EURNZD Trendline & Hawkish ECB Bias Support Bullish ContinuationEURNZD is holding beautifully above the ascending trendline on the 4H, and I’m watching this level closely for a bounce continuation setup. Fundamentally, the euro remains supported by sticky inflation and hawkish ECB commentary, while the kiwi is showing softness after dovish signals from the RBNZ and mixed jobs data. If this trendline holds, I’ll be targeting a retest of the upper wedge resistance near 1.9640.
🔍 Technical Setup (4H):
Structure: Ascending triangle forming – price is pressing into dynamic support.
Support Zone: Around 1.9480 trendline area – price rejected this level several times in July.
Resistance Target: 1.9640 highs – double top and triangle resistance.
Bullish Confirmation: Rebound with bullish engulfing or strong 4H close above 1.9525 could trigger long setup.
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and 1.9440 invalidates bullish scenario short-term.
💡 Fundamental Insight:
EUR Drivers:
ECB members remain cautious about declaring victory on inflation.
German and Eurozone CPI data remain above target, supporting higher-for-longer ECB stance.
Speculation that ECB won't cut aggressively compared to RBNZ.
NZD Weakness:
RBNZ minutes show concern over downside inflation risks.
Labor market cooling, and migration pressures remain high.
Commodity and China-linked sentiment weakening NZD.
⚠️ Key Risks:
If Eurozone inflation or PMI data surprises to the downside, EUR may weaken.
RBNZ hawkish pivot or surprise tightening would flip sentiment toward NZD.
Global risk-on could favor NZD as a high-beta currency.
🧭 Summary:
I’m bullish on EURNZD as long as price holds above the trendline near 1.9480. The technical structure shows a clean ascending pattern, and the fundamentals currently favor EUR strength over NZD. My eyes are on a potential move toward 1.9640, especially if upcoming ECB rhetoric stays hawkish. EURNZD tends to lead NZD-crosses like NZDJPY or NZDCHF in risk-off regimes and could signal euro strength if it breaks out. Watching closely for price action confirmation.
Forexsignalservice
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Bearish Flag Structure:
The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective.
✅ Fib Levels & Confluence:
Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area.
✅ Target Zones:
First support: 0.6458
Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370
These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence.
📉 Fundamental Drivers:
Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance.
Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor.
Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure.
⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias:
Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy.
A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains.
🔸 Technical Structure (4H)
Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone.
Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower.
Downside targets:
🔹 First: 1.1637
🔹 Second: 1.1527
🔹 Final: 1.1445
Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly).
🧭 Key Fundamentals
🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand.
🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth.
Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside.
Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR.
⚠️ Risks to Watch
A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed.
Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales.
Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness.
New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises.
📆 Key Events Ahead
🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength.
🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts.
🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR.
🔄 Leader or Lagger?
EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves.
Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses.
Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it.
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
NZD/USD "KIWI HEIST" – BEARISH BANK ROBBERY!🦹♂️ NZD/USD "THE KIWI HEIST" – BEARISH BANK ROBBERY PLAN! 🚨💰
(Thief Trading Style – Short Entry Strategy for Maximum Loot!)
🎯 MASTER TRADING HEIST BLUEPRINT
🔥 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Analysis Confirms:
NZD/USD is OVERBOUGHT + TREND REVERSAL!
Police (Bulls) set a TRAP near the Red Zone (Support) – Time to ESCAPE with profits before they catch us!
✔ Entry Point (Bearish Loot Grab):
*"The vault is UNLOCKED! Swipe SHORT anywhere – but for SAFER HEIST, use Sell Limit orders (15m/30m pullbacks). Pro Thieves use DCA/Layering for max gains!"*
✔ Stop Loss (Escape Route):
"SL at nearest 4H Swing High (0.60400). Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance & loot size!"
✔ Target 🎯 (Profit Escape):
0.58900 (or exit earlier if cops (bulls) show up!)
⚠️ THIEF’S WARNING – NEWS & RISK MANAGEMENT
📢 High-Impact News = VOLATILITY TRAP!
Avoid new trades during news releases.
Trailing SL = Lock profits & evade market cops!
💥 SCALPERS & SWING THIEVES – QUICK NOTES:
Scalpers: Only quick LONG scalp plays (use Trailing SL!).
