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EUR/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup Double-Top RejectionThe chart indicates a potential bearish reversal setup following the rejection from a key resistance zone. The presence of bearish signals, such as the double-top formation and a break of structure (BOS), aligns with the bearish outlook on the higher timeframes (4H and 1D). The trade setup highlights multiple profit levels, emphasizing a controlled risk-to-reward strategy. Key Observations 1. Resistance Zone: Price has been rejected at 165.304, forming a potential double-top pattern. 2. Break of Structure (BOS): A bearish signal confirming downside pressure. 3. Entry Zone: The short trade is initiated near 164.229, just below the resistance. 4. Stop-Loss: Positioned at 165.304, above the rejection zone, ensuring limited risk. 5. Take-Profit Levels: First target: 163.955. Second target: 163.154. Final target: 162.080, aligning with a significant support area. Strategic Implications Bearish Confirmation: Watch for sustained bearish momentum below the BOS level to validate the setup. Risk Management: Maintain a tight stop-loss at 165.304 to avoid excessive losses. Profit Targets: Consider partial profit-taking at intermediate levels for secure gains. This setup aligns well with the bearish structure on the higher timeframes. However, traders should remain cautious of potential reversals if the price fails to maintain momentum below the entry zone.
Short
by wolfchemist
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan --- Trade Setup Overview: - Instrument: EURUSD - Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG. - Technical Confluences: - Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals. - Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum. - Risk Management: - My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice). - Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 - Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss. --- Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long: 1. US Interest Rate Dynamics: - Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength. - However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength. - Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper. 2. Eurozone Economic Factors: - Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR. - Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery. 3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes: - The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones. - Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long. --- Personal Notes: This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice. Good luck and trade safely!
Long
by Fondera
EURUSD Analysis==>>Pumping Soon!?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and an Important Support line . According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , so we should expect bullish waves soon . Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.049 AFTER the Downtrend line is broken , and if the Resistance zone($1.040-$1.022) is broken, we have to wait for further increases . ⚠️Note: If EURUSD breaks the Important Support line, we can also expect the break of the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022).⚠️ Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
9
The Market Never Sleeps, and Neither Should Your Edge!Check this out, folks: The chart is looking like a bull’s playground 🐂 with more flags than an Olympic opening ceremony! 🏳️‍🌈 Let's break it down: 📈 Trend On Fire: Those sharp orange lines? That’s the market saying, “Pullbacks? Sure. But I’m not done climbing!” It’s a stairway to profits, baby! 💸 ☕ Cup and Handle Brewing: See that big, juicy magenta cup? 🍵 This chart’s serving up a potential breakout recipe: a little consolidation, a lot of momentum, and maybe a moonshot. 🌕 🤔 But Wait, There’s More: The top triangle is throwing shade like, “I’m running out of steam.” ⚡ Could this be a fakeout before a shakeout? Or just the market catching its breath? Time will tell! ⏳ 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Breakout above consolidation = 🚀 to new highs. Failure? It’s time to re-test the base. 🛑 🔥 Remember, the market rewards the prepared, not the hopeful. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and always trade with an edge. Let’s crush it, fam! 💪 #RoadToAMillion #BullishAF #CupAndHandle #GeorgeKnowsGraphs 🎄✨
Long
by RoadToAMillionClub
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal. Gold confirm signal Gold now sell 2629 Target 2580 From a technical perspective, the recent recovery from a one-month low, along an ascending channel, constitutes the formation of a bearish flag pattern on hourly charts. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is downward. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the channel support, currently pegged around the $2,605-$2,600 area, before positioning for any further depreciating move. Xauusd sell signal
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JohnHarry_7
12
Gold is still in a long term uptrend.At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future. Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year. According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation. This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term. Multinational investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that demand for gold will remain strong as central banks seek to diversify their reserves, especially after Russia's assets are frozen in 2022. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2607 - 2609🔥 💵 TP1: 2600 💵 TP2: 2590 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2615
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster