Forexsignal
EURUSD Potentially Rallying in DowntrendThe longer-term path shows a series of lower peaks followed by lower troughs. This suggests that the current up-leg may be an exploitable rally in the downtrend.
The DAX hourly chart is showing signs of support. However, the daily chart is still under pressure.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
World gold prices went down as the market increasingly lowered eWorld gold prices went down as the market increasingly lowered expectations that the US would cut interest rates. On the other hand, the need to safely hide capital in precious metals has also gradually decreased as the Iran-Israel conflict has calmed down.
Any major stable addresses continue to support gold and any escalation would take prices up to $2,500 an ounce. This precious metal will only stop if central banks continuously buy or return to investing in risky assets.
World gold prices are forecast to increase sharply at any time if the Middle East becomes more unstable. On the other hand, precious metal products are also being slowed down thanks to a rising USD on a global scale. A strong USD puts pressure on gold, thereby restraining the rise of this metal commodity.
Xauusd buy again bullish one more big bullish continue buyGold line of defense against further advances. With markets stretched and in overbought territory gold may struggle to clear this barrier but in the event of a breakout we could see a move towards $2,500
Xauusd buy now_2372_2362
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GBP/AUD Exhibits Signs of Reversal Amid Positive UK Economic DatThe GBP/AUD pair has recently shifted its trajectory, transitioning from a recovery phase initiated at 1.08600 in January to a downward trend. Currently hovering around the 1.9158 level, the pair encounters significant resistance marked by the Point of Control (POC) value and Fibonacci levels. This convergence suggests the potential for a pullback before resuming its upward momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates proximity to oversold conditions, further supporting the anticipation of a correction. In response, we've opted to position two Buy limits in anticipation of the impending reversal.
The UK manufacturing sector delivered a surprising expansion in March, following a contraction spanning 20 consecutive months. This growth was primarily fueled by robust domestic demand, elevating business optimism to its highest level since April 2023. Notably, 58% of manufacturers anticipate an increase in production levels over the next 12 months. Concurrently, British house prices surged by 1.6% in March, marking the sharpest increase since December 2022. Despite prevailing higher interest rates, the real estate sector demonstrates resilience, contributing to overall economic stability.
In light of these developments, we foresee a potential pullback in the GBP/AUD pair, followed by a resumption of its upward trajectory.
Betting on a Stronger Dollar Greenback Gets ExpensiveThe US dollar is soaring, and investors are scrambling to jump on the bandwagon. This surge in demand is reflected in the options market, where the cost of betting on further dollar appreciation has reached its highest point since November 2023. This trend highlights the growing confidence in the US economy's resilience, prompting a flight to safety in the greenback.
Several factors are fueling the dollar's current strength. Firstly, the US economy continues to demonstrate surprising resilience in the face of global headwinds. Recent data, such as stronger-than-expected retail sales figures, has prompted investors to pare back bets on aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This shift in expectations has bolstered the appeal of the dollar relative to other currencies.
Secondly, the turmoil in global markets is driving investors towards safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation across the globe are creating uncertainty, pushing investors to seek the relative stability offered by the US dollar. The dollar's long-standing reputation as a reserve currency makes it a natural destination for these risk-averse investors.
This surge in demand for the dollar is evident across the foreign exchange market. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, has climbed to a five-month high. The dollar has already notched up impressive gains against major rivals like the yen, reaching a 34-year high, and strengthening significantly against the euro, pound, and several other currencies.
This bullish sentiment towards the dollar is spilling over into the options market. Investors seeking to profit from a continued rise in the dollar's value are increasingly turning to call options. However, this increased demand comes at a cost. The premium, or the upfront cost, of buying these call options has risen significantly. This surge in option prices indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price to secure their bets on a stronger dollar.
The trend in the options market presents a mixed bag for investors. On the one hand, the rising cost of call options suggests that the market is anticipating further dollar appreciation. This could be a lucrative opportunity for those who correctly predict the dollar's trajectory. On the other hand, the higher premiums eat into potential profits, making successful bets on the dollar more challenging.