Swing Thieves: Hold for the BIG BEARISH LOOT! 🏦
📉 WHY NZD/USD IS BEARISH? (Thief’s Intel Report)
Overbought + Trend Reversal Signals!
Bulls (Police) losing strength at Resistance!
For FULL Intel (Fundamentals, COT Report, Sentiment, etc.) – Klickk 🔗!
🚀 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share for More Loot Plans!)
💖 "Hit 👍 BOOST to strengthen our THIEF SQUAD! More heists = More profits!"
📌 DISCLAIMER (Stay Safe, Thieves!):
This is NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk & manage positions wisely!
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🎭
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫
🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️
🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸
💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup
🎯 Target: 1.15800
🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view)
🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H
🧭 ENTRY ZONE:
👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped.
🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires.
💼 RISK STRATEGY:
💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all!
📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe.
🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY:
The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including:
📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro
💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits
🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend
📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength
📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone
⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel
📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint.
🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT:
🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up!
💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases.
🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits.
🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start.
⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement.
We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses.
🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault.
We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁
⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏):
This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers.
Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves.
🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉
– Thief Trader Out 🐱👤🚀
EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | D14 | Y25 GAP SHORT!!!!💼 EURJPY SHORT – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W29 | D14 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
EURJPY is currently reacting from a key higher time frame supply zone, with price action showing weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
Previous bullish momentum is losing steam; structure is flattening with rejection wicks forming.
✅ 4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
1H structure shift bearish
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN)
💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!
"Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!"
🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics):
Entry Zone (Pullback Heist):
📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest!
📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum!
"Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!"
🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size!
🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING:
"Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!"
📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers):
Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment).
Overbought but institutional demand holding strong.
"Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!"
⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT:
News = Volatility = Police Ambush!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!"
🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
Stealing Pips Like a Pro – AUD/NZD Long Heist, MA Breakout Setup🎯 AUD/NZD Heist: Bullish Bank Robbery 🚀💰 (Thief Trading Style)
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to loot the AUD/NZD "Aussie vs Kiwi" Forex Bank!
🔎 The Heist Setup (Long Entry Focus)
🐂 Bullish Breakout Strategy:
Entry: Wait for MA breakout (1.08150) then strike!
Alternative Entry: Place Buy Stop above MA OR Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe).
Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation!
🛑 Stop Loss (Thief’s Safety Net):
"Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're entering via Buy Stop, don’t set SL until after breakout!
Thief’s SL Zone: Nearest swing low (1.07500 – 3H timeframe).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and trade plan.
🎯 Profit Targets:
1st Target: 1.08600 (or escape earlier if cops lurk!).
Scalpers: Only scalp LONG! Use trailing SL to protect gains.
⚠️ Critical Heist Rules:
Avoid news chaos! 🚨 No new trades during high-impact news.
Lock profits with trailing stops.
Cops (Bears) are strong near resistance – don’t get caught!
💥 Boost the Heist!
💖 Hit the "Boost" button to strengthen our robbery squad! More likes = more 💰easy money heists!
Stay tuned for the next big steal! 🏆🚀🐱👤
"Vault Breached! NZD/USD Bullish Loot (Live Heist)"🚨 "THE KIWI BANK HEIST" 🏦💰
NZD/USD Bullish Raid – Loot Fast Before the Cops Arrive!
🌟 Greetings, Money Bandits! 🌟 (Hola! Bonjour! Ciao! Konnichiwa!)
🔥 Thief Trading Intel:
The Vault is Open! 🏦➡️📈 – Price is bullish, but overbought.
Red Zone = Police Trap! 🚨 (Resistance/Reversal Risk)
Escape Plan: Take profits near 0.62400 (or bail early if traps trigger).
🔐 ENTRY: "BREAK IN NOW!"
"Buy the dip!" – Use 15M/30M swing lows for stealthy entries.
Set Alerts! ⏰ (Don’t miss the heist!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS: "THIEF’S SAFETY NET"
"Hide at 0.59500 (4H Swing Low)" – Adjust based on your loot size!
🎯 TARGET: "GRAB & VANISH!"
"0.62400 or escape earlier!" – Don’t get greedy; cops (bears) are lurking.
