Market next move . False Breakout Risk (Bull Trap)
While the chart suggests an impending breakout, the market may be setting a bull trap:
Watch for a brief move above the consolidation zone that quickly reverses.
This could lure in buyers before a sharp downturn.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction
Volume in the consolidation box seems to be decreasing.
A strong breakout typically needs a volume surge, which is currently absent.
Lack of commitment from buyers might suggest indecision or exhaustion.
3. Bearish Divergence Possibility
If you overlay an RSI or MACD indicator:
It might show bearish divergence (price making higher highs, indicator making lower highs).
This often precedes reversals.
4. Key Resistance Ahead
The area just above the consolidation box (around 3,320–3,340) could act as strong resistance based on historical price action.
Price might reject this zone rather than continue higher.
5. Fundamental Risks
Upcoming U.S. economic data (as hinted by the U.S. icon on the chart) may trigger unexpected volatility.
Hawkish Fed tone or strong dollar news could push gold down unexpectedly.
Forexsignals
AUDCHF: Bearish Reversal Confirmed! 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF may return to a global bearish trend.
A breakout of a support line of a rising parallel channel,
bearish CHoCH and a lower high on a daily indicate a changing market sentiment.
I think that the pair may drop lower soon.
Goal - 0.53
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EURUSD time for correctionMonthly
On the monthly timeframe, we came to the Premium zone and captured Monthly Fractal High, where previously there was predominance from the sell side.
Weekly
Price has formed a Weekly FVG, indicating strong dominance from the buy side. However, it is important to understand WHERE this has led us ? The current quotes are interesting for sellers. Hence, we should assume that the price may receive a counter offer from the sell side. It is logical to assume potential points A and B in this context.
Daily
Price has formed primary signs of change in the price delivery state:
- Bullish PD Array disrespecting
- BISI forming
- CISD forming
All this indicates a shift of initiative to the selling side, so it is logical to expect a continuation of the downward movement after interaction with the marked PD Array.
Also, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the price is within the Inside Bar for the 3rd day already. This means that recently the price has been held within the same values, which indicates a balance of power between buyers and sellers at the current quotes. In such a situation, all we have to do is to find the optimal area to continue the downward price formation.
EUR/CAD Bearish Reversal Setuphello Trader
what are your thoughts on eurcad.
Enrty: 1.59-1.60
stop loss 1.61
take profit 1.50
Analysis:
Key Resistance Zone: The red-highlighted area around 1.5800 marks a strong resistance zone where price previously faced rejection.
Double-Top Formation: A potential double-top pattern is forming, indicating a bearish reversal.
Bearish Projection: The blue trend lines suggest a downward move after a possible retest of the resistance area.
Support Levels: The marked horizontal blue lines at 1.5581, 1.5411, 1.5269, 1.5151, and 1.4977 represent key support levels where price might react.
Target Area: The projected move suggests a decline towards the 1.5151 level, with further downside potential toward 1.4977.
EURGBP Potential Bullish Reversal OpportunityEURGBP price action seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish Reversal on the shorter timeframes if the price action forms (and sustains) a credible Higher High with multiple confluences from key Fibonacci and Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 0.8459
Stop Loss @ 0.8375
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 0.8534 - 0.8540
GBPCHF: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇨🇭
I think that there is a high probability that GBPCHF
will pull back from a rising trend line on a daily.
As a confirmation, I spotted a bullish engulfing candle
after its test on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.1085
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Market next move
Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis:
1. Support Weakness:
The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure.
A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis.
2. Exhaustion Signals:
After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion.
The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline.
3. Decreasing Volume:
Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers.
Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure.
4. Failed Breakout Setup:
If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting.
5. Macroeconomic Headwinds:
GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
EUR/USD – Fair Value Gap Filled, Market Eyes Higher HighsThe EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe is showing a well-formed Elliott Wave pattern. We've seen a clear 5-wave move to the upside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. This correction seems to have completed, with wave C ending right at a strong support area.
It's the lower trendline of the rising channel formed during the 5-wave impulse.
It's also where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has just been filled — an area where price previously moved too quickly and is now finding balance.
