Market next target 1. Mislabeling of Support Area
The red box is labeled as a support area, but price is approaching from below, not above—so technically, this should be called a resistance area.
Until price closes above it with volume, it cannot be assumed to act as support.
---
2. Volume Misinterpretation
The volume does not strongly support a breakout. The latest green bars are not significantly larger than prior volume, implying limited bullish conviction.
Lack of volume surge through resistance is often a false breakout indicator.
---
3. Single Scenario Bias
The analysis shows only an upside (bullish) projection, ignoring bearish possibilities.
If price gets rejected from resistance, there’s a strong chance of a pullback to $33.00 or lower, especially with weak momentum.
---
4. No Confirmation Indicators
The chart lacks confirming technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or trendlines to validate the bullish scenario.
Price could be forming a lower high, indicating a possible continuation of the downtrend.
Forexsignals
Market next target
1. Misinterpretation of Support Area
Claimed support area has already been broken previously (left of the red box), so it's no longer strong support—it might be better viewed as resistance now.
The bounce from this zone could be a liquidity trap or a fakeout, rather than genuine buying interest.
---
2. Overreliance on a Single Target Zone
The chart implies a clear target zone below, but no Fibonacci, moving average, or volume profile is shown to validate this zone.
A better analysis might include additional tools (like RSI, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci levels) to confirm this as a realistic target.
---
3. Volume Analysis Oversight
There is a volume spike on the most recent bullish candles, which could indicate strong buying interest, contradicting the downtrend expectation.
This might suggest a potential breakout above resistance instead of a fall.
---
4. No Risk Management Consideration
The chart lacks stop-loss levels or invalidation points, which is crucial for trading strategies.
Without a clear invalidation, the trade idea becomes more speculative.
---
5. Alternative Scenario Missing
A bullish breakout scenario (above resistance zone) isn’t given enough weight.
Given the recent strength, there is a strong case for continuation upward if the price closes above the red box with volume.
XAU/USD: It's time for Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price continued to rise as expected and reached $3344. As I anticipated last week, the gap between $3311 and $3322 has finally been filled! This analysis has delivered a return of over 1090 pips so far. After hitting the $3340 zone, the price faced strong selling pressure and is currently trading around $3294. If gold manages to hold below $3284, we could expect further downside. This analysis will be updated!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USTECUSTEC price is near the important resistance zone 21345 and 22244. If the price cannot break through 22244, it is expected that the price will drop.
**Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USDJPY Trade Setup – H1 Chart📉The pair continues to respect its descending channel, recently rejecting the upper trendline and testing the Adaptive Moving Average (AMA).
📊 Additionally, the Chaikin Oscillator has dipped below zero, signaling weakening buying pressure.
#TradeIdea
🔽 Sell USDJPY on confirmed consolidation below 143.200
🎯 TP1: 142.400
🎯 TP2: 142.000
GBPUSD: The Next Historic Resistances 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD keeps rising.
Here are the next historic resistance that the price
may head towards.
Resistance 1: 1.359 - 1.365 area
Resistance 2: 1.375 - 1.383 area
Resistance 3: 1.390 - 1.400 area
Resistance 4: 1.419 - 1.425 area
Resistance 1 is most likely going to be the next goal for the bulls for now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Market target 1. Support Area Assumption
Disruption: The highlighted support area is relatively narrow and based on a few candles. On a 1-hour chart, this might not provide a strong enough foundation for a meaningful bounce. The price has tested this level multiple times, suggesting weakening support rather than strength.
2. Target Projection
Disruption: The target area is drawn without showing how it was calculated—no Fibonacci level, previous resistance, or volume zone is referenced. Without clear technical justification, the target level appears speculative.
3. Pattern Expectation (Bounce Prediction)
Disruption: The blue arrow suggests a bullish reversal, but volume is declining, and there’s no strong bullish candle yet to confirm the move. In fact, multiple lower highs suggest bearish pressure.
4. Ignoring Bearish Continuation
Disruption: The red arrow suggesting a drop isn't emphasized as strongly as the bullish path. However, repeated testing of the support with no significant bounce increases the risk of a breakdown. Also, if macroeconomic conditions or broader crypto sentiment is bearish, this chart setup could break down easily.
5. Lack of Context
Disruption: The chart analysis is isolated to a short timeframe (1 hour). Without higher timeframe confluence (e.g., 4H, Daily), any short-term pattern can easily be a false signal.
Market next move Current Analysis Summary:
Bullish Outlook: The chart suggests a bullish trend after price moves above a marked support area.
Price Scenarios:
Red arrow: Pullback to support.
Blue arrow: Bounce back upward.
Yellow arrow: Continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Disruption of the Analysis:
1. False Breakout Risk:
The move above the support zone might be a false breakout. Volume does not appear significantly increased during the breakout, which is typically needed to confirm real breakout momentum.
2. Volume Confirmation Lacking:
Although some volume is present, the breakout does not show a clear volume spike to validate strong buying interest, which challenges the bullish bias.
3. Resistance Overhead Ignored:
No mention of overhead resistance. The price may face selling pressure near 1.35000, a likely psychological and technical resistance area.
4. Over-reliance on Simple Support Zone:
The support zone is too narrowly defined. If the price dips below it slightly, it could still be a healthy retest, not a reversal, which the red arrow path implies prematurely.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 193.76
1st Support: 191.56
1st Resistance: 194.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identiifed as a pullback support and xcould rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,287.49
1st Support: 3,211.03
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.18
1st Support: 142.56
1st Resistance: 146.70
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal for the Swissie?The price is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8334
1st Support: 0.8214
1st Resistance: 0.8410
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5930
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5951
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3395
1st Support: 1.3317
1st Resistance: 1.3565
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1263
1st Support: 1.1166
1st Resistance: 1.1423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
Price has entered a support area and is expected to bounce.
