XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the first target is expected to be around $3200. At this level, due to a resistance zone, a temporary correction is likely.
This correction may extend down to the bottom of the ascending channel, which acts as a key support area. After completing the pullback, the bullish trend is expected to resume, aiming for the top of the channel as the next target.
If price breaks above the channel, higher targets could be activated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Forextrading
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?
Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are a fascinating concept for traders seeking to refine their understanding of price behaviour. By identifying areas where market sentiment shifts, IFVGs provide unique insights into potential reversals and key price levels. In this article, we’ll explore what IFVGs are, how they differ from Fair Value Gaps, and how traders can integrate them into their strategies for more comprehensive market analysis.
What Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently.
Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later.
FVGs are closely tied to the concept of fair value. The gap suggests the market may have deviated from a balanced state, making it an area traders watch for signs of price rebalancing. Recognising and understanding these gaps can provide insights into where the price might gravitate in the future, helping traders assess key zones of interest for analysis.
Understanding Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs)
An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), or Inversion Fair Value Gap, is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept that builds on the idea of an FVG. While an FVG represents a price imbalance caused by strong directional movement, an IFVG emerges when an existing FVG is invalidated. This invalidation shifts the role of the gap, turning a bearish FVG into a bullish IFVG, or vice versa.
Here’s how it works: a bearish FVG, for instance, forms when selling pressure dominates, leaving a gap that might act as resistance. However, if the market breaks through this gap—either with a wick or a candle close—it signals that the sellers in that zone have been overwhelmed. The bearish FVG is now invalidated and becomes a bullish IFVG, marking a potential area of support instead. The same applies in reverse for bullish FVGs becoming bearish IFVGs.
Traders use inverted Fair Value Gaps to identify zones where market sentiment has shifted significantly. For example, when the price revisits a bullish IFVG, it may serve as a zone of interest for traders analysing potential buying opportunities. However, if the price moves past the bottom of the IFVG zone, it’s no longer valid and is typically disregarded.
What makes these reverse FVGs particularly useful is their ability to highlight moments of structural change in the market. They can act as indicators of strength, revealing areas where price has transitioned from weakness to strength (or vice versa). By integrating IFVG analysis into their broader trading framework, traders can gain deeper insights into the evolving dynamics of supply and demand.
Want to test your IFVG identification skills? Get started on FXOpen and TradingView.
How Traders Use IFVGs in Trading
By integrating IFVGs into their strategy, traders can refine their decision-making process and uncover potential setups aligned with their broader market outlook. Here’s how IFVGs are commonly used:
Identifying Key Zones of Interest
Traders begin by spotting FVGs on price charts—areas where rapid movements create imbalances. An inversion FVG forms when such a gap is invalidated; for instance, a bearish FVG becomes bullish if the price breaks above it. These zones are then marked as potential areas of interest, indicating where the market may experience significant activity.
Contextualising Market Sentiment
The formation of an IFVG signals a shift in market sentiment. When a bearish FVG is invalidated and turns into a bullish IFVG, it suggests that selling pressure has diminished and buying interest is gaining momentum. Traders interpret this as a potential reversal point, providing context for the current market dynamics.
Analysing Price Reactions
Once an IFVG is identified, traders monitor how the price interacts with this zone. If the price revisits a bullish IFVG and shows signs of support—such as slowing down its decline or forming bullish candlestick patterns—it may indicate a strengthening upward movement. Conversely, if the price breaches the IFVG without hesitation, the anticipated reversal might not materialise.
How Can You Trade IFVGs?
IFVGs provide traders with a structured way to identify and analyse price levels where sentiment has shifted. The process typically looks like this:
1. Establishing Market Bias
Traders typically start by analysing the broader market direction. This often involves looking at higher timeframes, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to identify trends or reversals. Tools like Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Changes of Character (CHoCH) within the ICT framework help clarify whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish.
Indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, can also provide additional context for confirming directional bias. A strong bias ensures the trader is aligning setups with the dominant market flow.
2. Identifying and Using IFVGs
Once a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated—indicating a significant shift in sentiment—it transforms into an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Traders mark the IFVG zone as a key area of interest. If it aligns with their broader market bias, this zone can serve as a potential entry point. For instance, in a bearish bias, traders may focus on bearish IFVGs that act as potential resistance zones.
3. Placing Orders and Risk Management
Traders often set a limit order at the IFVG boundary, anticipating a retracement and for the area to hold. A stop loss is typically placed just beyond the IFVG or a nearby swing high/low to manage risk. For exits, targets might include a predefined risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3, or a significant technical level like an order block or support/resistance area. This approach ensures trades remain structured and grounded in analysis.
Advantages and Disadvantages of IFVGs
IFVGs offer traders a unique lens through which to analyse price movements, but like any tool, they come with both strengths and limitations. Understanding these can help traders incorporate IFVGs into their strategies.
Advantages
- Highlight market sentiment shifts: IFVGs pinpoint areas where sentiment has reversed, helping traders identify key turning points.
- Refined entry zones: They provide precise areas for potential analysis, reducing guesswork and offering clear levels to watch.
- Flexibility across markets: IFVGs can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, or indices, making them versatile.
- Complementary to other tools: They pair well with other ICT tools like BOS, CHoCH, and order blocks for enhanced analysis.
Disadvantages
- Subject to interpretation: Identifying and confirming IFVGs can vary between traders, leading to inconsistencies.
- Limited standalone reliability: IFVGs need to be used alongside broader market analysis; relying solely on them increases risk.
- Higher timeframe dependence: Their effectiveness can diminish on lower timeframes, where noise often obscures true sentiment shifts.
- Potential for invalidation: While IFVGs signal potential opportunities, they aren’t guarantees; price can break through, rendering them ineffective.
The Bottom Line
Inverse Fair Value Gaps provide traders with a structured approach to identifying market shifts and analysing key price levels. By integrating IFVGs into a broader strategy, traders can uncover valuable insights and potentially refine their decision-making. Ready to apply IFVG trading in real markets? Open an FXOpen account today and explore potential trading opportunities across more than 700 markets, alongside four advanced trading platforms and competitive conditions.
FAQ
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG)?
The IFVG meaning refers to a formation that occurs when a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated. For example, a bearish FVG becomes bullish after the price breaks above it, creating a potential support zone. Similarly, a bullish FVG can transform into a bearish IFVG if the price breaks below it, creating a potential resistance zone. IFVGs highlight shifts in market sentiment, providing traders with areas of interest for analysing possible reversals or continuation zones.
What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and an Inverse Fair Value Gap?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is an imbalance caused by aggressive buying or selling, creating a price gap that may act as support or resistance. An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when the original FVG is invalidated—indicating a shift in sentiment—and its role flips. For instance, a bearish FVG invalidated by a price breakout becomes a bullish IFVG.
What Is the Difference Between BPR and Inverse FVG?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) represents the overlap of two opposing Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), creating a sensitive zone for potential price reactions. In contrast, an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a concept based on a single FVG that has been invalidated, flipping its role. While both are useful, BPR reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers, whereas IFVG highlights sentiment reversal.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURJPY?
This pair is currently trading below a key resistance zone and has also broken its ascending trendline.
The price is now in the process of pulling back to the broken trendline, consolidating around that area.
We expect that after completing the pullback and some consolidation, the pair will decline at least toward the specified support levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.89237
1st Support: 1.88090
1st Resistance: 1.91677
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Heading into pullback resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6276
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6321
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6214
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) ExplainedIntroduction
One of the most important skills in forex trading is learning how to read price action and understand what the market is telling you. Price is not just numbers — it’s the collective perception of traders, making it the most reliable leading indicator available.
Today, I want to explain a powerful concept known as the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) — a crucial tool for identifying potential market reversals and shifts in trend direction.
📈 What Is a Trend Changing Pattern?
In any trending market, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, the trend won’t change easily. The strength of the trend and the timeframe you're trading on will determine how long it takes for a true reversal to occur.
One key signal of a trend change is a shift in momentum:
In an uptrend, when a momentum low forms during a pullback, it can be a sign that the trend is beginning to reverse.
In a downtrend, a momentum high during a pullback can signal a potential bullish reversal.
These are what we refer to as Trend Changing Patterns (TCPs) — moments where the structure of the market starts to shift.
⚠️ Watch for Manipulation After the TCP
After a TCP appears, it's common to see price manipulation before the new trend fully takes hold:
In an uptrend, price may return to manipulate the previous high before continuing down.
In a downtrend, price often dips to manipulate the previous low before reversing higher.
Being aware of this common liquidity grab helps traders avoid being trapped and instead position themselves in alignment with the new trend.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Understanding how to spot and interpret a Trend Changing Pattern gives you a major edge in forex trading. It helps you stay ahead of the market and make informed decisions based on price action, not emotion.
🎥 In the video, I go into more detail about momentum highs and lows, and how to recognize these key patterns in real time. Be sure to check it out if you want to sharpen your trend reversal strategy.
Wishing you success on your trading journey! 🚀
Wed 2nd Apr 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Tue 1st Apr 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 4x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 4x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a CAD/JPY Sell, GBP/CAD Buy, EUR/AUD Buy & a USD/CAD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
For the last 2 weeks, EURUSD shows a strong bearish momentum.
The price managed to break and close below a key daily support cluster.
A strong bearish reaction that followed after its retest confirms a strong
selling pressure.
I think that the pair has a potential to drop lower this week.
2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD looks very stable.
The pair is consolidating within quite a wide range on a daily.
For now, probabilities are high that sideways movement will continue.
Consider trading the upper and lower boundary of the underlined channel.
Alternatively, a breakout of one of the underlined structures will give you a strong
bullish/breaish signal.
3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Looks like the market is returning to a mid-term bearish trend.
The price is currently breaking a support line of a bearish flag pattern.
A daily candle close below its support will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
4️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
I see a completed head & shoulders pattern on a daily.
The price is currently breaking its neckline.
A daily candle close below that will provide a strong bearish confirmation
and suggest a highly probable bearish continuation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD: Range-Bound with Bearish Potential Below ResistanceThe EUR/USD market recently completed an ABC pullback, briefly testing above Friday’s high, but price action remains contained within last week’s range, signaling a lack of clear trend direction.
If the price rejects the current resistance zone, a move lower is likely, possibly forming another ABC structure toward the 1.06000 support level. With the zone below 1.07700 already cleared—despite a prior false breakout—a retest of that area is possible. Unless the price manages a close above 1.08500, the pair is expected to drift toward last week’s low, with the next target at the support zone around 1.07610
NZDCAD Potential Bullish ReversalNZDCAD price seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish Reversal on the shorter timeframes if the price action forms a credible Higher High with multiple confluences from key Fibonacci and Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 0.822500
Stop Loss @ 0.81600
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 0.82830 - 0.82890
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown:
The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal.
2. False Breakout at Resistance:
The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap.
3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation):
The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
Strong Confluence Zone – Is EURJPY Ready to Fly?EURJPY is currently respecting a strong ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support for several years. Price recently rebounded from both the horizontal support zone and the rising trendline, indicating strong buying interest at this confluence area.
Now, the pair is attempting to break above a key resistance zone marked by a descending trendline. A successful breakout above this area could signal a potential continuation of the long-term bullish trend.
The RSI is also showing a bullish divergence, which adds confluence to the bullish bias. However, rejection from resistance could trigger a retest of the support zones.
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GBPUSD Dusting 350+ PIPS in Choppy Waters - Breakout is Brewing?Technical / Chart Analysis:
Double Top Formation: The chart clearly exhibits a potential double top pattern around the 1.30564 resistance level. This is a bearish reversal pattern that suggests a potential trend change from bullish to bearish.
Breakdown of Uptrend: The preceding price action shows an uptrend, which has now been halted by the double top.
Key Support Level: The most crucial level to watch is the support around 1.28642. A confirmed break below this level would validate the double top pattern and signal a potential strong move downwards.
Monthly Performance: January saw a +180 pip move, followed by February with a +230 pip gain. This demonstrates the potential for significant profits in GBPUSD through swing trading.
Swing Analysis: February's +230 pip move consisted of 3 upward swings and 2 downward swings, highlighting the importance of capturing both upward and downward momentum in this pair due to the Choppy Price Action.
Conclusion:
FX:GBPUSD is at a critical juncture. The potential double top formation suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is needed. Traders should closely monitor the key support level at 1.28642 for a potential breakdown and look for LONG Trades on breaking key levels to the Upside
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD's potential for swing trading? Do you see a breakdown or a bounce? Share your analysis and comments below!
EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA.
A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
GBPUSD: Channel Up still intact but keep an eye on the 4H MA200.GBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.951, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 32.444) as the dominant pattern remains a Channel Up and despite the consolidation in recent days, the market remains supported over the 4H MA200. If it crosses over the LH trendline, go long in a similar manner as the Feb 13th break out and aim for the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.3200). If on the other hand the price fails and crosses under the 4H MA200, go short and aim for the S1 level (TP = 1.2555).
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XAUUSD Breakout Trade – Target Hit!In this trade, we identified a downtrend breakout on Gold (XAU/USD) using the 1-hour chart. A descending trendline was broken, signaling a shift in momentum. After price retested a key support zone around $3,023.75, buyers stepped in, confirming the breakout.
A long position was taken with a stop loss below the recent lows, ensuring a safe risk-to-reward ratio. The trade played out beautifully, with strong bullish momentum pushing the price towards our take profit (TP) level at $3,057.37.
This setup highlights the power of trendline breaks and retests, offering high-probability entries for traders. With gold showing strength, we’ll watch for further bullish continuation or potential pullbacks for new opportunities.
📊 Key Takeaways:
✔ Trendline breakout confirmed by retest
✔ Strong bullish momentum
✔ TP hit successfully for solid profits
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #BreakoutStrategy #TradingSuccess
GBP/AUD: Consolidation Breakout Signals Bullish ContinuationThe GBP/AUD market remains in a range-bound structure, fluctuating between the 2.0300 support and 2.0600 resistance levels. Recently, price broke and closed above both a downward trendline and the previous two daily highs, reinforcing a bullish bias.
With strong momentum visible on the daily timeframe, the market appears to be setting up for a consolidation expansion pattern. If the price continues to hold above the trendline and support level, a retest of last week’s high is likely, with further bullish movement possible. The next target is the resistance zone around 2.06490
CHF/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown | Bearish Setup The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc to US Dollar) 15-minute chart is currently displaying a classic Rising Wedge Pattern, which is widely recognized as a bearish reversal pattern. This setup signals weakening bullish momentum and an increased probability of a price breakdown. The chart provides a clear sell trade setup, with key levels including entry, stop loss, and target, making it a structured and well-defined opportunity for traders.
🔹 Key Technical Elements on the Chart
1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone)
📌 Location: Near 1.1350 – 1.1360
📌 Significance:
This level represents a strong supply zone, meaning sellers have consistently pushed prices down from this area.
Price attempted to break through this zone multiple times but was rejected, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
It serves as the upper boundary of the rising wedge, confirming its role in restricting upward movement.
Traders should be cautious of any false breakouts above this level before confirming a bearish move.
2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Zone)
📌 Location: Near 1.1295 – 1.1305
📌 Significance:
This level has historically acted as a demand zone, where buyers stepped in to push prices back up.
However, the formation of the rising wedge suggests weakening demand at this level.
Once the price breaks below this support zone, it confirms a bearish trend continuation.
3️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Setup)
📌 Pattern Characteristics:
The rising wedge is a bearish continuation pattern that typically signals an upcoming sell-off.
Price moves inside a narrowing upward-sloping range, where buyers lose strength while sellers gradually gain control.
The lower trendline (dotted black line) has been providing support, but as price struggles near resistance, a breakdown becomes likely.
Once price breaks below the wedge, the pattern confirms a strong bearish move.
📌 Why Is This Important?
This pattern indicates that buyers are losing momentum, and a shift toward bearish control is taking place.
The expected move is a sharp downward breakout, leading to lower price levels.
4️⃣ Trendline Support (Breakdown Confirmation)
📌 Location: The dashed black line below price action
📌 Significance:
This trendline acted as a rising support, keeping price within the wedge.
A clean break below this trendline confirms the bearish breakout.
The breakdown is expected to be followed by increased selling pressure and higher trading volume.
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy)
Based on the rising wedge breakdown, traders can consider the following sell trade setup:
✅ Entry Point: Sell below 1.1325 (Confirm breakdown with volume)
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.1356 (To avoid false breakouts)
✅ Target 1: 1.1295 (First support level)
✅ Target 2: 1.1275 (Deeper downside potential if momentum continues)
🛠 Trade Rationale (Why Take This Trade?)
🔸 Bearish Price Action → Price is rejecting resistance and forming a lower high, signaling weakness in the uptrend.
🔸 Pattern Confirmation → The rising wedge has a high probability of breaking downward, leading to a sharp decline.
🔸 Risk-Reward Ratio → The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, as traders can manage risk efficiently by placing a stop loss above resistance.
🔸 Volume Analysis → If selling volume increases upon breakout, the move becomes more reliable.
📊 Market Outlook & Final Thoughts
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 1.1325, expect a strong decline toward 1.1295 and potentially lower.
A sharp move downward could accelerate selling pressure, targeting 1.1275 in an extended move.
🔹 Bullish Reversal Risk:
If price closes back above 1.1356, the bearish setup is invalidated.
Traders should exit shorts if price reclaims the resistance level.
🚨 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected!
📉 Short Setup Activated – Targeting 1.1295 🚀
📊 Watch for Volume Confirmation Before Entering!
JPY/USD Descending Triangle Breakdown – Bearish Trading Setup📌 Overview: Understanding the Current Market Structure
This analysis focuses on the JPY/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a well-defined descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup. The price action indicates selling pressure increasing as lower highs form, while support remained relatively stable before ultimately breaking down.
This setup suggests a potential trend continuation to the downside, making it a compelling trade opportunity for short-sellers. Let's dive deeper into the technical breakdown, trading strategy, and market expectations.
📊 Technical Breakdown: Chart Pattern Analysis
1️⃣ The Descending Triangle Pattern: A Bearish Signal
The descending triangle is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis, often leading to a breakdown when support is breached. This chart confirms the pattern through:
✅ Downward Sloping Resistance Line:
The price tested this level multiple times but was consistently rejected.
Lower highs indicate sellers are dominating and buyers are failing to push higher.
✅ Flat Support Level:
The price found strong support at a key horizontal level, bouncing off multiple times.
However, each bounce became weaker, signaling buyers losing strength.
✅ Breakout & Confirmation:
The final breakdown below support occurred with strong momentum.
The price has now turned previous support into resistance, a bearish confirmation.
🔎 Implication:
A descending triangle breakout to the downside often results in an extended downward move, aiming for the measured move target based on the triangle’s height.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Trading Zones
📌 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Triangle Boundary):
0.006700 – 0.006750
This level acted as a strong rejection zone, confirming lower highs.
It now serves as a resistance level after the breakdown.
📌 🟢 Support Level (Triangle Base):
This level previously held price from breaking lower multiple times.
However, with each bounce becoming weaker, it finally gave way.
Break & Close below this level confirms the bearish continuation.
📌 🎯 Target Projection (Based on Triangle Breakout):
0.006448 (Final Target) – This level aligns with historical price action and the triangle’s projected move.
📌 🚨 Stop Loss Placement:
Above the last swing high (~0.006752)
If price reclaims this zone, the bearish outlook becomes invalid.
📈 Price Action & Market Sentiment
3️⃣ Bearish Momentum & Breakdown Confirmation
✅ Lower Highs Indicate Weakness:
Buyers attempted multiple recoveries but were consistently rejected at lower levels.
This pattern suggests exhaustion in buying pressure.
✅ Breakout Candle Strength & Volume Confirmation:
The price broke support with strong momentum and increased volume, confirming sellers’ control.
A breakdown without volume is often a fakeout, but this chart shows clear momentum.
✅ Potential Retest Before Further Drop:
After a breakdown, price often retests the broken support before continuing lower.
A pullback to the resistance zone (~0.006650 - 0.006700) could offer an ideal short entry.
✅ Bearish Trend Confirmation:
The price remains below key resistance and continues forming lower lows.
The downtrend structure remains intact, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup?
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry: Short after a pullback to broken support (~0.006650 - 0.006700).
Aggressive Entry: Short immediately on the breakdown if momentum remains strong.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement:
Place above last swing high (0.006752) to avoid being stopped out by noise.
Ensures protection against sudden bullish reversals or fakeouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
✅ First Target: 0.006500 (Psychological level)
✅ Final Target: 0.006448 (Triangle measured move)
🔹 Risk Management:
Use a Risk-to-Reward ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 for an optimal trade setup.
Never risk more than 2% of total capital per trade.
⚠️ Market Outlook & Key Watchpoints
📌 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (High Probability)
If price retests the broken support and faces rejection, expect further downside.
Target remains at 0.006448.
📌 Scenario 2: Fake Breakdown & Bullish Reversal (Low Probability)
If price closes above 0.006750, it invalidates the bearish setup.
In that case, a bullish move towards 0.006800+ is possible.
📢 Final Thoughts:
The bearish breakout is clear, but waiting for a proper pullback before entry is ideal.
Volume confirmation is crucial to avoid fakeouts.
If support turns into resistance, a high-probability short trade is set up.
🔹 What’s your take on this setup? Will JPY/USD reach its target? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
EURUSD
Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EURUSD entered a corrective phase after hitting the anticipated resistance zone and was rejected from this area, as previously analyzed. The price is now approaching a key support level. At this support level, there is a possibility of a new bullish move starting, which could lead to a breakout above the previous resistance and push the price toward the next identified target.
Will EURUSD hold the support and push higher, or is there more downside ahead? Let us know your thoughts!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Is There the Best Time to Trade Forex in the UK?Is There the Best Time to Trade Forex in the UK?
Grasping the nuances of forex market hours is essential for traders aiming to optimise their strategies. Operating continuously from Sunday evening to Friday night, the currency market accommodates participants across various time zones without being anchored to a singular physical location.
For those in the UK, recognising when to engage can dramatically influence outcomes. This FXOpen article discusses the pivotal currency trading sessions that may be optimal for UK-based traders.
Understanding Forex Market Hours
Understanding currency exchange market hours is crucial for anyone involved in the global foreign exchange market. Although you may already know this, let us remind you.
The forex market operates on a 24/5 basis, opening during weekdays and closing at weekends. This round-the-clock trading is possible because it’s not tied to a physical location; instead, it relies on a decentralised network of banks, businesses, and individuals exchanging currencies across different time zones.
For traders in the UK, knowing the best forex trading hours can be key to effective trading. The currency market is broadly divided into four main 9-hour-long windows, each starting at different times to cater to traders across the globe. The forex session times UK traders need to be aware of are:
- Sydney Session: 9:00 PM GMT - 6:00 AM GMT
- Tokyo Session: 11:00 PM GMT - 8:00 AM GMT
- London Session: 8:00 AM GMT - 5:00 PM GMT
- New York Session: 1:00 PM GMT - 10:00 PM GMT
Note that during British Summer Time (BST), some of these times are shifted forward by one hour.
These forex market trading times are essential to know, as they indicate when liquidity and volatility are likely to increase, potentially offering favourable market conditions.
The Optimal Times to Trade Forex in the UK
In navigating currency trading, UK-based traders should be aware of two key sessions: London and New York. These periods are optimal forex market hours in the UK, offering greater volumes, volatility, and liquidity. They’re also the periods that see the most releases for three of the major economies: the UK, Eurozone, and the US.
The core forex trading times in the UK are anchored around the London session, which is central to global forex market operations due to London's key position in the financial world. The London trading session time in the UK commences at 8:00 AM GMT (winter time).
This period, ending at 5:00 PM GMT (winter time), is pivotal as it accounts for roughly half of the forex transactions globally, making it a prime trading time due to the high liquidity and the potential for more pronounced price movements.
Likewise, the London-New York trading session time in the UK can be especially advantageous. It’s a crucial overlapping window occurring from 1:00 PM to 5:00 PM GMT (winter time), offering an avenue for traders seeking to maximise their potential returns due to the surge in activity and high-profile economic releases from the US.
During this window, the US stock market opens at 2:30 PM GMT. This secondary opening can also have a notable effect on US dollar-based pairs.
Economic Releases and the Impact on Trading Times for UK Traders
Economic releases and central bank announcements significantly influence UK forex trading times, often driving prices higher or lower. Many UK economic releases—affecting GBP currency pairs—are scheduled around 7:00 AM GMT. This timing offers traders opportunities to engage in trends post-release during the early hours of the London open.
However, some UK data and plenty of Eurozone data are released between 8:00 AM GMT and 10:00 AM GMT, periods typically characterised by increased liquidity and volatility, providing fertile ground for traders.
Likewise, many high-profile US economic announcements—non-farm payrolls, inflation statistics and employment data— are made between 1:00 PM GMT and 3:00 PM GMT. Given the US dollar's dominance on the world stage, these releases can present significant trading opportunities.
Although activity tends to quiet down after London closes, the late hours of the New York session still offer potential entries, albeit with generally lower volatility and volume.
Notably, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions are announced at 7:00 PM GMT with a press conference held after that can cause outsized price movements. The same can be said for the Bank of England and European Central Bank’s interest rate decisions at 12:00 PM GMT and 1:15 PM GMT, respectively, and their subsequent press conferences.
The Worst Time to Trade Forex in the UK
The worst times to trade forex in the UK often occur after 8:00 PM GMT, during the tail end of New York’s hours, when liquidity and volume significantly decrease. This reduction in activity can lead to less favourable trading conditions, including wider spreads and slower execution times.
Additionally, while the Asian session forex time in the UK, partially overlapping with the Sydney session, runs from 11:00 PM to 8:00 AM GMT, it presents challenges for UK traders.
Despite offering trading opportunities, especially in Japanese yen, Australian dollar, and New Zealand dollar-based pairs, the volumes during this period are substantially lower compared to the London and New York sessions. The Tokyo session forex time in the UK accounts for particularly unsociable hours anyway, so many UK traders are unlikely to engage in currency trading during this period.
Trading the London Session: A Strategy
The Asian-London Breakout Strategy leverages the unique dynamics between the calmer Asian session and the volatile London session. It involves setting buy/sell stop orders at the high and low points of the Asian period’s range, aiming to capture movements as London opens at 8:00 AM GMT.
With stop-loss orders placed above or below the range and a strategic approach to take profit – either at the end of the London session or by trailing a stop loss during the day – traders can potentially capitalise on the surge in activity. To delve deeper into this strategy and other session-based setups, consider exploring FXOpen’s 3-session trading system article.
The Bottom Line
Understanding forex trading hours and leveraging optimal times are pivotal for achieving favourable outcomes in currency trading. Luckily, UK-based traders are well placed to take advantage of the many opportunities the currency market presents, given their ability to trade both the London and New York sessions.
For UK traders seeking to navigate the complexities of markets with a trusted broker, opening an FXOpen account can provide all of the tools and insights necessary for effective trading.
FAQs
When Do the Forex Markets Open in the UK?
Forex opening times in the UK start at 8:00 AM GMT (winter time) and at 7:00 AM GMT (summer time) when the London session begins, marking the start of significant trading activity due to London's central role in the global currency arena.
What Time Does the Forex Market Open on Sunday in the UK?
The forex market opens on Sunday at 9:00 PM GMT (winter time) and at 10:00 PM GMT (summer time) in the UK, coinciding with Sydney’s opening and marking the beginning of the trading week.
What Time Does the Forex Market Close on Friday in the UK?
The forex market closes at 10:00 PM GMT (winter time) and at 9:00 PM GMT (summer time) on Friday in the UK, concluding with the end of the New York session and wrapping up the trading week.
Can You Trade Forex on Weekends?
Currency trading on weekends is not possible as the market is closed. Trading resumes with the opening of the Sydney session on Sunday at 9:00 PM GMT (winter time) and at 10:00 PM GMT (summer time).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
CAD/JPY: Bullish Structure Holds with Breakout PotentialThe CAD/JPY market continues to show bullish strength, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. On the daily timeframe, an inside bar pattern has emerged, indicating a period of consolidation that may lead to a bullish continuation, especially with the candle closing above the 105.000 level.
At the moment, the price is testing Monday’s high, and a breakout above this point could trigger further upside. The market may form a range around the current level before continuing its move higher from the previous week’s high and the upward trendline. The next target is the resistance zone around 106.300