T1: 1.12355
T2: 1.13072
SL: 1.10468
Market next move
Bearish Disruption to the EUR/USD Analysis:
1. Strong Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Price is struggling to hold above the resistance area. Several candles have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure.
This may form a double-top or even a bull trap.
2. Volume Anomaly:
The upward price move shows decreasing volume, which is a classic signal of weak momentum. Without increasing volume, breakouts often fail.
3. Overextended Rally:
The pair has already made a sharp move up from below 1.1300 to near 1.1340. This type of parabolic move can lead to a snapback correction.
If bulls cannot decisively break resistance soon, profit-taking may trigger a short-term retracement.
4. Bearish Divergence Potential:
If RSI or MACD indicators are available, watch for bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while indicators make lower highs). This would reinforce downside risk.
5. Fundamental Pressure:
If any upcoming U.S. economic data (like PMI, FOMC minutes, etc.) is strong, it could boost USD and push EUR/USD down from this resistance.
Market next move Bearish Counter-Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone Saturation:
The red box shows repeated tests of the resistance area around $33.14–$33.20. This can suggest exhaustion instead of momentum.
Multiple failed attempts to break this zone can result in bearish rejection.
2. Volume Divergence:
The volume appears to be declining even as price approaches resistance. This divergence can imply a lack of buyer strength, which is a red flag for a bullish continuation.
3. Possible Bull Trap:
A sharp move above resistance followed by a quick drop back inside (false breakout) could trap long traders.
This may be followed by a sharp sell-off toward the previous support level (~$32.60–$32.80).
4. Candlestick Patterns:
Watch closely for bearish candlestick patterns like doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing in the red box. Their appearance would strengthen a bearish reversal case.
5. MACD/RSI (if available):
If the RSI is overbought or MACD shows a bearish crossover, it would reinforce the possibility of a downward retracement.
GOLD BUY NOW STRONG BULLISH NEXT MOVE1. Double Top Resistance
The chart identifies a "double top" near the current level. This is typically a strong bearish reversal pattern.
If price fails to convincingly break above this level (around 3,310–3,320), it may indicate a loss of bullish momentum.
2. Overextended Move
Recent candles show a steep rally (notably the 3.03 move), which may be overbought on lower timeframes (e.g., RSI likely >70).
Parabolic moves are often followed by sharp corrections.
3. Support Cluster Vulnerability
The red shaded support zones could act as liquidity traps. If price dips into those zones and fails to bounce, it may trigger sell-offs.
Especially the zone just below the current price — if broken — could accelerate downside toward the "Strong Support Area" around 3,270.
4. False Breakout Risk
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
"Dare to Swipe EUR/USD Gains with Our Risky Heist Blueprint?"Ultimate EUR/USD Heist Plan: Snag Profits with the Thief Trading Strategy! 🚀💰
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📈 Entry: Storm the Vault!
The market’s ripe for a bullish grab! 💥 Place buy limit orders within the most recent 15 or 30-minute swing low/high levels. Set alerts on your chart to stay locked in. 🔔
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot!
Set your Thief SL at the nearest swing low on the 4H timeframe for day/swing trades. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Safety first! 🔒
🎯 Targets: Claim Your Prize!
🏴☠️ Short-Term Target: 1.14700
🏴☠️ Long-Term Target: 1.17000
👀 Scalpers, Listen Up!
Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Jump in now! Otherwise, join swing traders for the heist. Use trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect your stash. 💰
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⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can shake the market like a heist gone wrong! 🗞️ To protect your profits:
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Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Weak Breakout Confirmation:
Although price broke above the red consolidation zone, it quickly pulled back within the range, suggesting a false breakout or bull trap.
The current red candle closing back into the range hints at bullish exhaustion.
2. Volume Divergence:
Note the declining volume on the recent upward push compared to the initial breakout on the 20th.
Lower volume during a breakout typically signals lack of conviction, weakening the bullish case.
3. Resistance Cluster:
The price is stalling just above the 3306 level — possibly facing resistance from previous highs or round-number psychological resistance.
Bears may take control if price fails to hold above 3300.
4. Potential Bearish Scenario:
Price re-enters the consolidation range and breaks below it.
Target zones could be:
3,290 (local support from the range base)
3,270 (previous minor support)
Further down toward 3,250 if momentum builds.
