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GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias 1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram. This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation. 2. Oversold Market Conditions Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion. A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187. 3. Failed Breakdown Possibility Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap. If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap. 4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading. If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement. 5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles. Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown. Alternative Bullish Scenario If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be: 3,293 (Resistance) Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
TVC:GOLDLong
by Vip_Signal
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 146.90 1st Support: 142.06 1st Resistance: 150.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
NZDCHF Bullish Outlook – Wedge Breakout Setup in PlayAscending Structure: Price action has been respecting a series of higher lows, supported by an ascending trendline – a key indicator of bullish pressure. Bullish Flag/Wedge Formation: The current price is consolidating inside a rising wedge, typically seen as a continuation pattern in bullish trends, especially when preceded by a strong rally. Breakout Zone: A breakout above the wedge resistance (~0.4915–0.4930) opens the path to retest the recent high at 0.4953, and further to 0.4985 resistance. Volume & Momentum: If confirmed by bullish momentum or strong candle close above the wedge, it validates further upside. Key Levels: Support: 0.4870 (trendline base), 0.4800 (invalidates setup) Immediate Resistance: 0.4930 Targets: TP1: 0.4953 TP2: 0.4985 (measured move from wedge) ✅ Confluence for Bullish Setup: Price respecting higher low structure. Bullish consolidation wedge near previous highs. Clean upside path if price breaks above 0.4930. ⚠️ Invalidation: If price breaks below 0.4870, this would invalidate the bullish structure and could suggest a retest of 0.4800, making the current setup a potential bull trap.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/JPY : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we observe that due to the sharp drop in the Dollar Index, the price has reached the 140.850 level. This decline was very strong and impulsive; however, as seen on the chart, the price has now approached a significant demand zone between 139.6 and 141. If the price manages to close and stabilize above this area, we can expect a further bullish move from this pair. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
EURNZD strong daily demand level at 1.89. Long biasSupply and demand imbalances are the driving forces behind price movements in the Forex market. By identifying these key zones or imbalances, traders can anticipate high-probability reversal or continuation setups. Today, we’ll analyze the EURNZD cross pair, which has recently formed a strong demand imbalance at $1.89—the most significant impulse in months. The Power of Supply & Demand Imbalances Supply and demand trading revolves around identifying areas where price has made a strong, impulsive move (demand or supply zone) and then waiting for a retracement into that zone for a potential reversal or continuation. Key Characteristics of a Strong Imbalance: ✅ Extended Range Candles (ERC): Strong, wide-bodied candles indicate institutional buying/selling. ✅ Strong Imbalance: A clear shift in market structure after a strong rally or drop. ✅ Fresh Zone: The imbalance has not been tested yet or has only been tested once.
by AlfonsoMoreno
Bitcoin sell technical analysis Description: Bitcoin is rejecting major resistance near $94,000 after forming a bearish engulfing candle on the 4H chart. • Key Resistance: $94,000–$95,000 zone rejected with strong selling pressure. • RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence between price and RSI confirms weakness. • Break of Support: Price broke minor support at $92,800, shifting short-term structure bearish. • Moving Averages: Trading below the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, signaling bearish momentum. Sell Setup: • Look for entries around $93,500–$94,000 (retest zone). • Stop-loss above $95,000. • TP1: $91,000 • TP2: $88,500 Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a pullback — sellers are currently in control.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by US30EMPIRE
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? After a strong bullish rally that led to a breakout above the 1.12 resistance zone, EURUSD is now undergoing a correction. We expect the price to pull back toward the identified support zone, where it may find demand and begin a new bullish wave. As long as the price holds above the specified support zone and the ascending trendline, our outlook remains bullish. A successful retest of support could pave the way for the next leg higher. Will the pullback offer a buying opportunity, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
18
AUD/USD Secures Bullish Momentum Above $0.6407FenzoFx—AUD/USD closed above $0.6407 and remains stable, signaling a bullish trend supported by the 50-period simple moving average. However, indicators like Stochastic and RSI 14 suggest an overbought condition, hinting at a possible correction. Key support lies at $0.6395, with traders watching for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns. The outlook stays bullish above $0.6276, while dips below this level could trigger extended consolidation. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
Bearish Momentum Eases at 141.70 Support in USD/JPYFenzoFx—The USD/JPY currency pair resumed its bearish trend after breaking below 144.56 but steadied at the 141.70 support level. Indicators show sideways movement, reflecting a lack of momentum. With the price below the 50-period moving average, the bearish outlook persists. If the pair stabilizes below 141.70, the downtrend may deepen, while surpassing 144.56 could pave the way for a rise toward 148.20. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at F enzo F x Decentralized Forex Broker
Short
by FenzoFxBroker
