Gold continues to decline, today's strategy is mainly to sellWorld gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 8.3 USD to 2,028.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,030.6 USD/ounce, up 8.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices were adjusted up slightly as investors waited for a series of US economic data this week to get more signals about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, the gold market is in a neutral environment as prices continue to remain above $2,000/ounce and are unable to break out of the current range.
This week, the market is awaiting the preliminary US Purchasing Managers' Index report due out on Wednesday, fourth-quarter GDP data expected on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Thursday. Friday for more signals on the interest rate direction of the US Central Bank.
Fed officials said last week that the US Central Bank needs more data before making any comments regarding any interest rate cuts and that the timing of loosening monetary policy may be later. much higher than market expectations.
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CHFJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CHFJPY
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Usoil is bullish a good opportunity read the caption Crude oil moves above $75.00
The price of Crude oil is moving above $75 to a high of $75.11 so far. The last time the price moved above the $75 level was on January 12 with the swing high reaching $75.24. The end of December highs reached to $75.66 and $76.18. Those levels are the next targets on the topside.
Dollar rising area read the caption The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing substantial buying pressure. A daily chart shows a third consecutive day with buyer highs and lows. This points to increasing buy pressure, while the DXY is bounce to hold ground above the very important technical levels in the form of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 103.47 and the 55-day SMA at 103.28.
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
USDCAD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD
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Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024.
Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future.
On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year.
The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
USDCAD Best level for selling the market 1.3431USDCAD Best level for selling the market. Already broker with support level and start go down.
USDCAD SELL NOW AT 1.3431
TAKE PROFIT 01 : 1.3349
STOP LOSS 1.3510
Please follow a sensible and responsible money management strategy when trading.
You should never invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Risk 3% of capital
🔥 XAU/USD - a little Long , Then SHORT ! (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price started to fall from the 2017.5$ range after the analysis I presented and corrected up to 2007$! After that, the price faced buying pressure again and is currently trading in the range of $2020, and the closest supply range to gold is $2023 to $2026! Other assumptions of the previous analysis are still valid!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold suddenly reversed growth again, an opportunity to sell GOLDWorld gold prices reversed and increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.1 USD to 2,022.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,025.1 USD/ounce, up 18.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Developments in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand for gold on Thursday (US time), helping gold escape its previous five-week low under pressure from changes in interest expectations. productivity after economic report was stronger than expected.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, amid much uncertainty, gold prices will be kept above $2,000/ounce. On January 17, the US Government returned the Houthis in Yemen to the list of terrorist groups as they continued to conduct attacks on commercial and military vessels.
In addition to the instability factor, speculation surrounding the timing of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is also affecting the direction of gold. Currently, investors are still waiting for further information to learn more about the Fed's future interest rate direction. Currently, most opinions believe that interest rates will be cut if published data shows that inflation "cools down" significantly.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Thursday that he supports cutting interest rates sooner if there is "compelling" evidence that inflation is falling more sharply than expected. In a recent statement, he said that inflation could be "volatile" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon.
💡Gold: Rises in Asian Session on Technical CorrectionDuring the early Asian session, gold experienced an increase, signaling a probable technical upward correction following a 1.15% decline in the front-month Comex gold for January delivery on Wednesday. According to Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, robust buying activity in China is bolstering gold prices. In a recent research report, Ghali highlights that the top ten traders on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have augmented their net long positions by nearly 10 tons since the New Year holidays. Currently, spot gold is showing a 0.1% rise, reaching $2,008.75 per ounce.
XAUUSD 100% CONFIRM ANALYSISDiscover an enticing Buying opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key support area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
DE40 / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / 4H
Hello friends,
On the 4-hour chart of the CAPITALCOM:DE40 pair, my first target is 16,346, and the second target is 16,143.
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EURUSD DAILY ANALYSIS // Jan 17, 2024In today's forex market analysis for EUR/USD, the dollar reached a one-month high against a basket of currencies, with the dollar index (DXY) hitting 103.58, its highest since December 13. This surge was fueled by soft Chinese data and global rate setters cautioning against immediate cuts. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller's comments on not rushing towards rate cuts until lower inflation is sustained contributed to the dollar's strength. Market expectations of a rate cut in March have eased to a 60% chance, and U.S. yields rose accordingly. Additionally, China's economic growth of 5.2% in 2023, slightly above the official target, raised concerns about a shaky recovery, impacting Asian and European shares. The euro remained flat at $1.10870 after a drop on Waller's remarks, as European Central Bank policymakers also resisted imminent rate cuts. The pound, however, climbed against the dollar, driven by higher British inflation data, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England will be slower to cut rates than other central banks. This data is crucial for understanding the current market dynamics and making informed trading decisions.
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USDJPY SELL | Setup Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Short after the BULL RUN. GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
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