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SILVERThis chart shows Silver (XAG/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe with important levels and technical patterns marked. Here's a breakdown and analysis of the chart: Key Observations: 1. Price Structure: - The price of Silver has been moving in an ascending channel (marked by the blue trendlines), indicating a bullish trend over the period shown on the chart. The price makes higher highs and higher lows in a structured fashion. - Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the channel and reversed, signaling a potential price correction. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The FVG (Fair Value Gap) is marked twice in the chart (at 32.40 - 32.50 and 33.10 - 33.40). An FVG represents an area where the market experienced a sharp price movement, leaving an imbalance. Price tends to return to fill these gaps, so the market could retrace to fill the FVG zones before continuing in either direction. - The FVG gap around 33.10 - 33.40 is particularly important as it has already seen a retest and can potentially act as resistance now. 3. Order Block:- An order block is identified around the 33.40 - 33.60 range, suggesting this is a key resistance zone. If the price approaches this level again, it could face selling pressure, which may result in further downside if the market fails to break above it. 4. Support Level: - The support level is indicated around 32.00 (just above the FVG gap), which could act as a strong floor for the price. If the price retraces lower, this zone is likely to act as a buying opportunity, providing strong support before any further upward movement. 5. Recent Drop: - The price has recently made a sharp bearish move from the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a correction from the recent high of 33.40. The market is likely testing the support level at 32.00 or the FVG zones. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation: - The price has recently broken below the FVG zone around 33.00 and is headed toward the support zone around 32.00. If 32.00 holds as support, we could see a reversal from this level. However, if the price continues lower and breaks through this level, it could target further downside levels, possibly reaching the next FVG gap around 31.50. 2. Bullish Reversal from Support:
TVC:SILVERLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
USOILThis chart shows the WTI Crude Oil (CL) on a 1-hour timeframe with key levels and potential trade setups based on the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support and resistance zones. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Support Level: The price has recently tested the support level around 69.00. This area has acted as a bounce zone previously, which shows that buyers might be looking to enter the market here again. - Resistance Level: The resistance level is around 71.50 to 72.00. This level was previously tested multiple times, and each time the price faced rejection from this level, making it a key area for potential price reversal. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): - There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 70.50 and 71.00. This gap represents a price imbalance where the market might eventually return to fill it. As the price is currently moving downwards, it suggests a potential retracement or reversal toward this gap in the near future. 3. Price Action: - The price has recently shown a downward movement, breaking below the support zone at 69.00. After a sharp decline, there is a possibility of retracement towards the FVG area around 70.50.- Volume: The volume bars show significant buying pressure around the support zone, followed by decreasing volume during the price decline. This could indicate that the selling momentum is weakening, and a retracement towards the FVG area is likely. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Retracement Towards FVG: - After the price dropped towards 69.00, it could now retrace towards the FVG gap around 70.50. The FVG gap might act as a resistance zone if the price attempts to fill it. If this happens, the price might face resistance at this gap level before turning downward again. 2. Bearish Continuation: - If the price fails to hold above 69.00 and breaks further below this support level, it could continue to decline towards the next support zone below 68.50. This would invalidate the retracement scenario and suggest a bearish continuation. 3. Bullish Reversal from Support: - If the price finds support at 69.00 and shows bullish price action (like a bullish engulfing candle or a strong green candle), a reversal could occur, and the price may start moving back toward the FVG gap. A break above the FVG gap could lead to a further rally toward the resistance zone around 71.50. 4. Target Completion:
TVC:USOILLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
GOLD NEXT MOVESpelling Mistakes: "SOPPRT" should be "SUPPORT." Lack of Bearish Scenario: The chart assumes an upward movement, but what happens if price fails to hold the support zones? Volume Analysis Missing: Volume is shown, but its role in confirming trends is unclear. A breakout with high volume would be more reliable. 2. Alternative Perspective Possible Fakeout: The price may not break resistance and could retrace. Stronger Rejection?: The price might struggle at the resistance zone rather than pushing through easily.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
