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Gold prices plummet after CPI newsGold is currently trading around $2,608 an ounce, down 1.7% this week. This is largely due to rising US Treasury yields, which have dampened expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 50 basis points. Minutes of the Fed's recent meeting showed that Chairman Jerome Powell faced some opposition to the rate cut in September. Some officials expressed that the rate cut should be smaller than the 50 basis points. Separately, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Wednesday that monetary policy easing should be done at a slower pace after last month's cut. Markets are awaiting CPI data due later Thursday. If inflation continues to decline, this will support the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the near future.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU plummetsGold prices also fell due to profit-taking pressure after the precious metal surged and set a record high at the end of last month. The price drop is inevitable, even if gold is in a long-term uptrend. Previously, gold was forecast to increase in price until at least mid-2025 following the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trend. The Fed began its interest rate cut cycle in mid-September and signaled that it would cut interest rates until 2026. This also means that pressure will be placed on the USD. Gold will benefit. However, the USD has recently turned around after a sharp decline. Investors are worried that the Fed will not continue to cut interest rates by 0.5 percentage points at its November meeting, but may only cut by 0.25 points when the US economy is still quite strong.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
NZDUSD: Broke under both MAs. Strong sell signalNZDUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.216, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 38.839) as it smashed through both the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200. The long term structure is a Rectangle (R1 and S1 Zone) and the current pattern that is emerging is almost identical with the previous bearish waves towards the S1 Zone. It is possible to see a medium term reboudn back to the 1D MA50 but on the long term we are bearish (TP = 0.58600). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
USDCAD Short (2)USDCAD sell short as from my previous post spiked a bit before today's US FOMC news we are expecting at 2:00 PM EST. I have placed another short for USDCAD since we are phasing a major bull trend that has been building up for weeks prior to this news. I suggest placing in a short sell NOW prior to any news events occurring. ENTRY: 1.36880 TP 1: 1.35843 TP 2: 1.35345 TP 3: 1.34797 SL: 25-30 PIPS from your entry Please message me if you have any questions about this trade! Please enjoy your day and be sure to boost this post, follow this page, and comment what you want the next trade analysis to be! Thanks again from Aventura Holdings!
Short
by KingTraderFX
8
Slightly Bullish Bias Expected on GBPUSD today 09/10/2024.GBPUSD Analysis for 09/10/2024: Slightly Bullish Bias Expected In today's analysis of GBPUSD, the currency pair is showing signs of a potential slightly bullish bias based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions. As of 09/10/2024, several key drivers are influencing the market, pointing toward a moderate upside for the British Pound (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD). Here's a breakdown of the fundamental and technical factors that could contribute to this outlook. Fundamental Factors Supporting Bullish Bias 1. Improved UK Economic Data Recent data from the UK, particularly in sectors such as manufacturing and services, have shown resilience despite broader global economic challenges. The UK Services PMI reported a higher-than-expected reading, signaling growth in the sector, which is a positive indicator for GBP. Additionally, consumer confidence in the UK has remained relatively stable, offering further support to the Pound. 2. Bank of England (BoE) Policy Outlook The Bank of England's latest statements suggest that while inflation remains a concern, the central bank may adopt a more cautious approach to tightening. This is in contrast to the more aggressive stance of the Federal Reserve, which is already priced into the market. A less hawkish BoE stance could provide upward pressure on GBPUSD, especially if traders believe the BoE may slow down rate hikes earlier than anticipated. 3. US Dollar Weakness On the other side of the pair, the US Dollar has shown signs of weakness amid lower-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data released last Friday. This has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve might pause its interest rate hikes, dampening demand for the USD. The weakening US Dollar adds to the bullish bias for GBPUSD. Technical Outlook for GBPUSD on 09/10/2024 - Support and Resistance Levels GBPUSD is currently trading near key support at 1.2150, with the next major resistance level around 1.2250. If the pair breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential, reinforcing the slightly bullish outlook for the day. - Moving Averages On the technical side, the 50-day Moving Average (MA) is gradually turning upwards, indicating positive momentum for the pair. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also hovering near the neutral 50 level, suggesting that there is room for further gains before the pair becomes overbought. Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment - Global Risk Sentiment Market sentiment has leaned slightly towards risk-on, with investors showing a renewed appetite for riskier assets such as equities. This shift has seen traders pull back from the safe-haven USD, benefiting risk-sensitive currencies like GBP. As long as global geopolitical tensions remain stable and there are no major risk-off events, the Pound could continue to benefit. Conclusion In conclusion, based on the current economic landscape, GBPUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias on 09/10/2024. Key drivers such as positive UK economic data, a potentially cautious BoE, and a weakening US Dollar are aligning to support an upside move in the pair. However, traders should remain cautious and watch for any unexpected shifts in global market sentiment or central bank policies that could impact this outlook. For those looking to trade GBPUSD today, it may be worth considering potential entry points around the 1.2150 support level, targeting the 1.2250 resistance, with appropriate risk management strategies in place. --- Keywords for SEO: GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD forecast, slightly bullish bias, UK economic data, Bank of England policy, US Dollar weakness, GBPUSD technical analysis, support and resistance levels, forex trading, GBPUSD 09/10/2024, forex forecast, British Pound to US Dollar, forex market outlook, GBPUSD trend, forex trading strategies.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
