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EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
NZD/JPY: Potential Reversal After Resistance TestThe NZD/JPY pair has been in a bullish trend for the past two weeks but has now encountered resistance, leading to sideways movement around this level. On the daily timeframe, a rejection candle has formed, though the price has yet to retest the February high, where liquidity remains. There is a possibility that the price may attempt to capture this liquidity before turning lower, potentially forming a bearish divergence. If a rejection occurs at the 87.500 resistance level, the market could initiate a corrective move downward. The next key target is the support zone around 85.800
Short
by RTED_Investing
Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025 Hedging strategies are key tools for traders seeking to potentially manage risks while staying active in dynamic markets. By strategically placing positions, traders aim to reduce exposure to adverse price movements without stepping away from potential opportunities. This article explores the fundamentals of hedging, its role in trading, and four hedging strategies examples across forex and CFDs. What Is Hedging in Trading? Hedging in trading is a risk management strategy that involves taking positions designed to offset potential losses in an existing investment. This concept of hedging in finance is widely used to reduce market volatility’s impact while maintaining the potential opportunity for returns. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, traders manage it via hedging strategies, meaning they have protection against unexpected market movements. So, what are hedges? Essentially, they are investments used as protective measures to balance exposure. For example, a trader holding a CFD (Contract for Difference) on a rising stock might open a position on a correlated asset that moves in the opposite direction. If the stock’s price falls, returns from the offsetting position can potentially reduce the overall impact of the loss. Hedging is common in forex trading, where traders may take positions in currency pairs with historical correlations. For instance, a trader exposed to EUR/USD might hedge using USD/CAD, as these pairs often move inversely. Similarly, traders dealing with indices might diversify into different sectors or regions to spread risk. Importantly, hedging involves costs, such as spreads or holding fees, which can reduce potential returns. It’s not a guaranteed method of avoiding losses but rather a calculated approach to navigating uncertainty. Why Traders Use Hedging Strategies Different types of hedging strategies may help traders manage volatility, protect portfolio value, or balance short- and long-term goals. 1. Managing Market Volatility Markets are unpredictable, and sudden price swings can impact even well-thought-out positions. Hedging this risk may help reduce the impact of unexpected volatility, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as geopolitical events, economic announcements, or earnings reports. For instance, a forex trader might hedge against fluctuations in a currency pair by taking positions in negatively correlated pairs, aiming to soften the blow of adverse price movements. 2. Balancing Long- and Short-Term Goals Hedging allows traders to pursue longer-term strategies without being overly exposed to short-term risks. For example, a trader with a bullish outlook on an asset may use a hedge to protect against temporary downturns. This balance enables traders to maintain their primary position while weathering market turbulence. 3. Protecting Portfolio Value Hedging strategies may help investors safeguard their overall portfolio value during market corrections or bearish trends. By diversifying positions or using opposing trades, they can potentially reduce significant drawdowns. For instance, shorting an index CFD while holding long positions in individual stocks can help offset sector-wide losses. 4. Improving Decision-Making Flexibility Hedging provides traders with the flexibility to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve. By mitigating downside risks, they can focus on refining their long-term approach without being forced into reactive decisions during volatile periods. This level of control can be vital for maintaining consistency in trading performance. Common Hedging Strategies in Trading While hedging doesn’t eliminate risks entirely, it can provide a layer of protection against adverse market movements. Some of the most commonly used strategies for hedging include: 1. Hedging with Correlated Instruments One of the most straightforward hedging techniques involves trading assets that have a known historical correlation. Correlated instruments typically move in alignment, either positively or negatively, which traders can leverage to offset risk. For example, a trader holding a long CFD position on the S&P 500 index might hedge by shorting the Nasdaq-100 index. These two indices are often positively correlated, meaning that if the S&P 500 declines, the Nasdaq-100 might follow suit. By holding an opposing position in a similar asset, losses in one position can potentially be offset by gains in the other. This approach works across various asset classes, including forex. A well-planned forex hedging strategy can soften the blow of market volatility, particularly during economic events. Consider EUR/USD and USD/CAD: these pairs typically show a negative correlation due to the shared role of the US dollar. A trader might hedge a EUR/USD long position with a USD/CAD long position, reducing exposure to unexpected dollar strength or weakness. However, correlation-based hedging requires regular monitoring. Correlations can change depending on market conditions, and a breakdown in historical patterns could result in both positions moving against the trader. Tools like correlation matrices can help traders analyse relationships between assets before using this strategy. 