Forexsignal
#CHFJPY 1 DAYCHfjpy Daily Analysis: Buy Opportunity on Downtrend Breakout
Overview:
The CHF/JPY currency pair has been exhibiting a consistent downtrend, presenting a potential buying opportunity should it break out of this downward trajectory. Traders should closely monitor price action for signs of reversal.
Key Levels:
Resistance Level: Identify key resistance levels above the current price where a breakout might occur.
Support Level: Monitor existing support levels to assess potential bounce points.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Lines: Draw trend lines to visualize the downtrend. A breakout above this line would signal a shift in momentum.
Moving Averages:Use short-term and long-term moving averages to confirm bullish sentiment post-breakout.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position if the price closes above the downtrend line with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the most recent swing low to manage risk.
Take Profit: Aim for recent highs or key resistance levels for profit targets.
Conclusion:
A breakout from the current downtrend could provide a lucrative buying opportunity for CHF/JPY. Stay vigilant for confirmation signals before entering the trade, and ensure proper risk management practices are in place.
EURUSD → get a long positionhello guys.
as you can see the eurusd breakout the ascending channel and the last high!
this position is based on a solid breaksout and if the stop loss touched then it means the breakout was a hunting!
entry level= 1.1048
stoploss=1.0950
target1=1.1131
target2=1.115
atrget3=1.1268
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OfficialKieranTrewick | XAUUSD 2HR Analysis | 3000? All time high crazy! Charting new territory the precious metal is at it again, starting the week with a suitable correction down to the previous 25% quarter level and dynamic support whilst creating a fresh higher low before the latter week ascent that broke through the 3 day resistance pivot level and into the 2600s where it just continued pushing until market close on friday evening.
Whilst it just undercut the new 75% quarter level because of the close I can see that price slowed down upon reaching the dynamic resistance level and quarter level of 2525 indicating that we could see another correction down to 25% and the key pivot zone identified which aligns with both dynamic support lines before continuing its ascent into the upper 2600s.
Due to the recent bullish momentum it is important that we follow price and trade with the confirmations that are created not chase what we want to happen, basically meaning price can still go up before any correction happens and analysis is a footprint to possibility not something to be traded based on but something to be used as a toolbelt essentially giving us a list of confirmations that can increase the probability of a trade that of which can always change.
If you like this idea please drop a like and share it with your friends so they too can be in the loop with golds potential movements in the coming week.
Analysis Conducted by OfficialKieranTrewick
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAGUSD Daily Analysis: Buy Opportunity on Trendline Breakout
The silver market (XAGUSD) is currently presenting a compelling buy opportunity following a significant trendline breakout. This technical development suggests a potential shift in market sentiment and upward momentum.
1.Trendline Breakout: The price has decisively broken above the established downward trendline, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. This breakout typically indicates the possibility of a sustained upward movement.
2.Confirmation Indicators: The breakout is supported by increased trading volume, which reinforces the strength of this move. A closing candle above the trendline further validates the bullish outlook.
3.Support Levels: The previous resistance level is now acting as a support zone, providing a safety net for buyers entering at this point.
4.Technical Indicators: Momentum indicators, such as the RSI, are moving toward overbought territory, while the MACD is showing a bullish crossover, suggesting that momentum is building.
5.Market Sentiment: Positive economic developments and increased demand for silver in industrial applications contribute to the favorable outlook. Additionally, geopolitical tensions may drive safe-haven buying.
Conclusion
With the trendline breakout signaling a shift in momentum, a buy opportunity in XAGUSD looks promising. Traders should consider entering positions with a stop-loss just below the breakout level to manage risk effectively. Keep an eye on economic data releases and market developments that may impact silver prices.
$EURGBP | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price action is bounced off an Interest Zone and created a newer low
Price is breaking through a support trendline
To note, Stochastics is moving into Oversold conditions but fundamentally, there is support for OANDA:EURGBP to be weaker
Fundamental Confluences:
This FX pair is a trade-related pair and normally doesn't move much against one another unless there is a change in fiscal or monetary front
In this sense, we got a gauge of how both central banks, ECB and BOE stance are. ECB is taking on a data dependent stance and is trying to resist cutting interest rates while BOE sent out a hawkish note the other day that majority of them do not want to cut rates
Naturally from a yield perspective, holding GBP compared to EUR is more attractive and this is what we are aiming for.
