EURUSD Analysis(➡️RR=2.00)🏃 EURUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴 and near the Downtrend line .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴.
🔔I expect EURUSD to continue to Decline at least to the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
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EURUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.08877 USD (Stop Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.09380 USD
💰Take Profit:
🎯 1.08372 USD RR==1.00
🎯 1.07869 USD
Risk-To-Reward: 2.00
Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️
Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Forexsignal
METAL Gold rose as Treasury yields fell following US GDP dataGold edged higher on Thursday as Treasury yields eased after US GDP data highlighted a softening in the pace of inflation, while focus turned to PCE data for further hints on taper strategy Federal Reserve interest rates.
Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell after GDP data.
The US economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter thanks to strong consumer spending, with full-year growth reaching 2.5%.
“The economy is much hotter than expected, but at the same time, we have a situation where inflation is falling, so we are not should prepare for a sudden increase in interest rates." at TD Securities, said, adding that that is helping gold.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
According to CME FedWatch Tool, the market expects the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting on January 30-31 and is expected to cut interest rates by 89% in May.
Gold also received some support from a separate report showing initial claims for state unemployment benefits in the United States rose 25,000 to a seasonally adjusted 214,000 in the week ended January 20 .Economists had forecast 200,000 claims in the latest week.
Gold continuously adjusts downward, latest trading strategyWorld gold prices this morning inched up slightly with spot gold increasing by 7.9 USD to 2,019.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,021 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold inched up slightly in Thursday trading thanks to falling Treasury yields after US GDP data showed the US economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter thanks to strong consumer spending, with Growth for the whole year reached 2.5%, and inflation is "cooling down".
According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, although the economy is much hotter than expected, the report also shows us that inflation is falling, so we should not prepare for a rise in interest rates. spike. This is helping gold, the expert added.
According to CME FedWatch Tool, after the report, the market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting on January 30 and 31 and forecasts an 89% chance of cutting interest rates. capacity in May.
In addition, gold also received some support when a recent report showed that US initial jobless claims increased by 25,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 214,000 in the week ended January 20. . Economists had forecast 200,000 claims in the latest week.
XAU price swept both directions and increased slightly in gold tDuring the January 25 session, world gold prices dropped to $2,014 after the fourth quarter US GDP report was higher than expected, showing that the world's largest economy is still operating stably. In case the price rises, the bulls need to scale the resistance at $2,025 and then $2,039 to move towards the current price target of $2,050. On the contrary, the bears are targeting the $2,004 support to push the price down to $2,000. Currently, gold is increasing slightly to $2,022.
Today, the market will receive US PCE data for December with an expected increase of 0.2% in December. Data higher than estimates could make the Fed reconsider its current policy and push gold down further. . Gold investors will closely monitor the Fed's interest rate decision next week as the bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged.
Uadchf strong bullish More info read the caption What needs to be done, however, is to get above it 100-day moving average at 0.8673, and also the 38.3% retracement of the move down from the October 2023 hi. That little comes in at 0.8681.
Get above both those levels and the bias increases more to the upside it in favor of the buyers.
Find out all these details in the video above.
Usdcad show sell read the caption usdcad Furthermore, the preliminary US Gross Domestic Product Annualized report is scheduled for release on Thursday, with anticipated figures pointing to a 2.1% reading in the fourth quarter, down from the previous 4.8% reading. Should the actual US GDP align with these market expectations, there could be an increased probability of the Federal Reserve implementing a policy rate reduction in the upcoming March meeting.
EUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut UncertaintyEUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut Uncertainty
The EUR/USD pair finds itself in a tight trading range below the 1.0900 and 1.08500 levels during the European session on Wednesday. Traders appear cautious, refraining from making aggressive directional moves as uncertainty looms over the potential timing of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
ECB Rate Cut Speculations:
The first ECB policy rate cut is anticipated in April, with markets pricing in a total reduction of 135 basis points (bps) by the end of 2024. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde's recent signal that borrowing costs may only start decreasing in the summer, contingent on supportive economic data, has left traders in a wait-and-see mode. The focus now shifts to the upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday, seen as a pivotal event that could significantly impact the EUR/USD pair.
Event and Data Risks:
This week brings forth critical event and data risks, with preliminary estimates of the January Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) set for release on Wednesday. These indicators will provide insights into the economic activity within the Eurozone and potentially influence the market sentiment. However, the real highlight of the week remains the ECB meeting on Thursday, where market participants anticipate clarity on the central bank's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy.
OCBC Bank's Analysis:
Economists at OCBC Bank are closely analyzing the outlook for the EUR/USD pair. They suggest that an improvement in the PMI print could act as a catalyst, giving the Euro a renewed boost. Positive economic data may sway sentiment in favor of the Euro, offering traders additional insights as they position themselves in the market.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD maintains a bullish bias in higher timeframes. The current retracement, hovering around the 1.08500 area and in confluence with the Dynamic trendline, the 61.8%, and 78.6% Fibonacci zones, presents an interesting zone for potential buyers looking for discounted prices. This area could serve as a launching pad for a new bullish impulse, with the target set around the 1.1000 level.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD pair faces a challenging environment as traders navigate uncertainty surrounding potential ECB rate cuts. With the focus on the ECB meeting and key economic indicators, market participants are adopting a cautious approach. The technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with the retracement presenting an opportunity for buyers to enter at a discount. However, the true catalyst for a sustained move may come from the ECB meeting and positive PMI prints, providing clarity and direction for the EUR/USD pair in the coming sessions. Traders are advised to stay vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly in response to unfolding events and data releases.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
GOLD ANALYSIS DAILYHello dear traders,
In the global gold market on the daily timeframe, we are witnessing the price reaching its previous ceiling. Considering the strong upward momentum in gold, we expect it to break the resistance ahead. We have drawn two scenarios for the price movement of gold, and personally, I prefer the first scenario more, as I am looking for long setups in the golden zone.
I hope this has been helpful for you.
Thank you for following me.
Gold continues to decline, today's strategy is mainly to sellWorld gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 8.3 USD to 2,028.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,030.6 USD/ounce, up 8.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices were adjusted up slightly as investors waited for a series of US economic data this week to get more signals about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, the gold market is in a neutral environment as prices continue to remain above $2,000/ounce and are unable to break out of the current range.
This week, the market is awaiting the preliminary US Purchasing Managers' Index report due out on Wednesday, fourth-quarter GDP data expected on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Thursday. Friday for more signals on the interest rate direction of the US Central Bank.
Fed officials said last week that the US Central Bank needs more data before making any comments regarding any interest rate cuts and that the timing of loosening monetary policy may be later. much higher than market expectations.
CHFJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CHFJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Usoil is bullish a good opportunity read the caption Crude oil moves above $75.00
The price of Crude oil is moving above $75 to a high of $75.11 so far. The last time the price moved above the $75 level was on January 12 with the swing high reaching $75.24. The end of December highs reached to $75.66 and $76.18. Those levels are the next targets on the topside.
Dollar rising area read the caption The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing substantial buying pressure. A daily chart shows a third consecutive day with buyer highs and lows. This points to increasing buy pressure, while the DXY is bounce to hold ground above the very important technical levels in the form of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 103.47 and the 55-day SMA at 103.28.
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
USDCAD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024.
Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future.
On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year.
The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
USDCAD Best level for selling the market 1.3431USDCAD Best level for selling the market. Already broker with support level and start go down.
USDCAD SELL NOW AT 1.3431
TAKE PROFIT 01 : 1.3349
STOP LOSS 1.3510
Please follow a sensible and responsible money management strategy when trading.
You should never invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Risk 3% of capital