2. Hedging in the Same Instrument Hedging within the same instrument involves taking opposing positions on a single asset to potentially manage risks without exiting the original trade. This hedging strategy is often used when traders suspect short-term price movements might work against their primary position but still believe in its long-term potential. For example, imagine a trader holding a long CFD position in a major stock like Apple. The trader anticipates the stock price will rise over the long term but is concerned about an upcoming earnings report or market-wide sell-off that could lead to short-term losses. To hedge, the trader opens a short position in the same stock, locking in the current value of their trade. If the stock’s price falls, the short position may offset the losses in the long position, reducing overall exposure to the downside. This is often done with a position size equivalent to or less than the original position, depending on risk tolerance and market outlook. A trader with high conviction in a short-term movement may use an equivalent position size, while a lower conviction could mean using just a partial hedge. 3. Sector or Market Hedging for Indices When trading index CFDs, hedging can involve diversifying exposure across sectors or markets. This strategy helps reduce the impact of sector-specific risks while maintaining exposure to broader market trends. For example, if a trader has a portfolio with exposure to technology stocks and expects short-term declines in the sector, they can open a short position in a technology-focused index like Nasdaq-100 to offset potential losses. Another common approach is geographic diversification. Traders with exposure to European indices, such as the FTSE 100, might hedge with positions in US indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Regional differences in economic conditions can make this a practical strategy, as markets often react differently to global events. When implementing sector or market hedging, traders should consider the weighting of individual stocks within an index and how they contribute to overall performance. This strategy is used by traders who have a clear understanding of the underlying drivers of the indices involved. 4. Stock Pair Trading Pair trading is a more advanced hedging technique that involves identifying two related assets and taking opposing positions. This approach is often used in equities or indices where stocks within the same sector tend to move in correlation with each other. For instance, a trader might identify two technology companies with similar fundamentals, one appearing undervalued and the other overvalued. The trader could go long on the undervalued stock while shorting the overvalued one. If the sector experiences a downturn, the losses in the long position may potentially be offset by gains in the short position. Pair trading requires significant analysis, including fundamental and technical evaluations of the assets involved. While this strategy offers a built-in hedge, it can be risky if the chosen pair doesn’t perform as expected or if external factors disrupt the relationship between the assets. Key Considerations When Hedging What does it mean to hedge a stock or other asset? To fully understand the concept, it’s essential to recognise several factors: - Costs: Hedging isn’t free. Spreads, commissions, and overnight holding fees can accumulate, reducing overall potential returns. Traders should calculate these costs to ensure the hedge is worth implementing. - Market Conditions: Hedging strategies are not static. They require adaptation to changing market conditions, including shifts in volatility, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors. - Correlation Risks: Correlations between assets are not always consistent. Unexpected changes in relationships driven by fundamental events can reduce the effectiveness of a hedge. - Timing: The timing of both the initial position and the hedge is critical. Poor timing can lead to increased losses or missed potential opportunities. The Bottom Line Hedging strategies are popular among traders looking to manage risks while staying active in the markets. By balancing positions and leveraging tools like correlated instruments or partial hedges, traders aim to navigate volatility with greater confidence. However, hedging doesn’t exclude risks and requires analysis, planning, and regular evaluation. If you're ready to explore hedging strategies in forex, stock, commodity, and index CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms, competitive spreads, and more than 700 instruments to use in hedging. FAQ What Is Hedging in Trading? Hedging in trading is a risk management approach where traders take offsetting positions to potentially reduce losses from adverse market movements. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, hedge trading aims to manage it, providing a form of mitigation while maintaining market exposure. For example, a trader with a long position on an asset might open a short position on a related asset to offset potential losses during market volatility. What Are the Three Hedging Strategies? The three common hedging strategies include: hedging with correlated instruments, where traders take opposing positions in assets with historical relationships; hedging in the same instrument, where a trader suspects a movement against the direction of their original position and opens a trade in the opposite direction; and sector or market hedging, where a trader uses indices or regional diversification to reduce exposure to specific market risks. What Is Hedging in Stocks? Hedging in stocks involves taking additional positions to offset risks associated with holding other stocks. This can include shorting related stocks, trading negatively correlated indices, or using market diversification to reduce exposure to sector-specific downturns. How to Hedge Stocks? To hedge stocks, traders typically use strategies like short-selling correlated equities, diversifying into other asset classes, or opening opposing positions in related indices. The aim is to limit downside while maintaining some exposure to potential market opportunities. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
