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EUR/USD: Key Supply Zones to Watch for Potential ReversalsThe EUR/USD pair has extended its upward momentum, reaching new highs for 2024, currently hovering around 1.1077 as I write this. This surge is largely attributed to the persistent weakness in the US Dollar (USD), which has been on the back foot in recent sessions. Expectations around the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release have shifted market sentiment. While there was initial speculation of a half-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, the chances of such a significant cut have diminished. Instead, a more modest rate reduction now seems more likely, especially in light of better-than-anticipated outcomes from other critical US economic indicators. Looking forward, the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes is anticipated to be the key event this week. However, market participants will also keep a close eye on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the testimony of Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda before Parliament. These events could offer further insights into the future direction of monetary policies, influencing the USD and, by extension, the EUR/USD pair. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD has approached a critical Supply area, where we observe a significant concentration of retail traders maintaining long positions, while commercial players have reduced their exposure. Given the current sideways market conditions, this Supply zone could be pivotal. A reversal may occur here, leading to a potential decline in the pair. However, if the price does not reverse at this level, the next key Supply area to watch would be around 1.1175. This level could become the next focal point for traders looking to identify potential turning points in the market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EURUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
XAU receives strong support from USDWeaker USD Supports Strong XAU Gains XAU is currently at an all-time high Although gold has since been hit by a wave of profit-taking from investors, the decline in the USD is providing positive support and halting the decline in the precious metal. Traders are now looking ahead to the annual Jackson Hole Federal Reserve meeting that begins later this week. In previous years, central bank officials have made market-moving statements at the meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the meeting on Thursday morning.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
Xauusd long Target Gold retreats after setting a new record high of $2,500 Gold stages a technical correction and trades below $2,490 after setting a new record high of $2,500 earlier in the day, boosted by falling US Treasury bond yields. Profit-taking could ramp up the volatility heading into the weekend. Gold is pulling back from the range ceiling it was pushing up against for most of the earlier part of the week. The short-term trend is probably sideways and, given “the trend is your friend”, is more likely than not to extend in that direction – oscillating within its range. Gold appears to have begun a fresh down leg within the range. It will probably now move down to $2,400, perhaps even reaching the range floor in the $2,390s. Due to the fact the range is tapering slightly, it might also be seen as a triangle pattern in the latter stages of development. A break below $2,432 (August 15 lows) would help provide additional bearish confirmation the down leg was evolving. Gold now sell 2506 Target 2495 Target 2480 Target 2450 SL 2530
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JohnHarry_7
USDCAD ( TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )USDCAD HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 1.375 . Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.375 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) 1.383 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.387 and 1.394 . Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.375 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at1.367 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.360 and 1.354 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.375 before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.383 ,1.387, 1.394 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.367 , 1.360 , 1.54 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
2
GBPUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )GBPUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 1.293 . Turning Level: The price is currently trading below this level around 1.293 . As long as it remains stable and stays below this level, a drop toward the support level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks above this level and a 4-hour candle closes above it, an upward move toward the resistance level (1) can be expected. Resistance Level (1): around 1.298 , The price is currently below turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle above the turning level at 1.293. If the price reaches 1.298 , and stabilizes above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance level (2) . Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through Resistance Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 1.303 . To confirm an uptrend, the price needs to reach this level before moving on to Resistance Level (3) at 1.309 . Support Level (1): As long as the price remains below the turning level of 1.293, it suggests a drop towards 1.283 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing below it, it will likely attempt to reach Support Level (2). Support Level (2): When the price breaks through support level(1)and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 1.275 . To confirm a downtrend , the price needs to reach this level before decline on to support Level (3 )at 1.268 . Channel Trend: the trading rate within the ascending channel. TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.298 ,1.303 ,1.309 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.283 , 1.275 , 1.268 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USDJPY HELLO TRADERS in the last week the price of OANDA:USDJPY starting to rising , currently the price it will be trying to breakout a channel , in the event of this occurrence , price starts to up trading . Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level . Downward Zone : for a downward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 145.994 , leading to decline that could reach the support level (1) 144.322 , if the price breaks and stabilizing below this level it may attempt to reach support zone between 142.223 and 139.804 . Upward Zone: as long as the price remain above the turning level at 145.994 , it may rising towards the resistance level (1) at 150.900 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing above it , it suggest further upward towards the resistance zone between 154.969 and 158.169 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 145.994 before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 150.900 ,154.969 , 158.169 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 144.322, 142.223 , 139.804 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
4
XAU surges despite positive news for DXYThe drop in jobless claims suggests the US economy is recovering well, which further strengthens the case for a lower-than-expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. The precious metal, which has been under pressure from the sell-off earlier this week, was further weighed down by the latest inflation report, which dampened market optimism about a September monetary policy pivot. The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% in July, compared to a 2.9% increase in the same month last year, according to the US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics. Tai Wong, an independent metals trader in New York, said that a September rate cut was a certainty. However, the latest data disappointed the market by reinforcing the case for a 25 basis point cut, instead of the expected 50 basis points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicoTradingMaster
EUR/USD Approaches Key Supply Area Amid U.S. CPI DataThe EUR/USD is nearing a significant supply area around 1.10500, with the pair currently showing signs of being overbought. The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report highlights that retail traders are largely bullish on the pair, adding to the potential for a correction. The focus now shifts to the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is likely to play a crucial role in determining the pair's next move. Market expectations suggest that on a yearly basis, the CPI will rise by 2.9%, slightly down from the 3% recorded in June. The core CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, is anticipated to increase by 3.2% annually. On a monthly basis, both the headline CPI and core CPI are expected to rise by 0.2%. Should the monthly core CPI, a key indicator that removes base effects and volatile prices, exceed expectations, it could trigger an immediate recovery in the U.S. Dollar (USD). This would likely weigh on the EUR/USD, leading to a potential downward movement from the supply zone around 1.10500. Conversely, if the core CPI underperforms, failing to meet market estimates, the pair might push higher, potentially breaching the initial supply area. If EUR/USD manages to surpass the 1.10500 level, the next significant resistance lies around 1.12000. This area could act as another barrier for the Euro, where a rebound might occur. However, the current analysis suggests that a reversal at the first supply area is more probable, especially if the USD regains strength following the CPI data release. In conclusion, the upcoming CPI figures will be pivotal in shaping the EUR/USD's trajectory. Traders should closely monitor the data, as it could either reinforce the overbought conditions and lead to a correction, or propel the pair higher if the USD weakens further. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
Forex Trade Management Strategies. Techniques For Beginners I am going to reveal 4 trade management strategies that will change the way you trade forex. These simple techniques are aimed to minimize your losses and maximize your gains. 1. Trading Without Take Profit Once you spotted the market that is trading in a strong bullish or bearish trend, there is one tip that will help you to benefit from the entire movement. If the market is bullish, and you buy it expecting a bullish trend continuation, consider trading WITHOUT take profit. Take a look at USDJPY on an hourly time frame. The market is trading in the bullish trend, and we see a strong trend-following signal - a bullish breakout of a current resistance . After the violation, the price went up by more than 1000 pips, and of course, trading with a fixed target, most likely you would close the trade too soon. The same trade management strategy can be applied in a bearish trend. Above is a price action on GBPUSD. The pair is very bearish, and we see a strong bearish signal on an hourly time frame. The market dropped by more than 1000 pips then, and of course, trading with the fixed take profit, you would miss that bearish rally, closing the trade earlier. Even though the trends do not last forever, the markets may easily fall or grow sharply for weeks or even months and this technique will help you to cash out from the entire movement. 2. Stop Loss to Breakeven Once you open a trading position and the market starts going in the desired direction, there is a simple strategy that will help you to protect your position from a sudden reversal. Above is the real trade that we took with my students in my trading academy. We spotted a very bearish pattern on USDCAD and opened short position. Initially we were right, and the market was going to our target. BUT because of the surprising release of negative Canadian fundamental news, the market reversed suddenly, not being able to reach the target. And that could be a losing trade BUT we managed to save our money. What we did: we moved our stop loss to entry level, or to breakeven, before the release of the fundamentals. Trade was closed on entry level and we lost 0 dollars. Moving stop loss to entry saved me tens of thousands of dollars. It is one of the simplest trade management techniques that you must apply. 3. Trailing Stop Loss Once you managed to catch a strong movement, do not keep your stop loss intact. As we already discussed, your first step will be to protect your position and move your stop loss to entry. But what you can do next, you can apply trailing stop loss. Above is a trend-following trade that we took with my students on GBPCHF. Once the market started moving in the desired direction, we moved stop loss to breakeven. As the market kept setting new highs, we trailed the stop loss and set it below the supports based on new higher lows. We kept trailing the stop loss till the market reached the target. Application of a trailing stop will help you to protect your profits, in case of a sudden change in the market sentiment and reversal. 4. Partial Closing The last tip can be applied for trading and investing. Remember that once you correctly predicted a rally, you can book partial profits, once the price is approaching some important historical levels or ahead of important fundamental releases. Imagine that you bought 1 Bitcoin for 17000$. Once a bullish market started, you can sell the portion of your BTC, once the price reaches significant key levels. For example, 0.2 BTC on each level. With such trade management technique, you will book profits while remaining in your position. Even though, these techniques are very simple, only the few apply them. Try these trade management strategies and increase your gains and avoid losses! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
EURUSD ( TRADING INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( UNDER CPI ) (4H)EURUSD HELLO TRADERS currently of the price trading inside descending channel and stabilizing below turning level , today at 3.30 we have a CPI news that has a huge impact on market movements . Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level around 1.101 . Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.101 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 1.105 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.109 and 1.113 . Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 1.094 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.088 and 1.084 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.101before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.105 ,1.109 , 1.113 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.094 , 1.088 , 1.084 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
AUD/USD Reversal: Bullish MomentumThe AUD/USD pair has shown signs of recovery after dipping to the 0.63500 level, with the price currently rising around 0.6595. This rebound is partly fueled by the US Dollar (USD) facing challenges due to growing expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. However, the pressure on the USD might ease as the likelihood of a 50-basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting diminishes. From our perspective, we anticipate that the AUD/USD will continue its upward trajectory, potentially reaching the Supply zone around 0.6700, with a possibility of extending higher to 0.6800. This target area is crucial for evaluating the next strategic move. The current market sentiment indicates that Smart Money is positioning itself long, while Retail traders are predominantly short. This imbalance suggests a potential increase in the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD) as the pair gains momentum. Given these factors, our focus is on monitoring the price action as it approaches these key levels. We expect that once the price reaches the 0.6700 to 0.6800 range, a potential setup may emerge, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the AUD's strengthening against the USD. This analysis aligns with the broader market dynamics, indicating that the AUD is poised for further gains in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
GBP/AUD Short, NZD/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short and EUR/CAD ShortGBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it. NZD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. EUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Short
by StewySongs
#XAUUSD/H4 CPI today determines the long-term trend of GOLD.Analysis of the European - US session on August 13, 2024: On the second day, we have seen a strong increase in all sessions. Gold has approached the old peak area. Today's CPI news will determine whether a triple peak pattern will form and whether there will be a deep correction. A reversal creating a peak has appeared on H4. The trading trend today is mainly BUY. But caution is required in sensitive price zones like this. Price areas to watch: Zones 2430-2434; 2444-2447 and 2481-2486. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2430-2433 SL 2427 TP 2440 - 2450 - 2470. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2444 - 2447 SL 2441 TP 2452 - 2460 -2470. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2483 - 2486 SL 2492 TP 2475 - 2450 - 2430 - open.