Looking ahead, the future path of the dollar hinges on several key factors. The trajectory of the US economy, the actions of the Federal Reserve, and the evolution of global geopolitical and economic conditions will all play a role in determining the dollar's strength.
Despite the uncertainties, the current trend suggests a continued period of dollar dominance. Investors, however, should carefully consider the increased costs of betting on the dollar in the options market and ensure their strategies account for these elevated premiums. This is a dynamic situation, and close monitoring of both economic data and market movements will be crucial for navigating the ever-evolving currency landscape.
Xauusd continue flying buying planes of buy bullish Xauusd Higher bond yields weigh on Gold as they increase the opportunity cost of investing in it However Gold has performed strongly in the past few weeks despite rising bond yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region As a safe-haven asset Gold demand from investors and central banks increases at times of global economic uncertainty and worsening geopolitical tensions
EUR/USD Update: Interplay of Market Dynamics and Economic NewsThe EUR/USD pair has continued its downward trajectory, in line with our previous weekend analysis, now hovering around the 1.06100 mark. This decline coincides with a convergence of multiple technical indicators and recent economic developments. Notably, the price action has entered a potential Fibonacci reversal zone, coupled with an oversold condition signaled by the RSI indicator. Additionally, there are indications of a possible Harmonic pattern Gartley formation, adding complexity to our forecast.
On the economic front, market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's policy stance in June is predominantly static, with the CME FedWatch Tool reflecting an approximate 80% probability of the Fed maintaining its current policy rates. This consensus suggests that the USD may have further room to appreciate, particularly if Fed Chair Powell adopts a more hawkish tone in upcoming communications.
Furthermore, geopolitical tensions initially acted as a restraint on the USD's upward momentum during Monday's early trading session, contributing to a slight uptick in the EUR/USD pair. However, this sentiment shifted following the release of robust Retail Sales data from the US for March, resulting in a surge in US Treasury bond yields and subsequently bolstering the USD's strength.
Considering these factors, our analysis is inclined towards a potential long setup for the EUR/USD pair, although we remain vigilant of any shifts in market dynamics and geopolitical developments that could influence currency movements in the near term.
eurusd 📉 signal 📈hello guys...
as I said before:
from my point of view, this pair is bearish!
why?! you can see the ascending channel broke! the price formed a QM pattern twice!
the first QML(1) was touched and if the blue trenline breaks up the QML(2) will be touched too!
so I believe this coin wanna touch the QML area and then start the downward movement due to engulfing the last lower low!
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Btcusd looking at this very first fall BTCUSD On the other hand if the bulls are able to flip the previous high into support like they did with the support previously as highlighted in purple, then that would be a promising move Investors should watch for a decisive flip of the blockade into support A bounce atop this base would inspire more buy orders sending BTC price to the local top at least one
EURUSD sell opportunity for more big fall EURUSD The latest inflation report for March spooked everyone showing consumer prices soaring by 3.5%, way above expectations What does high inflation mean It means the Fed's gonna keep interest rates high for longer to fight it As soon as that data hit you could practically hear the market's collective gulp with the EURUSD
GBPJPY just see this setup and make sure On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair bouncing on the most recent swing high level at If we get a pullback from the current high that’s where the buyers should pile in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally into new highsThe sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to position for a drop into the trendline around the level
Gold Continue long_term XAUUSD buying strategy Gold Geopolitical frictions in the Middle East have further bolstered gold although these risks have intensified only recently and haven't been a predominant theme for an extended period To add context investors have been nervous about Iran's potential retaliation against Israel following the bombing of its embassy in Syria Such action could escalate tensions in the region
GBPUSD → Trade Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPUSD
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Will safe harbor demand accelerate next week?Gold is losing ground as traders lock in the time aggressively. The US Dollar tested a multi-month high today. Normally, a strong dollar would lower gold prices, but the current situation is unique as gold prices are driven by central bank demand and rising geopolitical tensions.
In case gold falls back below $2,350, it will head towards the nearest support, which is in the $2,295 – $2,305 range.
But with the current unstable war situation, combined with the fact that the FED is seriously considering cutting interest rates in the coming period, gold will consolidate its current position and it will be difficult for it to fall deeply.