XAU surges after US economic dataGold prices rose 0.8% on Thursday after a report showed U.S. payrolls fell to their lowest level since early 2021 last month. The sharp drop in new jobs suggests a weakening U.S. labor market, which could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates soon to stimulate the economy.
Friday's report showing a weakening U.S. labor market could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Forextrading
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%.
The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices.
Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
Fed enters interest rate cutting cycleGold is taken into consideration a beneficiary whilst the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) enters a cycle of hobby charge cuts, which might also additionally begin from September 17-18. Lower hobby prices will motive the USD to depreciate in opposition to a basket of different predominant currencies. Gold will then boom in price.
Many forecasts say that gold will reach $2,600/ounce, or even $2,seven hundred with the aid of using the give up of this 12 months or early 2025.
In a latest forecast, Goldman Sachs stated that spot gold fees will reach $2,seven hundred/ounce (VND82.2 million/tael) with the aid of using early 2025. The modern unstable surroundings is stated to be a element to be able to push gold up, despite the fact that this commodity has set new information dozens of instances due to the fact that the start of 2024.
GBP/USD Trade Setup 1 Hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour timeframe, GBP/USD has formed a descending channel, followed by a strong breakout to the upside and a retest.
This pattern has formed at a daily support level. To enter a buy position, we need to observe bullish candlestick patterns for confirmation.
USDZAR Technical AnalysisWhen the USDZAR daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with the formation of an inverted cup formation. As long as USDZAR cannot pass above 18.598235, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 17.458306, it can break down to the level of 16.709696 and retreat to the level of 15.620809.
EURUSD Technical AnalysisWhen the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with a possible cup-and-cup formation. While it is evaluated that EURUSD may retreat to the level of 1.08920 in price movements below the level of 1.10152, it is evaluated that it may target the level of 1.13750 by exceeding the level of 1.12015 in price movements above the level of 1.11120, as long as the level of 1.10152 is not broken down.
Gold Analysis September 5☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal.
However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475Gold Analysis September 5
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Given the break of the support level, this currency pair is currently completing a pullback to the broken level. It is expected that after completing the pullback, the price will resume its downward movement toward the specified target level.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will sharply cut US inflation is on the decline, leading observers to expect the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates sharply for the rest of the year. In fact, US inflation remains at 2.9%, far from the Fed's target of 2%. If interest rates are cut too sharply, the monetary easing policy could cause inflation to return quickly. Therefore, as soon as there is a positive signal for the US economy, investors immediately consider the possibility of the Fed delaying the interest rate cut. The USD has a chance to recover.
AUDUSD: Pullback Trade From Support 🇦🇺🇺🇸
On a today's live stream, we discussed a pullback trade on AUDUSD.
The price tested a key daily horizontal support
and formed a cup and handle pattern on that.
Its neckline breakout is our strong bullish confirmation.
The pair will most likely grow now at least to 0.6728
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“EUR/USD Gains Weakened”The weakening of the manufacturing PMI and ISM manufacturing PMI figures in the US compared to the previous month has acted as a negative catalyst for the economy. This data has reignited recession concerns in the US, leading to accelerated dollar outflows. In the Eurozone, the manufacturing PMI for August slightly exceeded forecasts at 45.8. In Germany, the manufacturing PMI for August was 42.4, above the previous month’s figure. Following these developments, the EURUSD pair is maintaining prices above the 1.1050 level.
In light of these data points, if the index maintains closing prices above the 1.1050 level, buying activity could accelerate towards the 1.1115 and 1.1190 resistance levels. However, in the event of a potential pullback, sell-offs could test the 1.1050 support level and possibly extend to the 1.0965 and 1.090 support levels.
SHIBUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the SHIBUSDT 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the crypto's 0.00001466 level cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the 0.00001254 level, it can break down the 0.00001081 level and retreat to the 0.00000906 level.
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisWhen the BTCUSDT hourly chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the crypto's level of 58449 cannot be passed upwards, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 57210, it can break the level of 55685 and retreat to the level of 53952.
USDJPY - UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSDJPY - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The general trend continues to be upward as long as trading remains above the turning level of 145.495 .
Currently, prices are above this threshold, indicating a possible rise towards the initial resistance level at 147.891. If a 4-hour candle closes above this resistance, further increases are anticipated, with the next target being the second resistance level at 150.800.
For a downward trend to develop, the turning level needs to be breached and maintained below. This could lead to a decline towards the first support level at 143.749, and possibly even lower to 141.832.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 145.495
Resistance Levels : 147.891 , 150.800
Support Levels : 143.749 , 141.832
Gold prices edge higher after Fed rate cut possibilityGold traders are calm on the first trading day of the week as there are several important economic events that will impact the price of the precious metal. The USD index has shown strength considering recent data, but gold traders remain optimistic that gold prices will continue to move higher as the precious metal has remained above key levels over the past week.
The price of the precious metal has traded above 2,500, a level that many traders consider to be very important for a number of reasons. First, this is an important level because it shows the strength of the overall price trend. Second, gold traders believe that as long as prices continue to trade above these key levels, there is a good chance that they will continue to move higher for the rest of the year.
XAU drops around 2500 areaInvestors are worried about the possibility of further declines in gold prices after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cuts interest rates in September. Recent economic news has led the gold market to shape the high probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points.
One of the most worrying things in the short term for gold is that recent positive economic data has prevented the Fed from cutting by 50 basis points in September.
One of the big questions for gold investors recently is whether the Fed can cut by 100 basis points after the end of 2024.
Therefore, although gold is still trading at a high of $ 2,500 / ounce and may continue to increase, gold investors are hesitant and cannot fully pursue the upward trend of gold prices.
Crude Oil Technical AnalysisWhen the USDWTI 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that price movements continue in a downward trend. As long as the Crude Oil price cannot exceed the level of 75.28, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 74.38, it can break the level of 72.90 and retreat to the level of 71.47.
Gold Technical AnalysisWhen the XAUUSD hourly chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend downward. It is evaluated that the Gold Ounce price may retreat to the level of 2414 in price movements below the level of 2472, but as long as the level of 2472 is not broken down, it is evaluated that it may break the level of 2532 and target the level of 2588 in price movements above the level of 2509.
xauusdbeautiful drop on last friday 2524 was a great entry. seemd like gold want to dump more but anything possible as we do have ( bos ) 2515-2517 with ob looking at the chart clean predictions as gold bias is still bullish on weekly and monthly frame, smaller frame short.
let me know your thought. leave a comment below.
GBPAUD May Continue Falling 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD nicely respected a resistance line of a horizontal
daily trading range.
The price formed a double top pattern on that and broke its
neckline, leaving a clear bearish clue.
The fall may continue at least to 1.93
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AUD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Short and EUR/NZD ShortAUD/CAD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
DE30 DAX Technical AnalysisWhen the DAX 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue in an upward trend. As long as the index price does not break down the 18292 support level, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 18701 level can exceed the 18971 level and target the 20021 level.