CADCHF: Pullback From Support 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance to see a pullback from the underlined
daily horizontal support on CADCHF.
A formation of a high momentum bullish candle
after its test and a consolidation on an hourly time frame confirms
the strength of the buyers.
Goal - 0.595
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USDCHFUSDCHF If the price can still stay above 0.81888, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GBP/USD Cable Heist:Join the Thief Trading Style to Raid Profit!GBP/USD Cable Heist Plan - Thief Trading Style 😎💸
Greetings, wealth chasers and market bandits! 👋💰
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Entry 📈: The heist begins! 🚨 Wait for the MA breakout at 1.34700, then strike for bullish gains. 🐂 Set buy stop orders above the moving average or place buy limit orders within a 15/30-minute timeframe at the recent swing high/low. ⏰ Don’t miss the move—set a chart alert to catch the breakout! 🔔
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Target 🎯: Aim for 1.37000 or bail early if the market shifts. 🏃♂️ Scalpers, stick to long-side trades. 👀 Got deep pockets? Jump in now. 💪 Otherwise, join the swing traders and execute the plan with a trailing stop loss to secure your loot. 🔒💰
Market Outlook: GBP/USD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key fundamentals. 🐃 Dive into the COT Report, macro data, sentiment, intermarket analysis, and future trend targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 🔗👉
Why This Trade?: The bullish setup on GBP/USD is backed by strong technical signals, with the MA breakout confirming upward momentum. 📈 Fundamentals, including favorable COT positioning and positive macro data, suggest sustained strength in the pound. 💪 Intermarket correlations and sentiment analysis further align with a bullish outlook, making this an ideal moment to strike the Cable for potential high rewards. 🌟 The Red Zone target at 1.37000 offers a prime risk-to-reward ratio for disciplined traders. 🤑
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰:
News releases can shake up prices and volatility. 🌪️ To stay safe:
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EUR/USD Bullish Breakout Ahead – Inverse Head and Shoulders + ChThe EUR/USD pair is showing a strong bullish setup supported by multiple confluences:
🔹 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
A clean inverse head and shoulders formation has completed near the 1.1225–1.1207 support zone. This structure typically signals a reversal to the upside and has been confirmed with neckline breakout.
🔹 Breakout from Falling Channel
The breakout above the descending channel further supports bullish momentum, suggesting that the prior downtrend has likely ended.
🔹 Ascending Channel Structure
Price is currently respecting a rising channel, with higher highs and higher lows clearly forming. The lower boundary has been tested successfully, adding confidence to long positions.
🔹 Bullish Targets
I’m targeting the Fibonacci extension levels at:
127.2% at 1.13030
141.4% at 1.13223
These levels align with upper channel resistance and offer solid risk-reward potential.
🔻 Key Support / Invalidation
The key support zone is 1.1225–1.1207. A break below this area invalidates the bullish setup.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: After neckline breakout or on a minor pullback into the red support zone
TP1: 1.13030
TP2: 1.13223
SL: Below 1.1207 (conservative stop)
AUDCAD: Bull Trap & Bullish Confirmation 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a liquidity grab after a test of significant intraday/daily support.
A cup & handle pattern and a violation of its neckline with a bullish imbalance
provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect an up move now, at least to 0.899
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3300.Dear colleagues, I still expect an upward movement, because I am sure that the five-wave movement is not over yet.
The price has updated the 3202 level, which means that wave “4” is a combined correction (WXY) and it is just completing its movement.
I expect the price to start an upward movement and reach at least the 3300 resistance area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Market next move Disruptive (Contrarian/Bullish) View:
1. Higher Lows Formation:
The price is consistently forming higher lows, which could indicate building bullish momentum, not weakness.
This could suggest a breakout attempt through the resistance zone rather than a rejection.
2. Volume Analysis:
Volume seems to be stabilizing (and even increasing slightly) on green candles approaching resistance.
This might indicate accumulation rather than distribution — a possible prelude to a bullish breakout.
3. Short-term Bull Flag/Pennant:
The price pattern just before entering the red box may resemble a bull flag, a continuation pattern.
If it breaks the flag upwards, it could target levels around $2,600+.
4. Failed Bearish Setups:
The earlier sharp drop was quickly recovered, showing buyer interest below $2,500.