EUR/JPY Market Analysis: Potential Reversal at Key Resistance LeThe EUR/JPY pair, on the 4-hour chart, exhibits a strong bullish impulse that recently peaked around 163.64 , aligning with a key Fibonacci extension level (1.618). This area marks a critical resistance zone, where price action has shown signs of rejection. The Harmonic pattern, such as the b]Crab , suggest potential exhaustion of the uptrend. The latest leg upward reached a 2.618 extension , reinforcing the possibility of a corrective move. Support levels to monitor include ** 162.23 ** (BC) and ** 160.59 ** (T1), which could serve as downside targets if bearish momentum gains traction. For traders, a decisive break above **163.64** could invalidate the short-term bearish bias, paving the way for further upside. Conversely, sustained rejection from this level may trigger a deeper retracement towards key Fibonacci and harmonic support zones. Conclusion : The pair is at a critical inflection point, where price action and confirmation of rejection signals will determine the next directional move. Traders should watch for price action at resistance and key support levels to assess trade opportunities.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
AUD/CHF: Consolidation Within a Defined RangeThe AUD/CHF pair continues to oscillate within a range between 0.56550 and 0.55000, recently reaching the upper boundary. Following a rebound from the support level, the price has developed an ABC move, which often precedes a pullback. Currently, the market has approached the upper boundary of the channel and trendline, a level where price has previously faced rejection twice. Given the ongoing consolidation, there is a possibility of another rejection at resistance, potentially leading to a downward move while the sideways trend persists. The next key target is the support zone around 0.55835
Short
by RTED_Investing
Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move. Key Levels: - Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone) - Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone) - Current Price: **1.08854** - Market Structure & Outlook : - The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation. - There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level. - The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**. - Trading Consideration: - If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable. - A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside. Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
EURUSD Further Upside potentialThe EUR/USD pair continues to consolidate after experiencing strong bullish momentum. Since Tuesday, the price has primarily been moving sideways, remaining within a defined range. The market is currently positioned at a key resistance zone, yet no significant pullback was observed last week. At this stage, the price appears likely to continue ranging before making a decisive move. An ABC pullback is in formation, and once completed, there is a strong potential for the trend to resume. A dip below last week's low is anticipated, followed by a rebound from the support level near 1.07800 and the upward trendline. The next potential target is the resistance zone around 1.10000
Long
by RTED_Investing
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on USDCHF? In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has broken a key support level, which has now turned into resistance. The pair is currently forming a pullback to the broken level, retesting it as resistance. We expect the price to complete its pullback to the broken level and then continue its decline toward the specified target. Will USD/CHF resume its downtrend after the pullback, or will buyers regain control? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
8
GOLD hit 3000$ The first notable event is the Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, followed by the US Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of England (BOE) will announce their interest rate policies on Thursday. These moves can directly affect the strength of the USD and capital flows into gold. This expert believes that if the FED maintains a "hawkish" stance and takes a cautious view on cutting interest rates, the USD may continue to strengthen, putting pressure on gold prices. On the contrary, if the signals from the FED are more easing, the precious metal may maintain its upward momentum. Commodity experts at Macquarie have raised their gold price forecast to $3,500 an ounce by the third quarter of 2025. They had previously targeted $3,000 for mid-year, but gold prices have hit that mark earlier than expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
