Market Analysis: US30USD and Trump’s Presidential InaugurationMarket Analysis: US30USD and Trump’s Presidential Inauguration
Overview of US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
The US30USD (Dow Jones Industrial Average) represents 30 of the largest and most influential companies in the United States. Its performance is often used as a barometer for the overall health of the US economy and investor sentiment.
Key Reasons Why US30 May Rally Today
1. Trump’s Inauguration and Pro-Business Policies:
• With Trump being inaugurated as president, market participants are anticipating a renewed focus on pro-business and growth-oriented policies.
• Historically, Trump’s presidency has been associated with corporate tax cuts, deregulation, and infrastructure spending, all of which boosted the markets during his first term. Investors are pricing in similar expectations.
2. Market Optimism and Speculative Rally:
• Political transitions often spark short-term speculative moves, especially when aligned with positive sentiment regarding economic growth.
• Increased investor confidence in the potential for fiscal stimulus and business-friendly legislation is likely driving buying pressure on the US30.
3. Technical Breakout on the Chart:
• The US30USD recently broke above a key descending trendline, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
• The index has also formed a higher low pattern, suggesting buyers are stepping in at stronger levels, creating upward momentum.
4. Increased Volatility and Volume:
• The chart shows rising trading volume, which typically confirms stronger price movements.
• The Stochastic Oscillator indicates the market is approaching neutral or oversold levels, suggesting room for further upward movement without hitting overbought territory.
5. Sector-Specific Gains:
• Key sectors like financials, industrials, and technology are likely to benefit from anticipated pro-business policies, driving gains in major components of the US30.
Potential Upside Targets
• Immediate Resistance: 43,750
• If this level is broken, the next target will be 44,000, which aligns with previous resistance zones.
• Support Levels:
• Strong support is located at 43,400, providing a safety net for any minor pullbacks.
Risks to Watch
• Unexpected Announcements: Any policy announcements deviating from pro-business expectations could temper gains.
• Global Factors: Macroeconomic risks, such as geopolitical tensions or unexpected Federal Reserve actions, could impact market sentiment.
Conclusion
The US30USD is positioned for an upward move today, supported by technical bullish signals, increased optimism around Trump’s pro-business policies, and market momentum. Investors and traders should monitor key resistance and support levels closely while leveraging today’s rally for potential short-term gains.
Forexsignals
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
#EURNZD 2HEURNZD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of a channel, which acts as a key resistance level. This indicates a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above and instead respects the resistance.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or the lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The current price action at the channel resistance indicates a bearish bias, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Waiting for confirmation of a retest ensures a strategic entry aligned with market momentum.
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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XAU/USD : Key Levels $2717 and $2727 to Define Next Move! (READ)Analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we observe that after rising to approximately $2725, gold underwent a correction down to $2703. Currently, gold is trading around $2708, and the key level to watch over the next two hours is $2717.
If gold fails to breach and stabilize above $2717, we may expect further corrections. Alternatively, gold might move above $2727 to collect liquidity, followed by a potential reaction to this liquidity pool, leading to a correction.
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold cools as fighting eases in GAZA#️⃣ The Israeli Prime Minister officially announced that he will ratify the ceasefire agreement in Gaza! Trump repeated: I have merit
————
⭐️Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu confirmed that the ceasefire agreement with Hamas has been completed and will take effect on Sunday, right before Donald Trump takes office as US president.
✔️The agreement brokered by Biden, Trump and Qatar includes: Hamas will release 33/98 hostages, Israel will withdraw troops from Palestinian residential areas and release 1,000 Palestinian prisoners.
➡️Trump asserted that this agreement would not have been possible without his participation, while Biden emphasized his desire for a long-term ceasefire to stabilize the region.
🔴
There are many mixed opinions within Israel: the extreme right wing opposes the agreement, while the Israeli stock market increased sharply by 4.4% last week due to positive expectations from the agreement.
Political Situations Are Calming Down as Trump Takes Office, Cooling Down Gold
Moving Investors Money to Crypto Market, Hottest Place Right Now
GBPAUD: Consolidation Trading 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is consolidating.
The price is stuck with a horizontal parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
We see a strong bullish reaction to its support.
The pair formed a cup & handle pattern.
With a high probability, the market will keep rising and reach the resistance of the range.
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NzdUsd could rise to 0.58 (swing trade)The final quarter of 2024 was particularly challenging for the NZD, with the currency declining by 800 pips from its peak to its lowest point. More significantly, this drop represents a devaluation of over 12%, which is substantial for a major currency pair.