FX Liquidity 'Worse Than Covid' Amid Tariff Shock. Long EUR/USD?Liquidity Seizes Up: Dealers Report Conditions 'Worse Than Covid' Amid Tariff Turmoil The intricate plumbing of the global foreign exchange market, typically the world's deepest and most liquid financial arena, experienced a severe blockage in recent days, with dealers reporting liquidity conditions even more challenging than during the peak of the Covid-19 crisis in early 2020. Triggered by the sudden announcement of potential sweeping tariffs by former US President Donald Trump, the ability to execute large trades without significantly moving prices evaporated, creating treacherous conditions for market participants before a temporary pause on the tariff implementation offered a brief respite. Reports indicate that available liquidity for a single transaction, or "clip," in major currency pairs plummeted to lows around $20 million. While this figure might still sound substantial, it represents a dramatic reduction from the norms in the multi-trillion dollar-a-day spot FX market, where clips of $50 million, $100 million, or even more could typically be absorbed with minimal market impact, especially in benchmark pairs like EUR/USD. This liquidity drought occurred paradoxically alongside a spike in overall trading volumes. Both algorithmic trading systems and human traders on principal desks were highly active, reacting to the news flow and heightened volatility. However, this surge in activity masked a fundamental deterioration in market quality. High volume accompanied by low liquidity signifies frantic, often smaller, trades occurring across widening bid-ask spreads, with market makers unwilling or unable to provide firm quotes for substantial sizes. It's the market equivalent of a crowded room where everyone is shouting, but no one is willing to make a firm commitment. Why 'Worse Than Covid'? Unpacking Dealer Sentiment The comparison to the Covid-19 crisis is stark and revealing. The initial wave of the pandemic in March 2020 caused unprecedented volatility across all asset classes as the world grappled with lockdowns and economic shutdowns. FX liquidity certainly suffered then, with spreads widening dramatically. However, dealers suggest the current environment, driven by tariff uncertainty, felt different, and arguably worse, for several reasons: 1. Nature of the Shock: Covid-19, while devastating, was primarily a health crisis with economic consequences. Central banks globally responded with massive, coordinated liquidity injections and policy easing, providing a clear backstop (even if the initial shock was severe). The tariff announcement, however, represents a political and policy shock. Its potential impact is multifaceted – affecting inflation, growth, supply chains, corporate earnings, and international relations – and far harder to model. The policy path forward, including potential retaliation from other countries, is deeply uncertain. 2. Central Bank Reaction Function: During Covid, the playbook for central banks was relatively clear: provide liquidity and ease financial conditions. In response to potential tariffs, the central bank reaction is much less certain. Tariffs could be inflationary (raising import costs), potentially pushing central banks towards tighter policy, while simultaneously being negative for growth, which might argue for easing. This ambiguity makes it harder for markets to price in a predictable policy response, adding another layer of uncertainty that dampens risk appetite and liquidity provision. 3. Fundamental Uncertainty vs. Panic: While Covid induced panic, the underlying driver was identifiable. The tariff threat introduces deep uncertainty about the fundamental rules of global trade. This makes it exceptionally difficult for market makers, who provide liquidity, to price risk accurately. When risk becomes unquantifiable, the natural reaction is to withdraw, reduce quote sizes, and widen spreads significantly to avoid being caught on the wrong side of a large, unhedged position. The Tariff Trigger: A Wrench in the Works Donald Trump's proposal for a "reciprocal" or blanket tariff system, potentially starting at 10% on all imports with higher rates for specific countries, fundamentally challenges the existing global trade framework. The announcement immediately forced market participants to reassess: • Inflation Outlook: Tariffs directly increase the cost of imported goods, potentially fueling inflation and impacting interest rate expectations. • Economic Growth: Trade wars can disrupt supply chains, raise business costs, reduce export competitiveness (due to retaliation), and dampen consumer and business confidence, weighing on growth. • Currency Valuations: Currencies of countries heavily reliant on exports to the US, or those potentially facing steep retaliatory tariffs, came under pressure. The US dollar itself experienced volatility as markets weighed the inflationary impact against the potential growth slowdown and risk-aversion flows. This complex interplay of factors, combined with the political uncertainty surrounding the implementation and potential scope of such policies, created a perfect storm for volatility. Algorithmic systems, programmed based on historical correlations and data, struggled to navigate a potential regime shift driven by policy pronouncements. Human traders, facing heightened risk and uncertainty, became more cautious. Liquidity providers, facing the risk of being adversely selected (i.e., only trading when the market is about to move sharply against them), drastically reduced their exposure. The Impact: Beyond the Trading Desks The evaporation of liquidity has real-world consequences: • Increased Transaction Costs: Corporates needing to hedge currency exposure for international trade face higher costs (wider spreads). • Execution Risk: Asset managers rebalancing global portfolios find it harder and more expensive to execute large trades, potentially suffering significant slippage (the difference between the expected execution price and the actual price). • Systemic Risk: In highly leveraged markets, poor liquidity can exacerbate sell-offs. Margin calls, as reportedly seen alongside the tariff news, can force leveraged players to liquidate positions rapidly into an illiquid market, potentially triggering a domino effect. The temporary pause in the tariff implementation announced subsequently provided some relief, likely allowing liquidity to recover partially from the extreme lows. However, the underlying uncertainty hasn't disappeared. Until there is greater clarity on the future direction of US trade policy, the FX market is likely to remain susceptible to bouts of nervousness and reduced liquidity. Should You Long EUR/USD Based on This? A Cautious No. While the liquidity situation is dire and reflects significant market stress, using poor FX liquidity itself as a primary reason to take a directional view, such as longing EUR/USD, is generally flawed logic. Here's why: 1. Liquidity is Not Direction: Market liquidity reflects the ease and cost of transacting, not necessarily the fundamental direction of an asset price. Poor liquidity is a symptom of high volatility, uncertainty, and risk aversion. While these factors can influence currency direction (e.g., risk aversion often benefits perceived safe-haven currencies), the liquidity state itself isn't the driver. Both buyers and sellers face the same poor liquidity. 