This invalidates the strength of previous selling pressure.
5. Psychological Level at $2,500 Holding:
ETH is hovering just above the key $2,500 psychological support.
Holding above this level increases the likelihood of testing and potentially flipping resistance to support.
USDCHF Premium Tap into Order Block🚨 USDCHF Smart Money Setup Unfolding – One Shot, One Kill Opportunity
Here’s why this setup is packed with confluence and how Smart Money might be laying the perfect trap before a big drop...
🧠 Structure Breakdown:
We’re currently seeing a textbook retracement into premium pricing after a clear bearish move, and Smart Money seems ready to strike again.
✅ Swing High to Low Fib Analysis
We’ve pulled from the most recent swing high to the swing low — and price is now retracing into the 61.8%–79% golden zone. That’s classic territory for Smart Money to reposition short.
📍 Premium Trap Zone:
Between 0.8375 and 0.8395, we’re stacking multiple confluences:
Fib Golden Zone (61.8% – 79%)
Bearish Order Block
Strong High (Liquidity Pool)
Diagonal Trendline Resistance
Break of structure beneath current price
Price action is walking up cleanly, likely to attract late longs — but we know better. This is liquidity engineering at its finest. 📊
🧱 Smart Money Zones:
🔲 Order Block (OB) at ~0.8380–0.8395)
This OB aligns beautifully with 79% fib retracement and sits right below a Strong High — where liquidity is waiting to get grabbed.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Wait for a tap + bearish rejection candle inside the OB.
Set stop loss just above the Strong High.
Ride the momentum back down toward discount zones.
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: Back to 0% fib level (~0.8325)
TP2: Extension to -27% fib (~0.8295)
TP3 (if momentum flows): Sub 0.8280 levels
This setup offers a clean 1:3+ RRR with sniper-level precision. Low risk, high reward — exactly what we love!
🧘♂️ Psychology of This Move:
Smart Money creates the illusion of bullish strength to:
Lure breakout traders above the high.
Fill institutional sell orders inside the OB.
Sweep weak lows after rebalancing inefficiencies.
This is not a random pullback — it’s a calculated liquidity sweep before expansion. 🚀
⚡ Game Plan:
✅ Wait for price to reach premium zone
✅ Look for rejection (engulfing or SMC candle confirmation)
✅ Enter with SL above high
✅ Take partials at equilibrium and trail to discount
✅ Don’t rush — let price come to you 💎
🧨 Risk Management Tip:
This is a surgical setup — you don’t need to overleverage to win.
Let the chart do the heavy lifting. Stick to 1–2% risk and let the RRR carry the profit.
✍️ In Summary:
USDCHF is retracing into a major premium zone packed with Smart Money confluence — Order Block, Fib, BOS, liquidity, and trendline resistance.
This could be one of the cleanest bearish setups this week if you stay patient and time it right.
🗣️ Drop "USDCHF READY" in the comments if you're planning to catch this setup!
📲 Tag your trading partner and don’t let them miss this sniper entry!
Market next move 1. Weak Momentum Into Resistance
The candles near resistance are small-bodied and lack strong bullish volume.
Disruption: This signals buying exhaustion. Price could consolidate or reverse sharply, especially if buyers fail to defend this level.
---
2. Resistance Zone Saturation
The resistance zone (highlighted in red) has already been tested multiple times.
Disruption: This could either lead to a breakout or—more likely in a weak volume context—a liquidity trap and reversal, as market makers use the expectation of a breakout to trap long positions.
---
3. Potential Double Top Pattern
Look closely at the two peaks around the resistance zone. They resemble a developing double top.
Disruption: If price fails to break out convincingly and starts dropping, this double top may trigger a fall back to $105,000 or even lower.
---
4. Bearish Divergence Possibility
While not shown on this chart, in cases like this, it's common for momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) to show bearish divergence.
Disruption: Even if price hits slightly higher highs, a divergence could signal that momentum is fading and a deeper pullback is incoming.
---
5. High Sell Volume on the Spike (May 19)
That long wick candle with high volume around May 19 suggests strong seller interest above $107K.
Disruption: Buyers could struggle again in this zone, especially if that volume spike was from whales distributing.