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USDCAD: Massive selling until the end of the year.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.383, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 20.940) as it found support on the 1D MA100 and rebounded. We do believe howere that this bounce will be short lived as the pair hit the 9year resistance early this month and got heavily rejected. The first targets are the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100. We do expect it to hit the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 1.2600) by the end of the year as both prior highs on R1 aggressively declined to hit at least the 0.786 Fib. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
3
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
EURUSD: Sell trigger on the 4H MA50EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.966, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.727) as the price turned sideways in the past 2 weeks. The 4H MA50 is acting as the support of this Channel Up pattern. Even though the price hasn't yet made a technical HH, the 4H RSI is on a LH bearish divergence like the Jan 27th high. The signal to sell then came when the price closed a candle under the 4H MA50. If it happens again, the top will most likely be in, so go short and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1.02800). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance). However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable. Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur. 2. Support Zone Over-Reliance The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because: The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes. A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing. If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move. 3. Resistance Breakout Bias The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation. However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning: A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally. 4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation. No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging. Alternative View Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider: Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal. Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal. Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely analysis 1. Support and Resistance Reliability The analysis assumes a strong support zone at the lower level and a firm resistance at the top. However, support and resistance levels are not static—they can be invalidated if momentum is strong If the price revisits support too many times, it could break down instead of bouncing. 2. Repetitive Range-Bound Expectation The chart predicts multiple rejections at the middle resistance before a breakout. Markets don’t always behave in such a predictable pattern—sideways action could lead to a sudden breakdown instead of a breakout. 3. Lack of Volume & Trend Confirmation There's no volume analysis to confirm if support and resistance levels are strong. A higher time frame (1H or 4H) analysis would help validate if this is just consolidation or a genuine trend reversal. 4. Breakout vs. Fakeout Possibility The projection assumes a clean breakout above resistance. However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, where price moves above resistance, traps buyers, and then reverses sharply. A liquidity grab above resistance could lead to a drop instead of a rally. Alternative Perspective Instead of assuming a clear upward movement, consider two scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: If volume supports the breakout, enter after a successful retest of resistance as support. 2. Bearish Case: If the breakout fails (fakeout), expect a retest and breakdown, leading to a lower support level
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone: The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop. The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum. 2. Bearish Projection Bias: The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly. The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames. 3. Support Level Stability: While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down. It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance. 4. Short Time Frame Limitations: The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise. A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends. 5. Missing Confirmation Factors: No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis. Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal. Alternative View: Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered. A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on gold? Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend. The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position. Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level. The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications. What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth? 🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥 💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis 🔍 Market Insights: 🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline. 🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box). 🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box). 📈 Two Potential Scenarios: 📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀. 📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline) ✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone) 💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇 #gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and every pullback presents a buying opportunity within the trend. The best approach at this stage is to wait patiently for a price correction to support levels before entering a buy position. Another strategy is to wait for a break above the recent high and then enter a buy trade on a pullback to the broken level. The bullish trend remains intact, but trade entries should be executed with proper risk management and confirmation signals. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you expect further upside? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
11
Gold buy target This chart represents a trade setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe using technical analysis. The analysis includes key trading levels: Entry Point (Yellow - 2,938.690): The planned entry price for a buy (long) position. Stop Loss (Red - 2,927.485): The price level to limit losses if the trade goes against the trader’s expectation. If the price drops to this level, the position will be automatically closed to prevent further losses. Target (Blue - 2,962.046): The price level where the trader aims to take profit. If the price reaches this level, the position will be closed to secure gains. Analysis & Strategy: The setup anticipates a bullish move, expecting the price to rise from the entry level to the target. The stop loss is placed below a support zone to minimize downside risk. If the price respects support and bounces, the trade aims to capture a significant upward move toward the target price. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, meaning potential profits outweigh the risk taken. This setup follows a technical breakout or reversal strategy, aiming to capitalize on a potential price increase in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MARK_STEVAN
1
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt. I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix. In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets. If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
USDJPY: Bullish signal on the 0.5 Fib.USDJPY is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.042, MACD = -1.350, ADX = 47.008), pulling back on a technical retrace inside the long term Channel Up. This bullish wave correction is identical to the 0.5 Fibonacci pullback of December 29th 2023 that also traded on similar RSI levels. We expect the price to start recovering now and aim at the 1.382 Fibonacci. Go long, TP = 166.300. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally. Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction. 2. Support Area Failure Risk The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades. 3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal. The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1