EURCHF SELL (D-TF-BEARISH , 4H-TF-BEARISH)WHSELFINVEST:EURCHF
Any idea on EURCHF? My bias is bearish, I have taken a short position but i feel like my stop loss gonna be taken out as its not moving as it supposed to.Any thoughts?
Forexsignals
NZDUSD Potential Up correction from crossing of supportsNZDUSD recently showed a false breakout below its previous support and has reached a demand zone on the daily timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback. On the 4H chart, bullish divergence at the support level supports the likelihood of a retracement. The price may move higher to retest the resistance zone around 0.5880, which has been tested multiple times. This setup indicates a potential for a short-term recovery
GBPJPY potential drop from the resistance levels crossingThe CHF/JPY pair is retracing towards the 172.500 resistance level following a notable decline. If the price fails to surpass this resistance and the accompanying descending trendline, which serves as a swap zone, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. The repeated testing of this level underscores its significance as a resistance area. A clear bearish signal, such as a prominent long-tailed bar, could suggest a liquidity grab above this zone, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential opportunity to enter short positions. The target for such a move would be the support zone near 170.300
Gold Price Analysis November 28Gold is trading near the resistance zone of 2650, this zone becomes the key zone for today's trading day. If before the US session, gold cannot break this zone, the gold trend will continue to fall to important support zones. Pay attention to the support zones of 2638, 2621-2613, 2605 to have the best trading strategies when the price falls to that zone. In the opposite direction, the 2650 zone is broken, gold will return to the uptrend. If gold closes the daily candle above 2658, it is determined that gold is ready to return to the uptrend and head to 2700 soon. Wish you successful trading.
The US has begun to enter a cycle of lowering interest rates.Currently, the world is witnessing the monetary tightening cycle coming to an end. Many countries, including the US, have begun to enter a cycle of lowering interest rates.
Minutes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) published on the night of November 26 (Vietnam time) mentioned that the US needs to gradually lower interest rates. However, it also recorded signs of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell losing control, with board members uncertain about what the long-term interest rate target will be.
Market signals show that there is a nearly 60% chance that the Fed will reduce interest rates for the third consecutive time at its meeting in December. In 2025, the Fed will also likely reduce a few more times.
The USD will be under downward pressure even though the US economy is expected to improve after Mr. Trump takes office. Gold prices will likely continue to be supported and maintain an uptrend lasting from the end of 2023 until now.
Most experts forecast that gold is still in an uptrend. However, this commodity is likely to continue to fluctuate strongly as the world becomes increasingly complex. Mr. Trump's policies and policy statements may continue to impact markets, causing commodity prices to fluctuate sharply.
CHFJPY expected to bottom soon. Unique long-term buy opportunityThe CHFJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern for more than 2 years (since the September 22 2022 High). More recently on September 16 2024, the price bottomed on its Higher Lows trend-line and the subsequent rebound to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, initiated a new pull-back that broke yesterday below its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is identical to the Channel's previous bottom formation in January 2023. The rebound that followed also got rejected near the 0.786 Fib and retraced all the way to the 0.236. Then it started a relentless Bullish Leg all the way to the 2.0 Fib extension. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical and we are at the point where the RSI is about to break below its MA and give the buy signal.
As a result, we turn bullish on the CHFJPY pair, targeting 188.000 (near the top of the Channel Up).
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Potential bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5862
1st Support: 0.5816
1st Resistance: 0.5937
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce off pullback support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is currently reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.4012
1st Support: 1.3951
1st Resistance: 1.4093
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ould the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 152.29
1st Support: 150.61
1st Resistance: 153.27
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Analysis for NAS100USD: Bullish Outlook
Technical Perspective
1. Trendline Support:
• The chart shows NAS100USD bouncing off a key ascending trendline support (marked in red). This signifies strong buying interest at this level, maintaining the uptrend structure.
• The bounce coincides with a horizontal support zone near 20,725, adding further strength to this level.
2. Stochastic Indicators:
• The Stochastic Divergence and other oscillators appear to be recovering from oversold levels, suggesting that selling pressure is waning and a bullish reversal could be forming.
• These indicators align with potential upward momentum if buyers step in at this critical juncture.
