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GBP/USD Consolidates Amid Economic Data AwaitedFollowing our previous analysis, GBP/USD experienced a breakout of the bearish triangle pattern within a bearish trend. Yesterday, the price retraced to a resistance area and is currently consolidating during the European session as it seeks direction for its next movement. Our outlook for GBP/USD aligns with our approach for EUR/USD, anticipating a continuation of the push-down after the release of today's economic news. We will employ a swing trading strategy, with the current pullback potentially serving as a trigger for further downward movement. In the latter part of the day, the ADP will release private sector employment data for March. Expectations are for private payrolls to increase by 148K, following February's 140K rise. A stronger-than-expected reading could bolster the USD and exert downward pressure on the pair. Later in the American session, attention will turn to the ISM Services PMI for potential market-moving insights. A notable uptick in the Prices Paid Index, which measures inflation within the PMI survey, could reignite concerns about sticky services inflation and prompt investors to reassess the likelihood of a policy shift in June. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 37% chance of a 25 basis points rate cut in June. In light of these factors, our stance remains tilted towards a bearish continuation for GBP/USD.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Sees Volatility Amid USD Weakness:Swing Trading ApproachThe EUR/USD pair experienced notable volatility on Tuesday, following our previous forecast indicating a potential bearish continuation. Despite initially touching previous support-turned-resistance levels, the pair managed to close in positive territory. Currently, it remains within our Fibonacci levels of interest, signaling a possible continuation of the bearish trend. Our strategy for EUR/USD swing trading revolves around anticipating another bearish impulse. The USD exhibited weakness during the American trading session on Tuesday, providing support for the rebound in EUR/USD. Despite a negative shift in risk sentiment, investors refrained from placing bets on an extended USD rally. Market participants are now closely watching the release of the ADP Employment Change data from the US. Forecasts suggest an increase of 148K jobs in March. Any print at or below 100K could trigger a selloff in the USD, prompting an immediate reaction. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI data is set to be featured in the US economic docket. Earlier in the week, the USD showed strength following better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI data, particularly the sharp rise in the Prices Paid Index. A similar reaction may occur if the ISM Services PMI beats analysts' estimates. In light of these developments, our outlook for EUR/USD leans towards a bearish continuation of the trend.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Market UpdateGOLD MARKET UPDATE : Can a sustained rate cut outlook maintain Gold's rally? - Gold hit its all-time high yesterday after the JOLTS Job Openings release. - The data showed a more steady result with 8.756 mln job openings, up 8k from the previous month. - However, the data may not have been sufficient to alleviate concerns about the US labor market's overall health - XAUUSD has sustained the upward momentum since bottoming mid-March this year. The price has recorded all-time highs in the last four trading days. - If XAUUSD sustains its upward momentum without retracement, the price may test the next potential psychological resistance at 2,300-2,350 USD per troy ounce. - On the contrary, XAUUSD may return to 2,200-2,225 USD per troy ounce if the price retraces before its continuation. Disclaimers: This is not investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. Your capital is at risk, please trade responsibly. Trading is risky. Excess volatility increases risks further. Be cautious. As with all major economic releases, there could be significant price volatility with this type of announcement. Volatility may work against you as well as for you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Gain
Yen Strengthens Following Bank of Japan InterventionThe yen has appreciated recently after the Bank of Japan intervened in the currency market. This is a significant development with potential implications for the foreign exchange market. Considering Going Long on JPY? A stronger yen could be an attractive opportunity for traders looking to go long on the currency. However, it's important to conduct thorough research and consider factors like: • Market Volatility: Currency markets can be volatile, and the yen's rise may not be sustained. • Overall Investment Strategy: This move should align with your broader investment goals and risk tolerance. • Conduct Your Own Research Before making any investment decisions, research the yen's future outlook and analyze potential risks and rewards. We're Here to Help If you have any questions or would like to discuss this development further, please don't hesitate to contact us via the comments.