Two possible bullish paths (blue & yellow arrows) suggest a continuation toward the marked target zone.
---
Disruption Thesis: Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Overextended Rally Into Resistance
The move up into the “support area” is sharp and fast, suggesting it's a liquidity grab.
This zone might actually be a supply zone, where smart money is offloading.
Disruption Call: Price could stall or reverse sharply from this area due to lack of follow-through volume.
---
2. Volume Profile Weakness
Volume peaked earlier in the rally and is now diminishing, which often signals buyer exhaustion.
Disruption Call: Fading bullish momentum implies a fakeout, not a breakout.
---
3. False Breakout / Bull Trap
The green arrow assumes a bounce, but price may just be hovering to bait longs before dropping.
Previous swing highs near 1.1320 may act as a strong rejection point.
Disruption Call: A sudden drop below 1.1300, with a new bearish wave back to 1.1250 or lower.
Market next move Original Analysis Recap:
Support Zone marked just below the current price.
Bearish Move Expected (red arrow) from current resistance.
Bullish Bounce Expected after initial drop (blue and yellow arrows).
Target is placed lower than current price, implying expected downward movement.
---
Disruption / Contrarian Thesis:
1. Fakeout to the Downside (Bear Trap)
The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance and a drop, but:
After the large red candle previously, the market may have absorbed all selling pressure.
Current consolidation shows higher lows—suggesting hidden buying.
Disruption Call: A quick dip below support (triggering stops), followed by a strong bullish reversal breaking through the resistance zone.
---
2. Volume Insight Ignored
Note that recent volume spiked on green candles during recovery.
Current retracement has lower volume, suggesting it may be a pause in uptrend (not a reversal).
Disruption Call: This is accumulation, not distribution. A breakout above 33.20 could happen, aiming for 33.40 or higher.
---
3. Structural Misinterpretation
The “support” identified may not be valid—it’s part of the consolidation range.
True demand zone could be deeper, around 32.90–33.00.
Market rising up Original Analysis Overview:
Support Zone: Clearly marked.
"Flying" Point: Suggests a bullish breakout.
Target: Indicates price will rise significantly.
Arrows: Imply breakout is likely to follow bullish momentum.
---
Disruption / Contrarian Viewpoint:
1. False Breakout Risk
The tight consolidation just above the support line might indicate a bull trap—a false breakout intended to lure in long positions before a sharp reversal. The “flying” point might instead be a liquidity hunt.
Disruption Call: Expect price to briefly break above resistance and then drop below support, invalidating the bullish thesis.
2. Volume Divergence
Volume is not significantly increasing at the breakout point. True breakouts typically come with a volume surge.
Disruption Call: Weak volume suggests lack of conviction. Price may revert back into the range or breakdown.
3. Macro Sentiment Shift
If macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed policy, USD strength) flips bearish for gold, technical setups may get invalidated.
Market next move
1. Support Zone Validation
Observation: Price is reacting from a labeled “Support area.”
Disruption: The support zone is based on very recent price action with limited prior structure. No confirmed double bottom, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection candle is present to confirm it as strong support yet.
---
2. Volume Context Ignored
Observation: Volume has declined during recent candles.
Disruption: A genuine reversal from support typically comes with a volume spike. The current volume profile shows weakening participation, which questions the strength of the bounce.
---
3. Premature Long Target Projection
Observation: A bullish arrow targets the 1.134–1.135 zone.
Disruption: This target is overly optimistic given the lack of a trend change signal. Price is still in a clear lower-high and lower-low structure, suggesting bearish momentum remains intact unless a breakout above 1.1300 occurs.
---
4. Bearish Scenario Underdeveloped
Observation: Only a single red arrow shows bearish rejection.
Disruption: There is no defined breakdown zone or bearish continuation pattern shown (e.g., flag or wedge). If support breaks, price could rapidly move to 1.1200, but this scenario is underrepresented.
---
5. No Confirmation Candlestick for Bullish Entry
Observation: A bullish move is anticipated from current levels.
Disruption: The current candle structure does not confirm bullish control—no hammer, engulfing, or clear reversal pattern. Entering long here could be premature without that confirmation.
---
6. Lack of EMA or RSI Confluence
Observation: Analysis is purely price-action based.
Disruption: No exponential moving averages (EMAs) or RSI are shown to validate trend change. These tools could help confirm divergence or trend reversal.
Flying upward 1. Assumption of Support
Observation: The "Support" zone is marked around the 3,285–3,290 level.
Disruption: This area has only a few touches and lacks clear validation. Support should be confirmed with multiple bounces and strong volume reactions. Here, volume is present but inconclusive.
2. Overly Optimistic Target
Observation: The target area is set around 3,350, which assumes a clean breakout.
Disruption: This ignores potential resistance levels between 3,310–3,330 that could act as hurdles. The price might stall or reverse before reaching that far.
3. Breakout Path Assumptions
Observation: The blue arrows suggest a bullish breakout, possibly after a retest.
Disruption: There's a strong red rejection candle marked by a red arrow—suggesting bearish momentum. Without strong bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or volume spike), this breakout path is speculative.
4. Lack of Broader Context
Observation: The chart is isolated to a 1-hour timeframe.
Disruption: No higher timeframe trend is considered. If the 4H or Daily chart shows a downtrend, this small support could be insignificant and might break.
5. Volume Analysis Gaps
Observation: Volume bars are visible but not integrated into the analysis.
Disruption: No divergence or volume support is identified. Rising prices without rising volume can indicate a weak move, increasing failure chances.