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Will be taking on a short OANDA:EURGBP position when market reopens on Monday.
This trade may take some time to complete as it there is normally not much action with this pair except during London's trading hours.
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#USDCHF 1DAYUSD/CHF 1-Day Analysis: Buy Opportunity
The USD/CHF pair is currently positioned for a potential buy opportunity as it approaches a key trendline. A breakout above this trendline could signal a bullish momentum, suggesting that the price may continue to rise.
Key Levels to Watch:
Trendline Resistance: Monitor the trendline for a breakout confirmation.
Support Levels: Keep an eye on nearby support levels for potential reversal points if the breakout does not materialize.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position once the price successfully breaks above the trendline with strong volume.
Stop Loss; Set a stop loss just below the trendline to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target previous resistance levels for profit-taking opportunities.
Overall, the market sentiment appears favorable for a bullish move, making it an opportune time to consider long positions on the USD/CHF pair if the breakout occurs. Always ensure to conduct thorough analysis and risk management before executing trades.
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAU/USD Daily Analysis: Sell Opportunity
Market Overview:
The XAU/USD pair is presenting a notable sell opportunity at the $2,600 level. As gold prices approach this resistance point, several technical indicators suggest a potential downward move, making this an ideal entry for short positions.
Technical Analysis:
1Resistance Level: The $2,600 mark has historically proven to be a significant resistance zone, with recent attempts to breach it resulting in price reversals.
2.Moving Averages:The price is currently below the 50-day moving average, which is trending downward, indicating bearish momentum in the market.
3.Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought conditions, suggesting that upward pressure may be waning, further supporting a potential decline.
Market Sentiment:
The broader market sentiment is leaning bearish for gold, driven by factors such as rising interest rates and a strengthening US dollar. These conditions typically exert downward pressure on precious metals.
Strategy:
Sell Level: Enter short positions at $2,600.
Target Levels:
Primary target at $2,550, where significant support has been previously identified.
Secondary target at $2,450, aligning with lower support zones and providing an opportunity for further gains if momentum continues.
Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss order above $2,620 to protect against adverse price movements.
Conclusion:
With strong resistance at $2,600, bearish technical signals, and unfavorable market sentiment, the XAU/USD pair presents a compelling sell opportunity. Traders should closely monitor price action and adjust their strategies as needed to maximize potential returns.
#USDCAD 1DAYUSDCAD Daily Analysis: Uptrend and Buy Opportunity
The USDCAD currency pair is currently displaying a strong upward trend, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action indicates that the pair is gaining momentum, driven by positive economic data from the U.S. and supportive factors from the Canadian economy.
Key Indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is positioned above the 200-day moving average, confirming the bullish trend.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upwards but remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting room for further gains.
Support Levels: Recent pullbacks have respected key support levels, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement.
Market Sentiment:
Investor sentiment is leaning towards bullishness, with increased demand for the U.S. dollar amid a stable economic outlook. Additionally, any shifts in oil prices can influence the CAD, but currently, the technical setup favors a continued upward trajectory.
Buy Opportunity:
Traders looking to capitalize on this uptrend should consider entering long positions on pullbacks to key support levels, ideally in conjunction with positive market news or economic releases. Targeting previous resistance levels can provide a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Overall, the USDCAD pair presents a promising buy opportunity for traders looking to align with the prevailing uptrend.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100)If the Federal Reserve decides to implement a 50 basis point cut, it can often lead to a positive market reaction, particularly in technology-focused indices like the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100). However, predicting the exact magnitude of the movement is challenging as it can vary based on various factors, including:1. **Market Sentiment**: If the market perceives the rate cut as a strong signal of support for economic growth, NAS100 could see a notable rally.
2. **Investor Reactions**: Traders might react differently based on their expectations before the announcement. If the cut was anticipated, the immediate reaction might be muted, as much of the effect could have already been priced in.
3. **Additional Factors**: Other influences such as earnings reports from tech companies, inflation data, or global economic conditions can also affect how NAS100 responds post-announcement.
In general, historically, significant rate cuts have led to positive movements in indices like the NAS100, potentially allowing for gains in the range of 1-3% on the day of the announcement. However, actual outcomes will depend on the factors mentioned above and cannot be guaranteed. It’s always wise to consider volatility and other market conditions when investing.