3. Chart Patterns:
• A higher low structure remains intact, supporting continued bullish sentiment.
• If the price moves above 20,800, it may break through to test the next resistance near 21,000-21,200, the previous high.
Macro and Fundamental Factors
1. Earnings and Economic Data:
• As per the Forex Factory Calendar and other resources:
• Any positive economic data today (e.g., GDP revisions or labor market data) could boost tech-heavy indices like NAS100USD.
• Investors are likely positioning ahead of potential positive earnings surprises or data releases.
2. Sector Strength:
• Tech companies, heavily represented in NAS100, benefit from stabilizing Treasury yields or dovish Fed sentiment.
• If bond yields remain steady or decline, growth stocks within NAS100USD could see inflows.
3. Risk Sentiment:
• Broader market sentiment today is tilting toward risk-on behavior, as evidenced by positive global equities.
• A continued reduction in geopolitical tensions or other market risks could further favor upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch
• Immediate Resistance: 20,800-21,000. A break above this zone could see a quick move toward 21,200.
• Key Support: 20,700. If this level holds, it strengthens the case for a bullish continuation.
• Target Zone: 21,200+ if resistance is broken.
Conclusion:
With the trendline support intact, oversold indicators turning upward, and a potential risk-on macro environment, NAS100USD is poised for a rebound. As long as the 20,700-20,725 zone holds, we expect a move upward toward 21,000-21,200 in the near term. This bullish outlook is contingent on no major surprises from economic data releases or unexpected market shocks.
Market Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD)
1. Technical Analysis
• Trendline Vulnerability:
• The red trendline in the chart provided suggests higher lows, but a failure to sustain above the current levels near $2,635 could lead to a breakdown.
• If the trendline support is breached, it may accelerate selling pressure, pushing gold toward $2,610 or lower.
• Resistance at $2,710:
• Gold recently tested the $2,710 resistance and failed to break above it. This rejection indicates a strong barrier that could trigger further downside if buyers lose momentum.
• Indicators Turning Bearish:
• Oscillators like the Stochastic may be overextended or approaching resistance. If these indicators turn bearish, it suggests weakening buying pressure and a potential downward move.
2. Fundamental Analysis
• Strong U.S. Dollar:
• A stronger U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) could put downward pressure on gold. If upcoming economic data (e.g., GDP revisions, labor market data) show U.S. economic strength, it could lead to USD appreciation, reducing gold’s appeal.
• Rising Treasury Yields:
• If U.S. Treasury yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold increases, making it less attractive to investors.
• Recent hawkish commentary or expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve could further support yields.
• Diminished Safe-Haven Demand:
• If geopolitical tensions or global risk factors ease, gold could lose its safe-haven appeal. This would drive a rotation away from gold and into riskier assets like equities.
3. Macro and Sentiment Drivers
• Positive Economic Data:
• Strong U.S. economic data, such as higher consumer confidence, robust labor market performance, or strong GDP growth, could bolster confidence in the U.S. economy. This would weigh on gold prices.
• Inflation Expectations Moderating:
• If inflation expectations cool down, gold’s role as an inflation hedge diminishes, reducing demand for the metal.
• Hawkish Federal Reserve Stance:
• Continued hawkishness or hints of further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve would strengthen the USD and weigh on gold.
Key Levels to Watch
• Support Levels:
• Immediate support at $2,635. A breakdown below this level could lead to a drop toward $2,610 and potentially $2,565.
• Resistance Levels:
• If gold struggles to breach $2,710, it strengthens the bearish case.
Conclusion
Gold (XAU/USD) is likely to drop if:
1. The U.S. dollar strengthens further due to positive economic data.
2. Treasury yields rise or inflation expectations cool, reducing gold’s appeal.
3. The key trendline support around $2,635 is breached.
Traders should monitor U.S. data releases, the DXY, and Treasury yields closely to confirm this bearish outlook. If the trendline breaks, the next key support levels to watch are $2,610 and $2,565.
US30 Market Analysis
1. Technical Perspective:
• The chart shows a strong upward breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a traditionally bullish setup.
• After the breakout, price action seems to be consolidating near a resistance zone (marked in red).