FX:XAUUSD
by wetdyerap
XAU continues to increase from last weekend's sessionAt the beginning of the trading session in the US market, the world gold price continued to increase from the session at the end of last week. The US unemployment benefit application report released in the middle of last week brought optimism to the stock and gold markets. After a quiet week, the world gold market is about to receive a series of important information that can affect the direction of the precious metal in the short term. Specifically, the producer price index, consumer price index, retail sales in July, weekly unemployment benefit applications, housing starts and building permits in the US in July, ... Marc Chandler, General Director of Bannockburn Global Forex, said that the information that the market is most looking forward to is the July consumer price index report, which is likely to remain unchanged compared to the same period last year. This helps the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates in September.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
USD/CAD: Awaiting Bearish Continuation Before Potential ReversalThe USD/CAD pair has shown resilience even as the USD/DXY continues to strengthen. However, it seems to be taking its time to find a robust Support/Demand zone before embarking on a corrective phase. Our analysis, which integrates Seasonality trends, the COT report, and our proven Supply and Demand strategy, points towards an impending continuation of the bearish momentum. Currently, we are closely monitoring the 1.36480 level—a key area where price action is likely to encounter significant demand. It is at this juncture that we expect to see a pattern indicating a potential reversal. Should such a pattern materialize, it would provide a strong signal for entering a long position at the market. This strategic approach allows us to capitalize on the anticipated recovery following the completion of the bearish cycle, positioning ourselves for a favorable entry as the price gears up for a bullish turn. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
USD/JPY:Liquidity Grab at 142.000 Signals Long Setup OpportunityThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a liquidity grab around the 142.000 area, which coincides with a key demand zone. This convergence of factors presents a compelling opportunity for a long setup, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, seasonality trends, and our supply and demand analysis. The liquidity grab at 142.000 is a critical event, as it often indicates a shift in market sentiment. In this case, the price dipped into a demand area where buying pressure is expected to intensify. This zone has historically acted as a strong support level, making it a prime candidate for a reversal and an upward move. Our analysis of the COT report further strengthens the case for a long position. The data suggests that large traders and institutional investors are increasingly positioning themselves on the bullish side of USD/JPY, indicating confidence in a potential upward trajectory. This shift in market sentiment aligns with the technical indicators we've identified in the 142.000 demand area. Seasonality trends also play a supportive role in this setup. Historically, certain periods have favored the US dollar against the Japanese yen, leading to upward movements in the pair. This seasonal pattern, combined with the current technical and sentiment-based factors, creates a favorable environment for a long position. Given the liquidity grab at 142.000, the confluence with a demand zone, and the positive signals from the COT report and seasonality analysis, we are looking to enter a long setup in USD/JPY. Traders should consider this opportunity, as the potential for a significant upward move appears strong. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
NZD/JPY: A Potential Reversal in the MakingThe NZD/JPY pair has recently caught the attention of traders following a notable drop to the 83.000 level. This move downwards was met with significant demand pressure, setting the stage for what appears to be a potential reversal. Starting from last Wednesday, the pair has shown signs of recovery, indicating that a bullish trend might be on the horizon. From a Supply and Demand perspective, the dip to 83.000 acted as a critical demand zone, where buyers stepped in to support the price. This zone, which had previously been tested, held firm, suggesting that there is substantial interest in the NZD/JPY at these levels. As the pair began to rise from this support, it confirmed that the demand pressure was strong enough to halt the decline and possibly reverse the trend. Adding to the bullish sentiment is the analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The latest data indicates a shift in positioning among large speculators and commercial traders. These market participants, who often have access to more comprehensive market data and insights, appear to be positioning themselves for a potential upward move in the NZD/JPY. This shift in sentiment among key market players further reinforces the likelihood of a reversal. Seasonality also plays a role in our bullish outlook. Historically, certain times of the year have been more favorable for the NZD/JPY pair, with increased demand for the New Zealand dollar during specific seasons. This seasonal trend, combined with the current technical setup and COT data, provides a strong case for considering a long position in the pair. In conclusion, the recent drop in NZD/JPY to the 83.000 level has sparked a potential reversal, supported by strong demand, favorable COT positioning, and seasonal factors. Traders looking to capitalize on this opportunity should consider a long position, keeping a close eye on further developments in the market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/AUD Short, USD/CAD Short, NZD/USD Long and GBP/CHF ShortGBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If area of value tapped into, risk entry after a 1 hour rejection from it. USD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. NZD/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
by StewySongs