2. Universal Impact: The reported liquidity crunch affected the global spot FX market. While specific pairs might have been hit harder at times, the underlying issue was broad-based risk aversion and dealer pullback, impacting EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and others. It doesn't inherently favor the Euro over the Dollar. 3. Focus on Fundamentals and Sentiment: A decision to long EUR/USD should be based on a broader analysis of: o Relative Monetary Policy: Expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB) versus the US Federal Reserve (Fed). o Economic Outlook: Growth prospects in the Eurozone versus the United States. o Risk Sentiment: Is the broader market mood risk-on (often favoring EUR) or risk-off (which can sometimes favor USD, though the tariff news complicated this)? o Tariff Impact Analysis: How would the proposed tariffs, if implemented, differentially impact the Eurozone and US economies? Would potential EU retaliation harm the US more, or vice-versa? 4. Increased Trading Risk: Poor liquidity makes any trade riskier and more expensive. Spreads are wider, meaning entry and exit costs are higher. Slippage on stop-loss orders or take-profit orders is more likely. Executing large sizes is challenging. Therefore, even if you have a strong fundamental view to long EUR/USD, the current liquidity environment makes executing and managing that trade significantly more difficult and costly. Conclusion The recent seizure in FX liquidity, reportedly surpassing the severity seen during the Covid crisis onset, underscores the market's extreme sensitivity to geopolitical and policy uncertainty. The threat of sweeping tariffs injected a level of unpredictability that forced liquidity providers to retreat, even amidst high trading volumes. While the temporary pause offers breathing room, the fragility remains. For traders, this environment demands heightened caution, smaller position sizes, and wider stop-losses. Critically, basing directional trades like longing EUR/USD solely on the state of market liquidity is misguided. Such decisions must stem from a thorough analysis of economic fundamentals, policy outlooks, and risk sentiment, while acknowledging that poor liquidity significantly raises the cost and risk of executing any strategy.
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSD TARGET COMPLETE Market Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 10, 2025 Price Action Overview: - Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating between 79,161 and 81,520, with price action forming within this range. A move to 79,161 has been achieved, completing the target and fulfilling the bearish target outlined earlier. - BTC seems to be struggling around 81,500, and is showing potential signs of exhaustion at the upper end of the range near the resistance zone. Key Levels to Watch: 1. Resistance Zone (Red Box): - The resistance level is clearly marked near 82,000 and 81,500, with price struggling to break above this level. If Bitcoin fails to break out of this resistance zone, the price could reverse towards support levels. - The upper resistance zone remains a key level… ChatGPT: - An FVG (Fair Value Gap) is evident in the 79,161 to 78,500 region. This could act as an area to fill, and could potentially see price retracement or sideways consolidation before a possible move up. Market Structure Analysis: - Bearish Trend: Bitcoin's price has been on a downward trend forming a descending triangle, indicating bearish sentiment. - Breakout Potential: A breakout from the current consolidation zone will be important. Bitcoin will likely test 79,161 again. If it fails to hold support, further downside may be possible. Volume & Momentum: - Volume: The volume analysis shows increasing buying volume at lower levels, suggesting potential support around 79,161. However, the volume is diminishing at resistance levels, which indicates that bullish…
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
USOIL Oil – April 10, 2025 Price Action & Trend Analysis: - Current Market Position: - WTI Crude Oil is showing a bearish trend within a falling wedge pattern, a technical formation that often signals a potential breakout after consolidation. This pattern is visible with converging trendlines (blue), which suggest a potential move to the downside. - The resistance zone is marked at 61.50, and the price is struggling to break above this level. If it does not break out of this level, further downside momentum may be expected. Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zone: - The resistance level is clearly marked near 61.50, and price action has repeatedly struggled to move above this level, showing signs of rejection. A failure to break this l… ChatGPT: 4. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 58.12, which indicates a possible area of imbalance where price could potentially retrace to fill the gap before moving in its next direction. Volume Analysis: - The volume profile indicates decreasing volume as the price approaches the resistance zone at 61.50, which may suggest a weakening of bullish momentum. - The increasing volume near the support level at 58.00 suggests that buyers are looking to step in at these levels, but this remains to be seen as the price moves toward this region. Key Observations: - The bearish divergence observed between price and momentum suggests that bearish pressure is mounting, especially with the price failing to breach resistance and forming lower highs. - T
TVC:USOILShort
by EXPERT117Ai