Forexsignal
Xauusd continue flying buying planes of buy bullish Xauusd Higher bond yields weigh on Gold as they increase the opportunity cost of investing in it However Gold has performed strongly in the past few weeks despite rising bond yields amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region As a safe-haven asset Gold demand from investors and central banks increases at times of global economic uncertainty and worsening geopolitical tensions
EUR/USD Update: Interplay of Market Dynamics and Economic NewsThe EUR/USD pair has continued its downward trajectory, in line with our previous weekend analysis, now hovering around the 1.06100 mark. This decline coincides with a convergence of multiple technical indicators and recent economic developments. Notably, the price action has entered a potential Fibonacci reversal zone, coupled with an oversold condition signaled by the RSI indicator. Additionally, there are indications of a possible Harmonic pattern Gartley formation, adding complexity to our forecast.
On the economic front, market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's policy stance in June is predominantly static, with the CME FedWatch Tool reflecting an approximate 80% probability of the Fed maintaining its current policy rates. This consensus suggests that the USD may have further room to appreciate, particularly if Fed Chair Powell adopts a more hawkish tone in upcoming communications.
Furthermore, geopolitical tensions initially acted as a restraint on the USD's upward momentum during Monday's early trading session, contributing to a slight uptick in the EUR/USD pair. However, this sentiment shifted following the release of robust Retail Sales data from the US for March, resulting in a surge in US Treasury bond yields and subsequently bolstering the USD's strength.
Considering these factors, our analysis is inclined towards a potential long setup for the EUR/USD pair, although we remain vigilant of any shifts in market dynamics and geopolitical developments that could influence currency movements in the near term.
eurusd 📉 signal 📈hello guys...
as I said before:
from my point of view, this pair is bearish!
why?! you can see the ascending channel broke! the price formed a QM pattern twice!
the first QML(1) was touched and if the blue trenline breaks up the QML(2) will be touched too!
so I believe this coin wanna touch the QML area and then start the downward movement due to engulfing the last lower low!
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Btcusd looking at this very first fall BTCUSD On the other hand if the bulls are able to flip the previous high into support like they did with the support previously as highlighted in purple, then that would be a promising move Investors should watch for a decisive flip of the blockade into support A bounce atop this base would inspire more buy orders sending BTC price to the local top at least one
EURUSD sell opportunity for more big fall EURUSD The latest inflation report for March spooked everyone showing consumer prices soaring by 3.5%, way above expectations What does high inflation mean It means the Fed's gonna keep interest rates high for longer to fight it As soon as that data hit you could practically hear the market's collective gulp with the EURUSD
GBPJPY just see this setup and make sure On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair bouncing on the most recent swing high level at If we get a pullback from the current high that’s where the buyers should pile in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally into new highsThe sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to position for a drop into the trendline around the level
Gold Continue long_term XAUUSD buying strategy Gold Geopolitical frictions in the Middle East have further bolstered gold although these risks have intensified only recently and haven't been a predominant theme for an extended period To add context investors have been nervous about Iran's potential retaliation against Israel following the bombing of its embassy in Syria Such action could escalate tensions in the region
GBPUSD → Trade Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Will safe harbor demand accelerate next week?Gold is losing ground as traders lock in the time aggressively. The US Dollar tested a multi-month high today. Normally, a strong dollar would lower gold prices, but the current situation is unique as gold prices are driven by central bank demand and rising geopolitical tensions.
In case gold falls back below $2,350, it will head towards the nearest support, which is in the $2,295 – $2,305 range.
But with the current unstable war situation, combined with the fact that the FED is seriously considering cutting interest rates in the coming period, gold will consolidate its current position and it will be difficult for it to fall deeply.
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce.
The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time.
After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction.
Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce.
Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
GBP/USD Analysis and Forecast Post-US CPIAs the GBP/USD pair continues its sideways movement, investors eagerly await the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. The outcome of this crucial economic indicator will undoubtedly influence market sentiments and provide insights into the Federal Reserve's potential actions regarding interest rates. However, amid this anticipation, it's imperative for traders to formulate strategies to navigate the landscape effectively.
The current sideways movement of the GBP/USD pair, coupled with its reaction to key levels such as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the presence of a bearish channel, underscores the importance of a comprehensive approach to trading. While technical analysis provides valuable insights into price action, it's equally essential to consider fundamental factors that could impact market dynamics.
The slight improvement in the appeal for the Pound Sterling, driven by optimistic projections for the UK economy, adds another layer of complexity to the trading equation. The forecasts of modest growth, despite lingering geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, highlight the resilience of the UK economy. However, it's essential to monitor upcoming economic releases, particularly the UK monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factory data for February, to gauge the economy's trajectory accurately.
Looking ahead, traders should prepare for potential market volatility following the release of the US CPI data. A higher-than-expected inflation figure could fuel speculation about an earlier-than-anticipated interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, potentially strengthening the US dollar against its counterparts, including the British pound. Conversely, a lower-than-expected CPI reading may prompt a reversal in market expectations, exerting downward pressure on the dollar and supporting the GBP/USD pair.