Gold sell Target SuccessfulThe chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, demonstrating a potential retracement and target completion. Below is a detailed analysis of the key points: Key Observations: 1. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The FVG (Fair Value Gap) is shown in the area between 3,007.175 and 3,009.895, which represents a price imbalance. This area often acts as a support zone if the price retraces. It’s clear that the price initially moved above this FVG area before encountering a pullback. 2. Order Block: - The order block area is located just above the FVG zone, between 3,007.510 and 3,032.000. The order block acts as a resistance level, where sellers may enter the market, causing the price to reverse. The chart shows that the price has tested this order block, but it faced resistance and is currently retreating. 3. Target: - The target for this setup is indicated at 3,004.000. After the price fills the FVG gap and tests the order block, the price is expected to retrace further, heading toward this target level. The chart indicates that the target has been completed, which suggests the price has reached this level or is expected to do so soon. 4. Price Action:- The price initially moved upwards, testing the order block and FVG zones, but after facing rejection, it started to move downward. The bearish correction might continue towards the target at 3,004.000. This pattern suggests a retracement after resistance at the order block. 5. Volume: - The volume bars at the bottom of the chart show higher volume during the upward move but decreased volume during the pullback. This could imply that the buying pressure is weakening, and the price is likely to continue its bearish retracement toward the target. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation: - The price is currently retreating from the order block and likely heading toward the FVG to complete the retracement. Once the price fills the FVG gap at 3,004.000, this could provide a buying opportunity for the next bullish move if support is established at this level. 2. Bullish Reversal After Target: - If the price hits the target at 3,004.000 and finds support, a bullish reversal might occur from this level, leading to an upward move toward the order block again. A break above the order block would signal further upside potential. 3. Break of Support:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Joan_Pro_Trader
SILVERThe chart shows Silver (XAG/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with clear indications of an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and a potential pullback to a key support level. Here's the detailed analysis: Key Observations: 1. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The FVG zones are marked above and below the price, with the first one at the top of the chart around 33.1747. This represents an imbalance in price action that may act as a resistance zone. The price has recently tested this FVG area and failed to break through, showing a possible pullback or consolidation before moving further. - The second FVG area below the price is situated around 32.3974, and if the price retraces, this gap could be filled, providing a potential support zone for further price movement. 2. Bullish to Bearish Transition: - The price broke above the previous resistance, but it seems to be facing some rejection at the upper FVG. The potential move here shows the price retracing down towards the lower FVG, indicating a possible correction before the next bullish attempt. - The chart suggests that the price might first test the upper FVG, then retreat, filling the lower FVG, before ultimately finding support around 32.3974. This would provide a solid base for the next upward movement.3. Target: - The target is set at 32.3974, indicating that after filling the lower FVG and retracing, this is the next support level that could help the price stabilize and bounce back. 4. Volume: - The volume at the bottom of the chart shows fluctuating buying and selling pressure, with larger bars during upward price moves. If the price pulls back to the lower FVG and sees a significant increase in buying volume, this would confirm a strong support zone and a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Potential Scenarios: 1. Pullback Scenario: - After testing the upper FVG around 33.1747, the price might retrace toward the lower FVG at 32.3974. If the price holds above this level and shows signs of reversal (such as a bullish candlestick pattern), it could continue its upward move. This would be an opportunity to buy at a lower price. 2. Bearish Breakdown: - If the price fails to hold the 32.3974 support level, it could break lower and continue downward toward the next support levels. In this case, the FVG gap would have been filled, and a new trading range could be established below the current level. 3. Bullish Reversal:
TVC:SILVERShort
by Joan_Pro_Trader
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential: Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area). Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070. 2. Support Holding Strong: Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range. Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection. 3. Sideways Consolidation: Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves). Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move. Support Might Not Hold The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200. Bearish Volume Presence The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside. Resistance Overhead is Strong The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario. Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward. Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated. Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
XAUUSD GOLD 3050 OR 2900?XAUUSD (Gold) - 4H Trade Setup Published: March 16, 2025 🔍 Market Structure: Price is in a strong bullish trend, currently in a short-term retracement phase after a rally. Previous resistance has now turned into potential support zone (marked yellow box). 📌 Key Zones Marked: 🟡 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG): 2950–2965 area → acting as potential bullish reaction zone. 🟦 1H Order Block (OB): 2940–2950 → deeper support in case of extended pullback. 📉 Entry Idea: Wait for price to retrace into 1H FVG zone (yellow box) or deeper into 1H OB (blue box). Look for bullish confirmation (reversal candle / engulfing / BOS) inside those zones for entry. 📈 Target Levels: TP1: 2993.410 🟥 (minor resistance) TP2: 3002.635 🟥 (previous high) 📍 Stop Loss: Below the 1H OB zone (~2938), depending on entry precision. 📐 Trade Plan Options: Option A: Buy Limit inside FVG + OB zone Option B: Wait for bullish reaction on LTF (Lower Timeframe e.g. 15m/1h) → Enter on confirmation. 📊 Risk-Reward: Estimated RR > 1:3, depending on entry accuracy. 🧠 Confirmation Tools (Optional): Fibonacci retracement confluence RSI / OBV divergence 15m BOS & CHoCH for sniper entries