Gold fell sharply after no news from the fedThe positive economic data recently released has caused investors to take profits on gold, shifting their investments to profitable assets such as stocks. Investors are also selling gold because today, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of last month's meeting. The employment report and positive economic data, investors expect the report will also have a positive assessment of the economy, as well as the interest rate policy may remain unchanged so that the Federal Reserve can maintain the conditions to bring inflation to the target of 2%.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU drops sharply without any newsThe USD continues to surprise the market when it has increased quite strongly in recent sessions. Along with that, countries are also lowering interest rates and looking for ways to support the weakened economy after the pandemic and the instability of production chains as well as reduced consumer demand around the world. The price of gold rings in basic units remains the same in both buying and selling directions compared to the previous session. According to technical analysis, the indexes reaching 50 points are an expansion level. However, at the time of assessment, consumers are more optimistic than last month, showing a positive trend, they will buy more goods and services, which will boost domestic demand, stimulate businesses and the economy to grow better.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
EURGBP: Significant upside potential on the short term.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D techhnical outlook (RSI = 48.804, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 22.675) as it consolidates having failed to cross over the 1D MA50. Given the 1 year Channel Down pattern, the 1D MA50 shouldn't stand as a Resistance for long, since the price is having this rebound after a clear LL on its bottom. We expect the 1D MA200 to be tested (TP = 0.8500) with the upside potentially extending as high as +2.80%. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EURUSD: Dead cat bounce to 1.10500 expected.EURUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.133, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 30.825) which given the fact that the price is approaching the LL trendline, it allows for some room to recover some losses. We expect this to be a dead cat bounce but a short term buy opportunity nonetheless. Target the 4H MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.10500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Potential Downside Breakout📉 XAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis: Rectangle Formation on D1 Timeframe, Potential Downside Breakout Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a rectangle formation on the D1 timeframe , which typically signals consolidation before a significant price move. While the price remains range-bound, there’s a high probability of a downside breakout , with critical targets at $2,580 and $2,490 . Here's a detailed analysis of the setup: 🔲 What is a Rectangle Formation? A rectangle formation occurs when the price moves between two horizontal levels, creating a box-like pattern 📊. This shows a period of indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are in control. A breakout typically happens when the price moves decisively above or below the rectangle. 🔻 Downside Breakout Targets Gold breaking below the rectangle's lower boundary could signal a bearish trend continuation. Here are the critical downside targets to watch: 1. First Target – $2,580 : A downside breakout would likely drop the price to $2,580 , the first central support zone and a logical profit-taking area for short-sellers. 2. Second Target – $2,490 : Should bearish momentum persist, the next target would be $2,490 , a deeper support level where further selling pressure could ease. ⛔ Stop Loss – $2,702 A stop loss at $2,702 is recommended for those considering a short position. This level is just above the upper boundary of the rectangle and would invalidate the downside scenario if breached. 🚀 Upside Breakout Target If gold breaks out above the rectangle, bullish momentum could push prices toward $2,841 . This would signal a strong reversal, and traders should consider this level the next significant resistance zone. 🔍 Factors to Watch Several factors could influence the direction of the breakout: Inflation Data : Higher inflation tends to support gold prices as a hedge, increasing the likelihood of an upside breakout. US Dollar Strength : A stronger dollar could weigh on gold, favoring a downside breakout. Geopolitical Events : Uncertainty in global markets can boost safe-haven demand for gold, potentially triggering an upside move. 🛠 Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on the potential breakout, consider the following: Downside Setup : If gold breaks below the rectangle, short positions with targets at $2,580 and $2,490 may offer solid risk/reward opportunities, with a stop loss at $2,702 . Upside Setup : In the case of an upside breakout, targeting $2,841 could provide a good opportunity but ensure that risk is managed carefully. 💡 Conclusion Gold’s rectangular formation in the D1 timeframe suggests a significant price move is on the horizon. While the likelihood of a downside breakout seems stronger, with targets at $2,580 and $2,490, traders should remain alert to the possibility of an upside breakout towards $2,841. Proper risk management, including a stop loss of $2,702, will be crucial in navigating this market opportunity. 🔔 Stay updated with real-time price action to make the most of this technical setup. Share your opinion in the comments.....
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by amzadlak
GBPUSD Analysis: Slightly Bullish Bias on 08/10/2024.In today's analysis of the GBPUSD pair, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias driven by a combination of fundamental and technical factors. As we move through the trading session on 08/10/2024, traders are closely monitoring key economic releases and geopolitical developments that are expected to influence market sentiment. Let’s explore the primary drivers behind this expected bullish movement. Key Fundamental Drivers 1. Hawkish Sentiment from the Bank of England (BoE) The recent comments from the Bank of England (BoE) officials have been hawkish, signaling that further rate hikes could be on the horizon to combat inflation. With UK inflation remaining above target levels, the BoE's focus on tightening monetary policy to bring it down is a key factor supporting the British Pound (GBP). The market is pricing in the possibility of at least one more rate hike in the near future, which adds upward pressure on GBPUSD. 2. US Dollar Weakness Amid Softening Data The US Dollar (USD) has been showing signs of weakness as recent economic data from the US indicates a slowdown in key sectors, particularly the labor market and consumer spending. The Non-Farm Payrolls report released last week missed expectations, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause rate hikes sooner than anticipated. This dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed provides a tailwind for GBPUSD, as a weaker USD makes the pair more attractive for buyers. 3. Political Stability in the UK Political stability in the UK, especially in comparison to the uncertainties in the US, has helped maintain investor confidence in the British Pound. The UK government’s recent fiscal policy announcements have been well-received by markets, with investors expecting that these measures will support economic growth, adding strength to GBP in the short term. 4. UK Economic Data Today’s release of the UK’s GDP data will be crucial in setting the tone for GBPUSD. Positive GDP growth figures are expected to fuel further optimism around the British economy, reinforcing the bullish momentum for the Pound. Additionally, the services sector PMI data coming in stronger than forecasted last week suggests that the UK economy is performing better than many of its European counterparts. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, GBPUSD is trading above its 50-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The pair is also hovering near a key support level of 1.2150, and as long as this level holds, we could see further upside potential. RSI indicators also suggest that the pair is not yet overbought, leaving room for additional gains throughout the trading day. Key Levels to Watch: - Support Level: 1.2150 - Resistance Level: 1.2275 A break above the 1.2275 resistance level could signal further upward momentum, pushing GBPUSD towards 1.2300 in the near term. Conclusion: Slightly Bullish Bias for GBPUSD In conclusion, based on today’s fundamental factors and market conditions, we anticipate a slightly bullish bias for GBPUSD. With hawkish sentiment from the BoE, weakening USD, and positive economic data from the UK, traders can expect the pair to inch higher as the day progresses. Keeping an eye on key levels and economic releases will be crucial for capturing potential trading opportunities. Keywords: GBPUSD, GBPUSD analysis, GBPUSD trading, GBPUSD forecast, Bank of England, GBPUSD bullish, UK inflation, US Dollar weakness, forex trading, GBPUSD technical analysis, GBPUSD support levels, GBPUSD resistance levels, GBPUSD 08/10/2024, GBPUSD outlook, forex trading ideas, forex strategy, forex market analysis, forex trader
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
EUR/JPY Short, GBP/NZD Short and USD/CHF ShortEUR/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 4H risk entry. or • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
XAU/USD Demand Break Analysis and Strategic Sell ZonesWe perform a thorough study of the XAU/USD pair in this trade idea, concentrating on significant demand break levels. We will search for a sell opportunity with a target of 2622 if the market breaks below the demand level at 2638 and closes below it. This strategy enables us to efficiently manage risk and profit from negative momentum. On the other hand, we see a low-risk selling opportunity in the 2660–65 zone if the market continues higher. This tactical method is appropriate for both novice and seasoned traders since it blends technical research with obvious entry and exit locations. Important Points: Level of Demand: 2638 Sell Point: 2621 Resistance Range for Possible Sale: 2660–65 Risk management: Prioritizing opportunities with minimal risk
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by HouseofProfit