#SUSHIUSD 1 DAYSUSHIUSD 1-Day Analysis: Uptrend & Buy Opportunity
The SUSHIUSD pair is currently showing a robust upward trend on the daily chart, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recent price action suggests a solid support level has formed, providing a favorable entry point for potential buyers. Key indicators, including moving averages and RSI, further reinforce the uptrend, signaling increasing buying interest.
Market sentiment appears positive, driven by recent developments in the DeFi space and increased user engagement on the SushiSwap platform. This favorable environment presents a compelling buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential price appreciation.
As always, it’s crucial to consider risk management strategies and stay updated on market news to make informed decisions.
XAU/USD (gold)The impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on XAU/USD (gold) can vary depending on the size of the cut and the market's perception of the Fed's intentions. Here’s how each scenario might influence gold prices:1. **50 Basis Point Cut**:
- **Likely Impact**: A larger cut typically leads to a weaker U.S. dollar as lower interest rates decrease the yield on dollar-denominated assets. This could make gold, which is priced in dollars, more attractive to international buyers, potentially driving up its price.
- **Market Sentiment**: If the market interprets the cut as a strong commitment to economic growth and easing inflation fears, gold might rally as investors seek safe-haven assets in response to economic uncertainty.
2. **25 Basis Point Cut**:
- **Likely Impact**: While a smaller cut might still lead to some weakening of the dollar, it may not have as pronounced an effect on gold prices compared to a larger cut. If the market views this as a cautious approach by the Fed, it could lead to mixed reactions for gold.
- **Market Sentiment**: A 25 basis point cut might be interpreted as the Fed being more measured in its approach, potentially leading to limited upward movement in gold prices. However, if the messaging from Powell is dovish, indicating more cuts could follow based on future economic data, that could still provide support for gold.
### Summary:
- **General Expectation**: If the Fed opts for a 50 basis point cut, XAU/USD would likely see upward pressure. A 25 basis point cut may result in less significant movement, but the accompanying tone and outlook on future policy will be key in determining gold's direction.
- **Investor Behavior**: Regardless of the rate cut magnitude, the overall market sentiment and investor behavior will play a crucial role. If concerns about inflation or economic stability increase, demand for gold could rise irrespective of the rate cut size.
In conclusion, both scenarios can lead to upward movement in XAU/USD, but the scale of that movement will depend heavily on the Fed's communication and the market's interpretation of the broader economic implications following the announcement.
#AUDJPY 4HAUD/JPY 4H Forecast: Sell Signal
Market Overview:
The AUD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a downtrend on the 4-hour chart, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum suggests that sellers are in control, creating potential opportunities for short positions.
Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-period and 200-period moving averages are both sloping downward, reinforcing the downtrend.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index is trending below 50, indicating bearish momentum and the potential for further downside.
MACD: The MACD histogram is negative, and the MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming the bearish sentiment.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Look for resistance around recent highs, approximately 93.00, which could act as a potential entry point for sell orders.
Support: Key support levels are identified around 91.50. A break below this level could accelerate the downtrend.
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a sell position around the 93.00 resistance level or upon a confirmation of a break below the 91.50 support.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent high (around 93.50) to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target the next support level at approximately 90.50 for potential profit taking.
Conclusion:
With the prevailing downtrend, technical indicators favor a bearish outlook for AUD/JPY. Monitor price action closely for opportunities to enter short positions while maintaining a disciplined risk management approach.
#EURCHF 4HEUR/CHF 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy Opportunity
Overview
The EUR/CHF currency pair has recently experienced a significant technical event on the 4-hour chart: a trendline break. This development presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the shift in market dynamics.
Key Observations:
Trendline Break: The pair has breached a key descending trendline that had been guiding the price movement lower. This break suggests a potential reversal or at least a pause in the downtrend, opening up possibilities for upward movement.
Market Sentiment: The trendline break often indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This can attract buying interest and result in upward price momentum.
Confirmation: For a more reliable trade signal, look for confirmation through increased trading volume or additional technical indicators such as RSI or moving averages that support the bullish scenario.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position around the current price level or on a slight pullback to the broken trendline, which might now act as a support zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order below the recent swing low or the trendline to manage risk in case the market does not follow through on the bullish signal.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels or use technical tools to set profit targets. The next significant resistance might be found at previous highs or psychological levels.
Conclusion
The break of the 4-hour trendline in the EUR/CHF pair indicates a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals and manage their risk accordingly. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that might impact the EUR/CHF pair to adjust your strategy as needed.