US30 Rebounds from Key Support – Bulls Eyeing New HighsKey Support & Trendline Confluence: The price recently bounced off the long-term ascending trendline, which has been a strong support level since late 2023. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($40,205) provided additional confluence for a potential reversal. Resistance Levels & Breakout Potential: Immediate Resistance: $42,000 – A break above this level could confirm a bullish continuation. Major Target: $45,065 – If momentum sustains, this all-time high could be tested soon. Bullish Scenario: A successful breakout above $42,000 could lead to an accelerated move toward $45,065 and beyond. The trendline’s support indicates that bulls remain in control, and the recent rebound suggests renewed buying interest. Risk Management & Confirmation: Bullish confirmation: Sustained price action above $41,500 with strong volume. Invalidation level: A breakdown below $40,000 could indicate a potential trend reversal. Conclusion & Strategy: Short-Term: Monitor price action around $42,000 for breakout confirmation. Mid-Term: Expect a bullish move toward $45,000+ if the trendline holds. Long-Term: If price breaks all-time highs, further upside potential is possible. 🚀 Bullish Confirmation Above $42,000 | ⚠️ Caution Below $40,000
BLACKBULL:US30
by ultreosforex
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? This pair is currently in an uptrend and has now reached a resistance zone. At this level, we anticipate a correction, which could provide a buying opportunity. We expect a correction from this resistance zone, offering a potential buying opportunity, followed by a continuation of the uptrend toward the specified target. Will EURUSD use this correction as a launching point for further gains? Share your thoughts below! Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
30
XAU/USD Breakout – Trend Continuation or Pullback?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling strong bullish momentum. This breakout was accompanied by a price surge of approximately 4.47%, pushing the price towards the $3,005 resistance level. The question now is: Will gold continue its bullish trend, or will we see a pullback before the next move? 📊 Technical Analysis: 1️⃣ Symmetrical Triangle Breakout The symmetrical triangle pattern formed over several weeks, with price consolidating within the narrowing structure. A clear breakout above the triangle confirms the bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential. 2️⃣ Measured Move Target The breakout's measured move (equal to the height of the triangle) projects a potential target near $3,056. This level aligns with a historical resistance zone, making it a key level to watch. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Resistance: $3,005 – Recent high where price is currently facing resistance. $3,056 – Next major upside target, based on the breakout projection. ✅ Support: $2,931 – Previous breakout zone; a retest could confirm support before another rally. Ascending Trendline – Acting as dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. 📉 Potential Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Case: Trend Continuation If the price consolidates above $2,984-$2,931, buyers may push gold towards $3,056 and beyond. A strong breakout above $3,005 with volume confirmation will likely signal further bullish strength. ❌ Bearish Case: Pullback Before Rally Gold may retrace towards $2,931 (previous resistance turned support) before resuming its uptrend. A break below $2,931 could lead to deeper retracement, possibly testing the ascending trendline. 🔍 Trading Strategy & Considerations: 📌 Bullish Traders: Watch for support at $2,931 and a break above $3,005 for confirmation of the next bullish leg. 📌 Bearish Traders: Look for a failed breakout above $3,005 or a rejection at $3,056 for short-term pullback opportunities. 💡 Final Thoughts: Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish momentum intact. However, a pullback before the next leg up remains a possibility. Traders should monitor key levels and price action confirmations for the next move. 🚀 What’s your outlook on gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
AUDUSD: 2 year Channel Down is making a rebound.AUDUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.859, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 20.007) as the price is consolidating on the 1D MA50. The first 3.5 months of 2025 have been a confirmed bottom for the 2 year Channel Down. All similar bullish waves on such bottoms reached at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The trade is therefore long, TP = 0.66350. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
EURUSD MY VIEW DAILY TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. We do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Please keep your comments useful & respectful. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. Thanks for your support Tradelikemee Academy Saanjayy KG
Long
by Tradelikemee
Usdjpy analysis This chart represents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView, outlining potential price movements based on key support and resistance levels. Support Level: Marked around 147.175, this level is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers might step in if the price retraces. Current Price: USD/JPY is trading around 148.262, showing signs of bullish momentum. Potential Price Movement: The chart suggests a possible pullback toward the support level before resuming an uptrend. First Target: Positioned at approximately 149.678, this is the next key resistance level where price action might encounter selling pressure. Second Target: Identified near 151.002, indicating further bullish continuation if the first target is broken. Outlook: The analysis suggests a bullish bias, but a retracement to support may occur before a potential breakout. Traders may look for confirmation signals before entering positions. The volume profile on the right shows strong activity around these levels, reinforcing the importance of these key zones.
Short
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
4