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EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan --- Trade Setup Overview: - Instrument: EURUSD - Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG. - Technical Confluences: - Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals. - Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum. - Risk Management: - My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice). - Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 - Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss. --- Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long: 1. US Interest Rate Dynamics: - Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength. - However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength. - Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper. 2. Eurozone Economic Factors: - Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR. - Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery. 3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes: - The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones. - Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long. --- Personal Notes: This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice. Good luck and trade safely!
Long
by Fondera
EURUSD Analysis==>>Pumping Soon!?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and an Important Support line . According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , so we should expect bullish waves soon . Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.049 AFTER the Downtrend line is broken , and if the Resistance zone($1.040-$1.022) is broken, we have to wait for further increases . ⚠️Note: If EURUSD breaks the Important Support line, we can also expect the break of the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022).⚠️ Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
9
The Market Never Sleeps, and Neither Should Your Edge!Check this out, folks: The chart is looking like a bull’s playground 🐂 with more flags than an Olympic opening ceremony! 🏳️‍🌈 Let's break it down: 📈 Trend On Fire: Those sharp orange lines? That’s the market saying, “Pullbacks? Sure. But I’m not done climbing!” It’s a stairway to profits, baby! 💸 ☕ Cup and Handle Brewing: See that big, juicy magenta cup? 🍵 This chart’s serving up a potential breakout recipe: a little consolidation, a lot of momentum, and maybe a moonshot. 🌕 🤔 But Wait, There’s More: The top triangle is throwing shade like, “I’m running out of steam.” ⚡ Could this be a fakeout before a shakeout? Or just the market catching its breath? Time will tell! ⏳ 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Breakout above consolidation = 🚀 to new highs. Failure? It’s time to re-test the base. 🛑 🔥 Remember, the market rewards the prepared, not the hopeful. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and always trade with an edge. Let’s crush it, fam! 💪 #RoadToAMillion #BullishAF #CupAndHandle #GeorgeKnowsGraphs 🎄✨
Long
by RoadToAMillionClub
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal. Gold confirm signal Gold now sell 2629 Target 2580 From a technical perspective, the recent recovery from a one-month low, along an ascending channel, constitutes the formation of a bearish flag pattern on hourly charts. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is downward. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a convincing break below the channel support, currently pegged around the $2,605-$2,600 area, before positioning for any further depreciating move. Xauusd sell signal
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JohnHarry_7
12
Gold is still in a long term uptrend.At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future. Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year. According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation. This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term. Multinational investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that demand for gold will remain strong as central banks seek to diversify their reserves, especially after Russia's assets are frozen in 2022. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2607 - 2609🔥 💵 TP1: 2600 💵 TP2: 2590 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2615
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Downward Pressure Persists as Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike HopeHey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:CADJPY continue its bearish trend? Let’s Dive In.... In the H4 timeframe, CADJPY has broken out of a distribution phase as it continues to move below the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 line. The pair also formed a Rising Wedge pattern, followed by an impulsive breakout, which strongly indicates the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. Further confirming this outlook, the MACD momentum indicator has signaled a bearish crossover, strengthening our bearish hypothesis. Given these technical factors, we anticipate a potential downward movement toward the nearest historical support area (Target 1) at 105.955. After reaching this level, we foresee a minor correction back to the green zone before the pair resumes its bearish journey to the second target at 104.902. However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price holds resistance below the critical stop-loss level at 108.976. Fundamental Reason Supporting Yen Strength: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is signaling further rate hikes as economic data, including wage growth and inflation, align with its projections. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently suggested that another rate hike is "nearing," citing steady progress in economic conditions. This hawkish stance further supports the bearish outlook on CADJPY, as a stronger yen typically exerts downward pressure on the pair. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY".
Short
by financialfreedomgoals101
Could the Cable reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.2617 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.2523 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.2731 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
World gold prices decrease when the USD increasesWorld gold prices fell more than 1% on Thursday as investors rushed to take profits after prices hit a 5-week high. "Gold still has an upward trend. However, last night's decline may have occurred because investors sold to take profits ahead of next week's meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED)" - Zain Vawda - analyst market analysis at MarketPulse commented. This expert believes that the market is shifting its focus to next year's interest rate plan from the FED. This will determine the sustainability of the current uptrend. According to the CME FedWatch interest rate tracking tool, investors currently forecast a 98% probability of the FED cutting interest rates in December. In its "2025 Outlook" report released on Thursday, the World Gold Council (WGC) said the gold market will face two distinct scenarios next year as uncertainty dominates investor sentiment. . However, their base case predicts gold prices will move relatively neutrally if current market conditions continue. “The market consensus is that macroeconomic variables such as GDP, yields and inflation, if viewed in simple terms, suggest that gold will have positive but modest growth in 2025. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥 💵 TP1: 2680 💵 TP2: 2670 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2710
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster