EURUSD: Channel Down on 1H targeting 1.07640EURUSD is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 48.104, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 18.254) as it is at the top of the 5 day Channel Down and around the 1H MA50. This is the new bearish wave. Short and aim for a -0.62% decline (TP = 1.07640).
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Forextrading
GBP/JPY: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Key ResistanceThe GBP/JPY market is currently developing an ABC pattern, with point C forming near the 196.000 level. Recently, the price broke above both a downward trendline and the 194.000 support, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
At present, the pair is testing last week’s high, which aligns with the 195.000 psychological level. A strong bullish candle has emerged on the daily chart, indicating growing bullish pressure. The market may enter a consolidation phase around this level before attempting a breakout above the previous week’s high. The next target is the resistance zone at 195.750
GBPNZD: Fractured Ascent Signals Potential ReversalGBPNZD 4-hour chart reveals a compelling narrative of a weakening bullish trend potentially poised for a significant reversal. The pair's recent price action exhibits characteristics of a rising wedge pattern, a formation often indicative of an impending downside breakout.
Key Technical Observations:
Rising Wedge Formation: The converging trendlines point to a potential exhaustion of the upward momentum. The upper trendline has seen repeated rejections, suggesting a lack of sustained buying pressure.
Critical Support Level: The 2.25359 level is acting as a crucial support zone. A decisive break below this level would confirm the wedge breakdown and likely trigger a sharp bearish move.
Resistance Zone: The area around 2.27505 represents a significant resistance zone. Failure to break above this level reinforces the bearish outlook.
Potential Downside Targets: The chart indicates potential targets at 2.22934 and the low of 2.16774. These levels could act as significant support zones during a potential downtrend.
Trading Implications:
Short Entry Consideration: Traders should closely monitor the price action for a decisive break below the 2.25359 support. A confirmed breakdown could signal a strong short entry opportunity.
Stop-Loss Placement: A prudent stop-loss should be positioned above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the wedge to mitigate risk.
Risk Management: Given the potential for increased volatility during a breakout, sound risk management is paramount.
Considerations:
Confirmation of Breakdown: A break below the 2.25359 support should be accompanied by strong bearish momentum and ideally, an increase in trading volume to validate the signal.
Fundamental Factors: Upcoming economic data releases from both the UK and New Zealand should be closely monitored, as they could significantly impact the pair's price action.
Conclusion:
The GBPNZD chart presents a compelling case for a potential bearish reversal. The rising wedge pattern, coupled with the critical support at 2.25359, suggests a high probability of a downside breakout. Traders should exercise caution and await confirmation of the breakdown before initiating short positions. Effective risk management is crucial to navigate the potential volatility associated with this trade setup.
Tue 25th Mar 2025 USD/SGD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a USD/SGD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term.
At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal):
Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward.
Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish.
Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs.
2. Range-Bound Movement:
Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940.
Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum.
3. Bullish Divergence Possibility:
Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows.
Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal.
4. Fundamental Risk:
Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Mon 24th Mar 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Potential at Fibonacci LevelEUR/USD daily chart provides a nice short opportunity. The pair recently experienced a retracement as part of an extended downtrend, reaching the 70.00% Fibonacci retracement level and facing resistance at the 1.09957/1.09947 level. A confluence of technical variables in this way can serve as a potential reversal point and resumption of the underlying bearish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Sell short EUR/USD at or near the prevailing price (1.08361) on confirmation of bearish price action such as a rejection candle off the resistance point.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the new high (1.12142) or at a judiciously chosen resistance level to manage risk.
Take Profit: Look for the following support levels as probable take-profit points:
1.07323
1.07286
1.06794
Mon 24th Mar 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 24th Mar 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Market Recap And Next Weeks Plan📉 Market Recap & Next Week’s Plan
Last week, we saw GBP/USD make a bullish push early in the week, forming a high on Wednesday before reversing and breaking structure on the 4H time frame.
Key levels of 1.29512 and 1.29105 were taken out, signaling a potential shift towards a bearish move.
Next Week’s Expectations
I’m anticipating a retracement before continuation, and I’ll be watching for selling opportunities at key levels.
📍 Potential Sell Zones:
🔹 1.29622 (High-interest POI, higher probability of forming)
🔹 1.29794
🔹 1.29893
📍 Potential Buy Zone (If Market Drops Further):
🔹 1.28848
Overall Bias:
📉 Bearish – I’ll be focused on selling opportunities unless the market structure shifts significantly.
Patience is key. Let’s see how the market develops this week.
💬 What’s your bias for next week? Let me know in the comments. 👇
#ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingPlan
USDJPY: Critical moment for the 2 month Channel Down.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.506, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 25.882) as it is on the tightest range possible between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. This consolidation is taking place at the top of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it holds, the trade is short, aiming for a -3.20% bearish wave (TP = 145.500). If the price crosses above the 4H MA200 though, go long, aiming for the R1 level (TP = 154.835).
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EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
USD/CAD: Sideways Movement Signals Possible DownsideAfter a bearish move, the USD/CAD pair staged a pullback, forming a long-tailed candle on the daily timeframe that points to a potential retest of the zone above the 1.4200 level. Currently, the market is trading sideways, positioned just above the previous day's low.
If the price breaks and closes below this low, it may attempt to retest the support zone beneath. However, with price action still contained within the weekly range, continued oscillation between the upper and lower boundaries remains possible. A move to the downside is anticipated if the pair holds below the upward trendline, with the next target being the support zone around 1.42615
BTCUSDlasr analysis was 100% worked i hope you all had a good time, as we look at weekly chart and see potentionl continue sell on btcusd, till ob+fvg, let see a strong pull back to take short postion. i hope weekly chart as i draw my like easy to understand. let me know in the comment what you think ..?
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session.
However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions.
⭐️Technical analysis
The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win.
Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
Fri 21st Mar 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURGBP: Rectangle Top rejection. Sell opportunity.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.272, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 25.202), going from an almost overbought RSI to neutral as it got rejected on the R1 Zone. That is the top of the 6 month Rectangle pattern, where the last rejection pulled the price all the way down to the S1 Zone. This time the presence of both the LH and HL trendlines makes us consider a slightly tighter trading range. The trade is short, TP = 0.82600.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DXY: Starting a new Channel Up rally into Summer.The U.S. Dollar Index is near the oversold zone on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.232, MACD = -1.040, ADX = 33.922) having reached the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up. The 1D RSI was oversold last week but is seen rebounding. This is exactly the kind of formation we had on the previous bottom of the Channel Up as well as the December 28th 2023 low.. The selling sequences that led to those lose have been almost the same as today's (-6.32% and -5.74%). The last Channel Up bullish wave reached exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we can go long here with an acceptable risk, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 113.000).
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After a strong bullish rally, EURUSD has now reached the resistance zone.
As expected, the price has started to pull back from this resistance level.
We anticipate the correction to continue toward the specified level before the price resumes its upward movement.
The pair remains in an overall uptrend, and these pullbacks could present buying opportunities within the trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
AUDUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD?
The AUDUSD pair is moving within an ascending channel and has recently broken its downtrend line to the upside. This breakout could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
We expect the price to make a pullback and correction toward the broken trendline before continuing its upward move towards the channel’s upper boundary.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️