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THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week's KOG report we said to expect choppy price action, but we did not expect it to last the whole week! What a week however, the range allowing traders to trade within it up and down making the most of the levels on the boxes and Excalibur. We gave the weekly key level as 2620 which we said will need to break to go lower, otherwise, opportunities from that level were available and worked well. On Friday we published the NFP report, again giving the key level for the push up 2625, this also worked well for traders, with the bonus of the short to end the week. A fantastic week for traders with us completing a phenomenal 37 targets across the markets! We had that higher region of 2670 which however was not visited, so is it still available? Let’s dive in. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? This week we would expect this price action to continue, the range getting a little larger but the up and down movement making it difficult to hold position, at least for the first part of the week. We have that key level of resistance above again at 2650 with that level of 2670 still active on our books. For that reason, we feel this decline isn’t ready just yet, but the lower levels are available for consideration. Support below 2620 and below that the 2610 level are opportunities if we can continue this slow decline downside. We have the extension of the move at 2590 as key level support, so we feel that’s the ideal long trade for the swing up, if attacked. Looking at the chart in more detail, and applying the red boxes, we can see we have defence above at 2635-40, which if held, can continue this move down into the red box 2625 as the immediate level for the range. A break of that level will take us further into breaker move 2610 and 2590 before any exhaustion. As we close in to the festive period, we can expect volume to be thin over the coming weeks as well as sudden burst of profit taking, so please trade carefully for the remainder of the month, reduce your lot sizes and make sure you have a sensible risk model in place. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2665 with targets below 2620 and below that 2610 Bullish on break of 2665 with targets above 2670 and above that 2685 RED BOXES: Break above 2639 for 2650, 2660, 2663 and 2670 in extension of the move Break below 2627 for 2620, 2610 and 2595 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
Bitcoin market analysis Key Indicators for a Possible Bitcoin Drop: 1. Descending Resistance (Trendlines): • The red trendlines on both charts indicate a series of lower highs, suggesting sellers are becoming increasingly dominant. • This descending resistance reflects bearish sentiment, as buyers fail to push prices above prior peaks. 2. Support Levels in Danger: • The 1-hour chart highlights a critical green support zone between $90,000 and $89,000. • Repeated testing of support levels without a significant bounce often signals weakening demand, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. 3. Rejection at Key Levels: • Both charts show price rejections near resistance levels. Repeated failures at these points indicate strong selling pressure and a lack of bullish momentum. 4. Divergences in Momentum Indicators: • The bottom indicators in the charts, likely oscillators like RSI or MACD, appear to show bearish divergences. This suggests that while prices attempted rallies, underlying momentum weakened. 5. Short-Term Breakdown: • The 5-minute chart depicts a sharp drop and subsequent consolidation below a key price level ($102,500). This consolidation might represent a bear flag, a continuation pattern signaling further downside. 6. Market Context (Macroeconomic Events): • Upcoming economic data releases (referenced from Forex Factory) can introduce volatility. If the data is bearish for risk assets (e.g., hawkish Fed policies, poor global growth indicators), Bitcoin could face further downward pressure. Outlook: • A break below the green support levels (~$90,000) could trigger a cascading sell-off, with $85,000 or lower as the next potential target. • However, sustained consolidation or a sudden bullish catalyst above $102,500 would invalidate this bearish thesis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by US30EMPIRE
AUDCAD Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 27 2023 Low and at the moment it is in the process of forming a new Higher Low. All previous Higher Lows were formed one the 1D RSI almost touched the 30.00 oversold barrier. Right now it is a little more than 5.0 points away from it, so buying starts getting highly favorable on the current levels. In any case, a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would confirm the start of the new Bullish Leg and if it follows the previous sequence, it should peak above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, our 0.95000 Target is more than valid for the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD Analysis (1H Timeframe) A potential selling opportunity is anticipated near the resistance zone at 2650.00–2646.00, which appears to be a favorable area for sellers. Target Levels: 2624. 2614. 2606. Important Note: If the price closes above 2656.00, refrain from entering sell positions, as this could signal further upside potential. It is advised to avoid placing pending orders at this time. Instead, wait for clear bearish confirmations before executing a trade. Trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD Analysis (4H Timeframe) The price is currently consolidating, presenting a potential selling opportunity near the resistance zone of 2652.00–2648.00. Suggested Targets: 2606.00 2581.00 2555.92 Important Note: If the price closes above 2655.00, avoid initiating sell positions, as this could indicate a bullish continuation toward 2720. At this stage, it is recommended to avoid placing pending orders. Wait for strong bearish confirmations before entering a trade. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to Resistance area 1.06197.Colleagues, Price closed the gap and now I believe that wave “C” is almost over or already over. Therefore, I think that we should look only at long positions with the aim to reach the area of 1.06197. There are 2 possible scenarios: 1) Wave “C” is finally formed and the price will continue the upward movement. (More risky market entry) 2) The price will still make a small movement to the nearest minimum and here I would recommend placing pending limit orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
48
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 6117 (Wave “3”).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price will still make new highs. I expect that the wave “5” of the middle order is not yet complete. Perhaps the price will test the 50% Fibonacci level of 5847 and then start an upward movement to the resistance area of 6117 (Wave “3”). This correction may not happen, then it would mean that the price continued the wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
16
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to he 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 148.97 1st Support: 147.24 1st Resistance: 151.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
World gold price decreased World gold prices decreased in the context of an increase in the USD. Recorded at 9:40 a.m. on December 6, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 105,792 points (up 0.08%). Gold price after the US released weekly unemployment claims data. The number of dependents applying for new unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, indicating that the labor market continues to gradually cool. In addition, the yield on 10-year US government bonds increased by 0.3%, bitcoin price surpassed 100,000 USD for the first time in session 5.12. The market is also waiting for US non-agricultural employment data to get more information about the US Federal Reserve's (FED) stance on interest rate cuts. Early this morning, world gold prices suddenly dropped sharply after many struggling sessions. According to Kitco, Donald Trump's US Presidential election victory and his focus on "America First" policies, aimed at supporting the economy and a stronger USD, have made gold investors global. Demand reduces participation in this precious metal. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2645 - 2647🔥 💵 TP1: 2630 💵 TP2: 2620 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2656
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 190.24 1st Support: 188.47 1st Resistance: 192.31 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Bearish drop?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.7923 1st Support: 1.7827 1st Resistance: 1.7999 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets