Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Bearish Analysis:
🧱 1. Failed Breakout Attempt
Price is hovering at resistance but showing indecisive candles (small bodies, wicks on both sides).
This hints at buyer exhaustion rather than breakout momentum.
📉 2. Bearish Divergence (Possible)
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD—not shown here) are diverging from price, it could signal a reversal.
Price rising while momentum flattens or drops suggests a fakeout is likely.
🕳️ 3. Liquidity Grab Trap
The chart may show a classic “bull trap”:
Price broke resistance briefly but quickly fell back.
This signals institutional liquidity grab, possibly before a downward push.
🔽 4. Volume Imbalance
The spike in volume earlier may be followed by decreasing bullish volume, indicating weak follow-through.
Sellers could take over if bulls can’t sustain pressure.
Forexstrategy
Market next move 🔻 1. False Breakout Risk
Price is hovering right at the resistance-turned-support zone.
The candles above this zone have long upper wicks, signaling rejection and selling pressure.
This may be a bull trap before reversal.
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📉 2. Decreasing Bull Volume
Volume peaked earlier, but the most recent green candles are showing lower volume, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Lack of strong follow-through volume often precedes reversals.
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🕳️ 3. Overextended Rally
Gold has moved sharply upward recently (over +2.5%).
There may be a need for a cooldown or retracement, especially if no fresh catalysts emerge.
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⚠️ 4. Macro Factors Unpriced
The chart includes a U.S. event icon, likely representing upcoming economic data (e.g., Fed comments, job reports).
Any hawkish surprise (rate hike concerns, strong jobs report) could cause a sharp reversal in gold due to rising yields and a stronger USD.
We could see an upward move up to $3350!There is a lot of buy-side liquidity resting in the gold market. There are 2 to 3 daily highs currently unchallenged, and even a weekly high is in place. The market has already moved downward and created inducement (a trap or manipulation to draw sellers in), which now makes the market appear bullish from this point.
We could see an upward move up to $3350 or even higher—especially if a 4-hour candle closes above $3360. At this point, it’s better to wait for clear displacement (strong movement indicating a direction). After that, we’ll see how the market develops.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Market next target
⚠️ Disruption Points:
1. Dubious Support Zone
The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing).
This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern
The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence.
A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop.
3. Weak Buyer Commitment
Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out.
If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity.
4. Downtrend Still Dominant
The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows.
Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature.
5. Risk-Reward Imbalance
The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance.
If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
The chart shows a support area around the 3340 USD level.
There are two bullish scenarios outlined with blue and yellow arrows, implying a price increase from the support zone.
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Disruption/Critical Analysis:
1. Overreliance on Short-Term Support:
The chart assumes the marked support area will hold, but no confirmation (like a bullish candlestick pattern or strong buying volume) is evident yet. A break below that zone could lead to a bearish move instead.
2. Volume Weakness:
Recent candles near the support zone are not backed by significantly increasing volume. This suggests weak buying interest, making the bullish forecast potentially over-optimistic.
3. No Consideration of Macroeconomic Events:
The chart doesn't factor in fundamental drivers (like U.S. economic data, Fed announcements), which can easily invalidate technical patterns.
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
Identifies a bullish structure breaking above a support area.
Projects a potential continuation to higher targets.
Suggests consolidation and bounce from support before climbing.
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Disruptive Bearish Interpretation:
1. Lower High Possibility:
Recent price action might be forming a lower high rather than a continuation signal, signaling weakness in buying pressure.
2. Volume Imbalance:
Notice how the large green candle was followed by lower bullish volume, suggesting buying momentum is fading.
3. Breakout Trap:
The "Support area" may instead be a liquidity zone where breakout traders entered long positions and could now be trapped. A break below this area could cause a panic sell-off.
4. Trendline Respect (Rejection):
Price is currently retesting the underside of a descending trendline — a common reversal spot.
USDCHF 30M Smart Money Entry from Demand — Watch This Level🧠 USDCHF 30M | SMC Precision Entry
Let’s break down this sniper play on USDCHF that’s setting up right from a Smart Money demand zone.
🔻 1. Liquidity Sweep Into Demand
Price broke structure earlier, then pulled back into a clear demand block.
We saw liquidity grabbed beneath multiple swing lows before this sharp rejection.
This is classic Smart Money accumulation — they take out weak hands before pumping it up.
🧱 2. Order Block + FVG Alignment
Price is reacting off a refined OB zone (marked in red) with a Fair Value Gap right above.
That OB was the last down move before the push up, and price just tapped into it clean.
The overlap of these two areas adds confluence for bulls.
📈 3. Entry + TP Setup (RRR ≈ 3:1)
📍 Entry Zone: 0.84070 – 0.84200 (inside OB)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below OB, around 0.84000
✅ Take Profit: 0.84750 (clean imbalance above)
There’s a wide imbalance zone above, which price may be magnetized toward.
🔥 4. Why This Works
✅ Liquidity Grab
✅ OB + FVG Confluence
✅ Bullish Reaction Wicks
✅ Tight SL Below Structure
✅ Clean RRR
This setup is Smart Money 101 — let them sweep, you step in with precision 💯
💬 Drop “📍USDCHF OB Tap” if you saw this coming.
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for SMC setups that work.
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) in Action: Live ExampleHey traders,
Following up on yesterday’s lesson about the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP), I wanted to share a real-time example using the CADJPY pair in an intraday downtrend.
Today, we spotted a TCP setup where price action gave us a classic reversal signal:
The market manipulated the low of the TCP zone with a single break.
This was followed by a W pattern and a second attempt that failed to make a lower low.
That failure to create a new low acted as our entry confirmation for a long position.
🔹 Entry: 103.71 (Long)
🔹 Stop Loss: 103.28 (Just below the break low for protection)
This trade setup perfectly illustrates how price structure and momentum shifts can help you catch early entries during trend reversals.
Stay sharp, manage your risk — and have a blessed trading day!
GBP/USD Breakdown – Support Under Pressure, Bearish Target AheadChart Analysis:
The GBP/USD pair is currently trading around 1.29578, facing resistance near 1.30366.
A support zone has been identified around 1.29000, which the price is testing.
If this support level breaks, we could see a bearish move toward the next target near 1.26970.
Strong support is positioned lower, which may act as a key reversal point if the decline continues.
Trading Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the current support, a drop toward 1.26970 seems likely.
Bullish Scenario: If GBP/USD holds above support, we may see a retest of resistance at 1.30366.
Conclusion:
Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or rejection at support before taking positions. A clean break below could trigger a stronger bearish move. 🚨
GBP/USD - Potential Bearish Reversal Setup
📉Market Structure:
The pair has been in an uptrend, forming a rising channel. However, price is now facing strong resistance around 1.2936 - 1.3009, showing signs of exhaustion. A potential reversal could be forming.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.2936 - 1.3009
Current Price: 1.2936
Target Support: 1.2208
📊 Trade Idea:
A rejection from the resistance zone could initiate a bearish move.
A confirmed breakdown below 1.2900 may trigger further downside toward the 1.2208 target zone.
Stop-loss placed above the 1.3009 resistance to manage risk.
🚨 Confirmation & Risk Management:
Bearish Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with strong selling momentum.
Invalidation: A breakout above 1.3009, indicating bullish continuation.
Risk Management: Stop-loss at 1.3009 with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
This setup suggests a short opportunity if price respects resistance and begins a downward move. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering.
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Vertical lines are colored and placed to indicate the expected direction of the price. Just my thoughts.
Analysis Gold buy NowDistance Analysis from Current Price (2,921.67 USD)
1. Resistance Level (2,955.44 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 33.77 USD
2. Intermediate Resistance (Green Line around 2,940 USD
Distance from Current Price: 18.33 USD
3. Support Level (Middle Red Zone around 2,910 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 11.67 USD
4. Major Support (Lower Red Line around 2,900 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 21.67 USD
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Potential Price Movements:
Bullish Case:
If the price breaks above 2,940, it may rise toward the major resistance at 2,955.44 (+33.77 USD).
Bearish Case:
If the price drops below 2,910, it could decline toward 2,900 (-21.67 USD).
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Consolidation, Demand Zones✅ Daily Timeframe Insights:
The EUR/USD has been consolidating between the 25% and 75% levels of its range. A potential upside continuation is expected if the demand zone at the bottom of the range holds. We’re eyeing a breakout of key levels for a bullish push.
✅ Weekly Timeframe Overview:
The EUR/USD is poised to target the previous week's high, supported by a weekly structural shift. This aligns with a broader retracement from liquidity lows, indicating strong momentum for further upside in the short term.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 1.04670 (December high) is critical for further bullish confirmation.
