CADCHF - Short Setup at Key ResistanceOANDA:CADCHF Is getting closer to a resistance zone that has times before lead to strong bearish momentum. A confirmation of selling pressure, such as a bearish engulfing pattern or multiple rejection wicks at the resistance level, would increase the likelihood of a downward move.
If sellers take control at this zone, the pair could move downward, with a target around the 0.63200 level.
NOT financial advice - just my view on support and resistance zones, Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
Best of luck! Again!
Forexsignals
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
AUD/USD: Smart Money Loading Up or Another Trap?AUD/USD – Bullish Momentum or Liquidity Grab?
Technical Breakdown:
The Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar (AUD/USD) is showing an interesting setup, with price action hinting at potential continuation to the upside. Let’s dive into the analysis across multiple timeframes to see if buyers are in control or if we’re facing another liquidity trap.
Weekly Timeframe:
• AUD/USD experienced a strong bearish move after reaching 0.6938 in September 2024, followed by a relentless downtrend to 0.6085 by mid-November.
• Since then, we’ve seen a three-week bullish push off the lows, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment.
• A higher low has been established, but the key question remains: Will buyers maintain control?
Daily Timeframe:
• A structural break above 0.6311 signals bullish intent.
• The market previously swept early buyers, forming a double bottom, before pushing back above resistance.
• Current price action is retesting this level, potentially building liquidity for the next leg up.
H4 Timeframe (Trade Execution Level):
• Price printed a higher low at 0.6371, and bullish momentum is attempting to reclaim the recent highs.
• A strong bearish retracement provided a potential early buy entry, setting up a high reward-to-risk trade.
• If price holds above the 0.6359 entry zone, we could see further upside targets.
Entry & Risk Management:
• Entry: 0.6359
• Stop Loss: 0.6371 (tight 5-pip stop)
• First Target: 0.6408 (1:6 RR)
• Final Target: 0.6446 (1:9-1:10 RR)
Market Psychology & Liquidity Play:
• Many traders chased the highs and placed stop losses below local support—these were swept out.
• A large bullish volume candle remains significant, hinting at strength in buyers.
• If the market sustains momentum, we could see a move toward higher resistance at 0.6446.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD is setting up for a potential bullish breakout, but traders must watch for confirmations on lower timeframes. If price structure holds, this could be a highly profitable swing trade.
Like this breakdown? Follow, boost the post, and drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s see where AUD/USD heads next.
GOLD | Key Pivot Holding – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD Technical Analysis – February 21, 2025
Gold is currently trading within the pivot range at $2,935, showing consolidation. The price is still indecisive, and further movement depends on the next breakout.
The price is trying to touch $2918 from $2935, which means as long as trades below $2935.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If Gold closes below $2,918 and confirms with a 4H candle, it may continue its decline toward $2,907 and $2,895.
A breakdown below $2,873 will extend losses toward $2,860 and $2,840.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Stability above $2,935 could push the price toward $2,956 and $2,974 in the next bullish attempt.
A breakout above $2,974 may lead to further highs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: $2,935
Resistance Levels: $2945, $2,956, $2,974
Support Levels: $2,918, $2,895, $2,873
XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility
The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally.
Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction.
2. Support Area Failure Risk
The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades.
3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility
Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal.
The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness
The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal.
Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high.
2. Support Area Strength Overestimation
The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop
3. Market Structure Bias
The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong.
A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout.
Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50.
We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750.
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XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include:
Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge.
Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase.
Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area.
Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives:
1. False Breakout Possibility:
Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario.
Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias.
2. Resistance Strength:
The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate.
A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside.
3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case:
If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside.
Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume.
4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors:
Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events.
A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
EURNZD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:EURNZD has broken below a key support zone and is now retesting it, which may act as new resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.80600 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
XAUUSD // Reversal pattern formation, Strong bearish scenario...📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triple Top Reversal in Play! 🚨
Gold (XAUUSD) has formed a Triple Top pattern at the peak of the uptrend, signaling a potential trend reversal. The third top acted as a liquidity trap, luring in late buyers before price started to decline aggressively. A confirmed breakdown below the 50 EMA with strong bearish candles indicates that sellers are taking control.
📈 Key Technical Confirmations:
✅ Triple Top Formation – A strong bearish reversal pattern
✅ Liquidity Trap on the Third Top – Fake breakout, followed by sharp selling pressure
✅ 50 EMA Breakdown – Confirms shift in momentum towards the downside
✅ Bearish Momentum Increasing – Price likely to extend losses
📌 Next Downside Targets:
🎯 First Target: 200 EMA
🎯 Key Levels: 2882, 2862, 2842, 2830, 2812, 2774, 2751
Gold is likely to continue its bearish move towards these levels. A break below the 200 EMA will add further confirmation for deeper declines.
🔔 Like, comment, and follow for more expert market insights! 📊🔥
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6421
1st Support: 0.6377
1st Resistance: 0.6465
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap reistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.2719
1st Support: 1.2574
1st Resistance: 1.2812
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: o.9004
1st Support: 0.8919
1st Resistance: 0.9048
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.27
1st Support: 149.66
1st Resistance: 152.64
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
World gold prices increased in the context of the USD fallingFinancial markets became more concerned on Thursday due to concerns of new tariffs from the US and rising tensions between the US and Europe. In addition, the tense relationship between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy also makes the market uneasy, especially when there are signs that Donald Trump may be leaning towards Russian President Vladimir Putin in negotiations on the Russia-Ukraine war.
Gold prices delivered in April maintain a strong upward trend, with the main motivation coming from safe haven demand and speculative cash flow. Currently, the important resistance level is identified at 2,973.4 USD/ounce - the highest level just established, followed by 2,985 USD/ounce. If gold surpasses $3,000/ounce, the upward momentum could continue.
Resist : 2954 , 3000
Support : 2933 , 2900 , 2850
Could the Loonie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.4140
1st Support: 1.4073
1st Resistance: 1.4245
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD0 is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6376
1st Support: 0.6331
1st Resistance: 0.6449
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold
The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong?
Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
2. False Support Bounce Possible
The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers.
3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario
The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher.
A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up.
4. Resistance May Strengthen
Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout.
Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward.
Alternative Outlook
If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further.
A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold
The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook.
2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable
While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply.
3. Liquidity Grab Possibility
The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout.
4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction
News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move.
Alternative Outlook
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping.
Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.