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by naumanfx_
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish) Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal. If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally. Support Failure Instead of Bounce The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead. A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below). Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal. The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop. Fundamental Risks Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally. If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
TVC:USOILLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection. If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce. 2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic. Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move. 3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying. RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal. 4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.). If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones. Possible Alternative Scenario A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider: 1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through. 2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider: A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally. A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction. A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply. 4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices. 5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown: 🔸 Daily Timeframe: • We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs. • However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift. 🔸 H4 Timeframe: • Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure. • Formed a lower high, indicating seller control. 🔸 H1 Timeframe: • Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest. • Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit. • Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade. 🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels: ✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low. ✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues. ⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed: • If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower. 🛠 Trade Management: • Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips. • Current floating: +142 pips. • Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR). • If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains. This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion. If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
FX:USOILShort
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally. Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction. 2. Support Area Failure Risk The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades. 3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal. The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected: The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal. 2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout: Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward. 3. Support Might Not Hold: The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower. 4. Trendline Trap: The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
USOIL READY TO EXPLODE?! DON’T MISS THIS CRUCIAL MOVE!📊 USOIL (Crude Oil) Analysis – February 17 What’s up, traders? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here with another deep dive into the markets, and today, we’re breaking down US Oil (Crude Oil) and the major opportunities setting up. Let’s get straight into it. 📉 Weekly Time Frame Insight • Last week’s candle closed with exhaustion, printing a low at 70.30 but losing volume compared to previous bearish moves. • Key Resistance: 71.55 area was broken, signaling potential bullish momentum. • Impulse Move: Price pushed as high as 79.44 (Jan 13th), breaking past the 77.90 October high before retesting that level. 📊 Daily Time Frame Setup • USOIL is currently ranging in a consolidation zone, and we are at the lower region of this range. • Buy Zone Identified: • Three bottom touches suggest a strong support level. • Higher low structure forming at 70.58, above the previous Feb 6th low of 70.34. • If bulls hold this zone, we could see a strong push to the upside. 🕒 4H Time Frame Execution Plan • Structure Confirmation: After a deep retracement, price failed to print a new low. • Liquidity Sweep: A wick below 70.16 may have stopped early buyers before price reclaimed. • Entry Plan: • Buy near 70.68 (entry level). • Stops below the recent low. • Targeting 72.04, then 73.32, with further upside potential to 74.21+ if consolidation breaks. • Channel Formation: USOIL is respecting an upward-sloping trend channel that could continue bouncing before a major breakout or breakdown. 🚀 What’s Next? If bulls maintain control, we could see an explosive breakout, targeting higher liquidity zones above 74.21. However, if price breaks down, we may see another leg lower before a final push up. 🔥 What do you think? Will oil rally higher or break down? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 📢 If you found this breakdown valuable: ✅ Boost this post ✅ Share it with a fellow trader ✅ Follow for more Let’s catch these moves! 🚀💰 #USOIL #CrudeOil #Trading #Forex #MarketBreakdown
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by BlueOceanFxAcademy