EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.1!EURUSD Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias Towards 1.10000 (24/09/2024)
As we analyze the EURUSD pair this week, a slight bearish bias appears probable, with a target near the pivotal level of 1.10000. Key drivers for this outlook include the recent economic data releases, central bank policies, and market sentiment.
1. Economic Data:
Recent Eurozone economic indicators have shown mixed results, with weak manufacturing PMI figures suggesting slowing growth. Conversely, US economic data, particularly strong job numbers and retail sales, point to a robust economy, potentially strengthening the dollar.
2. Central Bank Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to maintain a dovish stance amid economic uncertainties, while the Federal Reserve appears committed to a tighter monetary policy. This divergence could exert downward pressure on the euro.
3. Market Sentiment:
Increased risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions may lead investors to favor safe-haven currencies like the USD, further supporting the bearish outlook for EURUSD.
In conclusion, the combination of economic fundamentals, central bank policies, and market sentiment suggests that EURUSD may trend towards 1.10000 this week. Traders should stay alert for potential market shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Keywords: EURUSD analysis, bearish bias, economic data, central bank policy, ECB, Fed, market sentiment, forex trading, trading strategies, 1.10000 target.
Forextrading
What Will Happen to Crude Oil Prices?When the USDWTI 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the Crude Oil price does not break below the 68.60 level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 70.38 level may break above the 71.78 level and target the 75.82 level.
Will Gold Continue to Rise?When the XAUUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. It is evaluated that the Gold Ounce price may retreat to the level of 2573 in price movements below the level of 2614, but as long as the level of 2573 is not broken down, it is evaluated that it may target the level of 2703 by breaking the level of 2641 in price movements above the level of 2614.
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD is moving within an ascending channel and has recently reached a resistance zone, causing its upward movement to temporarily stall. It is expected that after a price correction, the bullish trend will resume.
As long as the price does not break below the identified support zone, the potential for further upward movement remains. A break below this support zone could signal a shift towards a bearish trend.
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CAD/JPY Short and CHF/JPY ShortCAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
XAU continue to increase recordGold prices surged to a record high last week after the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates and have largely continued to rally
Moreover, gold rose as markets priced in a doubling of the Fed’s chances of cutting rates before Christmas. The probability of another 50 basis points (0.50%) cut at the next meeting in November now stands at 51.6%, compared with 48.4% for a 25 basis points cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
EURUSD: Neutral ready to breakout either way.EURUSD remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.284, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 28.089) as it remains supported on the 4H MA50. At the same time it is bearish below the R1 level, which forms so far a Double Top. If the price crosses above it, we will turn bullish aiming at the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.13000). If the price crosses under the 4H MA200, we will turn bearish aiming at the S1 level (TP = 1.10000).
The 1D RSI is crossing under its MA trendline, which suggests that a bearish move is more likely, similar to every time this took place since June.
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World XAU continues to hit new highsThe US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision last week did not disappoint the gold market. After the policy meeting, gold prices continuously “broke” records and ended the week above the $2,600/ounce mark. Currently, gold prices continue to expand their upward momentum and are fluctuating around $2,628/ounce.
NZDJPYNZDJPY price is in a correction period. If the price cannot break through the resistance level of 91.24, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling in the red zone.
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“Cryptocurrencies on the Move”The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved the listing and trading of options for BlackRock's IBIT. Bitcoin options trading on IBIT is expected to comply with BlackRock's standards. Following this development, the rise in cryptocurrencies has accelerated, with Bitcoin maintaining its push towards the 65,000 level.
Tecnically, if it surpasses the 65,000 resistance level, the 68,500 and then 71,675 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 63,300 level, a further decline toward the 60,000 and then 57,330 support levels could occur.
“The Eurozone manufacturing PMI is weak”Following the interest rate decisions by the ECB and the Fed, the EUR/USD pair has risen to the 1.12 level. Meanwhile, the dollar index is recovering its losses post-Fed, which is limiting further gains in the EUR/USD pair. Today, the manufacturing PMI figures released for the Eurozone and Germany came in below expectations. This increased the pressure on the euro currency.
From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1115 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.12 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1045 level, 1.0970 and 1.09 could act as important support levels for further declines.
GBPUAUD SELL TRADE IDEA SIGNALGBPAUD SHORT/SELL SETUP 23 SEP-27 SEP 24
1. DAILY & H4 TF IS GETTING BEARISH
2. UNABLE TO SUSTAIN HIGHER HIGHS
3. SONSOLIDATING NEAR PSYCH LEVEL OF 1.9500
4. Look for sell signal below 1.9500
Sell @1.9495/1.9490 SL- @1.9530 Target1-1.9370
Risk Reward of 1:3 OANDA:GBPAUD
Will DE30 DAX Continue to Rise?When the DAX 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the index price does not break down from the 18491 level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 18679 level can exceed the 19055 level and target the 19737 level.
Gold 2700 confirm target read the caption If buyers manage to defy the bearish pressures, the $2,530 round level needs to be taken out decisively for further upside. Acceptance above that level will call for a test of the $2,650 psychological barrier, as buyers then target the $2,700 threshold for the first time ever
Will US100 NASDAQ Hit Target?When the US100 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue with the formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders formation on the trend line. As long as the index price does not break down from the 19008 level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 19617 level may exceed the 20139 level and target the 20924 level.
USD/CAD Short, NATGAS/USD Short and GBP/NZD LongUSD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Investors need to continue to closely monitor economic data.retail investors are bullish on gold’s potential upside. Industry experts are split on short-term bullish and bearish sentiment.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, predicts that gold prices will trend sideways this week. Gold has hit its target of $2,600 an ounce after the Fed cut interest rates. The gold market will be less active as investors take profits.
XAU price at all time highThe trend of monetary easing and gold buying by central banks, along with geopolitical tensions, have boosted the price of this precious metal.
The main event this week that has a strong impact on gold prices is the US core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index for August, which is an important inflation measure of the Fed.
XAUUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on GOLD ?
Gold has maintained its upward momentum in recent weeks, and it is expected to continue this week after some fluctuations and price corrections from the identified levels. If you are looking for a safer entry with less risk, it's advisable to wait for the price to reach the second support level, which provides a more reliable buying opportunity.
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USDJPY LONG TRADE IDEAUSDJPY Forecast For This Week(23 Sep-27 Sep 24 & NEXT WEEK ALSO)
1. Price Took Support From a Major Level of 140(Psych Level)
2. Consolidation of around 2 Weeks
3. Inverted Head & Shoulder Kind of Setup
4. Breakout above Neckline
5. Favourable Risk Reward to Upside
Buy Above @144 Level SL 143.50-143.40
Target 1 - @ 146.00 Target 2 @ 147.00 & Target 3 @149.00 OANDA:USDJPY
“Bitcoin is rising."Cryptocurrency markets are going through a dynamic period with significant developments. In Germany, 47 cryptocurrency exchanges were shut down by the Federal Criminal Police Office and the Internet Crime Complaint Center as part of efforts to combat money laundering activities. However, following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, there is a decline in dollar-denominated assets. This situation is supporting upward movements in Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, if it surpasses the 63,300 resistance level, the 65,000 and then 68,500 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 60,000 level, a further decline toward the 57,330 and then 54,000 support levels could occur.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.