As 2025 begins, however, OANDA:NZDUSD has entered a consolidation phase, holding above the critical support zone near 0.5550. This level is noteworthy and deserves attention as a potential turning point.
While the overall trend remains bearish, a rebound from this key support area is likely. If this occurs, the pair could move higher toward the 0.58 resistance level.
In summary, dips near the support zone present buying opportunities with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a return of at least 1:2.
The Aussie has a strong bearish momentum, could it drop further?The price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6250
1st Support: 0.6144
1st Resistance: 0.6301
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Swissie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a swing high resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support
Pivot: 0.9195
1st Support: 0.9016
1st Resistance: 0.9284
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0332
1st Support: 1.0175
1st Resistance: 1.0464
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY: Intraday Bearish Confirmation 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Earlier on Friday, I shared with you a confirmed structure
breakout on USDJPY on a daily.
This morning, retesting a broken structure, the price formed
a strong bearish confimation on an hourly.
I see a double top pattern and a violation of its neckline.
With a high probability, the price will fall and reach 155.57/ 155.18 levels.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below he 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 158.12
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 155.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and coul;d bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9135
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9100
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9173
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Ethereum’s Next Big Move: Don’t Miss This Game-Changing Setup!I am back and live on January 18th with a crucial Ethereum (ETH) breakdown! 🚀 In this video, we dive into potential bullish momentum for Ethereum, identifying key levels for buying opportunities and explaining the recent market reaction to altcoin rotations, including the hype around Trump’s meme coin.
We start on the weekly time frame, reviewing the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern and the strong bounce off the $2,930 support level. On the H4 time frame, we analyze critical market structure breaks and price sweeps, signaling ETH could push towards $3,599 and potentially $3,760.
If we get a candle closure above $3,320, this could be the weekend setup you don’t want to miss! 🚨 Let’s break it down and capitalize on this opportunity.
📊 Targets:
• $3,599
• $3,760
⚠️ Are you ready for the next Ethereum move? Watch the video for detailed insights, setups, and market sentiment analysis.
GBPJPY Sell/Short Signal 2In continuation of GBPJPY downtrend we have officially smashed through the first TP without any issues and a smooth come down on what we have seen in previous days highs that could not sustain. I still see this going down to the second TP then go all the way down to the third TP completing the entire targets range we have analyzed to make. Please be sure to use proper risk management and as well proper caution on how much you leverage for all your trades. Thanks for stopping by to see our charts!
Xauusd buy Gold’s price slightly retraces but holds above the $2,700 level on Friday, with some profit-taking occurring after its three-day rally this week. Fed governor Christopher Waller spooked traders by commenting on Thursday that a March interest rate cut should not be ruled out.
Xauusd buy signal 2711
TP1 2715
TP2 2725
Support zone 2735
Stop loss 2700
GBPJPY at a Crossroads: The Setup You Can’t Afford to MissWhat’s up, traders! We’re back with an update on GBPJPY as of January 17, 2025. The pound-yen pair continues to keep us on our toes with its range-bound behavior, but we’re breaking down exactly where we believe the market is headed next.
In this video, we’re dissecting the levels that are holding strong, the possible upside plays, and the crucial areas where liquidity is likely sitting. From analyzing key weekly and daily levels to pinpointing potential entries on the H1 and H4 timeframes, we’re laying it all out for you.
We’ll also review the positions we closed earlier for a combined 2:1 risk-to-reward win and how the market dynamics shifted to create new opportunities. With the weekly candle close approaching, are we setting up for the next big move? Watch the breakdown to find out.
If you’re serious about staying ahead in the markets, this is a must-watch. Don’t forget to like, share, and drop a comment below with your questions or pairs you’d like to see analyzed next. Let’s keep winning together!
Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro.
Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart.
The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves .
I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD Poised for Growth: Key Levels and Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we observe that the price is still trading around the 1.030 level, and I expect an upward move from this pair soon. With the Dollar Index likely to decline further, this could support EUR/USD's growth.
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the key upside target remains 1.044, while the significant demand levels are at 1.020, 1.005, and 0.99. Keep an eye on these levels for potential opportunities!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Main Analysis :
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing two significant resistance levels: the first being the upper boundary of a channel, and the second a key horizontal resistance zone. Additionally, the formation of a sell engulfing candlestick pattern suggests increased selling pressure at these levels.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price reacts to the dual resistance zones, with bearish momentum likely to push the price lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance levels or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the second resistance level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The confluence of the channel resistance, horizontal resistance, and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to dominate the market in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market momentum.