AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange market increased slightly as the Most Asian currencies rose on Wednesday, seeing relief as the dollar eased in anticipation of more signals from the Federal Reserve on its path to adjusting interest rates.
Regional units are still suffering heavy losses in recent sessions as fading expectations of an early Fed rate cut sent the dollar rallying to a three-month high.
However, the greenback has fallen significantly from recent highs this week, bringing relief to Asian markets.
USD falls after Fed minutes, speakers in sight
The dollar index and dollar index futures both fell about 0.1% each during the Asian session, as investors took some profits in the greenback ahead of a series of signals Fed this week.
Minutes from the Fed's late January meeting are due later on Wednesday, after the bank kept interest rates steady and largely downgraded expectations for an early rate cut.
In addition to the minutes, a host of Fed officials will also speak this week, including Raphael Bostic and Michelle Bowman later on Wednesday.
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Trading strategy for the new week testing the bottom and reboundWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.3 USD to 2,036.6 USD/ounce. Last week, the world gold market was less volatile with prices fluctuating in a narrow range between 2,020 USD and 2,030 USD/ounce. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that Wall Street experts are optimistic about gold in the short term.
Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff also believes that gold prices this week are still stuck in the recent range. According to him, gold will move sideways and in the near term, there will be no fundamental catalyst to inspire speculators to be more active.
As the Fed's main inflation measure, the PCE index released on Thursday will be the most important information expected by the market this week. Along with that, markets will also monitor home sales, consumer confidence reports, US fourth quarter GDP reports, and pending home sales.ư
Gbpusd ( H1) analysis [Read the caption]By traders gbpusd is in up trend we are
monitoring buy gbpusd
gbpusd will restrest again then it will fly
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🚨USDCHF is Ready to fall🚨🏃♂️ USDCHF is moving in an Ascending Channel and is currently near the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.891 CHF-0.882 CHF )🔴 and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. It also managed to break the Uptrend line .
🔔I expect USDCHF to start to decline after entering the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and at least break down to the 🟢 Support zone(0.874 CHF-0.871 CHF )🟢.
U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 4-hour time frame⏰.
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EURCHF Analysis (➡️RR=2.05)🏃♂️ EURCHF is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone(0.970 CHF_0.940 CHF) 🔴, 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡, 🟡 Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) 🟡and near the Resistance line and Upper line of Ascending Channel .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔I expect EURCHF to start going down at least to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I have marked on the chart.
Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Causes of Gold's rise and its down cycleWorld gold prices increased in the context of a British cargo ship being attacked in Yemeni waters. Since then, financial investors are concerned about escalating geopolitical tensions, which has prompted them to put capital into gold to preserve capital.
On the other hand, the market expects gold trading to be vibrant when the top consumer country, China, resumes commercial activities after the Lunar New Year holiday.
Meanwhile, the USD is affected by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high for longer. Therefore, gold's upside potential could be created from a decline in USD prices, if Fed officials are soft in cutting interest rates.
Gold trend today, main selling trendWorld gold prices stabilized, with spot gold down 1 USD to 2,023 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,035 USD/ounce, down 0.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Despite being pressured by the minutes of the first policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), gold continues to consolidate above 2,000 USD/ounce. In the newly released minutes, the Fed signaled that its monetary policy had peaked, but was not in a hurry to reduce interest rates.
Fed officials noted that inflationary pressures eased and economic activity remained strong. According to the minutes, the committee wants more evidence to show that inflation continues to fall to the target level of 2% before making a decision to loosen monetary policy.
Kitco.com senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff said the minutes did not provide any additional information on monetary policy following hotter-than-expected inflation data released last week.
He said that, although a bit hawkish, the minutes contained no surprises. Recent hotter inflation reports have made the market more certain that the Fed will delay lowering interest rates until the second half of the year.
Independent metals analyst Tai Wong in New York predicts that gold will likely continue to move sideways in the short term and the information the market is waiting for will be the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report released. announcement next week, followed by payrolls and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress in early March.
Although the gold market is struggling as expectations for interest rate cuts continue to be pushed back, according to WisdomTree market strategist Nitesh Shah, the longer the central bank delays, the risk of mistakes happening. The bigger the policy, the more this will ultimately benefit precious metals. This expert predicts that gold prices will reach 2,210 USD/ounce in the fourth quarter of this year, a new all-time high.
CADJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CADJPY
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Eurusd anytime can hit yellow line read the caption The next important EUR/USD news will be the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, which will provide more information about what to expect later this year. In its first decision of the year, the Fed maintained the status quo, leaving interest rates unchanged between 5.24 and 5.51
With the US doing better than Europe, economists believe that the ECB will cut rates earlier than the Fed. Data published this month showed that the US manufacturing and services PMI numbers moved above 50 in January. The unemployment rate remained at 3.7% while inflation is still much higher than the Fed’s target
EURUSD --> bearish trendhello guys...
as I published before:
from my point of view, this pair is bearish!
why?! you can see the ascending channel broke! the price formed a QM pattern twice!
the first QML(1) was touched and if the blue trenline breaks up the QML(2) will be touched too!
you can enter half of the position now and another half on the QML(2)!
The first target is the bottom line of breaking the channel!