Xauusd sell Gold trades in a narrow range above $2,580 after touching a new record-high near $2,590 earlier in the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds above 3.6% ahead of the Fed meeting and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to find direction.
Gold now sell 2581
Support 2550
Resistance 2600
In the event of a correction, firm support lies at $2,550, $2,544 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the September rally), and $2,530 (former range high).
#XAUUSD 15MINOn the lower timeframes, I’m personally looking for a buying opportunity around the support zone of 2580.00 to 2578.00.
Targets: 2585.00 / 2590.00
Avoid placing advance orders for now. Wait for solid bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
Keep in mind, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, stay away from buying.
#XAUUSD
#XAUUSD 1HBased on the 1-hour analysis, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, we should consider selling opportunities.
The 2585.00 to 2587.00 range is a key zone for our sellers.
However, avoid placing any advance orders at this time. Wait for strong bearish confirmation before entering a trade.
#XAUUSD
EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial..EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial Fed Decision
The EUR/USD pair began the week with positive momentum, hovering around the 1.1000 mark ahead of the London session on Monday. Investors are keeping a close eye on the upcoming US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision, which is expected to have a significant impact on the market later this week. The key question remains: will the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points (bps), or will it take a more aggressive approach and reduce rates by 50 bps?
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds are nearly split, with a 48.0% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. The market's indecision reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move as economic conditions remain mixed. While inflation data has shown signs of cooling, other indicators point to a resilient economy, leaving investors to speculate on the extent of monetary easing that may be announced.
All eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide crucial insights into the central bank's future stance on interest rates. Should Powell signal a more aggressive easing approach, it could weigh heavily on the US Dollar, potentially pushing the EUR/USD higher. Conversely, a more cautious outlook could lead to a stronger dollar, capping any further gains for the euro.
From a technical perspective, the week begins with little change in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders are still overwhelmingly long on the euro. In fact, retailer positioning is at its highest point since August 2023, signaling a potential reversal opportunity for contrarian traders. As the EUR/USD approaches a key supply area, a retest could trigger a pullback, with the price poised to drop if the supply zone holds.
Given the heavy retail interest in long positions, we are looking for a short setup in the EUR/USD. A pullback from the current levels, especially around the supply area, could offer an attractive opportunity for bears. With the market bracing for the Fed's policy decision and retail traders heavily invested in long positions, the coming days could provide pivotal moments for the EUR/USD pair.
As the week unfolds, the Fed's policy signals will be key to determining the next directional move for the EUR/USD. For now, traders should remain cautious and watch for any shifts in sentiment as the market digests the Fed's decision and the FOMC press conference.
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XAUUSD BUY market opening analysis As Gold prices continue their support area 2565_2560 target 2600
Gold selling area 2600 it target 2540_2520 unstoppable run higher scaling new all-time record highs for a fourth consecutive quarter in a row conclusive evidence shows that we are just in the early stages of a new historic Supercycle for Gold
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week.
The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain.
On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD.
🕯Technical Analysis
After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118
BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
#DXY 4H On the 4-hour chart (4H) of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), the price is currently in a downtrend, indicating a strong sell opportunity.
Sell Levels: 101.200 - 101.500
The price has reached a potential selling zone between 101.200 and 101.500, which is acting as a resistance range in the current bearish trend. This is a strategic area to consider short positions as the market may struggle to break above this level.
Target Level: 99.500
The expected downside target for this move is around 99.500, a key support area where the price might find some buying interest or consolidation after the bearish move.
Key Factors:
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the price action.
Resistance: The price faces strong selling pressure near 101.200-101.500.
Momentum: Indicators like RSI and moving averages suggest the trend is firmly bearish, with room to fall toward the 99.500 support.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Look for short entries near the 101.200-101.500 range.
Target: Aim for the 99.500 level as the profit target.
Stop-loss: Consider placing a stop-loss above 101.500 to manage risk effectively.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in line with the ongoing downtrend.
FOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using RisologicalFOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using Risological
Nice forex trade (NZDUSD) on Risological.
All long trade targets done nicely on the 15m time frame.
The Trailing stop is at 0.61645, so, small portion of the trade is still open for further upward profits.
If the price closes (15m candle close) below the Risological trend line - the dotted line acting as trailing stop, that will be the sign of trend reversal and we will look at fresh short position.
Thanks and all the best.
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