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
"Only steal LONG!" – Use trailing SL to protect your bag.
"Rich? Charge in! Poor? Wait for swings!"
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
"Kiwi is bullish… but check the news!" 📰 (COT, Macro Data, Sentiment)
⚠️ ALERT: Avoid trading during high-impact news – cops (volatility) love chaos!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share = More Loot!)
🚀 "Support the crew! Hit 👍, and let’s rob this market blind!" 💸🤝
Next heist coming soon… Stay tuned, bandits! 🏴☠️🎭
GBP/NZD: The Great Liquidity Grab? (Long Trade Plan)"🏦💰 GBP/NZD BANK VAULT RAID: Bullish Heist in Progress! (Long Setup) 💰🏦
🚨 Overbought Trap? Or Trend Continuation? Here’s How to Loot Pips Safely! 🚨
🦸♂️ GREETINGS, MARKET MARAUDERS!
To all the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💸
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a ruthless combo of price action + liquidity grabs + macro triggers), we’re executing a bullish heist on GBP/NZD ("Sterling vs Kiwi")—this is not advice, just a strategic raid blueprint for those who trade like outlaws.
📈 THE HEIST PLAN (LONG ENTRY FOCUS)
🎯 Profit Zone: 2.28700 (or escape earlier if momentum stalls)
💥 High-Stakes Play: Overbought but squeezing higher—trap for bears.
🕵️♂️ Trap Spot: Where sellers get liquidated.
🔑 ENTRY RULES:
"The Vault’s Open!" – Swipe bullish loot on pullbacks (15-30min TF).
Buy Limit Orders near swing lows for better risk/reward.
Aggressive? Enter at market—but tighter stops.
📌 SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout retest.
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route):
Thief SL at recent swing low (2H timeframe).
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to the market."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 2.28700 (or trail partials).
Scalpers: Ride long waves only. Trailing SL = VIP exit pass.
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Before raiding, check:
✅ COT Data (Are funds long GBP/short NZD?)
✅ Rate Spreads (GBP vs NZD yield shifts)
✅ Commodity Correlations (Dairy prices? Risk mood?)
✅ Sentiment Extreme (Retail over-shorting?)
🚨 NEWS RISK ALERT
Avoid new trades during RBNZ/BOE speeches (unless you like volatility casinos).
Trailing stops = your bulletproof vest.
💣 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fuel our next raid!
🔁 Share to recruit more trading bandits!
🤑 See you at the target, rebels!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#Forex #GBPNZD #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #TrendContinuation #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Long already—or waiting for a deeper pullback?" 👇🔥
GBP/CAD: Smart Money Heist Strategy – Ready for the Breakout?💼💣 GBP/CAD Forex Bank Heist Plan 🚨 | "Thief Trading Style" 💹💰
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Welcome to all strategic traders, market tacticians & opportunity seekers! 🧠💸
Here’s our latest Forex blueprint based on the exclusive “Thief Trading Style” – a blend of tactical technicals, smart fundamentals, and stealthy price action moves. We’re preparing for a potential breakout heist on the GBP/CAD a.k.a “The Pound vs Loonie”.
🗺️ Heist Strategy Overview:
The market is forming a bullish setup with signs of consolidation, breakout potential, and trend reversal dynamics. We're eyeing a long entry, but timing is everything. This setup seeks to "enter the vault" just as resistance is breached and ride the move until the ATR High-Risk Zone—where many market players may exit.
🎯 Entry Plan:
📈 Primary Trigger Zone: Watch for a break and close above 1.87000.
🛎️ Set an alert! You’ll want to be ready when the opportunity knocks.
📍Entry Tips:
Place Buy Stop orders above the moving average or
Use Buy Limit entries on pullbacks near recent 15/30min swing lows.
(Perfect for both scalpers and swing traders!)
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
Thief Trading Style uses a flexible SL system:
Recommended SL at the nearest 4H swing low (~1.85700)
Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk appetite & number of orders
🎤 Reminder: Set SL after breakout confirmation for buy-stop entries. No fixed rule—adapt to your style but manage risk wisely.
🎯 Target Zone:
🎯 Primary TP: 1.89000
🏃♂️ Or exit earlier if price enters a high-risk reversal area
🧲 Scalpers: Stick to long-side trades only and protect your profits with a trailing SL.
