👉Risk-To-Reward: 2.48
⚠️Please don't forget to follow capital management.
⚠️Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.
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U.S.Dollar/Canadian Dollar (USDCAD), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe
What affects the direction of gold?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,388.8 USD/ounce.
The world gold market last week fluctuated according to a familiar pattern. Gold prices continuously touched new highs thanks to being boosted by shelter demand due to fears of escalating tensions, but then retreated and entered a consolidation phase.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that both Wall Street experts and retail investors continue to believe in the precious metal's strength, with 71% of Wall Street experts and 64% of general investors. Retail participants participating in the survey forecast that gold prices will increase this week.
According to SIA Wealth Management market strategist Colin Cieszynski, risks remain significant and could trigger market rallies. Sharing the same opinion, senior commodities broker Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures also said that geopolitical conflicts will continue to push gold prices up even if there is no immediate escalation.
Market analyst Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins said that developments in the Middle East are still the main factor affecting the direction of gold this week when there is not much economic data published. Expert Millman believes that, before the June monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the market will put aside anything related to interest rate expectations until the situation is resolved. in the Middle East is really calming down.
gold long Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It's traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast.
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
gold now 2392
tp1 2400
tp2 2420
tp3 2435
tp4 2450
tp5 2466
USDJPY → An opportunity to get a longUSDJPY → An opportunity to get along
hello guys...
as you can see, usdjpy made a supply and demand zone and started forming a three-drive pattern! two of them formed so far!
no on this internal trendline is a great opportunity to get a long position until this third drive that would be the next target!
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❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
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