#AUDNZDAUDNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is moving within a well-defined channel, with lower highs and lower lows indicating a bearish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the channel's resistance level, which has historically acted as a strong barrier for upward movements.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price reaches the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel resistance after confirmation of rejection or bearish signals.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The bearish channel structure suggests selling pressure dominates. Waiting for the price to touch the resistance and confirm rejection provides a strategic entry point aligned with the overall trend.
Forexsignals
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly!
The Main Analysis :
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmationsWait for the breakout and put the trade with proper analysis and risk mangements
GBPUSD Buy area at 1.23248 with strong confirmations
Stop Loos: 1.22963
Take Profit Level: 1.2376
Level 2nd; 1.24932
The Setup follow the 1st risk on account and use trail stop loss.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order.
I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104.
The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish drop?THE Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.6292
1st Support: 0.6217
1st Resistance: 0.6345
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish breakout?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 156.19
1st Support: 154.76
1st Resistance: 158.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold prices gain momentum from Trump's tariffsGold prices hit a more than 11-week high in afternoon trading on January 22, not far from last year's record, driven by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policies and a weak US dollar.
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,751.89 an ounce at 12:02 (Vietnam time), after hitting its highest since November 1 earlier in the session, and nearing a record $2,790.15 an ounce set in October 2024. US gold futures also rose 0.3% to $2,768.40 an ounce.
There is still some uncertainty regarding the timing of Trump’s tariff plans with major US trading partners, which has created uncertainty about the direction of the US dollar, which is the main short-term catalyst for gold prices, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at OANDA.
Gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge could be dented if Mr Trump’s policies, which are seen as inflationary, lead the US Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates for a prolonged period. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of gold, which does not pay interest.
GBP/JPY The Cup is Full, and the Handle is ReadyPattern Formation
This chart presents a classic cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a bullish continuation setup. The "cup" reflects a rounded bottom, showing gradual recovery from bearish momentum, while the "handle" consolidates before a potential breakout.
Key Levels
1. Resistance Turned Support (Neckline)
The breakout level at 191.528 marks a critical horizontal resistance, now acting as support post-breakout.
2.Entry Point
Entry was triggered above the neckline at 191.528, confirming the breakout with strong bullish momentum.
3. Stop Loss
Placed at 189.230, below the handle's low, providing a buffer against invalidation of the setup.
4. Take Profit
Positioned at 194.712, based on the measured move projection of the cup-and-handle pattern. Also make sure to close position by taking profit gradually and after first tp you book move SL to entry
Risk-to-Reward (R:R)
This trade offers a favorable R:R ratio of approximately 1:3, aligning with sound risk management principles.
Technical Indicators
Trendlines
A prior descending trendline was invalidated, strengthening the bullish bias.
Momentum
The strong upward candles leading to the breakout signal buyer dominance.
Trade Psychology
The pattern represents market accumulation, as buyers steadily absorbed selling pressure. The breakout indicates renewed interest and potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Market Context
Given GBP/JPY's strong upward momentum and confirmation of the breakout, this setup aligns with both the technical pattern and prevailing trend.
Disclaimer
Ensure to monitor price action and adjust the trade plan if market conditions change. Always use proper risk management.
NZD/JPY Breaking Barriers and Soaring HigherNZD/JPY shows a strong bullish breakout on the 1-hour chart. A descending trendline was invalidated, indicating a shift in market sentiment. This move highlights growing buying pressure and a potential continuation of the upward trend.
The breakout occurred near 88.140, which aligns with a resistance level turned into support. Buyers are stepping in aggressively, creating a high-probability long opportunity.
The stop loss is placed at 87.073, below the recent consolidation area, ensuring protection against invalidation. The take profit is set at 89.433, derived from the measured move projection of the breakout.
This trade presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, backed by momentum and a clean breakout structure. With market sentiment leaning bullish, this setup aligns with trend-following principles.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as ab overlap support.
Pivot: 1.0450
1st Support: 1.0344
1st Resistance: 1.0538
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2368
1st Support: 1.2236
1st Resistance: 1.2492
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 194.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 197.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 191.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish rise?GBP/CAD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.7650
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.7556
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.7821
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/CAD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4921
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4842
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.5043
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/GBP at Critical Resistance – Major Move Incoming?What’s great everyone!? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down EUR/GBP with an in-depth analysis you don’t want to miss.
Starting from the higher timeframes, we’ve identified a major trendline resistance dating back to January 2023, which has been tested multiple times and is now being challenged again. After a massive impulse move from the 0.8275 area in late December, price has surged to the current levels around 0.8472, but signs of weakness are starting to emerge.
Looking closer at the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear rejection off the trendline with significant bearish volume stepping in yesterday—indicating strong selling pressure after a liquidity grab above 0.8444. With a confirmed daily close below 0.8434, we’re now eyeing potential downside targets.
Dropping down to the H1 timeframe, we’re observing a lower high formation, which could signal a continuation lower. I’ve already entered this trade with a high-risk, high-reward approach, placing stops above the recent high and targeting multiple liquidity areas below.
Key levels to watch:
• First target: 0.8433, sweeping liquidity.
• Next: 0.8413 (double bottom) and ultimately 0.8335 if momentum continues.
If we break below key support at 0.8410, this could trigger a much larger drop into untested levels from past price action, potentially targeting the 0.8146 area.
The next few candles will be crucial—will EUR/GBP hold this level or melt down further? Stay tuned and let’s see how it plays out!
If you’re finding value in these breakdowns, make sure to boost, share, and comment with your thoughts. Let’s make some moves!
AUDCHF Having a strong rebound on the 1.5 year Support.Last time we looked at AUDCHF (October 01 2024, see chart below), we took a long-term short trade based on the multi-year Channel Down:
The 0.56000 Target got hit and yet again the 1.5 year Support Zone (since August 2023) held. Sooner or later, this demand zone should break the pattern upwards and reverse the bearish trend.
Until then, we can continue buying on the Support Zone and target the Lower Highs. This time that trend-line happens to be where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed at, so our Target is now 0.58000.
Apart from the Support Zone, we will only buy if the price breaks above Resistance 1, which will be past a Channel Down bullish break-out also, and target the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Resistance 2 at 0.61000.
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DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month:
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy:
If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch.
U.S. Economic Data:
Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar.
Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment:
Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Geopolitical and International Developments:
Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction.
Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil:
Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness.
In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
#CHFJPY 4HCHFJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is moving within a downward trend channel, consistently creating lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic support level. This suggests the potential for a short-term bounce or reversal to the upside.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is anticipated if the price confirms a bounce from the channel's lower boundary, targeting the midline or upper boundary of the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel's lower boundary after confirmation of a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the channel's lower boundary or the recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The downward trend channel suggests an overall bearish structure, but a temporary bullish move is possible near the channel's support. Confirmation of a bounce is necessary before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 50% Fibo lvl 2655.Colleagues, I believe that wave “3” of the higher order is developing quite actively, but I expect a correction in wave “2” of the middle order.
I believe that the price will reach the area of 50% Fibonacci level 2655 or earlier. We should be careful, because the price may stop at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Around this area I should set trades to breakeven.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!