Forexsignal
🔥EURUSD BEARISH ANALYSIS 💥💥Hello traders what do you think about euousd)?
traders euousd breakout trade line support levels Rsl retet To lower high Rsl now waiting for retest same Rsl? Now see I will down 👇 support levels ✅
Key levels 1.07948
Key levels 1.06500
Key levels 1.05500
💵 steady, euro soft as traders wager rate cuts to begin in Q1
Dec 6, 202314:19 GMT+5
The dollar held near a two-week high on Wednesday, while the euro was weak across the board as markets ramped up bets that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates as early as March.
The euro
EURUSD
was down 0.1% against the dollar at $1.0783, after touching a three-week low of $1.0775, as markets adjust rate expectations lower following soft data and dovish central commentary.
The single currency was also at a three-month low against the pound
EURGBP
, a five-week low versus the yen
EURJPY
and a 6-1/2 week low against the Swiss franc
EURCHF
.
"The story in currency markets is mostly about a softer euro," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea.
"Yesterday's comments from ECB's Schnabel supported the market view of early rate cuts."
Influential policy-maker Isabel Schnabel on Tuesday told Reuters that further interest rate hikes could be taken off the table given a "remarkable" fall in inflation.
Markets are now placing around an 85% chance that the ECB cuts interest rates at the March meeting, with almost 150 basis points worth of cuts priced by the end of next year.
XAUUSD - Trading strategy today December 15, 2023Also last night - early this morning, the US economy announced more positive economic and employment data. Specifically, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits last week was at 202,000 applications, lower than the forecast 220,000 applications and lower than the previous week's level of 221,000 applications.
Along with that, annual retail sales in November increased sharply by 4.09% over the same period, much higher than October's level of 2.24%. Monthly sales in November in the US also increased by 0.3%, higher than the negative increase of 0.2% in October and the negative 0.1% previously forecast.
Despite positive economic and employment data, the USD continued to decline for the second consecutive session. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies - dropped sharply by 0.88% to 101,960 points at 6:34 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time).
The plummeting USD has helped investors continue to buy gold. They believe that central banks, including the Fed and ECB, will not further increase operating interest rates for two strong currencies, USD and EUR, and may soon reduce interest rates in the next two quarters. This has made investors expect that the gold market will continue to grow well.
Experts say that despite the low USD, the cost of speculation and gold transactions has dropped sharply. However, investors should also consider, because a positive economy and the possibility of reduced interest rates will promote better economic growth, gold will reduce its role as a cash flow shelter. Currently, the large SPDR fund, after a net buying session on December 13, returned to take a slight profit on the December 14 session. Large cash flows taking profits from precious metals will push gold prices down deeply. Therefore, investors should take profits when gold has given profits.
EURUSD checks the support once againHello traders, what do you think about EURUSD? After breaking the resistance level, this pair of money is currently trading at a high level, but if the right wave will take place, the retreat will take place to check the level that has been broken earlier. It is expected that the price will increase again again after checking the previous break
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XAUUSD - Trading strategy after CPI news on December 13World gold prices fluctuated slightly with spot gold down 1.3 USD to 1,979.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,993.2 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the world gold price this morning was listed close to the level of yesterday morning, it has decreased sharply compared to the increase during the day. Specifically, gold plunged and lost the previous 0.5% increase after a new report was released showing that consumer prices in the US did not decrease in November. Inflation data was released first. The Fed's final monetary policy meeting in 2023. The market is expecting the US Central Bank to maintain interest rates at its meeting on Wednesday.
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.1% year-on-year in November, in line with economists' expectations. November CPI increased 0.1% compared to the previous month. The dollar pared losses after the CPI data and made gold less attractive to holders of other currencies.
Economists note that the latest inflation data could cause a shift in market expectations for an interest rate cut as early as March. US Federal Reserve officials ( The Fed) has emphasized that it needs to see a sustained downward trend in inflation before starting to reduce interest rates.
PPI news trading strategyThe world's gold price today, December 13, continues to decrease when the US releases the latest emission data, creating motivation for the USD to increase in price.
Gold prices today have not stopped falling in the context of the US announcing the annual consumer price index (CPI) in November 2023 increased by 3.1%, 0.1 percentage point lower than the previous month of 3.2. %. At the same time, the US also announced that annual core inflation in November 2023 increased by 4%, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market forecasts.
Immediately, investors speculated that the US Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged after concluding its meeting at dawn on December 14. In particular, many people have reduced their expectations that the FED will soon reduce interest rates in 2024.
SELL XAUUSD 1990 - 1992
SL 2000
TP 1982
TP2 1973
USDCHF is ready to Jump by Rounding Bottom Pattern🚀🏃♂️ USDCHF has been moving in the Descending channel for a long time, but USDCHF started to increase by hitting the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡and managed to form a Rounding Bottom Pattern .
🔔I expect USDCHF to move at least to the upper line of the descending channel and possibly break the descending channel as well.
U.S.Dollar/Swiss Franc ( USDCHF ) 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold | Short ideaGold is in a fierce downtrend and I am looking for more movement down. If gold gets rejected in this zone one more time I expect a reversal and a new low today! If that happens I will be looking for short positions! Their will be news coming out so watch out!
Let me know what you think!
Trading strategy on December 12, priority to sellWorld gold prices dropped sharply with spot gold down 25.2 USD to 1,980.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,997.3 USD/ounce, down 17.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices slid due to pressure from the recovery of the USD and rising bond yields. The USD rose 0.2%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. US 10-year Treasury yields also rose higher, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Currently, investors wait for important meetings of several central banks. Specifically, the European Central Bank, Bank of England, Norges Bank and Swiss National Bank will also conduct policy meetings on Thursday. In addition, investors are also interested in data. US inflation data. This data is said to be able to influence the policy roadmap of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
The trend is decreasing, the current reasonable entry pointGold prices rose after the release of weaker-than-expected US ADP jobs data.
Specifically, the US economy created 103,000 new jobs in November, much lower than the expected 130,000. The October figure was revised down to 106,000 from the previous estimate of 113,000.
These figures follow Tuesday's JOLTS US Job Openings survey, adding to evidence that restrictive monetary policy is starting to weigh on demand for workers.
On the other hand, the US ISM services PMI showed a larger-than-expected improvement, helping to negate a sharp slowdown in the US economy.
CME Group's FedWatch tool is pricing in a more than 50% chance that the US central bank will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in March.
The market is in a moderately positive mood as investors grow increasingly confident that the major central bank tightening cycle is over.
🚨CADNZD is Ready to Fall ➖5%🚨✅ CADNZD has managed to break the 🟢Support zone(1.213 NZD-1.202 NZD )🟢, SMA(200) , Yearly Pivot Point(1.202 NZD) , and the Support line .
💡We can consider the movement that CADNZD started about a year ago as a corrective movement in the direction of its previous main movement, which was downward and with high momentum.
🔔I expect CADNZD to continue its downward trend in the coming weeks and drop to at least 1.152 NZD.
Canadian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analysis (CADNZD), Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.