Immediate downside risk arises if the current demand zone fails to hold.
✅ Economic Impact:
Today’s inflation data release will likely drive significant volatility. Traders should prepare for rapid price action and adjust strategies accordingly.
⚙️ Technical Tools & Key Concepts Used:
Liquidity zones
Supply & demand analysis
Fibonacci retracements (0.5 and 0.618 levels)
Weekly and daily fractal structure shifts
🚀 Forecast Summary:
While the bullish trend remains intact, news events like inflation figures could create temporary volatility or even reversals. For now, EUR/USD’s demand zones remain in control, favoring upside continuation. A break below key levels would signal short-term bearish opportunities.
Tags:
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
TOSH/USD Long Setup | Fresh H1 Demand Zone Formation TOSH/USD is setting up for a potential long opportunity as price hovers around $0.000800, preparing to form a fresh demand zone on the H1 timeframe.
✅ Supply & Demand Strategy – A new demand zone is developing, indicating strong buyer interest.
✅ Bullish Reversal Potential – If price confirms the zone, we may see an upward move.
✅ Key Support Levels – Watching for confirmation around $0.000800 to validate entry.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Optimization – Stop-loss below the demand zone, targeting higher liquidity levels.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔹 Entry: Await confirmation of demand zone formation.
🔹 Targets: Look for potential resistance levels above.
🔹 Risk Management: Use proper SL & position sizing.
📊 What’s Next?
If buyers step in at the new demand zone, we could see bullish momentum taking price towards the next resistance levels. Stay tuned for updates!
#TOSHUSD #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #ForexStrategy #TradingView
GBP/USD Bullish Setup: Buyers Show Strong InterestAnalysis:
The Cable (GBP/USD) on the hourly chart has demonstrated impressive strength to the upside recently. However, on Friday, we observed a trend-changing pullback, with price retreating from a high of 1.2502 to a low of 1.2426.
Following this, the price broke the previous high again before creating a momentum low at 1.2414 earlier today.
On the 5-minute chart, a bullish setup has now formed following the momentum low. This suggests that buyers remain engaged, and we could see a bullish move back towards the 1.2499 level or potentially the high of 1.2524.
Entry Price: 1.2447 Long Entry
Stop Loss: 1.2412
Happy trading!
London Session Forex Market Analysis: USD Strength Leads the wayHi Traders,
Here’s a quick market analysis for the London session.
We’ve observed some notable movements in the currency pairs under review. As a quick recap from our weekly trade planning session (Portfolio Selection):
Strong currencies: USD remains the leader, followed by JPY, CAD, CHF, and AUD.
Weak currencies: EUR, NZD, and GBP.
The USD's bullish momentum is clearly dominating across the board, providing opportunities to target selling the weaker currencies against the USD.
Remember to approach the markets with a clear plan and stick to your trading plan.
Happy Trading!
USD/JPY Long Setup: Gap Fill in Focus
A recent price gap on the USD/JPY chart suggests potential for a long position. Given the price gap, we expect a possible gap fill scenario similar to last week, where the price moved to close the gap. This provides an opportunity to enter a long trade, anticipating upward movement with a careful stop loss.
Support Zone : 151.650 - 151.752
Stop Loss: 151.596
Take Profit : 152.878
WHAT ARE GOLD GOING TO DO? HERE IS THE COMPLETE ANALYSIS 2H TFTechnical Analysis: Currently, XAU/USD is approaching the resistance level at $2790, where I believe we could see a significant selling opportunity. This level has historically acted as a barrier, and recent price action suggests that bullish momentum may be waning. If the price reaches $2790, I anticipate a potential reversal, with targets set for a downward move towards $2765. A break below $2775 would further confirm bearish sentiment, opening the door for additional downside.
Fundamental Analysis: The gold market is heavily influenced by shifts in monetary policy and global economic conditions. With the Federal Reserve signaling a potential tightening of interest rates and ongoing concerns over inflation, investors may look to liquidate positions in gold as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets rises. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and market volatility could prompt a flight to safety, but if these factors stabilize, we could see a shift in sentiment favoring dollar strength. This backdrop supports the notion of a sell-off in XAU/USD from $2790 to $2765 as traders adjust their positions in response to changing economic signals. Let’s watch for these developments!