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Market next move 🔻 Bearish Disruption Analysis 1. False Breakout / Bull Trap The price might briefly break above the red resistance zone (highlighted), triggering buy orders. However, instead of continuing higher, sellers step in aggressively, pushing the price back below resistance. This would form a fakeout or bull trap, catching breakout buyers off-guard. 2. Volume Divergence Look at the volume at the breakout: if the breakout occurs on declining or weak volume, it's a warning sign that the move lacks conviction. The breakout may not sustain without strong volume backing it. 3. Lower High Formation If the price fails to make a higher high above the previous peak (~3,340-3,345), and reverses downward, it indicates buying exhaustion. 4. MACRO/FUNDAMENTAL Trigger Sudden news (e.g., strong USD data, interest rate hike comments from the Fed, or geopolitical tension easing) could cause a sharp sell-off in gold. This would invalidate the bullish pattern entirely. 5. Bearish Price Target If the disruption plays out, price could drop back to 3,300 or below, especially if support is weak. A confirmed lower low below 3,310 would suggest a larger bearish structure
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT 1. False Bullish Narrative The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows: A strong rejection near 106,000. Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market. The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift. 2. Bearish Structure Developing The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop. The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown. The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases. 3. Volume Divergence The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted. Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs. 4. Support Turned Resistance The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance. If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USD 1. Questionable Bullish Bias The chart labels the structure as "Bullish," but the current setup looks more like a potential distribution phase than a healthy continuation pattern. The price is moving sideways with declining volume, suggesting buyers are losing strength. 2. Volume Discrepancy Notice the spike in volume during the sharp move up, followed by flat candles and lower volume. This is typical of a "pump and fade" structure, where large players exit after a rapid price move, leaving retail traders with poor entries. 3. Resistance Not Clearly Broken Price failed to sustain above 105,800–106,000, indicating that the resistance zone remains valid. The recent rejection candles near this level suggest sellers are active and overhead pressure is strong. 4. Descending Into Compression The blue "descending" structure before the sideways move may signal a bearish flag or a pause before further downside—not necessarily a bullish sign. 5. False Reversal Warning The bullish pattern drawn with zig-zags (implying consolidation before continuation) could actually be setting up a bull trap. If price fakes a bounce and then breaks below 104,800, a sharper decline toward the 103,000 target could accelerate quickly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – USD/JPY 1. Sideways/Flat Price Action Price is consolidating in a tight range with small-bodied candles. This indicates indecision and lack of momentum, not strength. The upward arrows suggest bullish bias, but no strong signal confirms a breakout yet. 2. Bearish Momentum The recent red candles dominate, showing a clear drop from above 146.000 earlier. The overall trend (short-term) is down, and the support area could be tested again. 3. Decreasing Volume Volume is fading out, especially the most recent bar (around 1.01K). This suggests waning interest—any bullish breakout without volume support is likely to fail or reverse. 4. Resistance Area is Strong The resistance zone near 145.800–146.000 is clearly tested before and held. Without a significant catalyst, it's unlikely to break in the near term. 5. False Breakout Risk Above Target The marked "target" just below resistance could trigger false bullish entries.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart 1. False Breakout Risk The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish. However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion. A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal. 2. Low Volume Confirmation Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles. Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. 3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet. If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal. 4. Divergence Watch While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs). This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish) 1. Price in an Upward Channel: The price remains within a clear ascending channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds. The bearish arrow prematurely predicts a breakdown while no support break has occurred. 2. Strong Bullish Momentum: Price is making higher highs and higher lows, a textbook bullish structure. The recent dip respected the lower trendline and was followed by strong green candles. 3. Volume Confirmation: Notice the increasing bullish volume on the recent push higher. That suggests buyers are still in control, contradicting the bearish prediction. 4. Invalidation of Bearish Breakdown: Until the lower blue trendline is clearly broken with volume, the bearish target is speculative. Support is holding at 1.1610–1.1600 zone, which may become a launchpad for further gains.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish) 1. Support Holding Firm: The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation. The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength. 2. Volume Analysis Contradiction: Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels. No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure. 3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders: The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup. If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop. 4. Trendline Breakout Watch: There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline. A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish) 1. Support Holding Firm: The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation. The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength. 2. Volume Analysis Contradiction: Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels. No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure. 3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders: The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup. If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop. 4. Trendline Breakout Watch: There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline. A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves . -------------------------------------------------------- Fundamental Analysis 1-Weak UK Economic Data: Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations. Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating. 2-Dovish Expectations for BoE: With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound. 3-Stronger USD Outlook Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall. 4-UK Political Risk Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP. -------------------------------------------------------- I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation. Targets: 1.3 1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51 2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00 Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
Market next target 🔄 Disruption Analysis: 1. Weak Support Confirmation The chart marks a "Support area," but there is no strong confirmation (e.g., a hammer or engulfing bullish candle with high volume). Support zones are more reliable with multiple prior bounces; here, it seems newly identified and not yet validated. 2. Bearish Volume Signature During the recent decline (before the support), the red volume bars are significantly larger, indicating strong selling pressure. The recovery candles near support have low volume, which may signal lack of conviction from bulls. 3. Lower Highs Formation Prior to the drop, we see a series of lower highs, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. This could suggest a potential bearish continuation, especially if price fails to break above the last local high (~106,000). 4. Possible Bearish Retest Instead of a bullish breakout, the current price might just be retesting the broken support-turned-resistance. This is a common bull trap scenario where prices bounce slightly before resuming downward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move Disruption to Bullish Scenario: 1. Resistance Zone Around 1.1540 – 1.1550 The price is approaching a psychological and potential resistance level around 1.1540–1.1550. If the bulls fail to break this zone convincingly, a rejection could lead to a pullback or reversal. 2. Bearish Divergence in Volume Despite upward movement in price, the volume doesn't show a strong bullish breakout. If momentum weakens while price rises, it might indicate a bearish divergence. 3. Rising Wedge Formation The current price channel resembles a rising wedge, which is typically a bearish pattern. A breakdown from this pattern (below the “support area” trendline) could trigger a sell-off toward 1.1500 or lower. 4. Economic Data or News Risk Any sudden USD strength due to economic reports, Federal Reserve commentary, or geopolitical tension could flip the sentiment instantly. Icons below the chart hint at upcoming news from the Eurozone or U.S., which could lead to volatility. 5. Overbought Condition If technical indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown in this chart) are in overbought territory, a correction or profit-taking may happen soon.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
2
Market next move 🔄 Disruption: Bullish Setup Building? 🧠 Problems With Bearish Interpretation: 1. Volume Surge Might Be Re-Accumulation: Volume at the purple lightning symbol is rising — this could signal buyer interest, not distribution. Green candles in this zone suggest aggressive buying on dips. 2. Failed Breakdown Earlier: Price had a strong drop but bounced sharply, recovering nearly all losses. That type of V-recovery often traps early shorts, leading to a rally. 3. Resistance Retest Might Be Breakout Setup: The red box marks resistance, but price is consolidating just below it. That’s typically bullish if no strong rejection occurs — classic “base before breakout.” 4. No Lower Low Yet: Market structure still holding. Until price breaks below ~$35.80, the bearish thesis remains speculative.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 📉 Original View (Bearish Outlook): Predicts a downward move from around $3,370 to the target near $3,250. Sharp drop illustrated with zigzag downward arrows. Yellow arrow highlights growing volume — likely interpreted as early selling pressure. --- 🔄 Disruption: Bullish Reversal or Trap Setup 🧠 Problems With Bearish Thesis: 1. Volume Spike Might Indicate Demand: The yellow arrow highlights a volume surge, but this might be buyer absorption, not selling dominance. If this volume came during a wick-heavy candle or hammer, it suggests buying interest at lows. 2. No Break of Major Support Yet: Price is still above $3,350, a key psychological and technical zone. No clear breakdown has occurred — the downtrend is assumed, not confirmed. 3. Oversold Momentum? Momentum indicators (not shown) may reveal oversold conditions, making a short-term rebound more probable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔄 Disrupted Analysis: Bullish Counter-Scenario 🧠 Original Bias: The chart predicts a strong bearish move, with a target around 88,000 USD. The label "Bullish" seems misleading as it’s placed in a steep downward move. --- 📉 Issues With the Original Analysis: 1. Volume Misinterpretation: Increasing red volume could indicate capitulation or a temporary panic sell-off, not necessarily the start of a new trend. A bounce could follow if buyers step in. 2. Support Zone Ignored: The analysis overlooks any previous support levels in the 100k–98k range, where buyers may be waiting. 3. No Confirmation for Breakdown: The chart does not show a completed breakdown of a key structure or trendline. The blue squiggle assumes a breakdown will happen, but no technical confirmation is visible. --- 📈 Disruption Scenario: Bullish Reversal Possible Rejection from 102k zone could be a liquidity grab, not the start of a downtrend. Hidden bullish divergence on RSI or MACD (not shown here) could support a bounce.