🔍 Why GBP/CAD? (Fundamental Notes):
Current momentum is bullish, supported by:
📊 Quant & Sentiment Analysis
📰 Macro Fundamentals & COT Data
📈 Intermarket Trends & Technical Scoring
Get the full data klick it 🔗
⚠️ Caution During News:
To avoid volatility spikes:
Refrain from entering new positions during high-impact news
Use trailing SLs to protect running profits
❤️ Show Support & Stay Tuned:
Smash the 🔥Boost Button🔥 if you love this kind of analysis!
Support the strategy, strengthen our community, and let’s continue this journey of smart, stylish trading.
Stay tuned for the next “heist plan” update—trade smart, stay alert, and manage your risk like a pro. 🏆📈🤝
"NZD/USD Bullish Heist! Steal Pips Before the Reversal Trap! 🏴☠️ NZD/USD Kiwi Heist Masterplan – Steal the Bull Run! 💰
🌟 Hola, Money Makers & Market Marauders! 🌟
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style raid on the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex vault. Follow the blueprint sketched in the chart for a bold long takeover — escape the high‑risk Yellow MA Zone before guards tighten!
🎯 Heist Blueprint
1. Entry 🚀
"The vault swings wide—yank that Bull loot at any price!"
Drop your buy-limit orders within the next 15–30 min (or at the latest swing low/high). Don’t sleep—set chart alerts for the perfect breach.
2. Stop‑Loss 🛑
Thief-style SL lurks at the nearest 5h swing‑low wick (≈ 0.60400) for intra‑day.
Adjust your SL based on your risk appetite, position size, and combo of orders.
3. Target 🎯
Aim to escape by 0.62000, or bail early for safety.
4. Scalpers’ Edge 🔍
Only rob on the long side. Big bankroll? Go all‑in. Prefer safety? Slide into the swing crew with a trailing SL to lock in your spoils.
🔍 Market Intel
Why the Kiwi Loot is Ripe:
Bullish momentum marches on, fueled by macroeconomic clues, COT data, sentiment shifts, inter-market moves — all pointing upward.
📚 For Full Recon:
Dive into the fundamental, macro, COT, quant, sentiment & intermarket intel — plus trend targets and scorecards. Check the data here 👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Caution Zone
News Watch & Position Safety:
Major news = guarded vault. Don't open new trades during release windows.
If you're in already, use trailing stops to shield your haul and lock in gains.
💪 Support the Crew
Smash that “Boost” to fuel our team and keep the raid running smooth. With Thief Trading Style, every day’s a payday.
🗓️ Stay tuned for the next Kiwi Heist – we’re just getting started. Happy robbing, legends! 🐱👤💥
EURNZD – Bearish Reversal Expected from Channel Top ResistanceEURNZD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the 2H chart and printed a rejection wick, suggesting exhaustion and potential for a pullback. The pair is likely to retrace toward the channel midline or base, with downside targets near 1.9423 and 1.9264, assuming confirmation follows.
🧠 Fundamentals:
EUR Drivers:
ECB remains cautious with weak Eurozone inflation and rising recession risks.
Recent German and Eurozone data (retail sales, factory orders) disappointed.
Political instability in France and ECB’s dovish tone are capping upside momentum in the euro.
NZD Drivers:
RBNZ remains one of the more hawkish central banks, reiterating restrictive stance despite slowing inflation.
Dairy auctions improved recently, adding strength to NZD fundamentals.
China exposure is a double-edged sword — optimism helps, but slowdown risk remains.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Clear ascending channel from mid-June remains intact.
Price rejected perfectly at the upper trendline near 1.9585.
Strong bearish divergence may form if rejection persists.
Bearish scenario targets the 1.9423 zone first (support + midline), then 1.9264 (bottom of channel).
Invalid if price breaks and closes above 1.9600 on strong volume.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
A sudden euro bid from safe-haven demand or ECB surprise could break the channel.
NZD weakness could emerge if China disappoints or RBNZ shifts tone unexpectedly.
🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
EURNZD often lags risk-sensitive NZD pairs (like NZDJPY, NZDCAD), especially during Asia session moves. However, during European hours, EUR’s tone can dominate due to ECB speeches or EU data.