Short
by bryandowningqln
EUR/USD Descends Below 1.0750 Following US Manufacturing GrowthThe EUR/USD pair faced significant bearish pressure during the American session on Monday, plunging to its lowest level since mid-February, breaching below the key support at 1.0750. The pair's next potential support zone looms at 1.0700, unless it manages to stabilize above the 1.0760 mark. This downward movement in EUR/USD followed the release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which revealed a notable increase to 50.3 in March from 48.4 in February. This marked the first time since September 2022 that the manufacturing sector showed signs of expansion, alongside heightened input price pressures. As a result of this positive data, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining its policy rate in June rose above 40%, compared to 30% before the PMI release. Consequently, the US Dollar strengthened against its counterparts, exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD. Despite Tuesday's initial bullish impulse, in line with our previous forecast, the overall sentiment for EUR/USD remains bearish, with the possibility of further downward movement. The release of the JOLTS Job Openings data for February by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, along with speeches by several Fed policymakers, will be closely watched for market cues. Depending on the tone of these speeches and any hints regarding future monetary policy, the USD may experience fluctuations. Should Fed officials suggest a potential rate cut in June, the USD could face selling pressure, potentially aiding a rebound in EUR/USD. Conversely, hawkish comments could bolster the USD and extend the downward trajectory of EUR/USD. In summary, with the US manufacturing sector showing signs of improvement and Fed policy decisions looming, EUR/USD is poised for continued volatility. A bearish trend continuation is anticipated, pending further developments in US economic data and Federal Reserve communications. Our Previous Forecast:
Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD's Journey After Hitting Target Zone: A Detailed AnalysisThe GBP/USD pair, having met our projected zone at 1.2550, initiated a bullish surge in Tuesday's London session to counter yesterday's sharp decline. However, it may encounter resistance near the 1.2580 level before potentially resuming its bearish trajectory. The pair's appeal remains limited amid subdued market sentiment. Traders have adjusted their expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, previously anticipated in June, extending the period of higher interest rates. This sentiment shift, driven by a robust US manufacturing sector and optimistic economic outlook, strengthens the US Dollar and weighs on the GBP/USD pair. The US manufacturing sector's resilience reflects solid household spending, providing the Fed with leeway to delay rate cuts and assess inflation data further. Global markets await the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Nonfarm Payrolls report for March, while the US JOLTS Job Openings data for February will precede it, drawing investor attention. Amidst these dynamics, we anticipate a continuation of bearish sentiment in the GBP/USD pair. Our Previous Forecast:
Short
by FOREXN1
1
DXY Index Is Ready to Go Up🚀✅The DXY index has succeeded in breaking the 🔴 Resistance zone($104.27-$103.80) 🔴. 📈From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , DXY seems to have succeeded in forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . Of course, we must wait for the reaction to the upper line of this pattern . 🔔I expect the DXY index to rise to at least 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
3
GBP/USD: Bearish Sentiment Persists Ahead of Easter BreakClosed the trading session before the Easter weekend, the GBP/USD pair is seen hovering around 1.2617, encapsulated within a prevailing bearish sentiment. Similar to the EUR/USD, the pair remains within an accumulation range, suggesting a possible Triangle pattern for enthusiasts of technical analysis. Notably, it is trading below both the 21 and 200 Moving Averages on the H4 timeframe, underscoring the strength of the bearish trend. Inflation in the US saw a marginal uptick to 2.5% annually in February, according to the PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for tracking inflation. This modest increase from January's 2.4% met market expectations. Meanwhile, the index recorded a 0.3% rise from the previous month, slightly below the forecasted 0.4%. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy, also experienced a 2.8% annual increase, aligning with predictions, with a monthly uptick of 0.3%. The upward revision of January's core PCE figures signals ongoing inflationary pressures, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates. With upcoming employment data expected to play a crucial role in shaping future policy decisions, the timing and extent of rate adjustments remain uncertain. Considering these factors, our analysis leans towards a bearish continuation for the GBP/USD pair, with a potential downside target identified at 1.25315.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
GBP/USD Reversal Signals: Analyzing Potential Bearish MomentumAmidst early week volatility, GBP/USD initially tested 1.2650 before reversing course and closing positively on Monday. However, recent movement has brought the pair into a supply area, hinting at a possible reversal and continuation of its bearish trajectory. In the upcoming economic calendar, focus shifts to the release of Durable Goods Orders for February in the US. Forecasts predict a 1.3% rise following January's 6.2% contraction. Should the data disappoint, it may weaken the USD in the immediate aftermath. Conversely, a stronger-than-expected increase could bolster the currency. Nonetheless, the impact of this data is likely to be short-lived. Traders are closely monitoring these developments, with anticipation building for a potential bearish setup post the Durable Goods news.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Rebounds Amidst US Exceptionalism: What Lies Ahead?The EUR/USD pair experienced a significant decline towards the end of last week, driven by the release of Eurozone and US flash PMI data. These figures underscored the perceived strength of the US economy, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may reconsider its aggressive stance on interest rate cuts. The data painted a picture of US exceptionalism, suggesting that the American economy continues to perform relatively well compared to its European counterpart. This sentiment has raised doubts about the Fed's projected timeline for interest rate cuts, potentially prompting a more cautious approach from the central bank. A slower pace of rate cuts by the Fed could bolster the US Dollar, as higher interest rates typically attract greater foreign capital inflows. As a result, the EUR/USD pair may face continued pressure, with potential resistance levels seen around the 1.08600 to 1.08900 area before resuming its downtrend. Traders are advised to monitor these resistance levels closely and consider implementing limit selling positions in anticipation of a potential reversal. Additionally, today's release of US New Home Sales and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index may provide further insights into the health of the American economy, influencing market sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair.
by FOREXN1
1
Gold increased to the highest level of all timeThe international gold charge has simply set a brand new anciental top whilst it hit 2,260 USD efforts to increase the prevailing streak to 5 consecutive periods on Friday. However, marketplace liquidity is presently low because of the Good Friday vacation mentality of many traders. Gold will become greater appealing to traders as marketplace sentiment leans toward the situation of main relevant banks beginning an hobby charge slicing cycle this year. Investors are giving greater prefer to gold as they agree with that the Fed will reduce hobby fees 3 instances withinside the coming months. There may be 3 hobby charge cuts predicted. However, greater dependable proof that inflation will recede is wanted earlier than the Fed takes any action. The truth that accomplishing the ECB`s 2% inflation goal is possible additionally warns of ability dangers if the ECB does now no longer reduce hobby fees. In Europe, the SNB's marvel hobby charge reduce at its March assembly sparked hypothesis that different main relevant banks ought to take comparable actions. Meanwhile, in Asia, even though the BoJ has ended its bad hobby charge coverage, it'll retain to display and flexibly alter its economic coverage to healthy the financial scenario withinside the future. close to future.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TrategySherpa