In response to these potential scenarios, traders may consider adopting a balanced approach that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis. Establishing clear entry and exit points based on key support and resistance levels, while also monitoring economic developments and central bank statements, can help mitigate risks and capitalize on trading opportunities.
Furthermore, maintaining discipline and adhering to risk management principles are paramount in navigating the post-CPI market environment. Emotions can run high during periods of heightened volatility, leading to impulsive decision-making and potential losses. By maintaining a composed and rational mindset, traders can better execute their trading strategies and safeguard their capital.
In conclusion, the upcoming release of the US CPI data presents both challenges and opportunities for GBP/USD traders. By leveraging a comprehensive approach that integrates technical analysis, fundamental insights, and prudent risk management practices, traders can navigate the market dynamics effectively and capitalize on potential market movements. As always, staying informed, adaptable, and disciplined remains key to success in the ever-evolving forex market landscape.
GBP/JPY: A Closer Look at Growing Momentum - SHORTAnalyzing market trends and identifying potential opportunities is crucial for making informed decisions. One such opportunity currently presenting itself is the bearish setup on GBP/JPY, indicating a significant shift in momentum.
As the price of GBP/JPY reached the 193.000 value, it coincided with the 78.8% Fibonacci level, marking a critical point of confluence. This convergence suggests a strong resistance level, indicating a potential reversal in the upward trend.
Analyzing the price action and technical indicators, it appears that a bearish impulse is likely to follow. The confirmation of this downward movement is supported by our previous analysis of this currency pair, which highlighted 189.000 as the first target for a bearish trend.
This analysis underscores the importance of understanding key technical levels and their significance in predicting market movements. The confluence of the 193.000 value with the 78.8% Fibonacci level serves as a strong indication of impending bearish momentum.
Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action of GBP/JPY in the coming days, as it is likely to follow a downward trajectory towards the 189.000 target.
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USD/CAD: USD Strength and CAD Weakness: Exploring Factors BehindThe Canadian Dollar (CAD) faced downward pressure as a result of a juxtaposition between a robust US employment report and lackluster Canadian labor figures. While initially faltering, the CAD began to recuperate lost ground as the immediate impact of the data subsided.
Currently trading at 1.3599, the CAD contends with a resolute US Dollar (USD) poised for potential continuation of its bullish trajectory. The price maintains its position within a bullish channel characterized by higher highs and lower lows.
The US Nonfarm Payrolls report for March surpassed expectations, propelling US Treasury yields and the USD upwards. Despite the bullish market response, a closer examination of the data unveiled a slowdown in yearly wage growth, prompting speculation regarding the possibility of future Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. This speculation persists despite the hawkish commentary from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman.
In contrast, Canada witnessed a decline in net employment levels in March, contrary to initial expectations. This divergence in economic performance between the US and Canada reinforces expectations for a bullish continuation of the USD.
Looking ahead, market participants will monitor evolving economic indicators and central bank rhetoric for further insights into the trajectory of the CAD and USD. Amidst this uncertainty, a bullish bias towards the USD prevails, supported by favorable economic data and Fed policy expectations.
Gbpusd buy fulling up the opportunity Gbpusd average This is generally a reversal pattern so we can expect the sellers to sell any rally now as they target a breakout below the support The price got a bit overstretched yesterday as depicted by the distance from the blue moving average In such instances we can generally see a pullback into the moving average or some consolidation before the next move
GBPUSD buy opportunity just wait for flying soon Gbpusd possible resistance zone around the level where we can also find the confluence with the red moving average This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the level to position for a breakout below the support The buyers on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to start targeting the trendline around the level
EUR/USD Dynamics Following March's NFP ReportAs the EUR/USD opens Monday's session with an initial pushdown to 1.08280, the forex market reflects on the recent Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. With the economy adding a robust 303,000 jobs in March, surpassing expectations, investors are recalibrating their forecasts regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy. This unexpected surge in job creation has tempered speculations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Fed in June and has revised down the total number of anticipated rate cuts for 2024 to two. Consequently, US Treasury bond yields remain elevated, bolstering the USD and exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Amidst these developments, a potential short continuation for the EUR/USD emerges as a plausible scenario. The pair remains below the 61.8% Fibonacci level, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates bearish momentum following Friday's divergence and subsequent pushdown post-NFP, with the RSI currently hovering around 55, signaling a potential decline.
However, despite the strengthening USD, a generally positive sentiment pervades global equity markets, buoyed by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This optimism may dampen demand for the safe-haven Greenback. Additionally, traders may adopt a cautious stance ahead of pivotal releases from the US this week, including the latest consumer inflation figures and the crucial Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes scheduled for Wednesday. These data points, alongside the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday, are poised to offer significant insights into the future trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.
In summary, while the EUR/USD faces downward pressure driven by strong US economic indicators, the interplay of global market sentiment and upcoming data releases could introduce volatility and potentially alter the currency pair's direction. Traders are advised to closely monitor key economic events and market sentiment indicators to navigate the evolving dynamics of the EUR/USD exchange rate effectively.