✅ Trade Bias: Bearish
TP1: 1.9423
TP2: 1.9264
SL: Above 1.9600
Event to Watch:
ECB speakers this week
China CPI/PPI (affects NZD)
US CPI (indirect cross-pressure on both currencies)
📌 Look for bearish confirmation on the 2H/4H candle close below 1.9540. Risk-reward favors a tactical short if the channel structure holds.
XAUUSD setup selling ideas h4Disruptive Gold Analysis – 4H Chart Perspective
Symbol: XAU/USD 🥇 | Timeframe: 4H
Date: July 9, 2025
⸻
🔁 Scenario Disruption: Potential Bullish Reversal
✅ While the original analysis shows a bearish continuation setup with consolidation under resistance and breakdown towards multiple downside targets, a disruptive view considers a false breakdown or support flip scenario.
⸻
🔁 Alternative Viewpoint:
📍 Current Price Action:
Price is testing the support zone (~3,280–3,290) which has held multiple times in the past.
🟢 Disruption Possibility:
1. Bullish Fakeout Trap Setup:
• Price may create a false breakdown below support to trap sellers.
• A quick recovery and breakout above the consolidation highs (~3,310–3,320) would invalidate the bearish continuation.
2. Resistance Flip Setup:
• If the market reclaims above 3,320, we may see a bullish push towards the key resistance zone at 3,360–3,380.
• This could evolve into a range breakout bullish trend continuation toward previous highs.
⸻
🔄 Disruption Targets:
• 📈 Immediate Upside Target: 3,320
• 📈 Breakout Target: 3,360
• 📈 Extended Bullish Target: 3,400+
⸻
⚠️ Invalidation Level:
If price closes below 3,270, then the original bearish scenario remains intact, with continuation toward 3,240 → 3,200 → 3,140.
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers.
📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move:
✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80.
✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon.
✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD.
✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges.
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal.
Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again.
Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently.
🔎 Correlation Dynamics:
📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead.
📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up.
🧠 Trading Plan:
📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence)
🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib)
🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance)
🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction)
Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings
JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+
🧭 Summary:
USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by:
Rising yields
Resilient US macro
Weak JPY fundamentals
Technical structure respecting trendline support
Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment.
📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
NZDUSD Hits Channel Top Bearish Momentum BuildingNZDUSD pair has touched a key resistance zone near the top of its rising channel and is showing early signs of rejection. This technical inflection point aligns with weakening New Zealand economic sentiment and renewed strength in the US dollar. The stage is set for a bearish rotation, with several support targets now in focus if momentum continues to build to the downside.
📉 Current Bias: Bearish
NZDUSD has failed to break above the 0.6085–0.6090 resistance area, marking repeated rejections at the channel’s upper boundary. Price action and structure suggest a potential move back toward 0.6000 and deeper levels such as 0.5960 and 0.5910 if support fails.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
RBNZ on Hold and Dovish Leaning: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has paused its tightening cycle, with Governor Orr signaling no urgency to hike further amid weakening domestic demand and subdued inflation momentum.
US Dollar Support: The USD is gaining traction amid Fed officials maintaining a hawkish hold tone, and with markets paring back bets on near-term rate cuts due to sticky inflation and resilient labor data.
NZ Economic Weakness: New Zealand’s growth has stagnated, with recent trade and retail data underwhelming. Business sentiment remains subdued, adding to downside Kiwi pressure.
⚠️ Risks to the Trend:
Soft US Data: Any major downside surprise in upcoming US labor market or inflation figures could reignite Fed rate cut bets and weigh on the dollar, lifting NZDUSD.
China Rebound: As China is a major trading partner for New Zealand, any strong recovery signs or stimulus headlines out of Beijing could buoy NZD on improved trade expectations.
Unexpected RBNZ Hawkishness: If the RBNZ pivots back to a more aggressive tone due to inflation persistence, NZD could find renewed strength.
📅 Key News/Events Ahead:
US PCE Inflation (June 28): Core metric closely watched by the Fed; any surprise will directly impact USD flows.
NZIER QSBO Survey (July 2): Offers insight into New Zealand business confidence.
US ISM Manufacturing & NFP (July 1–5): Major USD drivers with implications for broader market sentiment.
⚖️ Leader or Lagger?
NZDUSD is currently a lagger, often following directional shifts in USD majors like EURUSD and AUDUSD. However, due to its sensitivity to Chinese data and Fed rate expectations, it may accelerate moves once broader USD sentiment is established.
🎯 Conclusion:
NZDUSD looks poised for a bearish pullback from the channel top, with a confluence of macro and technical factors suggesting pressure toward 0.6000, 0.5960, and potentially 0.5910. While downside momentum builds, attention must remain on US data, China headlines, and RBNZ commentary for any sentiment shift. Bears hold the upper hand for now, but risk events ahead could challenge the momentum.
AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs.
🧠 Fundamentals:
AUD Strength Drivers:
RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks.
Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD.
Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns.
JPY Weakness Drivers:
BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July.
Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening.
Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Strong upward channel since early June remains valid.
Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg.
Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry.
Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63.
Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break).
⚠️ Risk Factors:
Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY.
China growth fears can weigh on AUD.
A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals.
🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets.
✅ Trade Bias: Bullish
TP1: 94.77
TP2: 95.36
TP3 (aggressive): 95.63
SL: Below 93.80
Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11)
📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 D8 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
XAUUSD h4 down pattranDouble Top Yes Break above neckline = Bullish invalidation
Resistance Selling Zone Yes May flip to support
Target Zone (3,260) Yes Over-tested support may trigger reversal instead
FVG (~3,200) Yes May not fill if bullish momentum sustains
Strong Support (~3,100) Yes Price might not drop that far before buyers
WITH ZARA..FVG
Swiss Vault Job: GBP/CHF Entry Blueprint Unlocked🕵️♂️💼 GBP/CHF: The Swiss Vault Infiltration Protocol 💼🕵️♂️
(Swing/Day Plan — Executed in Silence, Paid in Profits)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Silent Operators, 🤑💰💸✈️
Welcome to the Thief Trading Syndicate's Strategic Playbook – today’s mission targets the GBP/CHF vault. We’ve cooked up a master plan powered by our signature blend of technical finesse and stealthy macro-insight. This setup is based on institutional footprints and high-stakes zones where liquidity flows like digital gold.
📊 Current Bias:
🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play.
📈 Entry Strategy:
Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required.
Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.”
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope.
🎯 Profit Extraction Target:
Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams).
Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up.
📰 Strategic Conditions:
This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps.
→ For full details: Fundamental macros, COT leaks, sentiment drift, and institutional zones — check your sources.
🚨 News & Risk Protocols:
No new entries during red-folder events.
Use trailing stops to lock loot and run.
💥 Boost Our Bandits!
Smash that ❤️ to strengthen our robbing force. Each tap fuels future missions. No indicators. Just raw street-smart trading edge.
👀 More heists incoming. Stay low. Stay sharp. Stay profitable. 🐱👤🎯📈
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Exclusive: GBP/USD Swing Heist – Limited-Time Opportunity!🏴☠️ GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Cops Arrive! 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
"The vault is unlocked—time to swipe those pips!"
🔥 THIEF TRADING STRATEGY (Swing/Day) 🔥
Based on high-risk, high-reward technical & fundamental analysis, here’s the master plan to plunder GBP/USD ("The Cable")!
📈 ENTRY (Bullish Heist Zone)
"The vault is OPEN!" – Long at any price, but for precision:
Buy Limit orders preferred (15m-30m timeframe).
Pullback entries from recent swing lows/highs = sneakiest loot grab!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route)
Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H chart).
Adjust based on: Risk tolerance, lot size, & number of orders.
"A good thief always has an exit plan!"
🎯 TARGETS
1.37500 (or escape early if the cops 🚓 (bearish traps) show up!).
Scalpers: Only long-side raids! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
💥 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Momentum)
Technicals + Fundamentals align for a potential breakout.
Overbought? Risky? Yes—but the best loot is guarded!
📢 TRADING ALERT (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = police sirens!).
Trailing stops = Your getaway car. Protect profits!
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
💖 Hit "Like" & "Boost" to fuel our next raid!
💬 Comment your loot tally below!
"Stay sharp, thieves—see you at the next heist! 🤑🔥"