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next forecast 🔄 Disrupted Analysis: Bullish Counter-Scenario 🧠 Original Bias: The chart predicts a strong bearish move, with a target around 88,000 USD. The label "Bullish" seems misleading as it’s placed in a steep downward move. --- 📉 Issues With the Original Analysis: 1. Volume Misinterpretation: Increasing red volume could indicate capitulation or a temporary panic sell-off, not necessarily the start of a new trend. A bounce could follow if buyers step in. 2. Support Zone Ignored: The analysis overlooks any previous support levels in the 100k–98k range, where buyers may be waiting. 3. No Confirmation for Breakdown: The chart does not show a completed breakdown of a key structure or trendline. The blue squiggle assumes a breakdown will happen, but no technical confirmation is visible. --- 📈 Disruption Scenario: Bullish Reversal Possible Rejection from 102k zone could be a liquidity grab, not the start of a downtrend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Analysis – Bearish Scenario 1. Resistance Rejection: Price has stalled around 145.40, showing hesitation. The target area (~148.000) hasn't been tested yet, and prior attempts to break higher may face heavy resistance from institutional sell orders or prior supply zones. 2. Range-Bound Structure: Current price action shows consolidation — multiple small-bodied candles. Lack of volume or momentum may indicate accumulation or distribution — not necessarily a bullish breakout setup. 3. Potential Bearish Triggers: If price breaks below 145.00, a short-term bearish move could occur toward: 144.30 – recent swing low support. 143.80 – demand zone based on prior accumulation. 4. Macro Disruptors: Surprise BoJ intervention or hawkish policy tone could strengthen the Yen. A dovish Fed statement or poor U.S. economic data could drag USD down sharply. --- 📉 Alternate Scenario Chart Sketch (Hypothetical): 148.000 ──────── (Target denied - strong resistance) ↑ Rejection ↓ 145.000 ──────── (Breaks support) ↓ 144.300 ──────── (First bearish target) ↓ 143.800 ──────── (Deeper retracement zone)
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 🔻 Bearish Disruption Analysis 1. Overbought Conditions / RSI Exhaustion The recent bullish momentum appears strong, but it could be entering overbought territory, especially on the 1-hour chart. A correction may follow if technical indicators like RSI or MACD start diverging. 2. Resistance Zone at 1.35000 - 1.35500 The price is nearing a historical resistance area around 1.3500–1.3550, where sellers have previously stepped in. Without strong volume or a news catalyst, this zone may reject further upside movement. 3. Low Volume Breakout The breakout visible before the arrows is accompanied by relatively moderate volume, which can indicate a false breakout or bull trap. 4. Fundamental Uncertainty Upcoming U.S. or UK economic data (indicated by the flags on the chart) could disrupt the expected bullish move. Example: A strong USD labor report or hawkish Fed comment could reverse the GBP/USD rally.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🟥 Disrupted Analysis: Bearish Divergence on EUR/USD (1H) Weak Support Zone: The price labeled as "Support" was never a well-tested zone. It appears to be a minor structure, and the bounce lacks strong confirmation or significant volume. Volume Decline During Rise: The recent upward candles show shrinking volume, a sign that the buying momentum is weakening, not strengthening. Bulls are losing energy. Potential Double Top Formation: If price action near current levels stalls, a double top could form, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. Watch for rejection below 1.1550. Bearish Target Zone (if reversal begins): First target: 1.1450 (minor support) Break below that opens 1.1370 zone (volume support area) --- 📉 Disrupted Price Path (Opposing the Yellow Arrow) Rejection ↓ ┌─────────┐ │ ▼ │ Pullback to "Support" ▼ │ Breakdown │ ▼ │ Target Zone ▼
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target Disrupted Analysis: Bearish Outlook on Gold CFDs (1H Chart) Support Breakdown Imminent: The price is repeatedly testing the support area marked in red. Instead of holding strong, this indicates weak buyer interest. Volume is not spiking in support, showing no accumulation behavior. Volume Divergence: Despite prices consolidating near support, volume is decreasing, suggesting lack of conviction from bulls. This often precedes bearish breakdowns. Bearish Targets: If the current level at 3,352.990 breaks down decisively: Immediate target: 3,320.000 Extended bearish move: 3,280.000 (prior demand zone) Price Action Signals: Lower highs forming consistently. No bullish engulfing or reversal candles in sight. Stronger bearish momentum candles (long red bodies with volume). --- 📉 Suggested Disruption Chart Path (Instead of Bullish Arrow): Support Area ↓ ┌───────┐ │ │ ▼ │ Breakdown │ ▼ │ Retest Fail │ ▼ │ Bearish Slide▼
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPJPY: End of Consolidation Phase, Eyes on 200.000?Hey Realistic Traders! Could this be the beginning of a major bullish wave ? Let’s Break It Down.. On the daily timeframe, GBPJPY has formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern, followed by a bullish breakout, a classic technical signal that typically marks the end of a consolidation phase and the start of a new bullish trend. This move is further confirmed by the appearance of a strong bullish candlestick, reflecting a surge in buying momentum. Supporting this bullish scenario, the MACD indicator has also formed a bullish crossover, where the MACD line crosses above the signal line. This crossover is widely regarded as a momentum shift from bearish to bullish, strengthening the case for continued upward movement. Given these technical signals, the price is likely to advance toward the first target at 200.411, with a potential extension to 204.808. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the key stop-loss level at 192.730. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on OANDA:GBPJPY ".
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
2