• Support near 44,400 appears to have held firm previously, creating a higher low, which aligns with bullish momentum.
2. Stochastic Oscillators:
• The Stochastic Divergence and Stochastic indicators at the bottom suggest a recent overbought condition but are not yet sharply reversing, indicating consolidation rather than a full-fledged bearish reversal.
• If the stochastic moves upward from its midline, it could signal continued bullish momentum.
3. Key Levels:
• Resistance: The red box indicates a resistance zone near 45,000. A breakout above this level could trigger further upside movement.
• Support: Immediate support lies around 44,400. If this level holds, the market could continue upward.
4. Volume and Sentiment:
• While volume isn’t visible in the chart, breakouts with sustained buying pressure tend to confirm bullish trends.
• Broader market sentiment should also be considered; a positive catalyst (e.g., economic data or easing bond yields) could help US30 push higher.
Likely Scenario:
If support near 44,400 holds and there are no external bearish catalysts, the Dow (US30) could push higher toward or beyond the 45,000 resistance level. However, failure to break resistance may result in a short-term pullback to test lower support levels.
EurUsd Just Near to TP. (Late Post)Looking for Impulse down.
EurUsd moving down on retracement. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
Bullish rise?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.8801
1st Support: 0.8765
1st Resistance: 0.8886
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.2611
1st Support: 1.2485
1st Resistance: 1.2798
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0604
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0705
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
World gold price todayWorld gold prices continued to increase slightly, with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD to 2,632.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,660.40 an ounce, up $4.80 from the bright spot.
USD weakness added momentum to gold on Wednesday. Accordingly, the US Dollar Index fell 0.8%, hitting a two-week low, increasing the appeal of gold to holders of other currencies.
However, the growth rate of this precious metal has been limited by the release of new data showing the potential distribution of chlorophyll. This indicates that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could be very important in cutting interest rates. According to the report, US consumer spending increased sharply in October, but the slowdown appears to have been patchy in recent months.
According to the minutes of the recent policy meeting released on Tuesday, there is currently uncertainty about the direction of the economy. That increased market expectations for an interest rate cut in December after the minutes were released. According to CME's FedWatch tool, the market currently forecasts a 70% chance of a 0.25 percentage point rate cut.
Gold big dip coming see the dropping level read the caption Gold price reverts toward the weekly low of $2,605 in Asian trading on Thanksgiving Thursday, snapping a two-day recovery. The US Dollar (USD) and the US Treasury bond yields breathe a sigh of relief, exerting downward pressure on the Gold price amid holiday-thinned trading conditions
Gold price analysis November 27Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose above overnight gains from the $2,600 region, or a one-week low, and gained some follow-through positive momentum for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Concerns over persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff plans turned out to be the main factors driving safe-haven flows into the precious metal.
In addition, a subdued US Dollar (USD) price action lifted Gold prices to a two-day high around $2,645 heading into the European session. However, the prevailing risk-on environment, prospects of slower rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising US Treasury yields kept the yellow metal in check. Traders now look to key US inflation data for fresh impetus.
Technical analysis
The immediate resistance that gold is aiming for is 2648-2650, pay special attention to this price zone. If we can break this zone, we will wait for retests and BUY to the main resistance zone today at 2658-2660. In case the European session cannot break 2650, our strategy will be to SELL Gold, expecting it to reach 2634.
Xauusd sell signal Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the overnight bonce from the $2,600 neighborhood, or a one-week low and gains some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Wednesday. Concerns about persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans turn out to be key factors driving haven flows towards the precious metal.
Gold now sell 2647
Support 2631
Support 2621
AUDNZD: Bullish Move From Support 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD may pull back from a key daily horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a strong intraday
horizontal resistance.
The price will reach 1.1046 level soon.
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GBP/USD 1H AnalysisThe price has broken above a key resistance zone, which is now acting as support. This breakout signals potential bullish momentum.
✅ What I’m watching for:
If the price pulls back to the new support zone, it could present a good opportunity to enter a long position, but only with confirmation of buyers stepping in.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for clear signals, like bullish candlesticks or increased buying volume, to confirm the support holds before entering.
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Thursday Support and Resistance Breakout Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2634 and 2642. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2627, 2621.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2650, 2656.