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USDJPY (H4) Will fall to 148 or increase to 152 ?OANDA:USDJPY USDJPY (H4) Will fall to 148 or increase to 152 ?
The USDJPY market on the H4 timeframe exhibits the following characteristics:
The ongoing contraction phase suggests a period of hesitation and gradual consolidation before significant fluctuations occur.
The peaks depict a pattern of lower-high prices, indicating a potential weakening of buying power.
Simultaneously, the lower end establishes a loosely defined price support region, with cand
lesticks extending below the support area.
Consequently, there is a likelihood that this pair might decline towards the price support zone at 148.6-148.8. However, given the absence of a clear directional break in the price pattern, there remains a possibility that the exchange rate could continue to rise towards the resistance area of 150-152.
It is advised to monitor the market closely. Despite the absence of significant news today with a strong impact on these currencies, unforeseen market movements can still pose risks to your account. Please adhere to trading principles and implement capital management strategies diligently.
Usdcad bullish side is strong read the caption Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment, as range trading continues. More consolidations could be seen, but further rally is expected as long as 1.3357 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.3585 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 for 1.3897 resistance.In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2946 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2004 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3975 at a later stage.
XAUUSD turning point bull and bear read the caption It's been a rather straightforward rebound since testing the 100-day moving average (red line) for gold. That sees price run up to $2,030 as buyers look to keep the bounce going. The next key level to watch will be the trendline resistance closer to $2,050 currently.
Not much has changed from yesterday but this has been one of the more interesting charts in trading this week. As such, do keep the following consideration in mind as gold looks to track higher for the time being
AUDNZD Will Fall✅ AUDNZD started falling well from the 🔴 Resistance zone(1.0712 NZD-1.0686 NZD) 🔴 and the Resistance line and was able to break the Uptrend line .
🌊Regarding Elliott wave theory , it seems that AUDNZD finished wave 4 at the🔴 Resistance zone(1.0712 NZD-1.0686 NZD) 🔴 and is completing wave 5 .
💡The important point is that AUDNZD has lost the Support line and Ascending Channel , which can be a sign of further decline .
🔔I expect the AUDNZD to continue falling and at least break to the 🟢 Support zone(1.055 NZD-1.046 NZD) 🟢.
Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar ( AUDNZD ), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Usdchf ready to fall read the caption Usdchf falling chart
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading
Audusd follow uptrend read the caption Audusd for quite a while. This is generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by pullbacks or reversals. In this case, we got a pullback into the 0.6541 level but given today’s breakout, we might be in front of a reversal. We can see that the buyers kept on leaning on the red 21 moving average and if we get a pullback we can expect them to lean on it again
World gold price continues to decline sharply, long-term sellingWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 2.1 USD to 2,017.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.4 USD/ounce, up 5.3 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold continues to recover from last week's sell-off after testing support at $2,000 an ounce. Although gold is starting the trading week with modest gains, some analysts say it will remain stuck in a range with support at $2,000 an ounce and resistance around $2,050. ounce.
Last week, both consumer and producer prices rose more than expected, putting pressure on gold. The published report shows that the threat of inflation is still persistent.
Although gold is stuck, some analysts still emphasize the importance of this precious metal. According to market analyst James Hyerczyk of Fxempire.com, precious metals are still an important safe haven asset when developments in the Middle East are increasing geopolitical instability.
He attributed gold's recent recovery to a weakening dollar and fears of rising tensions in the Middle East, which have helped boost gold's status as a haven asset. Safety is preferred.
Some other opinions believe that the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will loosen policy this year is also a supporting factor for gold and this precious metal to break out when the first round of policy easing takes place. .
Gold down move read the caption Gold trades higher around $2,020 on investor caution
Gold price continues to move on an upward trajectory, trading higher around $2,020. The precious metal receives upward support from cautious investor sentiment amid speculation about the Fed's interest rate policy.
Gold 1 target 2010
Gold 2 target 2000
Gold 3 target 1994
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🔥 XAU/USD - First Long , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart, we see that according to our expectations, gold continued to grow and has been able to grow up to $2008! Today we will have the important statistics of PPI, if the Actual rate is announced higher than expected rate, we can see the growth of the dollar index (DXY) and the fall of the gold price! In my opinion, it is possible that today the price will have a growth up to the range of 2011$ to 2019$ and then finally it will face a further fall, and the targets of this possible fall will be 1997$, 1985$ and 1977$, respectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Audusd pump above go buy read the caption committee also pushed back slightly about when the first rate cut will happen. Jay Powell noted that the Fed will be less likely to start cutting in March as many analysts were expecting. The Fed is battling a situation of high inflation and strong economic growth.
The AUD/USD pair has rebounded slightly from its lowest point this month. It now sits slightly below the key resistance at 0.6541, where it has failed to move above recently. This price is along the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern that has formed recently
AUDCHF: One More Trend-Following Setup 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Update for AUDCHF.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed daily structure breakout on a daily.
The price formed multiple bullish confirmations on a 4h time frame then.
First, the price formed a bullish flag and violated its resistance.
After that, the price managed to violate a resistance line of a horizontal range.
Sentiment is very bullish on the pair.
We can anticipate a continuation at least to 0.5775
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